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博主回复感谢并归因于运气
@MilesTa53993799 谢谢,运气不错
英文原文
@MilesTa53993799 Thx got lucky
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HOOD入标普500,新品与银行业务将引资金流入,或成PLTR v2。
$HOOD 被纳入标普500指数(S&P 500)。 周二将发布新产品,银行业务即将上线。 鉴于其市值,大量资金正涌入Robinhood。这可能成为PLTR v2。 这只是基于WSB直觉进行的尽职调查(DD)!你们中的一些人可能看到了我那条猜测其将被纳入的已删除帖子 lol https://t.co/h8txi6mQD2
英文原文
$HOOD added to S&P 500. New product launch on Tuesday and banking coming soon. Huge money flows coming into Robinhood given market cap soon. Might be PLTR v2. This is just WSB instincts that go into DD! Some of you probably saw my deleted post guessing inclusion lol https://t.co/h8txi6mQD2
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博主认为短期持有该股风险回报比佳,看好新产品及公司基本面。
@MilesTa53993799 另外,我认为在纳入日期之前持有它,其风险回报比是值得的。 下跌4%,他们下周二有新产品线,而且这是一家各方面都很棒的公司 lol。 我只是一个短期波段交易者。
英文原文
@MilesTa53993799 Also it’s worth the risk/reward just holding it past inclusion date imo. Down 4%, they have new product lines next Tuesday, and great company all around lol. I’m just a short term swing trader
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博主表示正在日内交易HOOD,并将根据走势调整策略。
@MilesTa53993799 我正在日内交易 $HOOD,我会根据走势进行调整 https://t.co/kZQxXl0zjr
英文原文
@MilesTa53993799 I’m day trading $HOOD, I’ll adjust based on how it goes https://t.co/kZQxXl0zjr
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UPWK低于20美元极具吸引力,建议等待或观察其收购进展。
@DanielTan64198 $UPWK 低于 $20 时强烈暗示买入。$25 似乎估值合理,市盈率约 14 倍。 谁知道未来某天会不会涨到 $75 呢。Upwork 盈利能力极强,且坐拥大量现金储备,所以如果你是投资者,不妨静观其变,看看他们的收购进展如何。否则我会建议等到 $20 以上再考虑。
英文原文
@DanielTan64198 $UPWK under $20 is screaming buy. $25 seems fair valued ~14 p/e. Could end up at $75 one day who knows. Upwork is extremely profitable and is just sitting on a cash pile, so if you're an investor just wait and see how their acquisitions go. Otherwise I'd wait to $20+
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UPWK启动回购,低估值高利润,无视季节性风险。
$UPWK 刚刚宣布启动 1 亿美元的股票回购计划,回购规模约占其流通股的 5%。 让我们再次重申以下几点: 1. 市值约 20 亿美元,年营收 7.73 亿美元,毛利率 77.8%。 2. 拥有巨额现金储备,盈利能力强,市盈率约 9 倍。扩张中的利润率 + 新业务收购并未反映在远期营收预期中。 如果你担心 $RKLB、$CRWV、$IREN、$HIMS、$WULF 等 9 月份的高贝塔股票,当你的市值如此低且正在“印钞”时,季节性因素就不重要了。 Upwork 可能是当前市场中被低估且利润极其丰厚的股票。
英文原文
$UPWK just announced it's buying ~5% of it's float back with a $100M repurchase program. Let's reiterate this one more time: 1. ~2B market cap, with 773M yearly revenue and 77.8% gross margins. 2. Big Cash Pile, profitable, ~9 p/e. Expanding margins + new business acquisitions not priced into forward revenue. If you're worried about $RKLB, $CRWV, $IREN, $HIMS, $WULF and other high beta stocks from September, seasonality doesn't matter if your market cap is this low and you're printing money. Upwork is probably the most undervalued and immensely profitable stocks to hold in this market.
