$IBKR
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说明若走ADR路线可通过IBKR转换并在Nasdaq交易。
回复 @a_ahmd31117：如果它们走 ADR 路线，你可以通过 $IBKR 做 ADR 转换，然后开始在 Nasdaq 交易。这样也能保持未实现收益状态。 不过会花一点小费用。
英文原文
@a_ahmd31117 If they do the ADR route, you can just convert it through $IBKR through adr conversion and start trading it on Nasdaq. You keep it unrealized that way too. Costs a tiny fee though.
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庆祝粉丝突破 30 万并预告新东西
我刚刚突破 30 万粉丝！ 这真是个里程碑！从一开始，我的目标就是从第一天起就帮助散户，而不是机构。 不过话说回来……我最近可能把 $IBKR 也帮得太多了，出现了成千上万新的“Serenity Accounts”。 $HOOD 的散户们……别担心。我在给你们准备点惊喜，先稳住。 也许 6 到 8 周？ 不管怎样，很高兴看到我的想法得到了这么多验证。 也希望我接下来做的事，能给 X 上“信息民主化”的正向总和，留下一个长久的例子。
英文原文
Wow I’ve hit 300k followers just now! What a milestone! My goal from the start was always to help retail from Day 0 instead of institutions. That being said… I’ve probably helped out $IBKR too much recently with thousands of new “Serenity Accounts? $HOOD retail DW… Working on something surprising for you all, just stay tight. Maybe 6-8 weeks? Regardless happy to see so much validation of my thoughts. And I hope whatever I do sets a lasting example for X about the positive sum nature of free information democratization.
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说明很多持仓是 IBKR 代表的综合账户
@kxshxl 很多都是 omnibus 账户，代表像 $IBKR 这种散户 / 机构混合资金池持有。 从一些名字你也能看出来，里面更偏散户。 但像 Goldman Sachs 这种就是机构。
英文原文
@kxshxl A lot of them are omnibus and held on behalf of pools of retail/institution like $IBKR. You can kinda guess from some of them that it skews toward retail. But names like Goldman Sachs are institutional.
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分析$SIVE股东结构从瑞典散户→美国散户→美国机构的演变过程。
美国/西方现在控制了$SIVE的大部分股份。随着高盛、摩根大通、摩根士丹利及其他美国机构进入。美国/西方46.8%：- 富达：11.5%（散户）- 嘉信理财：11.4%（散户）- $IBKR：9.3%（主要是散户）- 纽约梅隆银行：4.2%（散户）- 摩根士丹利史宾沙：3.1%（散户/财富管理）- 美国银行：2.8%（散户/财富管理）- 纽约梅隆银行：0.9%（机构）- 摩根士丹利客户资产：0.7%（机构）- 纽约银行：0.5%（机构）- 摩根大通：0.5%（机构）- 摩根大通证券有限公司：0.4%（机构）- 花旗银行纽约：0.3%（机构）- 摩根大通SE：0.2%（机构）- 摩根士丹利：0.2%（机构）- 摩根大通证券：0.2%（机构）- 美银证券：0.2%（机构）- 高盛：0.2%（机构）- 高盛国际：0.1%（机构）- Cbny-Rja-客户资产：0.1%（散户/财富管理）现在很大比例由美国散户股东持有（例如$IBKR代表客户，可能大部分是散户，部分是机构）。新增但规模较小的摩根大通、高盛和花旗银行持仓可能是对冲基金或其他试图建仓的机构。欧洲及瑞士：11.3%- Clearstream：6.2%- 瑞银瑞士：1.6%- Six SIS：0.8%- 欧洲清算银行：0.8%- 盛宝银行：0.6%- 法国巴黎银行：0.6%- Caceis银行/联合圣保罗银行：各0.2%- KBC/LGT/宝盛：各0.1%瑞典约8.49%：- Avanza养老金保险公司-4.76%- Nordnet养老金保险-2.73%- 北欧斯安银行-0.2%- SEB人寿国际-0.1%- 北欧银行-0.7%加拿大/英国/中东约0.6%：- 以色列第一国际银行-0.3%- 加拿大皇家银行-0.1%- 加拿大皇家银行-0.1%- 汇丰-0.1%特别感谢瑞典媒体替美国机构做了这些工作：西方现在拥有约58.7%的所有权。由于当地媒体，瑞典持股比例已降至8.49%。我想知道他们是否意识到自己做了什么——在吓跑当地投资者后，现在股权已转移到美国机构/投资者手中？西方现在在共封装光学(CPO)超级周期之前获得了大部分流通股。你也可以开始看到摩根大通或高盛等美国机构建立初始仓位（代表机构投资者），可能是在美国散户获利了结之后。这可能是在$SIVE达到某个市值门槛以满足基金授权要求之后。但很大比例仍由美国散户持有，通过$IBKR和富达等平台。（这就是我所说的抢先机构一步）摘要：$SIVE从主要：-> 瑞典散户所有权-> 美国散户所有权-> 随着美国散户获利或卖出，逐步转变为美国机构所有权（如果他们找到方法吓跑美国散户，就像瑞典媒体做的那样）。
英文原文
