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  1. 供应链分析 $MU

    日韩股市大涨,AI板块因资本支出增加而反弹。

    日本日经225指数(Nikkei 225)飙升逾5%,创下历史新高。 韩国KOSPI指数今日也上涨4.2%,其中存储芯片如SK海力士(SK Hynix)上涨5.4%。 市场认为以刺激政策为主的日本政策总体利好,并为从$MU到Advantest的股票增加了流动性。 尽管如此,这一政策具有细微差别:像比特币这样的资产更青睐“印钞机”(货币刺激),而非政府支出的财政刺激,因为后者可能导致债券收益率飙升。 我们开始看到由资本支出(capex)增加引发的特定板块(尤其是AI交易)反弹,而其他板块则处于熊市。

    英文原文

    Japan’s Nikkei 225 skyrockets over 5% to hit record high. Korea’s KOSPI is also up 4.2% today with memory like SK Hynix up 5.4%. A stimulus heavy Japan was seen as net positive and increases liquidity for stocks from $MU to Advantest. Despite this, this policy is nuanced as assets like Bitcoin love the money printer (monetary stimulus) vs. fiscal stimulus (government spend), when there’s a potential spike in bond yields. We’re starting to see sector specific rallies (especially the AI trade) from increased capex spend, but a bear market in others.

  2. 供应链分析 $AVAV$NOC

    披萨订单作为算法信号,反映委内瑞拉局势对AVAV和NOC的影响。

    不过这是真实的流量,因为恶搞者确实会下大量披萨订单,并造成等待自取人群的积压。只是我觉得没人试过,毕竟浪费披萨。但对于 $AVAV 到 $NOC 而言,披萨订单是算法用于委内瑞拉的合法信号。

    英文原文

    It's live traffic though since a troll would be actually placing a lot of Pizza orders + creating backlog from people waiting for pickup. Just dont think people have tried since it's a waste of Pizza. But for $AVAV to $NOC, Pizza orders are a legitimate signal algos used for Venezuela.

  3. 杂谈 $PLTR$RCAT

    嘲笑市场算法化导致散户行为被过度解读。

    @belcore922 我才不干呢 哈哈哈!我可吃不了那么多披萨。把那么好吃的留着扔掉太可惜了。不过,既然市场现在主要由算法驱动,居然会有人觉得某个网络喷子(troll)大量订购披萨就能让 $PLTR 或 $RCAT 这类股票真的波动,这真是挺可笑的。

    英文原文

    @belcore922 난 안 할래 ㅋㅋㅋ! 피자를 그렇게 많이는 못 먹어. 그 맛있는 걸 남겨서 버리면 너무 아깝잖아. 근데 시장이 워낙 알고리즘 위주로 돌아가다 보니, 그냥 어떤 관종(troll)이 피자를 왕창 주문했다고 해서 $PLTR 이나 $RCAT 같은 주가가 실제로 움직일 수 있다는 게 참 웃기네

  4. 杂谈 $ONDS$PLTR

    调侃算法误将披萨排队关联战争从而推高股价

    周末洗澡时的想法:披萨漏洞 - 一个捣蛋鬼可以花2万美元购买10美元的芝士披萨,导致取餐排起长队 - 边缘算法因伊朗局势而紧张 - 算法将类似 $PLTR 的防御股和 $ONDS 推高数十亿,因为它们将披萨需求与战争相关联。 然后获利?

