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买入$CRDO，视其为$ALAB对标股，看好其超高速增长潜力。
刚买入价值10万美元的$CRDO，因为它是一家与$ALAB类似的公司，且正以惊人的速度增长。两者处于相似的市场细分领域，且$CRDO上周下跌了8%。通常这类股票会同步上涨（例如$CRWV和$NBIS）。无论如何我都会持有，因为它是一家稳健的超高速增长公司。
英文原文
Just bought $100K worth of $CRDO as it's a similar company to $ALAB and also growing at insane rates. Similar market segments and it dropped 8% last week. Usually things rise together (eg. $CRWV + $NBIS). I'd hold anyway as it's a solid hyper growth company. https://t.co/v4kI2fb1Ef
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看好$ALAB长期潜力，建议持有而非波段交易。
嗯，$ALAB 刚刚暴涨了 16%。 我实际上不会进行波段交易或在此时获利了结，因为我认为这是另一只像英伟达(NVIDIA)那样能涨 500%+ 的股票。 你并不经常看到市值仅 160 亿美元的小盘公司，在服务于七大科技巨头(Mag7)的同时，还能实现 150%+ 的同比增长和 76% 的利润率。
英文原文
Well, $ALAB just shot up 16%. I actually wouldn't swing trade or take profit on this this since I think it's another NVIDIA 500%+ type stock. You don't really see small cap companies growing 150+ Y/Y with 76% profit margins serving Mag7 companies every day.
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Upwork 若借 AI 提升利润率，估值有望从 17 亿升至 69 亿。
如果 Upwork 能通过成本削减 + AI 自动化，将经常性收入的运营利润率从 20% 提升至 40–60%……那么运营利润为 7.7 亿美元 x 60% = 4.62 亿美元。按适度的 15 倍 EBIT 倍数计算，估值为 69 亿美元。对比今日 17 亿美元的市场规模，潜在上涨空间为 3–4 倍。
英文原文
If Upwork can scale operating margins from 20% → 40–60% on recurring revenue from cost-cutting + AI automations.. That’s $770M x 60% = $462M operating income. At a modest 15x EBIT multiple, that's a $6.9B valuation. VS today's $1.7B market cap, that’s a potential 3–4x upside.
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分析$UPWK低估值高现金流优势，强调利润率扩张逻辑。
所以，关于 Upwork 的长期投资逻辑： $UPWK 目前市盈率(P/E)为 7.5 倍，年营收约 7.7 亿美元，毛利率 78%，现金储备 6.22 亿美元——然而其市值仅为 17.4 亿美元。 当可以通过扩大运营利润率来扩张时，谁还在乎营收增长？
英文原文
So for the long term play on Upwork: $UPWK is trading at a 7.5 P/E with ~$770M in annual revenue, 78% gross margins, and $622M in cash — yet its market cap is only $1.74B. Who cares about revenue growth when they can just scale operating margins?
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ALAB类比英伟达，CREDO高增长，两者均为优质投资。
ALAB 让我想起英伟达的成长路径（极高的 GPU 利润率）+ 服务 Mag7。在半导体领域，从增长角度看，唯一相似的公司可能是 $CREDO，拥有 XAI/AWS/MSFT 客户，同比增长 180%。两者都是极佳的投资标的。
英文原文
ALAB reminds me of how Nvidia grew (extremely large GPU profit margins) + serving Mag7. Only similar company out growth wise in semis is probably $CREDO with XAI/AWS/MSFT customers with 180% y/y growth. Both are amazing investments.
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博主建仓 $ALAB 并计划加仓，看好其高利润、高增长及顶级客户群。
我刚刚在 $ALAB 上建立了约 17.5 万美元的长期头寸，并计划将其逐步加仓至约 50 万美元，将其视为一个潜在的市值超 500 亿美元的“登月”机会。 拥有类似英伟达 (NVDA) 的利润率（76%），同比增长超过 144%，客户包括英伟达 (NVDA)、亚马逊 (AWS)、微软 (MSFT)、谷歌 (GOOGL)、英伟达 (NVDA)、AMD，而市值仅为 160 亿美元。 不可思议的客户群 + 增长/利润率。 https://t.co/bRCBgtoGSB
英文原文
I just bought long term ~$175k+ positions in $ALAB and plan to scale this to ~$500k as a potential $50B+ moonshot. NVDA-like profit margins (76%), 144%+ Y/Y growth, customers like NVDA, AWS, MSFT, GOOGL, NVDA, AMD at 16B market cap. Unreal customers + growth/margins. https://t.co/bRCBgtoGSB
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分享波段交易中摊低成本的具体价位策略及杠杆使用原则。
我通常在波段交易中进行摊低成本操作。以下是一些我关注的示例价位（除非标的极度超卖，否则我不使用杠杆） $GME（低于$20 - 买入看涨期权），$21-$22 买入，$23 累积建仓 $SG（$13 高位）买入，（约 $12.8）强烈买入，低于 $11 买入看涨期权。
英文原文
I typically cost average down for swing trading. Some levels I look out for as examples (i don't leverage unless something is extremely oversold) $GME (sub $20 - buy calls), $21-$22 buy, $23 accumulate $SG (High $13) buy, (~ $12.8) very strong buy, sub $11 calls.
