业绩复盘
收益回顾、持仓表现、对错总结 · 共 487 条 · 滚到底自动加载更多
-
提到机器人板块上周五普遍上涨。
回复 @dessa27092001：我很惊讶整个机器人行业上周五都涨了好几个百分点！ 有篇新浪财经文章说，很多 ETF 上涨了3%到5.4%。
英文原文
@dessa27092001 I'm surprised the entire robotics industry rose multiple percent last Friday! Some article called Sina Money said a lot of ETFs went up 3%-5.4%. https://t.co/cPJeUsEDok
-
公布曝光收益并称将捐给救助机构。
如果你好奇的话： 1.07894491亿次（1亿+）曝光，收入4649美元！ 所有这些钱都会捐给犬只救助，之后会做大额捐赠！ 大约是每救助一只狗600美元，所以它会随着 Serenity 粉丝数量按比例扩大！ 我也相信要把我从 $SIVE 到 $AAOI 上赚到的所有利润……
英文原文
If you’re curious: $4649 for 107,894,491 (100M+) impressions! All of this is going to dog rescues, will be doing large donations later! It’s ~$600 / dog rescued, so it scales proportionally with Serenity fan count! I also believe in making all my profits off $SIVE to $AAOI https://t.co/MqFWfvTCgH
-
称绿的谐波研究引发中国媒体关注和涨停。
显然我现在到处都出现在中国新闻里了？ 我刚发布了一些关于绿的谐波(688017)及其在人形机器人供应链中作用的研究。 看起来中国机器人股票板块上涨了，688017 还触及20%涨停？ 感谢他们称我为“海外股神”。
英文原文
Apparently I’m all over Chinese news now? I just published some research on LeaderDrive (688017) and their role in humanoid supply chains. Looks like China’s robotics stock sector went up and 688017 hit 20% limit up? I appreciate they called me “Overseas God”. https://t.co/mdASEvmsj0
-
点评市场回调中高beta科技股大跌与媒体叙事。
市场回调真有意思。 龙头从 $NVDA 下跌4.87%，到 $MU 下跌7.03%。像 $PL 这样的高 beta 名字下跌22.02%。 看到媒体总是试图这样解释很有趣： “博通给芯片股蒙上阴影，美光遭遇创纪录市值蒸发。” 博通预计……
英文原文
Fun times with market corrections. Leaders from $NVDA down -4.87% to $MU down -7.03%. High beta names like $PL down -22.02%. Funny to see media always trying to explain like: "Micron suffers record wipeout as Broadcom casts a shadow over chip stocks " Broadcom projected https://t.co/D1cE7sjKBs
-
称相关对冲基金创始合伙人离职或与SIVE上涨有关。
回复 @Ailisatlx @zGwmby：“Eric Andersson 选择在5月结束雇佣关系。” 那家对冲基金的创始联席经理离职，很可能是一个重大信号，说明他们的公司因为 $SIVE 上涨而快撑不住了。
英文原文
@Ailisatlx @zGwmby "Eric Andersson chose to end his employment during the month of May." The founding co-manager of that hedge fund quitting is probably a big sign their firms is going under from $SIVE going up.
-
称某机构因SIVE年内亏损31%。
回复 @zGwmby：照这个速度，他们公司因为 $SIVE 年初至今亏损31.02%，快要撑不住了。
英文原文
@zGwmby At this rate their firm is going under being YTD -31.02% from $SIVE. https://t.co/oqh6g6fWjj
-
称质疑者在SOI/RPI/SIVE上反复被打脸。
回复 @Frenchie_：他们在 $SOI、$RPI 和 $SIVE 等所有事情上都一直和我争。 然后一次又一次尴尬。不知道他们会不会学会。
英文原文
@Frenchie_ They keep fighting with me with everything from $SOI, $RPI, and $SIVE. Then get embarrassed over and over. Idk if they’re going to learn
-
复盘RPI从论点发布后上涨247%。
$RPI：从283美元到983美元，自我发布论点以来上涨247%。 引用：强劲的 AI 相关需求预计将使核心利润“显著高于”市场预期。 结果欧洲媒体2月最喜欢称为“没有基本面的迷因股”的东西，实际上背后是……
英文原文
$RPI: $283 -> $983, up 247% from my thesis post. Quote: Strong AI-related demand was expected to result in core profit "significantly ahead" of market expectations. Turns out European Media’s favorite “memestock” with “no fundamentals” back in Feb. Was actually was backed by https://t.co/5dCCgWTDDp
-
称瑞典Origo基金因做空SIVE大亏。
看到一条关于新瑞典对冲基金的新闻很有趣： Origo 的基金因为做空 $SIVE 损失惨重。 “这是今年最大的亏损之一。” 许多这类瑞典对冲基金现在都已经深度亏损。 这只是 $SIVE 成为……核心部分的一个意外副产品。
英文原文
Found this news funny about a new Swedish Hedge fund: Origo’s fund has lost substantial money shorting $SIVE. “The loss is one of the biggest this year" Many of these Swedish hedge funds are now heavily underwater. Just as an accidental byproduct of $SIVE being a core part of https://t.co/gD1vMQvQV5
-
解释X收入扣除费用后可能更少，主要看重验证意义。
回复 @XtineFang：如果你好奇的话，最终金额大概率会少很多！ 可能会有信用卡支付的固定交易费、全球货币的随机费用、App Store 费用、X 的费用。谁知道呢，因为没有透明度。 不过对我来说，更重要的是这个数字本身带来的验证。
英文原文
@XtineFang It’s probably going to end up a lot less if you’re curious! There’s likely flat TX fees from card payments. Random fees for global currencies, App Store fees. X fees. Who knows, since no transparency. More about the number count for me for validation though. https://t.co/cKXxNGXzJ8
-
称自己超过马斯克成为X订阅最多账号。
我现在是整个 X 平台订阅人数第1的账号了！ 今天超过了埃隆·马斯克。 感谢大家帮助我实现目标。
英文原文
I now am the #1 most subscribed to account on the entire X platform! After overtaking Elon Musk today. Thank you everyone for helping me achieve my goal. https://t.co/XLjy4ZsZyD
-
注意到XFAB突然上涨并准备查会议记录。
回复 @KayEffGeee：$XFAB 突然涨了7%，我想知道那里是否有提到它。我现在去看会议记录。
英文原文
@KayEffGeee $XFAB suddenly rose 7%, I wonder if there was any mention there. I'll go through transcripts now.