    英文原文

    Weekend shower thought: The Pizza Exploit - A troll can spend $20K on $10 Cheese Pizzas, creating long lines as people wait for pick up - Algos on edge with Iran - Algos send defense like $PLTR to $ONDS up billions, because they correlate Pizza demand with War. Then profit? https://t.co/qDKKI3An3Z

  5. 个股论点 $AXTI$LITE

    AXTI因磷化铟供应链瓶颈及政策利好,6周涨60%,成重要瓶颈多头标的。

    @Berlinergy 我几乎可以肯定昨天发过一条关于 $AXTI 的帖子。 https://t.co/pq6tLRcrIS (该推文引用了 @aleabitoreddit 的推文,引用内容仅供理解语境): 自首次发布 $AXTI 帖子以来已过去6周。 股价又上涨了60%。 几乎没人在这只市值仅7亿美元的小盘股上讨论过。 尤其是从磷化铟(InP)供应链与光子学(Photonics)的角度。 现在它已成为一家14亿美元市值的公司,进入了机构和政府的视野。 在此期间: - 中国出口管制禁止向其竞争对手提供前体 - 7N级磷化铟价格周周创历史新高 - 他们从Northland融资1亿美元以翻倍产能 - $LITE 业绩大超预期,预计光学需求将超过供应 - 所有超大规模云服务商的资本支出均超出预期 - 特朗普签署行政令,从美国境内的外国拥有公司手中接管磷化铟供应链 已经6周了。我预计光子学在未来两年及以后将加速增长。 每只股票都有波动性(这只股票每天上下波动20%+),所以在入场交易前建立自己的信念很重要。 但 $AXTI 是我从7亿美元微小市值开始的最有趣的瓶颈多头标的之一。

    英文原文

    @Berlinergy Pretty sure I made an $AXTI related post yesterday https://t.co/pq6tLRcrIS

  6. 杂谈

    感谢Brian Armstrong反对破坏加密行业的《清晰法案》。

    @brian_armstrong 嘿,顺便说一句,感谢你站出来反对《清晰法案》(Clarity Act) 中的毒丸条款。这是我见过的对加密行业最具破坏性的立法之一。而且周围充斥着大量虚假信息,试图说服散户出于“安全目的”支持该法案。

    英文原文

    @brian_armstrong Hey, on a side note thanks for standing up to the poison pills of the Clarity Act. It’s one of the destructive legislations I’ve ever seen for the crypto industry. And there’s tons of disinformation going around trying convincing retail to support it for “safety purposes”.

  7. 方法论 $GOOGL$IBIT$POET$RKLB$SNDK

    小资金应集中投资高弹性标的,大资金则需降低风险。

    微妙。通常“集中创造财富,分散保全财富”这句老话是成立的。 我大体同意,除非你分散投资的所有标的都是高贝塔且高度相关的。我不确定 $IBIT 的复苏或 $SNDK 哪个涨得更快,所以我选择多匹马下注,并给它们装上 $RKLB 这样的火箭助推器。 但通常来说,是的,投资组合越小,集中度应该越高。如果你有 $10k,也许只选2-3个你最看好的,比如 $SNDK 或 $POET(但显然风险稍大)。 用 $10k 去稳健复利 $GOOGL 或进行分散投资,不会改变你的生活(你打工赚得更多)。但一般来说,随着投资组合规模的增长,你需要承担的风险就越小。

    英文原文

    Nuanced. So typically concentration builds wealth and diversification preserves it rings true. I generally agree unless all your diversified picks are high beta and correlated. I'm just not sure if $IBIT recovery or $SNDK would go up faster so I bet on multiple horses with $RKLB rockets attached to them. But usually, yes, the smaller the portfolio is, the more concentration your portfolio should be. If you have $10k, maybe just pick 2-3 of your favorites like $SNDK or $POET (but obviously a tad more risky). Safe compounding $GOOGL or diversifying with those amounts won't change your life (you would get more working a job). But generally the more your portfolio goes up the less risk you need to take.