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关注IREN,类比NBIS,看好矿企转型AI的投资机会。
在 $IREN 涨至 $30+ 后,我仍在关注它。这让我想起 $CRWV 大幅上涨后的 $NBIS。 有什么能阻止 $MARA、$RIOT、$CIFR、$CLSK、$HUT 等从比特币(BTC)转向人工智能(AI)吗? 这可能是一个绝佳的投资机会。https://t.co/1HJSHsiPml
英文原文
Still looking @ $IREN after it's rise to $30+. Reminds me of $NBIS following $CRWV's massive rise. There's nothing stopping $MARA, $RIOT, $CIFR, $CLSK, $HUT and others from pivoting from BTC into AI right? Might be a great investment opportunity. https://t.co/1HJSHsiPml
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认为MRVL财报后大跌属过度反应,建议定投。
$MRVL 财报后下跌18%完全是过度反应。未来一个月是定投(Marvell)头寸的绝佳时机。
英文原文
$MRVL 18% drop after earnings was a complete overreaction. Perfect time to DCA into Marvell positions over the next month.
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计划对IREN进行深入研究,初步印象良好。
@SCurveCapital 我很快会对 $IREN 进行更深入的基本面研究(DD),我之前听过这个名字,乍一看看起来相当稳健。
英文原文
@SCurveCapital I'll do a deeper DD soon on $IREN, I've heard the name before it looks pretty solid at first glance.
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博主列出各领域高增长潜力股,预测5年千倍回报。
基于当前估值,我5年1000%回报的“登月”组合(Moonshot baskets)。 太空 - $RKLB (2200亿) AI - $CRWV (4700亿) 半导体(Semi) - $CREDO (2000亿), $TSSI (38亿) 加密货币(Crypto) - $BKKT (18亿) 金融科技(Fintech) - $DJT (490亿) 社交(Social) - $BMBL (62亿) 健康(Health) - $HIMS (950亿) 软件(Software) - $UPWK (190亿) 你们的选择是什么?
英文原文
My moonshot baskets for 1000% returns in 5y given current valuations. Space - $RKLB (220B) AI - $CRWV (470B) Semi - $CREDO (200B), $TSSI (3.8B) Crypto - $BKKT (1.8B) Fintech - $DJT (49B) Social - $BMBL (6.2B) Health - $HIMS (95B) Software - $UPWK (19B) What are your picks?
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Polymarket显示比特币年底达12.5万概率70%,建议买入并卖出看涨期权。
@Sumojoe118 Polymarket 对比特币今年触及 12.5 万美元的定价概率约为 70%,触及 13 万美元的概率约为 60%。 如果你现在以 11 万美元买入比特币,同时卖出看涨期权(Call Options),回报的不对称性相当不错。
英文原文
@Sumojoe118 Polymarket is pricing in ~70% odds of Bitcoin hitting 125k this year and ~60% of 130k. Pretty good asymmetric return if you’re buying at $110k now while selling CCs.
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反向指标提示比特币底部,建议买入IBIT。
如果人们让你在市场底部恐慌抛售而不是在顶部抛售,这大概是一个买入比特币 | $IBIT 的好指标(假设在11万美元时)。
英文原文
This is probably a good indicator to buy Bitcoin | $IBIT at $110k if people are telling you to panic sell at bottoms instead of tops.
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建议9月降低风险偏好,转向盈利股或超跌股,规避高贝塔股。
一个小建议:9月前后降低风险偏好。像$UNH、$NVO、$GOOGL、$UPWK、$KSPI...这样的盈利股,或者年内下跌的$MRVL、$SG、$SNAP...可能会表现不错。如果你满仓高贝塔(high beta)股如$PLTR、$DUOL、$HOOD、$COIN、$CRCL、$NVDA、$MSTR、$TSLA...祝你好运。
英文原文
Just a tip: Lower risk appetite around September. Profitable stocks like $UNH, $NVO, $GOOGL, $UPWK, $KSPI... or stocks down YTD - $MRVL, $SG, $SNAP might do well. If you're full port calls on high beta like $PLTR, $DUOL, $HOOD, $COIN, $CRCL, $NVDA, $MSTR, $TSLA... Good luck.
