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  1. 方法论

    推荐Fintel和纳斯达克机构持仓数据源

    @beauty_oe @babyfolio Fintel 和纳斯达克机构持仓板块(Nasdaq institutional holdings section)

    英文原文

    @beauty_oe @babyfolio Fintel and Nasdaq institutional holdings section

  2. 杂谈

    转发推文并提及两位博主,无具体观点。

    @midlevelcruiser @DivesTech https://t.co/nfZlHHRpoE

    英文原文

    @midlevelcruiser @DivesTech https://t.co/nfZlHHRpoE

  3. 个股论点 $ALAB$IREN

    AI股短期暴跌,但基本面改善令长期看涨。

    @DivesTech “迷你恐慌”。更像是全线个股的崩盘,例如 $IREN 暴跌 38%,$ALAB 本周重挫 20.30%。但正如你所说,由于基本面改善,我对长期走势依然看涨。https://t.co/KGU5qa0wf4

    英文原文

    @DivesTech "Mini Panic". More like crash in names across the board with stocks like $IREN crashing 38% to $ALAB tanking 20.30% this week. But as you said I'm bullish too longer term due to improving fundamentals. https://t.co/KGU5qa0wf4

  4. 杂谈

    要求AI结合上下文回答问题。

    @VG3024 @grok 请结合帖子的上下文回答上述问题。

    英文原文

    @VG3024 @grok answer the question above in the context of the post

  5. 个股论点 $NBIS

    机构逢低吸纳NBIS,散户因恐慌抛售。

    @babyfolio 实际上,使用其他一些数据集,这一比例是 46.3%。 是的,机构正在从 $NBIS 的散户手中逢低吸纳。不过并非所有人都关注 X 平台,因此在那之外,可能有很多不了解其基本面和远期增长的群体正在恐慌性抛售。

    英文原文

    @babyfolio Oh it’s actually 46.3% with some other datasets. Yeah institutions are just accumulating from $NBIS retail with drops like this. Not everyone is on X though so there’s probably a lot of panic selling outside from groups that don’t understand their fundamentals and forward growth https://t.co/2sRhYsKZ5Q

  6. 方法论 $CIFR$CORZ

    13F多为噪音,短期下跌属宏观无差别抛售。

    不,13F 文件(13F filings)很多时候只是噪音,除非是伯克希尔(Berkshire)在买入。而这些评分只是判断某只股票是否适合长期持有(例如:是否有大量长期被动基金投资者做多该股票)这一多维方法中的一个小信号。 短期内,像 $CIFR 或 $CORZ 这样的下跌是宏观因素导致的,因此这是全市场的无差别抛售。

    英文原文

    No, 13F filings a lot of time is just noise unless you have Berkshire buying in. And these scores are just one small signal of a multifaceted way to determine if something is a good long (eg. Do you have lots of long-passive fund investors going long on a stock) Short term on stuff like $CIFR or $CORZ drops were macro, so it’s an indiscriminate selloff across the board.

  7. 高贝塔AI股因宏观恐慌错杀,基本面强劲者终将迎来价值回归。

    我们正目睹高贝塔值AI股票板块的崩盘,部分个股在1个月内下跌30-45%+,今日再跌10%+。 这包括直接受益于“七巨头”资本支出的公司: - Nebius ($NBIS):$META 30亿美元交易 / 80亿美元远期年度经常性收入(Forward ARR)。 - TeraWulf ($WULF):Anthropic数据中心(<500亿美元) + 与$GOOGL的合资光纤网络(FS)。 - Iren ($IREN):$MSFT 90亿美元高性能计算(HPC)。 - Cipher ($CIFR):与$AMZN签署15年55亿美元合同。 这些公司在过去一个月里改善了基本面。 但市场仍在恐慌性抛售从$CRDO (-10.33% 1D)到$CIFR (-7.28% 1D)的股票,尽管它们拥有创纪录的远期收入增长。 这主要是由宏观担忧(政府停摆、12月降息、公司债利差等)和虚假(但微妙)的机构观点(如Burry关于GPU折旧的说法)驱动的,而非基于个股基本面。 这清洗了AI投机性板块(如能源股$OKLO,1个月跌37%)中的泡沫,但高利润率的增长型股票也受牵连。 我之前说过,这让我想起$HOOD从$65跌至$28后反弹至$150,或$ALAB在所有财报超预期后从$100跌至$50再反弹至$245。 当市场充满恐惧,尤其是像现在这样的“AI泡沫”恐慌时,股价有时会与基本面脱节。 但当远期增长能支撑市值预期时,这只是时间和执行力的问题。