  8. 杂谈

    博主解释因粉丝过多,日常交易分享转至子页面,主号专注分析。

    @hiteshkar 是的,抱歉,我的账号粉丝量变得太大,所以很难分享日内交易(day trades)之类的内容。我确实创建了一个子页面(sub page)作为全天发布想法的另一种方式,但我尽量保持主时间线(main timeline)更具分析性。https://t.co/fw501wGvW1

    英文原文

    @hiteshkar Yeah my apologies, my account got too big so it’s difficult sharing day trades and stuff. I did make a sub page as another way to post thoughts throughout the day but I try to keep my main timeline more analytical. https://t.co/fw501wGvW1

  9. 个股论点 $RKLB

    RKLB是长期看多标的,若超涨至90美元以上将减仓等待回调。

    是的,抱歉没有澄清其中的细微差别。在10年的时间框架内,$RKLB 是我对比特币最看好的标的。话虽如此,如果它看起来过度延伸至90美元以上,我不介意减仓并等待再次下跌时的买入机会。市场不会直线上涨。

    英文原文

    Yeah sorry for not clarifying the nuance. $RKLB is my most bullish pick with Bitcoin on a 10 year timeframe. That being said, if it looks overextended to $90+, I’m not afraid to trim and wait for opportunities to buy it if it drops again. Markets don’t move in a straight line up

  10. 业绩复盘 $AMD$DUOL$HIMS

    作者澄清持仓结构相似但权重不同,并对比自身交易风格与长期持有者。

    如果你读了那篇帖子,我提到我的个人投资组合看起来不同且权重不同。但从结构上看,它与上述内容相似。 另外,我是一名日内/波段交易者,我的持仓变动很大。如果你想要稳定性,还有其他人全仓持有 $DUOL、$HIMS 和 $AMD 且从不调整。

    英文原文

    If you read the post, I mentioned my personal portfolio looks different and has different weightings. But looks structurally it’s similar to above. Also I’m a day/swing trader, my positions change a lot. If you want consistency there’s others that are all in $DUOL, $HIMS, $AMD and never change.

  11. 个股论点 $AAOI$AXTI$COHR$CRDO$LITE

    持有CRDO因超跌,看好光子供应链相关个股。

    @Frenchie_ 我持有 $CRDO,因为我认为跌至 95 美元是巨大的过度反应。 但我看好光子学(Photonics)供应链,比如 $LITE、$COHR、$AAOI、$AXTI 这类公司。

    英文原文

    @Frenchie_ I have $CRDO on there since I felt the selloff to $95 was a huge overreaction. But I am a fan of photonic supply chains like $LITE, $COHR, $AAOI, $AXTI type companies

  12. 个股论点 $FLY$NOC$RKLB

    补充FLY为登月级标的,RKLB短期高估但下跌可重仓。

    @DanielM16458500 哦,我忘了把 $FLY 作为与 $NOC 合作的中程发射(medium lift launch)的“登月级(moonshot)”标的列入。我的个人投资组合里有很多我没列出的奇怪小众标的。 关于 $RKLB,我再次觉得它短期被高估,但如果进一步下跌,我会重仓加仓。

    英文原文

    @DanielM16458500 Oh I forgot to include $FLY as a moonshot pick for their medium lift launch with $NOC. I have a lot of weird niche picks in my personal porffolio that I didn’t include. $RKLB again I felt was near term overvalued but I’d add heavy concentration if it dropped further.

  13. 杂谈 $SPY

    博主认为标普500指数表现将优于SanDisk等个股。

    @arsenalfccg 是的,我确信 $SPY 的表现会优于 SanDisk 和其他个股。https://t.co/gCTXCD2Ivu

    英文原文

    @arsenalfccg Yeah, I’m sure $SPY would outperform Sandisk and others. https://t.co/gCTXCD2Ivu

  14. 个股论点 $AIRO$AVAV$DPRO$LPTH$OSS$RKLB

    列举国防股标的,认为RKLB短期高估但长期首选。

    $OSS、$AIRO、$DPRO、$LPTH(勉强算)是国防股。忘了在上面加上 $AVAV,但我会把它加在 $259 的位置。 由于与格陵兰达成和平协议,近期没有真正的军事催化剂。但随着新的伊朗紧张局势,它们可能会再次受到关注。 话虽如此,我觉得 $RKLB 目前有点被高估,但长期来看它是我首选的标的。

