方法论

研究框架、选股思路、思维方式 · 共 651 条 · 滚到底自动加载更多

  1. 方法论 $AAOI$AXTI$AEHR$SIVE

    抱怨高粉账号收费昂贵,却又批评免费分享的 alpha。

    我已经受够了那些 10 万以上粉丝的账号——他们一年收 2000 多美元,只是为了让你看他们选了什么票…… 然后又会对那些免费分享从 $AAOI 到 $AXTI 这些名字的人感到不爽…… 还会用去年营收去评判 $AEHR 或 $SIVE,却完全不理解 2027 年的 CPO / SiPh 放量。 感觉这些账号终有一天会被慢慢淘汰,因为大家会意识到,alpha 可以免费拿,不必花几千美元去买。

    英文原文

    Getting tired of 100K+ follower accounts that who charge $2,000+ a year just to see their stock picks… That then get frustrated over someone who shares names from $AAOI to $AXTI for free… And then judge $AEHR or $SIVE by previous year revenue without understanding CPO/SiPH ramp in 2027. Feels like these accounts will get eroded over time as people realize they can get alpha for free instead of paying thousands for it.

  2. 方法论 $AEHR

    解释从测试到量产放量会带来多年收入增长,而财务数字不如客户结构重要。

    如果硅光子等领域的客户从测试阶段转向大规模下单(量产),那应该会给公司带来持续数年的收入增长。 $AEHR 仍处于早期阶段,现在很多超大规模客户都在测试他们的产品,所以你的总结是对的。我认为当前财务数据没有客户结构(客户画像)和量产扩张信号那么重要。

    英文原文

    もし、シリコンフォトニクス分野などの顧客がテスト段階から大量発注(量産)の段階へと移行すれば、それは同社に数年間にわたる収益拡大をもたらすはずです。 $AEHR はまだ初期段階にあり、現在多くのハイパースケーラーが同社のテストを行っているところですので、あなたの要約は的を射ています。現在の財務状況は、顧客プロファイル(顧客層)や量産拡大の指標ほど重要ではないと私は考えています。

  3. 方法论 $AEHR

    称“lead hyperscale customer”的大额预期属于量产订单,而非普通财务数据能直接体现。

    @4intheflames 他们原话基本就是:“我们看到我们的主超大规模客户对 Sonoma 系统给出了非常可观的预测,用于高产量生产。” 这就是量产订单。我们不会在当前财务里看到它到底有多大,得等电话会让 CEO 再展开说明。

    英文原文

    @4intheflames They literally said: "We are seeing significant forecasts from our lead hyperscale customer for our Sonoma systems for high-volume production" That's mass order. We won't see how much that is in current financials, need to wait for earnings call for CEO to elaborate.

  4. 方法论 $AEHR$AAOI

    认为若 2027 年出现量产订单,市场会提前给 AEHR 重新定价。

    如果量产订单真在 2027 年落地,$AEHR 现在就会被重新定价。而且在他们这次电话会里,我们会得到更多线索,因为他们已经提到了“来自我们主超大规模客户的重要预测”。 $AAOI 在财报后因为 CEO 提到 2027 年下半年每月 3.78 亿美元的目标,股价直接重估了 2-3 倍。 我不会拿当前近端的资格认证订单去判断明年会走到哪里。

    英文原文

    Again, if mass orders happen 2027, $AEHR will re-rate today. And we'll get more indication about it in their earnings call now as they signaled "significant forecasts from our lead hyperscaler". $AAOI got re-rated 2-3x after earnings because the CEO signaled $378m/month H2 2027. I would not look at current near-term qualification orders in financials to indicate where it's heading next year.