    英文原文

    We're seeing a sector crash in high-beta AI stocks, with names down 30-45%+ in 1M & 10%+ today. This includes direct beneficiaries of Mag7 Capex : - Nebius ( $NBIS ): $3B $META deal / $8B forward ARR. - TeraWulf ( $WULF ): <$50B Antrophic DC + JV FS/ $GOOGL - Iren ( $IREN ): $9B $MSFT HPC - Cipher ( $CIFR ): 15Y $5.5 billion w/ $AMZN. that improved their fundamentals in this past month alone. But markets are still panic selling names from $CRDO (-10.33% 1D) to $CIFR (-7.28% 1D) despite record forward revenue growth. This is driven over fears from macro (shutdown, Dec rate cut, corporate bond spreads, etc) and false (but nuanced) institutional claims eg. Burry on GPU depreciation, rather than individual fundamentals. This wipes away froth from the speculative parts of the AI sector such as $OKLO (energy, -37% 1M), but higher-margin growth names get caught together with it. I've said this before, but this reminds me of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a rally to $150. Or when $ALAB sold off from $100 to $50 off all earnings beats, then rallied to $245. Sometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets, especially with “AI bubble” fears like what's happening now. But when the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.

  8. 业绩复盘 $META$NBIS

    作者调整META期权策略摊低成本,预期其将如NBIS般恢复。

    @Neat_Lama 是的,感觉好多了。$META 的超卖走势出乎意料,但我预计它会在1月恢复。 我将期权从1月轮换至3月/4月到期,并摊低成本至约$640。目前仍大幅亏损,但我预计它会像 $NBIS 一样恢复。

    英文原文

    @Neat_Lama Yeah feeling better. $META extended selloff was unexpected but I expect it to recover by Jan. I rotated Jan into March/April expiration and averaged down to $640-ish. Still down a lot but I expect it to recover like $NBIS.

  9. 供应链分析 $GOOGL$NBIS$NVDA$ORCL

    反驳 Burry 观点,指出旧款 GPU/TPU 仍高利用率且具残值。

    关于 $ORCL、$NBIS 及其他新云厂商 GPU 折旧论点的简要总结: Burry 的一般主张:处于 2-3 年产品周期的芯片资本支出(Capex)不应导致有用寿命的延长。 这一观点错误但具有细微差别: -> 以 $GOOGL 为例,其 7 年前的张量处理单元(TPU) 仍以 100% 利用率运行。 “谷歌称 TPU 需求超过供应,声称 8 年前的硬件迭代‘利用率达 100%’”——数据中心动态 -> 以 $NVDA 为例,A100(PCIe 和 SXM4 变体)仍在运行。它们于 2020 年发布,现在是 2025 年。旧型号保持价值并仍能带来收益。 它们具有残值,5 年后仍能高价转售。他在货架寿命上错了,但在某些超大规模云服务商如何拉伸利用率概念以证明激进资本支出合理性方面,他可能是对的。

    英文原文

    Just a TLDR on the GPU depreciation argument for $ORCL, $NBIS and other neoclouds, Burry's general claim: capex of chips on a 2-3 yr product cycle should not result in the extension of useful lives. This is incorrect but nuanced: -> in $GOOGL's case, their TPUs from 7 years ago are still run at 100% utilization. " Google says TPU demand is outstripping supply, claims 8yr old hardware iterations have “100% utilization” -Data Center Dynamics -> in $NVDA's case A100 (PCIe and SXM4 variants), are still in operation. They were launched in 2020. It's 2025 now. Older models keep their value and still deliver equity. They have residual value and still re-sale for a lot 5 years later. He's wrong on shelf-life, but might be correct in how some hyperscalers stretch the idea of utilization to justify aggressive capex.