    英文原文

    $OSS, $AIRO, $DPRO, $LPTH (sorta) are defense stocks. Forgot to include $AVAV up there but I’d add that in at $259. There was peace with Greenland so no really military catalysts recently. But they might pick up again with new Iran tensions. That being said just feel like $RKLB is a tad overvalued right now but long term it’s my favorite pick

  15. 个股论点 $SNDK

    澄清未称SNDK为最弱,指出其高波动但远期估值低、增长强劲。

    @yepyepmf 我什么时候说过 $SNDK 是最薄弱环节了? 它只是这群公司里波动性最大的内存厂商,但 2027 年的远期市盈率(Forward P/E)看起来很低,所以增长轨迹看起来相当夸张。 https://t.co/OFhiqtOH4O

    英文原文

    @yepyepmf Where did I ever say $SNDK was the weakest link? It’s just the most volatile memory company out the bunch but forward p/e for 2027 looks low, so the growth trajectory looks hilarious. https://t.co/OFhiqtOH4O

  16. 业绩复盘

    博主分享比特币波段交易策略及当前盈利减仓情况。

    如果你读了那篇帖子,我提到我的个人投资组合看起来不同,且权重分配也不同。 如果我要构建一个并长期持有,它大概会像上面那样。 我会根据价格频繁调整权重。我在比特币 $73K 时加仓了现货。它进一步跌至 $62K,我最终做了杠杆看涨期权,周五上涨了约 24%。 所以当比特币回到 $68K 以上时,我又盈利了,并因为比特币价格高于我的平均成本而减仓了一些头寸。 这就是我做波段交易的方式,我在下行市场中持有 50% 的比特币仓位感到舒适。

    英文原文

    If you read the post, I mentioned my personal portfolio looks different and I have different weightings. If I had to build one and hold it, the one about would look like it. I change weightings a lot depending on price. I added hard shares on Bitcoin at $73K. It dropped further down to $62k and I ended up doing leveraged calls that went up 24% or so Friday. So I’m profitable again at Bitcoin $68k + trimmed some positions since Bitcoin price is above my cost average. That’s just how I do swing trading and I’m comfortable holding 50% of my port in bitcoin in a downturn.

  17. 个股论点 $OSS$RDDT

    看好RDDT财报后回调机会,认为OSS有望因国防合同重估。

    $RDDT 财报后跌至 $139,感觉再次成为强力买入标的。财报表现很棒,看起来像是期权相关的抛售。 $OSS 是一只针对边缘 AI + 国防支出的“登月式”小盘股选择。我曾发帖指出他们已在委内瑞拉实战中得到验证。如果能拿下那笔 $2.00 亿合同,估值重估将易如反掌。

    英文原文

    $RDDT feels like a strong buy again after drop to $139 post earnings. Earnings felt great, looked option related selloff. $OSS is a moonshot type small cap pick for edge AI + defense spend. I made a post that showed they were already validated in Venezuela combat. If they can secure that $200m contract, could easily be re-rated.

