$VIX
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展示含杠杆的AI与加密多头组合,强调风险管理避免全仓小盘股。
组合权重是我被问得最多的问题。 以下是我的投资组合构成: 35% 存储超级周期 _ 10% 三星电子 10% 海力士 10% $MU 5% $SNDK 25% 数字资产敞口 _ 10% $IBIT 5% $COIN 5% $HOOD 2.5% $CRCL 2.5% $SOL 15% 金融科技/广告 5% $RDDT 5% $ETOR 5% $TTD 15% 数据中心 - 10% $NBIS 5% $CRDO 10% 半导体 _ 5% $INTC 5% $TSM 10% 光子学 5% $LITE 2.5% $AXTI 2.5% $COHR 5% 对冲/现金 5% 对冲(例如 $VIX 或 $QQQ 看跌期权,尤其是现在) 10% 小盘股“登月”标的 2.5% $VPG 2.5% $LPTH 1.5% $VLN 1.5% $AIRO 1% $OSS .5% $DPRO .5% $CPSH 这使用了轻微杠杆,例如 1.25 倍。 额外杠杆(最高 1.5 倍): - 波段交易(例如 $GLXY) 我的投资组合看起来与此大致相似,但包含更多随机名称如 $AEHR 或 欣兴电子,且权重不同。 这是做多半导体 + AI 超级周期,并在加密货币中进行复苏交易。如果(谷歌、Meta、微软)削减支出,这将造成打击,但他们刚刚增加了资本支出。 但这只是展示我如何进行风险管理,全仓押注像 $POET 这样的小盘股是非常危险的。
英文原文
Portfolio weightings is my most common question. Here’s what my portfolio looks like: 35% Memory Supercycle _ 10% Samsung Electronics 10% Sk Hynix 10% $MU 5% $SNDK 25% Digital Asset exposure _ 10% $IBIT 5% $COIN 5% $HOOD 2.5% $CRCL 2.5% $SOL 15% Fintech/Advertising 5% $RDDT 5% $ETOR 5% $TTD 15% Datacenter - 10% $NBIS 5% $CRDO 10% Semi _ 5% $INTC 5% $TSM 10% Photonics 5% $LITE 2.5% $AXTI 2.5% $COHR 5% Hedge/Cash 5% Hedge (Eg. $VIX or $QQQ Puts, especially around now) 10% Small Cap Moonshots 2.5% $VPG 2.5% $LPTH 1.5% $VLN 1.5% $AIRO 1% $OSS .5% $DPRO .5% $CPSH This is using slight margin, eg 1.25x. Additional Margin (up to 1.5x): - Swing Trades (eg. $GLXY) My portfolio looks vaguely similar to this, but with more random names like $AEHR or Unimicron and different weightings. This is long semi + AI supercycle, with a recovery trade in Crypto. If (Google, Meta, MSFT) cut spending this would hurt, but they just increased capex spend. But this is just showing how I do risk management, it’s very risky to full send it into micro caps like $POET.
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看好ETOR和VIRT的低估价值,建议作为非对称对冲配置,仓位控制在5%-30%。
我认为 $ETOR 被严重低估,市场将一家持有超10亿美元现金的经纪商定价为33亿美元市值,其复利效应堪比盈透证券(IBKR),这高呼低估。 $VIRT 更多是对冲成长股的工具,但我认为它也被低估了。所以我称之为非对称对冲(asymmetrical hedge),这比购买隐含波动率(IV)更高的 $VIX 要好。 我将对两者进行成本平均法(cost average)建仓,论点未变。不过请查看我关于仓位配置的其他帖子,我不会将任一标的仓位超过组合的5%,但如果信心极高,最多可分配30%。
英文原文
I think $ETOR is incredibly undervalued, market pricing a brokerage holding 1b+ cash at a 3.3B market cap, compounding like IBKR screams undervalued. $VIRT was more of a hedge against growth stocks but I think it's undervalued. So I said asymmetrical hedge which was good instead of buying $VIX with higher IV. I'll cost average both, thesis hasn't changed. Do look at my other posts around positioning though, I wouldn't give more than 5% of my portfolio to either but if there's high conviction maybe up to 30% allocation.