  10. 个股论点 $META$NBIS

    NBIS因市场过度反应大跌,机构报告对其商业模式构成压力测试。

    确实,这会影响市场情绪,甚至导致过度反应,正如我们目前在 $NBIS 身上看到的(例如:年化经常性收入(ARR)超预期200%+,与 $META 的意外交易,却下跌20%+)。但像摩根大通(JPM)或伯瑞(Burry)这类机构报告,确实在根本上对商业模式进行了压力测试,例如更高的借贷成本和更严格的贷款条件。

    英文原文

    Well it does impact market sentiment to the point of overreaction, which we're seeing with $NBIS right now. (eg. beats ARR estimates by 200%+, surprise $META deal, down 20%+) But those types of institutional reports from JPM or Burry does fundamentally stress test business models a bit eg. higher borrowing costs and stricter loans.

  11. 个股论点 $CIFR$CRWV$NBIS$WULF

    AI板块遭无差别抛售,基本面改善的个股如NBIS现买入机会。

    这是多种因素的混合影响: - 对高贝塔值(High-Beta) + AI 股票的无差别抛售 - 政府停摆延长 - 12 月降息概率 - 因折旧会计处理增加的做空头寸 一些像 $NBIS 这样的股票尽管创下历史新高盈利且基本面积极,仍受板块抛售影响。 另一些像 $CRWV 的股票因延迟导致远期盈利不及预期,其短期表现更易于理解。 总体而言,来自像 $CIFR(与 AWS 合作)和 $WULF(与 Anthropic 合作,今日宣布 500 亿美元建设计划)等 Neoclouds 公司的财报(ER)和更新非常积极。 如果像 NEbius 这样的股票在基本面改善的情况下被抛售,那就是买入机会。

    英文原文

    It's a mix of: - indiscriminate selling of high-beta + AI stocks - government shutdown extensions - rate cut December odds - increased shorts from depreciation accounting Some like $NBIS were affected by sector selloff despite record high earnings and positives to fundamentals. Others like $CRWV were more understandable near term from forward earnings miss from delays. Generally ER and updates were very positive from Neoclouds like $CIFR with AWS and $WULF with Antrophic's $50B buildout today. If stocks like NEbius get sold off despite improving fundamentals, it's a buying opportunity.

  12. 成长股因宏观利空广泛抛售,$PYPL 作为价值股相对独立。

    这是成长型/高贝塔股的广泛抛售。$PYPL 是一只价值投资类型的股票。例如: 1个月: $CRCL -36.04% $ALAB -21.4% $HIMS -28.34% $RKLB -23.07% $SMCI -30.77% $SG -27.9% $ETH -19.03% $BTC -11.86% _ 新云/矿企 1周: $CIFR -27.64% $IREN -26.7% $BITF -22.9% $CLSK -20.89% $NBIS -20.23% $WULF -15.09% 这不仅仅是单只股票的问题。这是在鲍威尔关于12月降息+政府长期停摆的言论之后发生的。

    英文原文

    It's a broader sell-off on growth/higher beta. $PYPL is a value investing type stock. eg: 1 Month: $CRCL -36.04% $ALAB -21.4% $HIMS -28.34% $RKLB -23.07% $SMCI -30.77% $SG -27.9% $ETH -19.03% $BTC -11.86% _ Neoclouds/Miners 1 Week: $CIFR -27.64% $IREN -26.7% $BITF -22.9% $CLSK -20.89% $NBIS -20.23% $WULF -15.09% It's not just a single stock. This was after Powell's comments about Dec rate cut + extended gov shutdown.