  18. 展示含杠杆的AI与加密多头组合,强调风险管理避免全仓小盘股。

    组合权重是我被问得最多的问题。 以下是我的投资组合构成: 35% 存储超级周期 _ 10% 三星电子 10% 海力士 10% $MU 5% $SNDK 25% 数字资产敞口 _ 10% $IBIT 5% $COIN 5% $HOOD 2.5% $CRCL 2.5% $SOL 15% 金融科技/广告 5% $RDDT 5% $ETOR 5% $TTD 15% 数据中心 - 10% $NBIS 5% $CRDO 10% 半导体 _ 5% $INTC 5% $TSM 10% 光子学 5% $LITE 2.5% $AXTI 2.5% $COHR 5% 对冲/现金 5% 对冲(例如 $VIX 或 $QQQ 看跌期权,尤其是现在) 10% 小盘股“登月”标的 2.5% $VPG 2.5% $LPTH 1.5% $VLN 1.5% $AIRO 1% $OSS .5% $DPRO .5% $CPSH 这使用了轻微杠杆,例如 1.25 倍。 额外杠杆(最高 1.5 倍): - 波段交易(例如 $GLXY) 我的投资组合看起来与此大致相似,但包含更多随机名称如 $AEHR 或 欣兴电子,且权重不同。 这是做多半导体 + AI 超级周期,并在加密货币中进行复苏交易。如果(谷歌、Meta、微软)削减支出,这将造成打击,但他们刚刚增加了资本支出。 但这只是展示我如何进行风险管理,全仓押注像 $POET 这样的小盘股是非常危险的。

    英文原文

    Portfolio weightings is my most common question. Here’s what my portfolio looks like: 35% Memory Supercycle _ 10% Samsung Electronics 10% Sk Hynix 10% $MU 5% $SNDK 25% Digital Asset exposure _ 10% $IBIT 5% $COIN 5% $HOOD 2.5% $CRCL 2.5% $SOL 15% Fintech/Advertising 5% $RDDT 5% $ETOR 5% $TTD 15% Datacenter - 10% $NBIS 5% $CRDO 10% Semi _ 5% $INTC 5% $TSM 10% Photonics 5% $LITE 2.5% $AXTI 2.5% $COHR 5% Hedge/Cash 5% Hedge (Eg. $VIX or $QQQ Puts, especially around now) 10% Small Cap Moonshots 2.5% $VPG 2.5% $LPTH 1.5% $VLN 1.5% $AIRO 1% $OSS .5% $DPRO .5% $CPSH This is using slight margin, eg 1.25x. Additional Margin (up to 1.5x): - Swing Trades (eg. $GLXY) My portfolio looks vaguely similar to this, but with more random names like $AEHR or Unimicron and different weightings. This is long semi + AI supercycle, with a recovery trade in Crypto. If (Google, Meta, MSFT) cut spending this would hurt, but they just increased capex spend. But this is just showing how I do risk management, it’s very risky to full send it into micro caps like $POET.

  19. 个股论点 $SNDK

    对比三星与SK海力士,前者更均衡,后者是纯内存标的。

    @ChiefLiquidity 三星优于SK海力士,因为三星的业务更多元化。话虽如此,如果你想要像$SNDK那样的纯内存(Memory)上行收益,SK海力士是最佳选择。

    英文原文

    @ChiefLiquidity Samsung over SK Hynix since they’re a tad more diversified. That being said if you want pure play memory upside like $SNDK then SK Hynix is best

  20. 供应链分析 $GLW$POET$TSM

    对比供应链瓶颈巨头与未获大厂认证的投机性小盘股。

    @B38B37 这些都是供应链上已知的大型瓶颈供应商,如 $TSM 或 $GLW。$POET 是一家市值仅数亿美元的投机性标的,尚未获得超大规模云服务商(Hyperscaler)的资质,因此目前不完全符合该描述。但它属于一种“登月式”(Moonshot)的选股。

    英文原文

    @B38B37 These are all big known bottleneck suppliers on the supply chain $TSM or $GLW. $POET is a few hundred million MC speculative pick without hyperscaler qualification, so they don’t quite fit that description yet. But it is a moonshot type pic