  5. 方法论 $AEHR$LITE$COHR

    强调资格认证阶段的小订单不会体现在财务里,市场会提前计价量产放量。

    如果 $AEHR 拿下像 $LITE 或 $COHR 这样的主要光学公司, 这些都不会马上体现在当前财务数字里,因为那只是量产爬坡前的资格认证小订单。 很多人误解了资格认证周期是怎么运作的。市场是前瞻定价的,所以如果他们在财报电话会上说 2027 年会进入量产放量,那这件事现在就会被计入股价。

    英文原文

    If $AEHR lands a major optical company like $LITE or $COHR. It’s not going to show up in current financial numbers because these are small qualification orders before mass volume ramp. This is misunderstanding how qualification cycles work. Markets are forward looking so if they state mass order ramp for 2027 in their earnings call, it’s going to get priced in now.

  6. 方法论 $AEHR

    指出 AEHR 当前不靠当前财务,关键在量产爬坡和超大客户近端放量。

    从当前数字看,它并不算多头,因为 $AEHR 现在还处于资格认证周期里。 真正的关键在量产爬坡,而他们说过,来自某个超大规模客户的近端放量预期很强(这一点是利好)。 这些都不会反映在当前财报里,而会体现在下一季度的业绩里。

    英文原文

    It’s nuanced. If you look at current numbers alone, it’s not bullish because $AEHR is currently in their qualification cycles. It’s all about volume ramp, and they said they’re expecting significant near term volume from one of the hyperscalers (this part is bullish) This is not reflected in current financial statements but in next quarter earnings.

  7. 方法论 $AEHR

    称 AEHR 已确认近端生产爬坡和后续订单,未来营收要看本季兑现。

    @r99rr99r 在 $AEHR 财报里,他们确认了近端生产爬坡,以及“有意义”的后续订单。 这对 $AEHR 是利好,我预计本季度内我们就会看到这些订单会转化成多少收入。 我不会拿今天的数字去给未来利润定价。

    英文原文

    @r99rr99r In $AEHR ER, they confirmed near term production ramp, and “signficiant” follow up orders. This is bullish for $AEHR and I expect sometime this quarter we’ll see how much revenue that translates to. I wouldn’t look at today’s numbers to price in future earnings.

  8. 方法论

    认为个人持仓数量通常保持在 4 到 6 只更合适。

    @omoliverm 大概 30 只左右吧。对大多数人来说,通常保持 4 到 6 只更合适。

    英文原文

    @omoliverm Probably around ~30. For most people usually sticking with 4-6 is ideal.

  9. 方法论

    把股价下跌更多归因于稀释压力,而不是别的因素。

    @neverlongqcom 这很复杂。我个人更倾向于把它归因于稀释压力,因为没人想在他们把流通股翻倍的时候还继续持有。

    英文原文

    @neverlongqcom It’s multifaceted. I personally attribute it more to dilution overhang because nobody wants to be holding the stock if they double the float

  10. 方法论 $AXTI$IREN

    区分正常融资和会直接摊薄股东权益的疯狂增发。

    @BitcoinAIGuy 通过像 Northland 那样融个 1 亿美元和把流通股直接翻倍、像 $AXTI 或 $IREN 那样把股东权益稀释掉,这两者是完全不同的。 至少 AXT 这次还得经过股东投票。IREN 的 ATM 还在继续。

    英文原文

    @BitcoinAIGuy There’s a difference between raising capital like $100m from Northland. Then getting your equity wiped out by doubling the float with $AXTI or $IREN. At least with AXT it’s a shareholder vote. IREN ATM is ongoing.

  11. 方法论 $GME$AMC$IREN

    拿 GME/AMC 作比,认为 IREN 的大幅增发对普通股东很伤。

    如果你是 $GME、$AMC 的 CEO,一个逻辑上可行的选择可能就是把 ATM 测试抛给散户股东,让公司受益,因为他们会接住。 但对 $IREN 的套牢者或者 meme 股来说,我个人不会就这样眼睁睁看着自己被稀释到原来 5200 万流通股的两倍左右。 我希望它别通过,因为这太蠢了。他们之前已经从 Northland 融到足够多了,这次就是掠夺性操作。

    英文原文

    Yes if you were $GME, $AMC CEO’s a logical choice might be to dump ATMs on a retail shareholders to benefit the company because they would take it. However $IREN bagholders or meme stocks, I would not personally just sit there and get diluted from around double the 52m share float. I hope it doesn’t pass since it’s stupid. They already raised enough from Northland and this is predatory