  13. 个股论点 $HOOD$NBIS

    类比HOOD反弹,认为NBIS下跌源于恐慌,基本面仍支撑市值。

    我刚刚想起 $HOOD 从 $65 跌至 $28,随后上演了一波撕裂面孔的反弹至 $150 的情景。当市场充满恐惧时,股价有时会脱离基本面。$NBIS 因“AI 泡沫”担忧而在更广泛的抛售中受累,正是如此。然而,前瞻性增长支撑了任何市值预测,这只是时间和执行力的问题。

    英文原文

    I just got reminded of the time $HOOD sold off to $28 from $65 then pulled off a face ripping rally to $150. Sometimes stock prices get detached from fundamentals when there’s fear in the markets. This is happening with $NBIS when it gets caught in broader selloffs because of “AI bubble” fears. Yet the forward growth backs up any market cap projections, it’s just a matter of time and execution.

  14. 个股论点 $NBIS

    建议用杠杆博取NBIS反弹,认为其230亿市值严重低估。

    @Wutarded 如果我想在这样规模的组合中承担更多风险,我会使用保证金或LEAPS(长期股权预期权)来增加杠杆。 我很确定$90-93是底部,对于$NBIS日益增长的基本面来说,230亿美元的市场规模简直是有罪(被严重低估)。

    英文原文

    @Wutarded I’d do margin/leaps here for more leverage if I wanted to take on more risk with that portfolio size. Pretty sure $90-93 is bottom, $23B market cap for the growing fundamentals of $NBIS is just criminal at this point.

  15. 杂谈

    博主更正财务指标笔误并采纳粉丝建议。

    @LouLoubso 哎呀,是 EBIT*,你说得对。

    英文原文

    @LouLoubourso Whoops EBIT* you’re right

  16. 业绩复盘 $CIFR$CORZ$IREN$NBIS$SMCI

    卖出低贝塔股,重仓超卖的新云板块及多只AI相关个股。

    @soulbiri1 现在对 $NBIS 的敞口超过 200 万美元,在低于 96 美元时大幅加仓。在 53.8 美元重新买入 $IREN,17.3 美元买入 $CIFR,并首次建仓 $CORZ - 16.3 美元,$SMCI - 38 美元的中期头寸。整个板块被极度超卖,简直可笑。今天卖出了我的低贝塔(Low-Beta)股票,以便重仓回归新云(Neoclouds)领域。

    英文原文

    @soulbiri1 $2M+ in $NBIS exposure now, added super heavily at &lt;$96. Rebought $IREN at $53.8, $CIFR at $17.3 and initiating $CORZ - $16.3, $SMCI - $38 mid term positions. The whole sector is hilariously oversold. Sold off my low-beta stocks today to position heavily back into Neoclouds.

  17. 个股论点 $META$MSFT$NBIS

    重申 $NBIS 核心业务与高增长逻辑,呼吁投资者在市场回调中保持信念。

    如果在这次市场回调中你有一丝怀疑。 请记住这一点: $NBIS 是一家市值 240 亿美元的公司,远期年度经常性收入 (ARR) 为 80 亿美元,目标 EBITDA 利润率 30%。 Nebius 的核心业务为从 $MSFT 到 $META 的 Mag7 超大规模云服务商、从 Shopify 到 Cursor 再到埃森哲的企业,以及政府人工智能基础设施提供动力。 他们拥有 100 亿美元以上的净资产价值 (NAV),其超增长投资组合公司赋能了 Cloudflare、Tiktok、Tesla、Netflix 和 Anthropic。 当然,Nebius 同比增长 700%+,这在从季度收入 1.25 亿美元到仅 1 年内达到 20 亿美元+的过程中几乎闻所未闻。 这家公司处于整个人工智能建设浪潮的中心,股价为 $93,有望成为下一家市值 1000 亿美元+的公司。 不要让广泛的抛售影响你的信念。

    英文原文

    If you have any iota of doubt during this market correction. Remember this: $NBIS is a $24B MC company doing $8B forward ARR, targeting 30% EBITDA margins. Nebius core business powers Mag7 Hyperscalers from $MSFT to $META, enterprises from Shopify to Cursor to Accenture, and Government AI Infrastructure. They have $10B+ NAV with hyper-growth portfolio companies powering Cloudflare, Tiktok, Tesla, Netflix and Antrophic. And of course, Nebius is growing 700%+ Y/Y, which is almost unheard of going from $125M quarterly revenue to $2B+ in just 1 year. This company is the at the Center of the whole Artificial Intelligence buildout at $93, and is set to be the next $100B+ company. Do not let broad sell-offs affect your conviction.