  21. 供应链分析 $NVDA$STM$TSLA$VPG

    马斯克指出Optimus三大瓶颈:智能、手部及制造,暗示美韩主导核心部件。

    $TSLA Optimus 瓶颈 TLDR - Elon Musk 采访: “人形机器人只有三件难事”: 1. 现实世界智能(例如 Dojo,$NVDA,三星机电) 2. 手部(~ 可能是 $VPG) 3. 规模化制造(~ 浙江华正,宁波拓普,Everwin) 关于手部: Elon 声称 $TSLA Optimus 的人手自由度比其他机器人更多。 特斯拉“设计了定制执行器、齿轮、功率电子、控制、传感器。这方面没有供应链。” Elon 在采访中基本上强调手部是机器人最涉及知识产权且最复杂的部分。Elon 重申特斯拉解决了中国其他人形机器人今天尚未解决的问题。 这使得西方制造商参与这一特定 BOM 部分的可能性略微增加(相比此前报道的中国供应链)。 关于现实世界智能方面: Elon 聚焦于:“惯性测量、GPS 信号、其他数据,将其与视频结合,主要是视频,然后输出控制命令” - 训练 ~ Cortex / Dojo 供应商,$NVDA。 - 视频与视觉:三星机电? - IMU + GPS:$STM 或博世? 规模化制造: 正如朝鲜日报报道,身体部分可能来自中国供应链。 从推理来看似乎是: 大脑 + 高端组件 = 美国/韩国 身体是中国(三花,拓普等)。 但再次强调,这并未确认,只是可能的供应链映射。 无论如何,Elon 为投资者指出了人形机器人量产过程中的三个瓶颈投资方向。

    英文原文

    $TSLA Optimus Bottleneck TLDR - Elon Musk Interview: "There's only three hard things for humanoid robots": 1. Real World Intelligence (eg. Dojo, $NVDA, Samsung Electro-Mechanics) 2. The Hand (~ possibly $VPG) 3. Scale Manufacturing ( ~ Zhejiang Huazheng, Ningbo TuoFu, Everwin) For the hand: Elon claimed that $TSLA Optimus has the more degrees of freedom with a human hand than other robotic humanoid. Tesla "designed custom actuators, gears power electronics, controls, sensors. There is no supply chain for this." Elon basically focused on the hand is the most IP-sensitive and complex part of the robot during the interview. Elon reiterated that Tesla solved issues with the hand that no other humanoids in China have today. This makes things slightly more probable that Western manufacturers are involved (compared to Chinese supply chains from earlier reports), with this part of this specific BOM. For the Real World Intelligence Aspect: Elon focused on: "Inertial measurements, GPS signals, other data, combining that with video, primarily video, and then outputting the control commands" - Training ~ Cortex / Dojo suppliers, $NVDA. - Video & Vision: Samsung Electro-Mechanics? - IMUs + GPS: $STM or Bosch? Scale Manufacturing: Likely Chinese supply chains as reported, by Chosun for the body. From inference looks like: Brain + high-end components = US/Korean Body is Chinese (Sanhua, Tupou, etc). But again, this is not confirmed, just possible supply chain mapping. Regardless, Elon gave investors three bottlenecks to invest in for the humanoid ramp.

  22. 杂谈

    博主回应粉丝互动,表示被提及评论感到害羞。

    @beauty_oe 被这样特意挑出我的评论,真是让人害羞呢(笑)

    英文原文

    @beauty_oe そんな風に私のコメントをピックアップされると、照れちゃうよ(笑)