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建议持有至财报发布，股价支撑位约23美元。
@MR61615938 如果你不贪婪，可能像 $26 左右；如果你贪婪，可能是 $28+。它通常在财报发布时飙升，所以通常只需持有到那时。它有足够的资产，股价不太可能大幅跌破 $23。
英文原文
@MR61615938 Maybe like $26 if you're not greedy, $28+ if you are. It usually spikes around earnings so just hold until then usually. It has enough assets that shares are unlikely to drop too far beneath $23.
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博主分享今日在BULL、SG、GME和HIMS大跌时的买入操作。
🔥今天股市大幅抛售。在$BULL下跌15%至12.28时买入了一定数量。在$SG下跌6%至$13.8时买入（有时跌至13美元低位/12.8美元高位，因此暂缓建立主要仓位）。在$GME下跌3%至$23.00时买入。在$HIMS下跌5.6%至$45.26时买入。
英文原文
🔥Fire sale today for stocks. Bought a decent amount of $BULL on the 15% drop 12.28. Bought $SG $13.8 on the 6% drop (sometimes drops to low $13/high $12.8, so hold off on major positions). Bought $GME $23.00 on the 3% drop. Bought $HIMS $45.26 on the 5.6% drop.
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建议短期交易选10月期权以捕捉上涨并规避时间价值衰减。
@Dylanwith86 如果你打算做短期交易，我个人会选择10月到期的期权，这样你有时间享受7/8月的上涨行情，然后在9月前卖出，避免遭受过多的Theta（时间价值）衰减。考虑到各种因素，45%的隐含波动率(IV)真的非常低。 但极短期期权确实有很大的潜力。
英文原文
@Dylanwith86 If you're going shorter term I'd personally pick October strikes so you have time for the July/August runup, then sell before September + not get too theta decayed. 45% IV is really really low all things considered. But very short term options have a lot of potential.
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法案通过致债务激增，预计比特币两月内涨至12-14万美元。
《大美丽法案》刚刚通过。该法案的扩张性财政政策可能会促使人们增加购买避险资产（黄金/比特币），以对冲联邦债务增加的约3万亿美元。准备好迎接比特币在2个月内达到$120k-$140k。 https://t.co/EasZFkSHaf
英文原文
Big Beautiful Bill just passed. The bill's expansionary fiscal policy will likely increase buying hedges (gold/bitcoin) against the ~3T added to federal debt. Prepare for Bitcoin $120k-$140k in 2 months. https://t.co/EasZFkSHaf
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博主表示若为低流通盘IPO则考虑买入。
@notthefxckinone 我需要进一步研究一下。如果是像 $BULL 那样的低流通盘 IPO，我可能会买入。
英文原文
@notthefxckinone I'll need to look into it more. If it's one of those low float IPOs like BULL I'll probably buy in
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列出GME、SG、UNH、GOOGL的波段交易机会及SRPT研究。
目前的中/长期波段交易机会是： 1. $GME 在下跌 30% 之后 2. $SG 在下跌 49% 之后 3. $UNH 在下跌 45% 之后。 4. $GOOGL 再次跌至 $164 之后。为我的 WSB DD（深度研究）在 ~$150 买入看涨期权，在 $175 卖出，在 $164 重新买入，现在持有至 $185。 正在对 $SRPT 进行更多研究。
英文原文
Med/Long term swing trades right now are 1. $GME after the 30% drop 2. $SG after the 49% drop 3. $UNH after the 45% drop. 4. $GOOGL after the drop to $164 again. Bought calls ~$150 for my WSB DD, sold $175, rebought $164, now holding to $185. Doing more research on $SRPT.
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BKSY基本面差，但受太空板块带动补涨，交易成功。
关于 Blacksky ($BKSY) 的投资逻辑，老实说，这是一家相当糟糕的公司。然而，Planet Labs $PL 以及像 $RKLB $RDW 这样的卫星/太空公司此前曾出现过大幅飙升，而 Blacksky（行业相关）当时却毫无动静。最终它的价格补涨跟上了，所以这笔交易做对了。
英文原文
As for thesis on Blacksky ($BKSY) honestly, pretty terrible company. However, Planet Labs $PL + Satellite / Space companies like $RKLB $RDW had a huge spike awhile ago and Blacksky (industry adjacent) hadn't moved at all yet. It ended up catching up in price, so it worked.