-
称距离超过马斯克成为X订阅最多账号只差1000人。
哇，只差1000名订阅者我就超过埃隆·马斯克了！ 我现在是4.6万，马斯克是4.7万。 然后我就会成为整个 X 平台订阅人数第一的人？ 真有趣的时间线。
英文原文
Wow, only 1K more subscribers until I overtake Elon Musk! Right now I’m at 46K. Elon is at 47K. Then I’ll hold the crown of the #1 most subscribed to person on the entire X platform? What a fun timeline. https://t.co/sG5xJe9bMY
-
称NBIS在暴跌后表现不错。
回复 @EestiRadar：很高兴 $NBIS 最终表现不错，业绩大超预期后那段回撤确实很残酷。
英文原文
@EestiRadar Glad $NBIS turned out well, that drawdown after blowout earnings was pretty brutal.
-
复盘NBIS作为最高信念Neocloud选择从84涨到260。
看到我最高信念的 Neocloud 选择 $NBIS 走得很好，很有意思。 去年我写了一篇关于 Neocloud 行业将成为重大主题的论点。 然后选出了王者。 -> Nebius 在整个行业里排名第一，从 $IREN 到 $CRWV 都不如它。 84美元 -> 260美元。 论点被市场验证。
英文原文
Fun to see my highest conviction Neocloud pick in $NBIS age well. I wrote a thesis last year on the Neocloud sector becoming a major theme. And then picked the King. -> Nebius is #1 out of the entire sector from $IREN to $CRWV. $84 -> $260. Thesis validated by markets. https://t.co/RGOt3GSNjW
-
称早已完成存储DD，EWY多头上涨480%验证论点。
回复 @LLTHTRS：我今年早些时候已经完成了所有关于存储的尽调。 我现在只是让自己的论点被验证，就像我的 $EWY 多头已经上涨480%一样。
英文原文
@LLTHTRS I did all my DD on memory earlier this year. I’m just letting my thesis get validated like my $EWY longs which are up 480%.
-
称两年上涨6倍。
回复 @YCL9331：两年6倍。
英文原文
@YCL9331 6x in 2 years
-
台湾CPO多头开始上涨，顺欣/Foci/精材均涨10%。
来了。 我在台湾的 CPO 多头今天终于开始起飞。 Shunsin +10% Foci +10% Xintec +10% 现在就等 Win Semi、Msscorp 和 Nextronics 跟上。
英文原文
There we go. My CPO longs in Taiwan are finally starting to take off today. Shunsin +10% Foci +10% Xintec +10% Just waiting on Win Semi, Msscorp, and Nextronics to catch up. https://t.co/9Afaux4B2H
-
AEHR市值约35亿美元，等待LPK等玩家批量订单。
$AEHR 的好日子来了，现在市值约35亿美元。 我最近没怎么提它，因为没有太多新东西。 只是等待 $LPK 以及其他这类玩家的批量订单。
英文原文
Good times with $AEHR, it’s now ~$3.5B MC. Haven’t mentioned it as much since there’s nothing too new. Just waiting on volume orders for these types of players like $LPK, and others. https://t.co/W8k0ce3RSE
-
反思应更信任黄仁勋对MRVL的万亿美元评价。
好吧，经历 $NBIS 后，我确实应该更相信 Jensen 对 $MRVL 的判断。 这次他实际上给 Marvell 了1万亿美元目标。 Marvell 因一句话上涨35%。
英文原文
Okay yeah should have trusted Jensen more on $MRVL after what he did with $NBIS. He actually gave a $1T price target this time with Marvell. Marvell up 35% with one remark… https://t.co/Evv6QF8oMO
-
称SOI上涨约250%，并惊讶XFAB估值偏低。
回复 @StocksAREnuts：是的，我在 $SOI 上大概涨了250%，我很惊讶市场错过了那个机会。 考虑到 $XFAB 看起来正在引领欧洲光子学供应链发展，我也对它的估值相当惊讶。
英文原文
@StocksAREnuts Yeah I’m up like 250% on $SOI, I’m surprised markets missed the at one… Also quite surprised about $XFAB valuations given they seem to be leading Europe’s photonics supply chain development…
-
称面对恶评最好的回应是让论点成功。
回复 @softmaxedx：谢谢！你这么说真的很好。 是的，哪怕在8瑞典克朗时我也收到过很多刻薄评论，但让他们看起来可笑的最好方式，就是让你的论点取得成功。
英文原文
@softmaxedx Thanks! Really nice of you to say. Yeah I’ve gotten a lot of mean comments even back at 8 SEK but best way to make them look silly is just having success with your thesis.