  18. 业绩复盘 $NBIS

    博主表示乐意继续持有NBIS的套牢仓位。

    @dubiousnoob @Mitchelldzll @455BAG 我很乐意继续持有 $NBIS 的套牢仓位。 https://t.co/AX2GN6tA5F

    英文原文

    @dubiousnoob @Mitchelldzll @455BAG Im happy bagholding $NBIS https://t.co/AX2GN6tA5F

  19. 个股论点 $NBIS

    反驳死扛泡沫论,强调$NBIS基本面强劲且估值合理。

    @Mitchelldzll @455BAG 在美联储收紧货币时持有市值200亿美元但零收入的量子计算公司,这才是“死扛泡沫破裂”(Bag holding a bubble burst)。 而不是持有像 $NBIS 这样年营收增长700%+、年经常性收入(ARR)达80亿美元、EBITDA利润率20-30%、持有约60亿美元以上净资产(NAV)资产(这些资产来自为Meta和Anthropic提供动力的公司)、市值240亿美元的公司。

    英文原文

    @Mitchelldzll @455BAG Bag holding a bubble burst is when you hold $20B mc 0 revenue quantum companies under Fed tightening. Not a company ( $NBIS ) growing 700%+ Y/Y doing $8 Billion ARR, 20-30% EBITDA margins, holding ~$6B+ in NAV assets from companies powering Meta and Antrophic, valued at $24B

  20. 个股论点 $CRWV$NBIS

    NBIS业绩超预期且基本面与股价脱节,作者今日重仓买入并看好其超越CRWV。

    $NBIS 超出预期,我没看到任何分析师模型预测 $70-90 亿 ARR(年度经常性收入),这简直是令人咋舌的增长(同比增长 700%+)。 目前市场出现无差别抛售,但: - 政府停摆可能今天结束 - $NBIS 将于 11 月 24 日因纳入指数带来资金流入 - 12 月圣诞行情 - 12 月前有 70% 的概率降息 供参考:最看多的分析师预计 ARR 约为 30 亿,而 Nebius 指引是该数字的 2.5 倍。目前基本面与股价脱节,我个人今天已重仓买入。 我认为 Nebius 将在下一个增长/复苏周期中超越 $CRWV。

    英文原文

    $NBIS exceeded expectations, I haven't seen any analyst model $7-9B ARR, which is just mind blowing growth (700%+ Y/Y). Indiscriminate selloff right now but: - Gov shutdown likely ending today - $NBIS inflow from index inclusion 24th Nov - Santa rally Dec -70% rate cut into Dec FYI the most bullish analysts were projecting ~3B ARR, and Nebius guided 2.5 times that. Fundamentals are detached from stock price right now and I personally loaded up today. I see Nebius will leapfrogging $CRWV in the next growth/recovery cycle.

  21. 个股论点 $CRWV$IREN$NBIS

    Northland上调目标价,NBIS业绩超预期,作者逢低加仓。

    Northland 刚刚将其目标价(PT)上调至 $211(跑赢大盘),但这 $6 的涨幅可能只是随机波动。正如你所说,我们两人都在建模约 $50-70 亿 ARR,而 $NBIS 刚刚凭借强劲的财报表现,将指引提升至 $70-90 亿。不幸的是,从 $CRWV 到 $IREN 的板块性抛售正在发生,但基本面与股价已脱节,本周跌幅达 20%。我利用这次机会在 $96 加仓。一家年增长率超过 700% 的企业显然定价错误,主要受宏观恐慌和板块回调影响。

    英文原文

    Northland ended up increasing their PT to $211 (Outperform) just now, but the $6 increase is likely just a random bump. As you mentioned, we both were modelling ~$5-7B ARR, and $NBIS just strongly blew out numbers with their earnings to a guided $7-9B figure. Unfortunately there's a sector short/sell-off from $CRWV to $IREN but fundamentals are detached from stock price right now with the 20% selloff this week. I ended up using this time to increase my position at $96. A business growing from 700%+ Y/Y is definitely not being priced correctly and largely off of fear from broader macro and sector correction.