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点评 TSSI、BKKT 及 Moonshot 的市值与前景。
TSSI 在市值约 2 亿美元时确实令人惊叹。 BKKT 2025 年第一季度的净营业亏损为 -1900 万美元，但比特币升值加上成本削减应该能帮他们一把，毕竟他们只有 2 亿美元的小市值。 Moonshot 要么市值达到 25 亿美元（从当前水平涨 10 倍），要么破产。
英文原文
TSSI is quite amazing back when they were $200m or so. BKKT has -19M net operating income loss for Q1 2025 but Bitcoin appreciation + cost cutting should help them out a bit with their small $200m market cap. Moonshot is a 2.5B market cap (10x from here) or bankruptcy.
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分享持有的微盘股及BKKT做空与加密行情逻辑
不能在WSB讨论微盘股，但如果你好奇： 我持有的只有三只：$BKKT（$12）、$TSSI（$8）、$BKSY（$11）。 对于BKKT，超过21%的公司股份被做空，且加密货币公司表现良好。我不建议追高，但持有少量仓位也不算最糟。https://t.co/yIzRzMAMD9
英文原文
Can't talk about microcaps on WSB, but if you're curious: Only three I've owned are $BKKT ($12), $TSSI ($8), $BKSY ($11). For BKKT, 21%+ of the company is sold short and crypto companies are doing well. I don't recommend chasing but not the worst to have small positions. https://t.co/yIzRzMAMD9
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回顾BULL因权证稀释导致股价崩盘的套利案例
当我之前做套利时，很明显一旦认股权证可以被赎回，$BULL 就会从 70 美元崩盘。然而，尽管相对于实际股价，10 美元行权价（每张 4.00 美元）的认股权证被严重错配，人们仍然盲目地在 30 美元以上买入该股票。简而言之：稀释会导致股价崩盘！
英文原文
When I was doing arbitrage earlier, it was clear $BULL was going to crash from $70 once warrants could be redeemed. Yet people blindly still bought the stock at $30+ after $10 strikes ($4.00 each) were so mispriced relative to the actual stock. TLDR: dilution crashes stocks!
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提醒关注新 IPO 稀释效应及 BULL、CRCL 禁售期影响。
人们不断私信我询问新 IPO。建议：如果你做空或做多，请密切关注稀释效应。$BULL 估值尚可，但人们需要关注活跃的禁售期。$CRCL 也有 180 天的禁售期，人们正在交易有限的流通盘，这就是它拥有 400 亿市值的原因。
英文原文
People keep DMing me about new IPOs. Advice: PAY ATTENTION to dilution if you're short/long. $BULL is okay valued but there's active lockups people need to follow. $CRCL has a 180 day lockup as well, people are trading with limited floats, which is why it has a 40B MC. https://t.co/3pjeQeTJ85
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作者买入少量，警示股价可能大幅回调，不建议全仓抄底。
披露：如果你们想跟随操作，我买入了一小部分。但它完全有可能像 UNH 从 $375 -> $320 -> $250 那样回落到 $13 附近再恢复，这就是为什么我从不建议在这种回调时全仓（full porting）买入。
英文原文
Disclosure: I bought a small amount if you ever want to follow along. But it's always possible for it to drop back to $13 similar to UNH $375 -> $320 -> $250 before recovering, which is why I never recommend full porting on dips like these.
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建议 $OSCR 暴跌后分批建仓以摊低成本。
很难精准抄底，所以如果你在我 Reddit 深度研究(DD)后，从 $14 买入并在 $22 卖出 $OSCR 后打算重新入场： 在今天暴跌 18.75% 后买入约 30% 的仓位是个不错的想法，这样可以将成本平均摊低到低位，例如 ($11.6)。https://t.co/8nh9TLD1Yq
英文原文
It's hard to time the exact bottom so if you're re-entering stocks like $OSCR after selling at $22 from $14 after my Reddit DD: Decent idea to buy say 30% of your position after today's 18.75% drop, then have cost averages down to the low, such as ($11.6). https://t.co/8nh9TLD1Yq
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利用 Polymarket 概率，通过杠杆和备兑看涨期权交易比特币。
Polymarket 也定价了比特币今年达到 12 万美元的 76% 概率，所以即使比特币在几个月后仅上涨 10%，你通过杠杆 + 备兑看涨期权(covered calls) 仍然能赚很多。7 月/8 月通常是 9 月疲软前买入的最佳时机，然后在 11 月/12 月重新买入。
英文原文
Polymarket also is pricing in 76% odds of Bitcoin reaching $120k this year, so even if Bitcoin only goes up 10% after a few months you still make a lot from leverage + covered calls. July/August is usually the best time to buy before Sept weakness then rebuy Nov/Dec.