  23. 梳理AI半导体供应链瓶颈,看好存储、光子及台积电,指出中游为定价关键。

    以下是我对 Semivision 瓶颈总结的 TLDR(太长不看版)及其映射到投资框架的内容: HBM(高带宽内存): HBM4 (16Hi) - 三星,SK 海力士,$MU HBF(高带宽闪存)- $SNDK,Kioxia Base Die(基础晶圆)- $TSM,三星(内部) CPO(共封装光学)/光子学: 玻璃基板:$GLW,$INTC,Ibiden 光学:$LITE,$AVGO,$COHR,$MRVL 电力传输: 电压:$MPWR,$VICR 散热:$VRT,$NVT,$MOD 电网:$ETN,$SBGSY SiC/GaN(碳化硅/氮化镓):$ON,$IFNNY 机架:$APH N2 产能: $TSM,$AMD(数据中心先行者),$QLCM,联发科,$NVDA 先进封装: 良率:$CAMT,$ONTO,$KLAC OSATs(外包半导体组装与测试):$AMKR $BESIY,Disco Semivision 的总结: 1. “先进封装产能与良率控制” 2. “HBM 生态系统协调” 3. “电力传输创新(SiC、GaN PMICs、机架级电源架构)” 4. “CPO/光子学集成能力” 5. “数据中心基础设施作为半导体收入实现的‘隐性限制因素’” 正如你可能知道的,我对上述的存储/光子学领域(如 SK 海力士/三星,$SNDK,$MU,$LITE)以及 $TSM 最为看好。 我可能会稍微向上游延伸,比如 $AXTI(磷化铟前驱体),但中游玩家是瓶颈所在,并掌控大部分定价权。 但为了简化普通散户投资者的理解,我添加了相关公司的评论。

    英文原文

    Here's my TLDR + mapped into investment framework from Semivision bottleneck summary: HBM: HBM4 (16Hi) - Samsung, Sk Hynix, $MU HBF - $SNDK, Kioxia Base Die - $TSM, Samsung (internal) CPO/photonics; Glass Substrate: $GLW, $INTC, Ibiden Optical: $LITE, $AVGO, $COHR, $MRVL Power Delivery: Volatage: $MPWR, $VICR Thermal: $VRT, $NVT, $MOD Grid: $ETN, $SBGSY SiC/GaN: $ON, $IFNNY Rack: $APH N2 Volume: $TSM , $AMD (First mover dc), $QLCM, Mediatek, $NVDA Advanced Packaging: Yield: $CAMT, $ONTO, $KLAC OSATs: $AMKR $BESIY, Disco Semivision's summary: 1. "advanced packaging capacity and yield control" 2. "HBM ecosystem coordination" 3. "power delivery innovation (SiC, GaN PMICs, rack-level power architectures)" 4. "CPO/photonics integration capability" 5. "data center infrastructure as a “hidden limiter” to semiconductor revenue realization" As you probably know, I'm probably most bullish on memory/photonics like Sk Hynix/Samsung, $SNDK, $MU, $LITE above. And $TSM. I probably go a bit more upstream like $AXTI for InP precursors, but midstream players are the chokepoint + control most of the pricing. But just added commentary of related companies to topics to make things simpler for the regular retail investor.

  24. 杂谈

    赞赏博主透明度,提醒期权卖方跟单风险,期待其挑战记录。

    @pepemoonboy 喜欢这种透明度! 我认为很多观看并跟单交易期权卖方策略的人可能会把事情搞砸(对你们不利),如果做市商(MMs)接下了交易的另一端。 迫不及待想看到你们公开记录$100k挑战的过程。

    英文原文

    @pepemoonboy Love the transparency! I think a lot of people viewing + copy trading option writing might mess up things up (not in your favor) if MMs take the other end of the trade. Can't wait to see your $100k challenge documented in public.

  25. 杂谈

    博主回应媒体采访请求,表示暂不露脸,仅通过X平台发声。

    @beauty_oe 其实媒体已经来采访请求了(笑)! 因为我是害羞的人,所以还不太想上电视或在现实中露脸……所以我就只在X上发布内容了。 期待有一天能看到你出现在新闻里。

    英文原文

    @beauty_oe 実はもうメディアから取材依頼とか来てるんですけど(笑)! 恥ずかしがり屋なので、まだテレビに出たりリアルで顔出しするのはちょっと…。なのでXでの発信だけにしておきます。 いつの日か、あなたがニュースに出るのを楽しみにしてます

  26. 杂谈

    感谢日本粉丝,强调关注日本AI上游供应链新闻的重要性。

    @beauty_oe 谢谢!你也很棒。多亏了你,我感觉粉丝里有一半都是日本人(笑)。日本拥有大量人工智能供应链的上游企业,所以一定要关注当地的新闻!