  12. 方法论 $AEHR$SIVE$SOI

    把内存仓位更集中到 SiPh/CPO 相关标的,并期待 SK 海力士和三星财报带来反弹。

    @B38B37 我个人把内存相关仓位更多转向了 SiPh/CPO 相关的名字,比如 $AEHR、$SIVE 和 $SOI。 我现在还是有不少内存敞口,只是比今年早些时候少一些。不过我确实预计接下来 SK 海力士和三星的财报会再带来一轮上涨。

    英文原文

    @B38B37 I personally pivoted concentration in memory more toward siph/cpo names like $AEHR $SIVE and $SOI. I still have a good amount of memory exposure but less than earlier this year. However I do expect the upcoming sk Hynix and Samsung earnings to trigger another rally

  13. 方法论

    说自己为了研究,专门调过 LLM 和数据管线,不用 Bloomberg。

    @0xInitialAce 我其实自己把用于研究的 LLM + 数据管线都细调过了,因为我受够了 Gemini / ChatGPT 老是把事情搞错。 自定义工具确实帮了很多……我个人也不用 Bloomberg terminal 之类的东西。

    英文原文

    @0xInitialAce I actually fine turned my own LLM + data pipeline for my research cause I got tired of Gemini/chatgpt getting everything wrong. Custom tools helps quite a bit… I personally don’t use Bloomberg terminal and ithers

  14. 方法论 $SIVE$AEHR$AAOI$SOI$MRVL

    认为现在还很早,自己更偏好少数纯标的和更稳健的名字。

    还不算晚进场,实际上还非常早,正处在下一个拐点的起点。 如果让我现在选两只更小、更纯的标的,我个人会喜欢 $SIVE 和 $AEHR,再加一只 $AAOI 也许不错。 更稳一点的话,Win、$SOI、$MRVL 看起来都很扎实? 可选名字其实很多……

    英文原文

    Not really late too the party, it’s extremely early and at the beginning of the next inflection point. I personally like $SIVE, $AEHR if I had to pick two more smaller purer play companies around now, maybe throw in $AAOI on the next drop. For safer, Win, $SOI, $MRVL seem solid? Quite a lot of names…

  15. 方法论 $AAOI$AEHR$LITE$SIVE$SOI$TSEM

    批评用传统模型建模CPO放量期收入,分享如何识别光子学超级周期中的纯正概念股。

    请停止尝试为2025-2026年CPO/SiPH放量期的收入建立模型了……当我上个月在约115美元(现已四舍五入到200美元)查看$TSEM时,前瞻市盈率压缩至约16-18倍(在成长情景下低至10-12倍)。同样的逻辑也适用于$AEHR/$SIVE/$SOI/Win Semi等其他标的。这是2026年上半年。量产的放量将出现在2026年下半年。我们正处在一个大规模超级周期的最早期阶段,而这些是我在光子学下一代架构变革中最纯正的概念股配置:用于测试、CW激光器、衬底和晶圆代工的公司,在光子学超级周期的新范式转换中占有一席之地。像$LITE或$AAOI这样我去年长期持有的公司已经跨越了多个周期。然而,最大的回报来自于提前预判哪些公司将在未来收入/TAM增长中获得最大收益(这部分尚未反映在当前股价中)。不是用过去2年的历史回报来计算公允价值。而且当我们看一个庞大的新型光子学TAM(lightcounting的牛市情景预测为1100亿美元以上),主要由使用CW激光器作为示例的架构驱动,或在良率方面遇到挑战。许多这类公司很可能会出现大幅重新定价。尤其是当我们看到下一代架构变革开始发生时,时间点大约在2026年下半年。