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看好BTC长期期权潜力，建议高波动时卖出看涨期权获利。
说真的，$IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 年的长期期权(LEAPS)拥有巨大的上涨潜力。隐含波动率(IV)极低（44-55），新法案使美元通胀10-11%，全球货币供应量增加，历史上减半后一年期的7/8月往往会出现大幅上涨。与此同时，在每周高隐含波动率时卖出比特币看涨期权(CCs) = 即使有时间价值损耗(theta)也能获利。
英文原文
Seriously though $IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 Leaps have huge upside Very low IV (44-55), new bills inflated USD by 10-11%, global monetary supply increasing, historical rallies Jul/August one year after halving. Meanwhile, selling BTC CCs into weekly high IV = profit despite theta
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$ETORO 利润三成来自加密，低位或有补涨潜力。
鉴于 $ETORO 是一只新上市股票，它可能尚未像（比特币 -> $MSTR -> $COIN -> $MARA 等）那样与加密货币紧密关联。然而，$ETORO 37% 的利润来自加密货币，且目前处于低位，因此可能像其股价从 $61 飙升至 $76 的那天一样，有补涨空间。
英文原文
Given how ETORO is a new stock, it's likely not associated with Crypto yet like how (Bitcoin -> $MSTR -> $COIN -> $MARA, etc). However, 37% of $ETORO's profits come from Crypto and it's at a low so might have some room to catch up like the day they spiked $61 -> $76
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建议 $63.1 加仓 $ETORO，因其相对同行存在补涨空间。
如果感兴趣，我也会分享一些随想。 $ETORO 在 $63.1 是一个很好的加仓点。像 $HOOD 和 $BULL 这样的加密经纪商都上涨了 8-10%+，而 ETORO 却下跌了 1.25%。 通常相关板块会有相似的走势，这更多是一种补涨行为。
英文原文
I'll also post random thoughts too if people are interested. $ETORO is a great add at $63.1, crypto brokerages like $HOOD and $BULL are both up 8-10%+ while ETORO is down 1.25%. Usually related sectors have similar movements, it's more of playing catch-up
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博主基于技术分析看好Upwork突破17美元并建仓。
因此，我认为 Upwork 将突破 $17+，并买入了一定数量。这对于任何像我这样拥有博士学位的人来说，图表的技术分析(TA)都完全展示了这一点。
英文原文
For that reason I believe Upwork will breakout $17+ and bought a decent amount. This is fully shown in the TA of the chart for anyone with a PHD such as myself.
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暗示$NARU/$UPWK即将迎来重大利好转折。
这意味着，$NARU/$UPWK 在接下来的几周和几个月里即将拥有严重的“剧情护甲”(Plot Armor)。 你知道接下来会发生什么。鸣人遇见纲手。动画里没演，但有一个弹跳式的登场和查克拉按摩。鸣人的故事迎来了大团圆结局。
英文原文
Which means, Naruto/UPWK is about to have some serious plot armor in the upcoming weeks and months. You know what comes next. Naruto meets Tsunade. They didn't show this in the show but there's a bouncy entrance and the Chakara Massage. There's a happy ending to Naruto.
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UPWK暴跌后图表形态暗示反弹在即，类比火影忍者剧情。
所以，就像往常一样，在‘木叶村’被毁后，$UPWK 需要进行重建。一根巨大的暴跌K线（dump candle）如同‘佩恩’本人般袭来。但他们没看到的是……图表正需要这一跌。‘鸣人’已登场。你可以看到他的发际线正在图表中形成。
英文原文
So as usual with the destruction of the hidden leaf village, UPWK had some rebuilding to do. A massive dump candle hits like Pain himself. But what they don’t see… is that the chart needed this. Naruto HAS ARRIVED. You can see his hairline being formed in the chart.
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博主基于九尾狐技术形态买入15万美元UPWK。
为什么我购买了价值15万美元的$UPWK。 这是UPWORK（$UPWK）以及我购买15万美元以上股份的原因解释。 起初，你看到的看起来像一只猫(CAT)。它从两只耳朵开始。看起来像猫对吧？ 错了。这是九尾狐(NINE TAILED FOX)形态，不仅仅是任何一只猫。 https://t.co/BUYY3BncTs
英文原文
Why I bought $150k in $UPWK. Here is UPWORK, UPWK and my explanation on why I bought $150k+ in shares. At first, you see what looks like a CAT. It starts off with the two ears. Looks like a cat right? Wrong. This is the NINE TAILED FOX Pattern, not just any cat. https://t.co/BUYY3BncTs