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HIMS 业绩高增且盈利,空头头寸过重,建议买入持有待空头平仓。
$HIMS 在 42 美元是轻松买入并持有标的。空头头寸占流通股本比例升至 34.59%,这是一家市值 97 亿美元、空头市值超 30 亿美元的美元计价公司。 对冲基金做空像 $HIMS 这样盈利且高增长的公司,却去持有 $IONQ 和 $OKLO——这两家公司零收入却市值超 100 亿美元,这简直是愚蠢做空的定义。 HIMS 通过收购 Zava 在欧洲获得了 130 万+客户,这一利好尚未被市场预测完全定价。目前数据如下: - 2024 年营收约 14.8 亿美元(增长 69%) - 滚动十二个月营收(2025 年中)约 20.1 亿美元(增长约 88.7%) - 2025 年 Q2 营收 5.448 亿美元(同比增长 73%)。 增长最终将重创空头头寸。 简而言之:在空头平仓前,HIMS 是轻松买入并持有的标的。
英文原文
$HIMS is an easy buy + hold at $42. Short interest ⏫ to 34.59% of float and ~$3 Billion + USD / 9.7B market cap company. Hedge funds shorting a profitable, growth company like $HIMS while $IONQ and $OKLO — both with 0 revenue, 10B+ market caps is the definition of a stupid short. HIMS acquired 1.3M+ customers across Europe through the Zava acqusition, which forecasts haven't priced in yet. Currently they're doing: - 2024 Revenue~$1.48 billion (up 69%) - TTM Revenue (mid-2025)~$2.01 billion (up ~88.7%) - Q2 2025 Revenue $544.8 million (+73% YoY). Growth will ultimately screw the short position. TLDR: HIMS is an easy buy + hold until the shorts unwind.
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推荐SG等7只股票的波段机会,警示避开CRCL等3只股票的下跌。
目前有一些不错的超跌反弹/波段交易机会: 1. $SG - $9.39 2. $SNAP - $7.21 3. $UNH - $306.8 4. $ETOR - $46.8 5. $NVO - $57.00 6. $HIMS - $44.73 7. $CRWV - $94.7 远离这些下跌(不要抄底): 1. $CRCL - $136.2 2. $PLTR - $159.6 3. $DUOL - $334.5
英文原文
Some decent recovery/swing trades right now 1. $SG - $9.39 2. $SNAP - $7.21 3. $UNH - $306.8 4. $ETOR - $46.8 5. $NVO - $57.00 6. $HIMS - $44.73 7. $CRWV - $94.7 Stay away from these dips 1. $CRCL - $136.2 2. $PLTR - $159.6 3. $DUOL - $334.5
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UPWK估值极低且期权信号积极,是极具吸引力的价值投资标的。
$UPWK 是最安全的价值投资标的,甚至优于 $UNH、$NVO、$GOOGL 等。做市商清洗了 Upwork 8月15日到期的看涨期权未平仓合约,目前股价正在反弹,理应高于 $17.5+。一家年营收 7.7 亿美元、毛利率约 80% 的 18 亿美元软件公司,几乎是白送的钱。
英文原文
$UPWK is the safest value play, even over $UNH, $NVO, $GOOGL, and others. Market makers flushed Upwork call open interest for August 15th, and now it's rallying where it should be above $17.5+. A 1.8B software company with ~80% gross margins doing 770m in annual revenue is almost free money.
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建议持有UPWK至17-23美元,认为当前卖出不明智。
@Alan_24z 在股价交易于 $17-23 之前,这是一个容易且低风险的持有标的。由于有大量的未平仓合约将在8天后到期,预计会出现做空/伽马对冲行为。 $UPWK 利润率高、利润率在增长、现金状况强劲,且刚刚上调了指引,因此在 $13-$14 卖出是愚蠢的。
英文原文
@Alan_24z It's an easy low-risk hold until it trades $17-23. There's too much open interest expiring in 8 days so expect shorting/gamma hedging. $UPWK is high profitable, growing margins, strong cash position and just raised guidance so selling at $13-$14 is stupid.
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UPWK 财报后扩利成功,估值偏低有望重估。
$UPWK 在今天财报发布后,加上空头头寸/分析师上调评级,将会进行一些重新定价。 他们所需要做的只是在其 78% 的毛利率基础上扩大营业利润率,而他们做到了。 一家市值 15 亿美元的公司,实现 7.7 亿美元财年营收,营业利润率增长,且拥有强劲的现金头寸。
英文原文
$UPWK is will do some repricing after earnings today + short interest/analyst upgrades. All they needed to do was expand operating margins on their 78% gross margins and they did. 1.5B company doing 770m FY revenue, growing operating margins, and a strong cash position.