    英文原文

    Please stop trying to model 2025-2026 revenue for future CPO/SiPH ramp… When I looked at $TSEM back at ~$115 last month (round to $200 now). The forward p/e compressed to rates like ~16-18 (down to 10-12 in growth scenarios) Same applies to $AEHR / $SIVE / $SOI /Win Semi and other names. This is H1 2026. Volume ramp hits H2 2026. We’re at the very beginning of a massive supercycle and these are my more pure play exposure picks for the next architectural changes in photonics: For testing, cw lasers, substrates, and foundries in next paradigm shift in the photonics supercycle. Companies like $LITE or $AAOI that I’ve longed last year cover multiple cycles. However, the most returns comes from anticipating what benefits the most Mc wise relative to future revenue/TAM growth (not priced into current earnings). Not looking back at 2 year historical returns to calculate fair value. And when we’re looking at massive new photonics TAM ($110B+ bull case from lightcounting), largely driven from architecture that use CW lasers as an example or struggle with yields. A lot of these companies are likely going to re-rate hard. Especially when you look at the start of the next architectural changes, happening around H2 2026.

  16. 方法论 $AEHR$AMD$GOOGL$INTC

    认为 AEHR 未来量产爬坡是核心,当前财务无法体现。

    $AEHR 的财报应该会很有意思。 我以前没见过这么多超大规模客户 / 光收发器(可能是 $AMD、$GOOGL、$INTC 等)公司去给一家 13 亿美元市值的小公司做资格认证。 我猜也许下一次财报里,我们会看到更多量产爬坡的指引?他们上周才刚开始和那家新的光收发器公司做资格认证。 如果这次财报就发生那当然更好。市场是前瞻的,所以很多重估其实现在就会开始。

    英文原文

    $AEHR earnings should be fun. I haven't seen so many hyperscalers/optical transceiver (prob $AMD, $GOOGL, $INTC, and others) companies qualifying a small $1.3B company before. My guess is maybe next earnings, we'll see more volume ramp projections? They just begun qualification with that new optical transceiver company last week. Would be nice if it happened this ER though. Markets are forward looking, so a lot of the repricing would happen around now imo.

  17. 方法论 $FORM$KEYS$ASE$ATEYY$AEHR

    CPO / SiPh 测试瓶颈视作大机会,并点名相关公司。

    Digitimes:台湾正试图解决 CPO 测试瓶颈,以便 AI 数据中心的 SiPh 规模化。 很大。重点。就在:“CPO 和硅光瓶颈” + “测试”。 $FORM、$KEYS、$ASE 和 $ATEYY 是这个瓶颈里比较热门的名字,比如光学对准。 另外还有 $AEHR,可以提供对 SiPh 良率 / 测试瓶颈的敞口。 预测显示,到 2026 年,超过 50% 的数据中心收发器销售将来自硅光模块(SiPh)。 现在 2026 年,资格认证周期还挺多的: 但量产爬坡随时都可能到来。

    英文原文

    Digitimes: Taiwan tackles CPO testing bottlenecks to scale SiPh for AI data centers. Huge. Emphasis. on: "CPO and Silicon Photonics bottleneck" + "Testing." $FORM, $KEYS, $ASE, and $ATEYY are popular ones ones in this bottleneck eg. optical alignment. Then there's $AEHR for exposure to SipH yields/testing bottlenecks. Forecasts show that by 2026, over 50% of data center transceiver sales will come from silicon photonics (SiPh) modules. Right now, in 2026, there's quite still a few qualification cycles: But expect mass order ramp to hit anytime.

  18. 方法论 $LITE$AEHR$AAOI$SNAP$IREN

    强调股票是正和游戏,只有稀释严重时才会伤害长期持有人。

    也许你还没意识到,股票和 Melania Coin 不一样,是正和游戏。只要方向判断对了,长期每个人都会受益。 人们买 $LITE、$AEHR 或 $AAOI,并不会变成“退出流动性”;随着价值创造和营收增长,价格是会持续上涨的。 公司会创造经济价值,并通过分红之类的方式回馈散户股东。 当然也有例外,比如 $SNAP 或 $IREN,如果管理层试图通过过度 SBC / 稀释来抽干价值,那就会出问题。

    英文原文

    Not sure if you realize yet, but stocks are positive sum gain unlike Melania Coin. Everyone benefits long term if someone is right directionally. It's not exit liquidity when people buy $LITE, $AEHR, or $AAOI and the prices go up over time because of value creation + revenue growth. Companies create economic value and return that to retail shareholders through things like dividends. There's exceptions with things like $SNAP or $IREN if there's excessive SBC/dilution if management tries to drain value.