-
马克龙宣布NBIS投资80亿欧元建设法国AI云基础设施。
马克龙宣布 $NBIS 投资80亿欧元，在法国建设 AI 云基础设施。 我最喜欢的评论是： “水怎么办？”
英文原文
Macron announces that $NBIS invests €8B to build out AI Cloud Infrastructure in France. This was my favorite comment: “What about the Water” https://t.co/nlTb37BgE3
-
称ARM大盘股三倍收益但遗憾没用期权。
回复 @ThanksTesla：恭喜。是啊……我应该做期权。 不过事后看，我大概还是会只买股票。 像 $ARM 这种大盘股不开杠杆拿到3倍，感觉还是有点难受。
英文原文
@ThanksTesla congrats. yeah... i should have done options. In hindsight, probably would have done shares only again though. just feels bad to get a 3x on a large-cap like $ARM on no leverage.
-
称SOI即使当天跌17%，相对44欧元成本仍表现不错。
回复 @JeremieHello：我真不知道 $SOI 有期权。 不过即使今天跌了17%，从44欧元以来仍然表现相当不错。
英文原文
@JeremieHello I genuinely didnt know $SOI had options. But even with the 17% drop today, still doing pretty well since $44 EUR. https://t.co/QQ8Mc7XvWm
-
复盘ARM两个月半从134涨到413，遗憾没买期权。
$ARM 简直离谱。 2个半月内从134美元直奔413美元。 早知道应该买期权，那就不是只有3倍，而是上涨几千个百分点。
英文原文
$ARM is just ridiculous. $134 straight to $413 in just 2 1/2 months. Should have went options, would have been up thousands of percent instead of only 3x. https://t.co/tF335Qp656
-
调侃NBIS有剧情护甲。
天啊，$NBIS 的剧情护甲确认了。
英文原文
Holy sht, plot armor confirmed with $NBIS https://t.co/1QwwKSRxSt
-
EWY LEAPS几个月后上涨485%，来自隐含波动率扩张和存储多头。
几个月后……我的 $EWY LEAPS 现在上涨485%。 来自隐含波动率扩张和方向性的存储多头。 不幸的是，我确实看到很多人在伊朗波动期间卖出，因为 X 上到处都在散布末日论。 但从三星、SK……做多存储行业的回报……
英文原文
And a few months later... my $EWY leaps are now up 485%. From IV expansion and directional memory longs. Unfortunately I did see a lot of people sell during the Iran volatility, due to doomposting everywhere on X. But returns going long on the memory sector from Samsing SK https://t.co/WC7GD5RWka
-
IQE从12-13涨到54，但其他欧洲光子股波动较大。
特别感谢今天唯一上涨的欧洲股票：$IQE。 从我4个月前在12-13美元做多以来，它涨到54美元。 可惜其他几个从 $LPK、$SOI、$XFAB 到 $ALRIB 的名字波动都很大。
英文原文
A special thank you to the only European stock green today: $IQE. Up to $54, from when I went long at $12-13, 4 months ago. Unfortunately lot of volatility with the other ones from $LPK, $SOI, $XFAB, and $ALRIB. https://t.co/FysZyHk5OK
-
复盘NBIS跑赢Neocloud篮子，接近1000亿市值预测。
$NBIS 有动漫剧情护甲！ 很高兴听说 Weebius 跑赢了市场和 Neocloud 篮子（$IREN / $CIFR）。 去年 MSFT 财报后，我在 Nebius 第四季度财报后给过一个预测：Nebius 会达到1000亿美元市值。 我们现在坐在600亿美元市值，越来越近了！
英文原文
$NBIS has anime plot armor! Happy to hear Weebius has been outperforming the market and Neocloud basket ( $IREN / $CIFR ). Last year post MSFT earnings, I gave a prediction after Q4 earnings, Nebius would reach a $100B MC. We’re currently sitting at $60B MC, getting close! https://t.co/e96TirkJT8