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博主看好 $KSPI 估值与增长,已建仓并计划加仓至 $250k。
$KSPI 在本周下跌 7.2% 后,于 $82 价位是极佳的买入机会。因此我买入了超过 $100k 的仓位,计划逐步加仓至 $250k 的成本均价。 除了 $HOOD $SOFI $BULL 之外,$KSPI 作为一家金融科技(fintech)公司,同比增长 47%,利润率 31%,市盈率(P/E) 仅为 7.9。 可能会发一篇类似 WSB 风格的文章来讨论这个。 https://t.co/JdyYm2rBuV
英文原文
$KSPI is an extremely good buy at $82 after this week's 7.2% drop. So bought $100k+ worth, plan to scale this to $250k cost average. $HOOD $SOFI $BULL aside, $KSPI is growing 47% Y/Y as a fintech with 31% profit margins and a 7.9 P/E. Might make a WSB style post about this. https://t.co/JdyYm2rBuV
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ALAB因覆盖五大科技巨头且高增长高毛利,有望复制英伟达路径实现千倍涨幅。
$ALAB 之所以起飞,是因为 Astera 是唯一一家系统性暴露于五大科技巨头(Mag7)中5家的小盘股。 1. ALAB 的客户群字面意义上就是 Mag7:$GOOGL、$MSFT、$NVDA、$META 和 $AMZN。 2. 他们的增长率令人惊叹,同比增长 ~150%+,毛利率为 76%(高于 NVDA,是半导体市场中最高的之一)。 3. 正如 $GOOGL 财报所示,AI 支出的资本支出仍在增加。 NVDA 从 1500 亿市值起步 -> 4 万亿+,因为超大规模数据中心需要 GPU。我们正处于 ALAB 在 AI 供应链中产生这种效应的起点,而其市值仅为 200 亿。 如果他们执行得当且 AI 基础设施建设持续,我们可能会看到下一个 1000% 的涨幅。
英文原文
The reason why $ALAB is taking off is because Astera is the only small cap company in existence with systemic exposure to 5 of the Mag7. 1. ALAB's customer base is literally Mag 7: $GOOGL, $MSFT, $NVDA, $META, and $AMZN. 2. They're growing at astounding rates ~150%+ y/y, with 76% margins (with higher margins than NVDA, one of the highest in the semi market). 3. Capex is still increasing for AI spend, as seen with $GOOGL earnings. NVDA started at a 150B market cap -> 4 TRILLION+ because hyperscalers needed GPUs. We're the start of this effect with ALAB for the AI supply chain, and it's starting at a small 20B market cap. We could see this being the next 1000% if they execute properly and AI infrastructure buildout continues.
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博主宣布做空 Palantir 股票。
做空 $PLTR,谢谢 Jim。
英文原文
Shorting $PLTR, thanks Jim. https://t.co/2xKvNnPqvE
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特朗普增持比特币,建议跟随DJT操作做多IBIT。
🚿想法:如果美国在2天后的公告改变政策,通过增持来推高比特币 $IBIT 的价格,我并不感到惊讶。 特朗普今天刚购买了3亿美元的比特币看涨期权,并为其 $DJT 公司购买了20亿美元的比特币。 DJT 就是新的南希·佩洛西,跟着她的操作走就行。
英文原文
🚿thoughts: Not surprised if the US announcement in 2 days changes US policy to inflate Bitcoin $IBIT prices by acquiring more. Trump just bought 300m in Bitcoin calls today along with 2B in Bitcoin for his $DJT company. DJT is the new Nancy Pelosi, just follow the lead.