  19. 方法论

    批评银行借“保护资金”之名打压加密竞争。

    Yields 和 Clarity Act 这事儿已经把虚伪写在脸上了。 银行嘴上说,申请银行牌照有一条路径,但背地里…… 这些同样的银行却在董事会后面游说,阻止任何加密相关公司真正拿到牌照。 看看 Custodia bank 的遭遇就知道了。还有现在所有申请银行执照的加密公司…… 这就等于一边说“去申请纽约 bitlicense 啊”,一边又拖了申请五年。 这个机制就是为了让银行把竞争挡在外面,好继续从利差里榨取散户。 绝不是为了“保护”客户资金。 那些告诉散户另一套说法的银行,其实是在当面撒谎。 我们眼看就要迎来一项对加密货币极具破坏性的法案,被银行游说推动通过。

    英文原文

    You’re witnessing hypocrisy in plain sight with Yields + Clarity Act. Banks say there’s a pathway to apply for a banking license but behind the scenes… But these same banks are the ones lobbying behind the board to prevent any crypto related companies from actually getting it. Just look at what happened Custodia bank. And all the crypto firms applying for banking charters now… It’s the equivalent of saying “just apply for New York bitlicense” while they been stalling applications for half a decade. This is set in place so banks ban competition so they can continue robbing retail off interest rate spread. Not to “safeguard” customer funds. Banks telling retail users otherwise are lying to your face. We’re about to witness one of the most destructive bills to crypto be passed from Bank lobbying

  20. 方法论

    强调美国要通过供应链武器化赢得对华竞争,而不是破坏盟友供应链。

    我真的是 X 上最“美国优先”的人之一……我不可能是唯一一个意识到,对华冷战的关键在于供应链武器化的人。 但你们现在却把我们自己友好的供应链搞炸了……还把我们自己重要的关系也炸掉了。 比如加拿大,以前是我们的金毛猎犬,负责把一堆稀缺资源带回美国。 结果特朗普把这只狗狗直接丢到荒野里,让它自生自灭……这到底有什么道理? 我们不需要对 Buddy 这只金毛施加更多杠杆。

    英文原文

    I'm literally one of the most America first people on X... I can't be the only person who realizes the key to winning the cold war with China is through supply chain weaponization. But you just blew up our on friendly supply chains... and nuked our own important relationships. Canada for example was our Golden Retriever fetching a bunch of precious resources back to America. Then Trump just sent our doggo off into the wilderness to fend for itself... for no sane reason? We don't need more leverage over Buddy, the golden retriever.

  21. 方法论 $ASML$ARM$NVDA$TSM

    认为美国应先稳固盟友供应链,再统一武器化对抗中俄。

    到底是谁在写这些东西? 我们不需要对日本、欧洲或韩国这些盟友施加更多杠杆。 我们需要把杠杆用在俄罗斯和中国身上。 - 在东南亚,老挝超过 40% 的加油站已经关闭, - 柬埔寨和泰国已经开始限量和价格管制, - 印度、巴基斯坦和孟加拉都在面对价格上涨和紧急节约, - 韩国 / 日本仍然暴露在供应中断风险里。 中国现在完全可以从俄罗斯拿石油,而俄罗斯的出口管制还被解除了…… 而中国现在的做法就像一战时美国那样在做军火商。 为什么我们要为了帮助俄罗斯 / 以色列,反过来搞砸我们自己的供应链? 他们之所以叫盟友是有原因的,我们不需要再对他们施加更多杠杆。 如果你真想把这套东西武器化: -> 先确保自己的供应链,先把资金投到越南 / 南美等地的稀土和前驱材料上 -> 再把资金投到韩国 / 日本 / 加拿大 / 美国的精炼加工上 -> 先在委内瑞拉开发原油 / 加工能力 -> 再建立替代贸易路线: 这至少要 3-5 年。 然后你才可以去轰炸什么、去威胁欧洲的 $ASML、日本的 $ARM、美国的 $NVDA、台湾的 $TSM 这类对中国 / 俄罗斯的瓶颈。 总之: 美国优先依赖于: - 在泰国做好自身组装供应链, - 在韩国做好半导体, - 在日本做好化工, - 在台湾做好晶圆代工, - 在加拿大做好稀土, - 在欧洲做好高端设备, 还有其他环节,来让美国更强。 然后再把这一切统一武器化去对付我们的敌人。 你不能一边把我们自己的供应链和全球关系全炸了,一边又说美国正在变得更强大吧?