    英文原文

    @beauty_oe ありがとう!君も最高だよ。 おかげでフォロワーの半分が日本人になった気がする(笑)。 日本にはAIサプライチェーンの上流がたくさんあるから、現地のニュースは絶対チェックしないとね!

  27. 杂谈

    博主确认原文来源并解释未发外链原因

    @illyquid 是的,这就是原文,谢谢你的引用。我不想因为发布外部链接而被 X 算法限流。

    英文原文

    @illyquid Yes this is the original article thanks for the reference. I didnt want to get shot by X algorithm for posting external links.

  28. 供应链分析 $AMZN$GOOGL

    对比法美AI投入,指出法国资金规模远不及美巨头。

    @ticker_thoughts 我确实关注了。法国2030年3000万欧元的投入,与$GOOGL和$AMZN约3800亿美元的年度资本支出(capex)相比,对法国AI领域的影响肯定微乎其微。他们并没有打破刻板印象。https://t.co/qXdcTRvmVd

    英文原文

    @ticker_thoughts I did. That whole 30M euros for 2030 is definitely going to make a large impact on France’s AI sector compared to $GOOGL and $AMZN ~$380B 1 year capex spend. They’re not really breaking stereotypes here. https://t.co/qXdcTRvmVd

  29. 供应链分析 $COHR$EDP$GEV$PWR

    日本5500亿投资计划聚焦半导体散热、数据中心能源及石油终端。

    一份新发布的报告显示日本正在投资: 5500亿美元(86万亿日元)投入多个领域。 第一轮投资流向以下三个方向: 1. 半导体用合成钻石(AI芯片散热器) - J-TEC Corporation (3446.T) - $COHR - 将钻石衬底引入光学领域(可能是合作伙伴)。他们于2026年1月推出了可键合钻石。Element Six可能扩大钻石晶圆生产 -> $COHR将其键合到AI处理器上。 - EDP (7794.T) - Element Six 是该领域可能的赢家。文中提到了“合成钻石生产厂”,但未点名这些公司。从技术逻辑上看,他们是赢家。 2. 数据中心燃气发电 - SoftBank(明确点名) - GE Vernova $GEV - Quanta Services $PWR - Hitachi (6501.T) 3. 深水石油终端 - EPD $EDP - ENEOS (5020.T) - Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T) 抱歉还没找到文章的英文版本(且翻译工具失效)。 第一阶段为400-450亿美元(约6-7万亿日元)。

    英文原文

    A new release shows Japan is investing: $550B USD (86 Trillion Yen) into several sectors. The first round of investments go into these three: 1. Synthetic Diamonds for Semis (heat sink for AI chips) - J-TEC Corporation (3446.T) - $COHR - diamond substrates into optical (likely partner). They launched bondable diamonds in Jan 2026. Likely Element Six grows Diamondond Wafer -> $COHR bonds it to AI processors. - EDP (7794.T) - Element Six Are the likely winners for this sector. The text mentions a "synthetic diamond production plant," but it does not name these companies. They are the logical technical winners. 2. Gas Power for Data Centers - SoftBank (Explicitly named) - GE Vernova $GEV - Quanta Services $PWR - Hitachi (6501.T) 3. Deepwater Oil Terminals - EPD $EDP - ENEOS (5020.T) - Idemitsu Kosan (5019.T) Sorry couldn't find English version of the article yet (and translation tools were off). Phase 1 is $40–45 Billion (approx. 6–7 Trillion Yen).

  30. 业绩复盘 $MSTR

    调侃对方错过MSTR,指出其他持仓均获10%以上收益。

    @CannyFuturist 哈哈,你错过了 $MSTR。不过其他几只都涨了10%以上 https://t.co/cyjzHqoPJx

    英文原文

    @CannyFuturist lol you missed out on $MSTR. All the others weee 10%+ gains though https://t.co/cyjzHqoPJx