  22. 个股论点 $META$MSFT$NBIS

    基于Nebius最新财报数据,机械重算其估值模型,得出355美元新目标价。

    Northland 早在9月就基于2026财年20-40亿美元年经常性收入(ARR)的假设,给出了$NBIS 205美元的目标价。 沿用其相同的经济模型,我们现在得出的1年目标价为: 约355.00美元/股(+248.04%) 这是基于Nebius财报中70-90亿美元ARR预测得出的。 以下是更新后的指标: Northland Capital Markets 2025年9月24日的报告,其2026财年情景假设: ARR:上调至20-40亿美元 营收:23亿美元 调整后EBITDA:9.07亿美元 核心AIaaS业务的EV/销售倍数:23.8倍 流通股:约2.9亿股 每股股权价值:205美元目标价 Nebius新基本面(2025年Q3发布): 2026财年ARR ≈ 80亿美元(中位数),营收 ≈ 46亿美元,以及按比例缩放的EBITDA(约18亿美元)。 保持其EV/销售倍数 ≈ 23.8倍,新核心企业价值 ≈ 46亿美元 × 23.8 = 1090亿美元。加上子公司(Northland分部估值法合计约70亿美元)和净现金(约7亿美元)-> 总股权 ≈ 1170亿美元 → 约355美元目标价 这是一种机械外推,假设其分析中的估值倍数不变,并非分析师可能因稀释/执行风险等而调整的目标价。 分析师从20亿美元估计到管理层最新指引中位数80亿美元的2-3倍ARR增长,机械性地推高了估值 更新后的目标价是基于重新运行的DCF模型得出的。

    英文原文

    Northland announced a $NBIS $205 price target off the assumption of $2-4B ARR for CY2026 back in September. From their same economics used, we would now get an 1Y PT: ~$355.00/share (+248.04%) off Nebius's earnings report with $7-9B ARR projected Here's the updated metrics: Northland Capital Markets 09/24/2025 report, their CY2026 scenario assumed: ARR: raised from $2-4B Revenue: $2.3B Adjusted EBITDA: $907M EV/Sales multiple: 23.8× for the core AIaaS business. Shares outstanding: ~290 M Equity value per share: $205PT New Nebius fundamentals (Q3 2025 release): CY2026 ARR ≈ $8 B (midpoint), Revenue ≈ $4.6 B, and proportional EBITDA scaing (~$1.8 B). Keeping their EV/Sales ≈ 23.8×, new core EV ≈ $4.6 B × 23.8 = $109 B. Add the subsidiaries (≈ $7 B total from Northland’s sum of parts) and net cash (~$0.7 B) -> total equity ≈ $117 B → ~$355 PT It's a mechanical extrapolation assuming valuation multiples for their analysis, not the analyst updated PT that might change based on dilution/execution risks, etc. 2-3x of $NBIS CY2026 ARR from the analyst's 2-B estimate to the new management guidance midpoint of $8.0 billion mechanically drives the valuation higher The updated price target is based on a re-run of the DCF model.

  23. 个股论点 $META$MSFT$NBIS

    NBIS获微软Meta验证,需求巨大或超预期

    @Dylanwith86 是的,这仅仅意味着当他们签订更多合同时,他们将增加年度经常性收入(ARR),甚至可能超出其 $70-90 亿 ARR 的预测。两个月前,仅靠 $MSFT 就达到了约 $50 亿。市场对 $NBIS 全栈基础设施的需求巨大,$MSFT 和 $META 已经证明了这一点。

    英文原文

    @Dylanwith86 Yeah this just means when they contract more, they'll increase ARR and maybe even beat their $7-9B ARR projection. 2 months ago it was ~$5B with just $MSFT. Demand for $NBIS full stack infrastructure is immense and $MSFT + $META proved it.