    英文原文

    Who is even writing this? We don't need more leverage over our allies like Japan, Europe, or South Korea. We need them over Russia and China. - In SEA over 40% of gas stations in Laos have closed, - Cambodia and Thailand have started rationing and price controls - India, Pakistan and Bangladesh face rising prices and emergency conservation - SK/Japan remain exposed to disruptions. China can get just get their oil from Russia. And Russia got their export control removed... And China is playing arms dealer like what US did in WW1 right now. Why are we screwing over our own supply chains to help Russia/Israel out? They're called allies for a reason, and we don't need more leverage over them. If you really wanted to weaponize this: -> Secure supply chains first, pour funding into rare earths/precursors like Vietnam/South America and other places. -> Pour funding into refinery processing from SK/Japan/Canada/US -> Develop crude/processing in Venezuela First -> Build out alternative trade route: Which will take 3-5 years min. Then you can go blowing stuff up then go threatening European $ASML, Japanese $ARM, US $NVDA, Taiwan $TSM type chokepoints over China/Russia all together. Again: America First relies on: -securing own supply chains in Assembly Thailand, -Semiconductors in South Korea, -Chemical from Japan, -Foundries in Taiwan, -Rare Earths from Canada, - high-end equipment from Europe and others to make United States stronger. Then you weaponize that all together against our enemies. You can't just blow OUR OWN SUPPLY CHAINS and Relations around the world up then say America is becoming more dominant?

  22. 方法论 $AXTI$AAOI

    表示自己经历过加密市场,所以能更坦然看待波动,并相信信息公开是正和的。

    很高兴听到这些正向反馈! 我在 2016-2018 年左右也混过加密市场,所以现在 $AXTI 或 $AAOI 这种 +20% / -20% 的波动对我来说已经没什么感觉了。训练心态这方面确实很有帮助,让我面对一天跌 60% 也能稳住。 我相信股票是正和的……所以没必要把信息藏起来。 信息发现 / 整合本来就能让所有人受益,但在过去,信息获取通常一直在帮倒忙,因为机构会卡着不让散户看到,直到某些东西已经涨了 1000% 之后才放出来。

    英文原文

    Glad to hear the positive feedback! Yeah I was in the crypto market around 2016-2018, so any +20% -20% volatility now with $AXTI or $AAOI feels like nothing. So it's definitely helped train my mentality stuff drop 60% in a day. I believe stocks are positive sum... so there's no reason to try and hide information. Everyone benefits from information discovery/synthesis, but before access to information has worked largely worked against retail given gatekeeping from institutions until after somethings gone up 1000%.

  23. 方法论 $MSTR$IBIT

    认为有 ETF 之后不再需要 MSTR,用它只是为了抢跑减半行情。

    @whambamabraham 我现在不会再碰 $MSTR 了,因为 ETF 已经有了。我当年只是用它来抢跑比特币减半,那时还没有 $IBIT。 要么就是买矿机来博比特币敞口,我只是运气好选对了。

    英文原文

    @whambamabraham I wouldn't touch $MSTR anymore because ETFs exist now. I used it to frontrun Bitcoin halving since $IBIT wasn't around back then. It was either that or long miners for Bitcoin exposure, and I got lucky choosing the right one.