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复盘 $HIMS 交易,指出未公开更成功的案例。
关于 $HIMS,早期卖出仅实现了 7 万美元的收益,但仍有大量未实现利润。这些只是我在 WSB 上发布的两到三个月短期交易的例子。我最成功的交易我之前并没有在 WSB 上发布过。https://t.co/Tlhc9IxdY8
英文原文
On $HIMS, sold early only realized $70K gain but again a lot are unrealized profit. These are just examples of shorter trades I post on WSB in a two-three month timeframe. My most successful trades I haven't posted before on WSB. https://t.co/Tlhc9IxdY8
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复盘IBIT备兑策略收益,强调低风险高回报及DJT大额买入。
关于 $IBIT 的 WSB 交易,在周五下跌 3% 后,目前持有约 44K+ 的未实现利润。仅通过卖出备兑看涨期权(Covered Calls),2 个月内就获得了 6557+ 的已实现利润。按此速率推算,2 年收益约为 157K+。低风险,非对称上行收益,尤其是考虑到 $DJT 购买了价值 2B+ 的份额。https://t.co/BPa8uSvV1s
英文原文
On the $IBIT WSB trade, sitting on $44K+ or so unrealized profit after Friday's 3% drop. $6557+ in realized profit just from selling covered calls in 2 months. Same rate would be ~157K+ over 2 years. Low risk, asymmetric upside, esp with $DJT buying 2B+ worth. https://t.co/BPa8uSvV1s
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分享GOOGL盈利及回购利好,看多科技股年底表现
关于我发布的WSB图表: 在$GOOGL上,已实现利润为101,428美元+,还有大量未实现利润,因为我预计如果科技股反弹持续,GOOGL年底将触及220美元+($META $APPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $SPOT)。 财报表现完全爆表,且他们仍有700多亿美元的股票回购计划 https://t.co/G6jrKAyumE
英文原文
For WSB charts I posted: On $GOOGL, realized profit was $101,428+, and lots of unrealized profit since I expect GOOGL to hit $220+ EOY if tech rally continues ( $META $APPL $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $SPOT) Earnings were a complete blowout and they still have 70B+ in buybacks https://t.co/G6jrKAyumE
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提及财报相关话题
@sixaw09 财报
英文原文
@sixaw09 earnings
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区分波段、投资与逼空策略,强调逼空后需及时止盈。
@EliCoen1 我针对波段交易(swing trading)制定了退出策略。对于投资,我只是像持有 $ALAB 那样长期持有。 对于像 $DNUT 这样的逼空(short squeezes)行情,取决于每日情况。 如果发生逼空,务必卖出。$OPEN 发生了逼空但人们没有卖出,这就是为什么有人可能“亏损40%”。
英文原文
@EliCoen1 I have exit strategies planned for swing trading. For investing I just hold for years like $ALAB. For short squeezes like $DNUT, it depends day-by-day. If something squeezes, make sure to sell. $OPEN squeezed but people didn't sell, which is why one might have "lost 40%"
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逼空行情无目标价,量价异动即卖出信号。
@EliCoen1 在涉及逼空(short squeezes)时,没有目标价(price target)。如果出现突然的成交量(volume)增加和价格飙升,你就会知道何时卖出。
英文原文
@EliCoen1 There's no price target when it comes to short squeezes. You will know when to sell if there's a sudden volume increase and spike in price
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$RKT 空头比例超 60%,高抛压或引发轧空行情。
对于关注 $RKT 的人来说,其空头头寸比例(short interest)超过 60%,这简直令人难以置信。通常散户无法对市值 300 亿美元以上的公司进行轧空(short squeeze),但在如此高的空头头寸比例下,这绝对是有可能的。
英文原文
For people looking at $RKT, short interest is over 60%+ which is absolutely insane. Usually retail can't squeeze a $30B+ company but with the high short interest, it's definitely possible.
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博主出于原则买入$DNUT,抗议空头恶意做空其喜爱的甜甜圈品牌。
通常我不会参与像 $RKT、$KSS 这样的迷因股(Meme Stocks)炒作,但我真的无法忍受空头通过抛售32%的流通盘,将我喜爱的甜甜圈店做空至破产。这次纯粹是出于原则。我买入价值3万美元的 $DNUT,只为向空头表达强烈的不满。https://t.co/jTNnxFNJlq
英文原文
Normally I don't join on meme rallies like $RKT, $KSS, but I really don't appreciate short sellers shorting my favorite donut places to bankruptcy by selling 32% of the float. This one is out of principle. Bought $30k worth of $DNUT just to say f**k you to short sellers. https://t.co/jTNnxFNJlq