  24. 个股论点 $NBIS

    NBIS产能售罄且订单充足,市场低估其破纪录增长。

    @ramiN4real 他们的产能已经售罄... 仅明年的年化经常性收入(ARR)就达到70-90亿美元。 $NBIS 将签订更多合同,所以这不是问题。 我仍然认为人们没有理解从季度营收1亿美元在一年内增长到20亿美元以上这种破纪录的增长意味着什么。

    英文原文

    @ramiN4real They sold out of capacity... for $7-9B ARR for next year alone. $NBIS will contract more so not a problem. I still don't think people understand how record breaking growing from $100m quarterly revenue to $2B+ in 1 year is.

  25. 个股论点 $IREN$NBIS

    NBIS凭借能耗比优势大幅领先IREN。

    @cmachdop $NBIS 凭借这一能耗比(Energy Ratio)将 $IREN 远远甩在身后。

    英文原文

    @cmachdop $NBIS blows $IREN out of the water with this ER

  26. 个股论点 $NBIS

    Nebius收入指引上调,有望通过新交易明年达120亿ARR。

    @StableBread 我原本希望确认50亿美元年度经常性收入(ARR),现在指引已上调至70-90亿美元年度经常性收入(ARR)。 这甚至还没考虑到$NBIS可能进一步扩大规模,超出该前瞻性收入指引,并通过与新超大规模云服务商(hyperscaler)达成交易+获取更多算力容量,明年实现120亿美元年度经常性收入(ARR)。 Nebius太疯狂了。

    英文原文

    @StableBread I was hoping for $5B ARR confirmation, now it’s $7-9B ARR guided. And that’s not even considering that $NBIS could still scale up more and beat that forward revenue guidance and do $12B ARR next year with a new hyperscaler deal + acquiring more capacity. Nebius is crazy.

  27. 个股论点 $NBIS

    NBIS市值将超千亿美元,当前瓶颈相比预期增长微不足道。

    @ravi_nareddy 是的,看看被引用的帖子。即使考虑到这一点,与预期的增长相比,它依然微乎其微。 $NBIS 是一家正在崛起、市值将超 1000 亿美元的公司,这只是时间问题。

    英文原文

    @ravi_nareddy Yeah look at the quoted post. Even factoring that in, it's tiny compared to projected growth. $NBIS is a $100B+ company in the making, it's just a matter of time.

  28. 个股论点 $NBIS

    计划继续加仓NBIS看涨LEAPS,认为当前价位严重低估。

    @rioferdy838 如果开盘时股价维持在 $116 左右,我会继续加仓 $NBIS 的看涨长期期权(LEAPS)。鉴于财报中给出的新指引,当前价位被严重低估。

    英文原文

    @rioferdy838 I'm adding more $NBIS call leaps if price stays around $116 when the market opens. Ridiculously undervalued at these levels given new guidance from earnings report.

  29. 个股论点 $NBIS

    NBIS股价有望12月破150,取决于ATM增发时机。

    @Neomeldir 即使到了12月,$NBIS 也很容易突破150美元。这主要取决于公司是否决定通过自动取款机(ATM)机制在市场上出售股份,以及具体的出售时机。

    英文原文

    @Neomeldir Even by December $NBIS can easily break $150. It just depends on when the company wants to sell shares on the market through their ATM (if they decide to do so)

  30. 个股论点 $META$MSFT$NBIS

    NBIS财报超预期,获META大单,强烈买入。

    目前对 $NBIS 财报的总结: 绝对的。爆表。财报。 在两个月前刚与 $MSFT 达成 170 亿美元交易的基础上,又新增了 30 亿美元的 $META 大单,以及 Cursor 的新企业客户。 70-90 亿美元的年度经常性收入 (ARR) 预测规模巨大,远超任何预期。 强烈买入,目标价 116 美元(包含定向增发 (ATM) 的影响)。https://t.co/AxWshJhAgJ

    英文原文

    Takeaway from $NBIS earnings so far: Absolute. Blowout. Earnings. $3B $META deal + Cursor new Enterprise clients on top of $17B with $MSFT just 2 months ago. $7-9B ARR projection is enormous and blew away any expectation. Insanely Strong Buy $116 (including the ATM). https://t.co/AxWshJhAgJ