  24. 方法论 $AMD$GOOGL$INTC$AEHR

    认为太多超大客户在资格认证 AEHR,量产一切就会被重估。

    我从没见过一家公司被这么多超大规模客户 / AI 公司同时做资格认证……感觉像是 $AMD、$GOOGL、$INTC 之类的,还有更多光学公司,排队名单实在太夸张了。 只要他们一切换到量产订单,这一季或者下一季的 $AEHR 财报大概率都会像火箭一样冲出去。 至于时点,我帮不了你。长期看我觉得它会高很多,短期我不确定。

    英文原文

    I haven't seen a company get so many hyperscalers/AI companies qualifying it before... think it's $AMD, $GOOGL, $INTC, and more optical companies, so line up is kinda insane. This or next $AEHR earnings will likely hit like a truck once they all switch to volume orders. As for timing, can't help you there. Long term I think it will go much higher, short term not sure.

  25. 方法论 $AXTI$LITE$TSEM

    认为自己在 X 前就表现不错,最近看好的标的上涨说明思路对了。

    @kevstern1 因为我在加入 X 之前就已经做得很好了,不是吗? 我一直看到有人试图贬低我最近做多的票,比如 $AXTI、$LITE 或 $TSEM,说那只是算法和平台带来的。 也许它们上涨 800%+,只是因为这个想法本身就是对的。

    英文原文

    @kevstern1 Because I was doing just as well even before I joined X? Keep seeing people try and diminish recent longs like $AXTI, $LITE, or $TSEM due to algorithms and platforms. Maybe it’s up 800%+ because the idea was correct.

  26. 方法论

    批评有人靠不可验证信息获利还在大跌后劝人长期持有。

    他一边靠编造无法验证的信息赚钱,一边在发完帖后又把内容删掉,这已经够糟了。 更糟的是,他这么做还会把所有散户资金一起带走。 然后在大家亏了 99% 之后,还告诉所有人要“hodl 并相信管理层”,而且还伴随着持续稀释。

    英文原文

    It’s one thing he profits from making up unverifiable information then deletes his post after. It’s even worse that what he does wipes out all retail capital alongside it. And he tells everyone to “hodl and trust in management” for multiple years after people are down 99% and there’s ongoing dilution.

  27. 方法论 $AAOI$AEHR

    感谢别人为自己建基金,但仍强调买入时点很重要。

    @bendover 有一个 5 万美元的专门基金围绕我的帖子在运作,这真的太让人受宠若惊了,不过在下单之前还是请先自己做研究! 而且买入时点也同样非常重要,尤其是我提到像 $AAOI 到 $AEHR 这类名字时。

    英文原文

    @bendover Very flattering having a $50k dedicated fund around my posts but pls do ur own research before entering any positions first! Also timing the buy is also very important too if I mention anything from $AAOI to $AEHR.

  28. 方法论 $VCX

    解释封闭式基金与底层持仓可能脱节。

    @k_a_y_b_e_e_ @harshparikh_16 $VCX 是封闭式交易基金,所以它和底层持仓会更容易脱节。

    英文原文

    @k_a_y_b_e_e_ @harshparikh_16 $VCX is closed traded fund so it can get more detached from underlying holdings.

  29. 方法论 $VCX

    解释 ETF 定价是按净值计算,不是按持仓简单相加。

    @harshparikh_16 这是个 ETF……不是那样运作的。它是按净值(NAV)计算的。

    英文原文

    @harshparikh_16 It's an ETF... doesn't work that way. It's calculated based on NAV.

  30. 方法论

    把一篮子建议等权,测试粉丝想法一年后的结果。

    @Jess252530 这是给“Serenity 粉丝最爱抛物线增长 ETF”准备的。 我就会把大家推荐的名字等权打包,然后看看一年后的结果会怎样。

    英文原文

    @Jess252530 This is for the "Serenity's Followers Favorite Stock Parabolic Growth ETF". Just going to equal weight a bunch of suggestions and see how they turn out in a year.