The US/West now controls majority of the shares of $SIVE. With Goldman Sachs/JP Morgan/Morgan Stanley and other US institutions entering. US/West 46.8%: - Fidelity: 11.5% (retail) - Charles Schawb: 11.4% (retail) - $IBKR: 9.3% (primarily retail) - BNY Mellon: 4.2% (retail) - Morgan Stanley Smith Barney: 3.1% (Retail/Wealth management) -Bank of America: 2.8% (retail/Wealth management) - BNY Mellon: .9% (institutional) - Morgan Stanley Client Assets: .7% (institutional) - Bank of New York Mellon: .5% (institution) - JP Morgan: .5% (institutional) - J.P. Morgan Securities Plc: .4% (institutional) - Citibank New York: .3% (institutional) - JP Morgan SE: .2% (institutional) - Morgan Stanley: .2% (institutional) - JP Morgan Securities: .2% (institutional) - BoFA Securities: .2% (institutional) - Goldman Sachs: .2% (institutional) - Goldman Sachs International: .1% (institutional) - Cbny-Rja-Client Asset - .1% (retail/wealth) Large % now owned US retail shareholders (eg. $IBKR on behalf of clients, probably majority retail some institutions). The new but smaller JP Morgan Goldman Sachs, and Citibank % positions are likely hedge funds or other institutions trying to build positions. Europe & Switzerland: 11.3% - Clearstream: 6.2% - UBS Switzerland: 1.6% - Six SIS: 0.8% - Euroclear Bank: 0.8% - Saxo Bank: 0.6% - BNP Paribas: 0.6% - Caceis Bank / Intesa San Paolo: 0.2% each - KBC / LGT / Julius Baer: 0.1% each Swedish ~8.49%: Försäkringsaktiebolaget Avanza Pension - 4.76% Nordnet Pensionsförsäkring - 2.73% Skandinaviska Enskilda - .2% SEB Life International - .1% Nordea Bank Abp - 0.7% Canada/UK/Middle East ~.6%: First Intl Bank of Israel - .3% Royal Bank of Canada - .1% Royal Bank of Canada - .1% HSBC - .1% A special thank you to the Swedish Media doing the work of US institutions: The West now has ~58.7% ownership. Swedish is now down to 8.49% due to local media. I wonder if they realized what they've done now scaring off local investors now that it's changed hands to US institutions/investors? The West have now acquired majority of the float before the CPO supercycle. You can also start to see US institutions like JP Morgan or Goldman Sachs building start positions (on behalf of institutional investors), probably off of US retail taking profits. This is likely after $SIVE reached a certain MC threshold for fund mandates. But a large % of it is still owned by US retail on places like $IBKR and Fidelity. (this is what I call frontrunning the institutions) TLDR: $SIVE went from majority: -> Swedish retail ownership -> US retail ownership -> gradual US Institution ownership as US retail takes profit or sells (if they figure out a way to scare off US retail like the Swedish media did).
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分析$SIVE股东结构剧变，瑞典资本撤离而美国资本接盘，控制权即将完成转移。
我之前说什么来着？$SIVE 正在经历所有权从瑞典向美国转移的过程…… 如果我正确解读了新的大股东名册（cap table）： 美国/西方现在持有 $SIVE 42.18% 的股份： ~$FNF（富达）- 11.5%（美国/西方） ~$SCHW（嘉信）- 11.4%（美国/西方） ~$IBKR - 9.25%（美国/国际） ~ 佩兴集团（纽约梅隆）- 4.15%（美国/西方） ~ 摩根士丹利 - 3.12% ~ 美林证券（$BOA）- 2.76% 欧洲：约 7.73%： 明讯银行（Clearstream Banking）- 6.16%（欧洲） 瑞士银行 - 1.57%（瑞典/欧盟） 而瑞典人现在只持有 $SIVE 约 7.49% 的股份： Avanza Pension 保险公司 - 4.76% Nordnet 人寿保险公司 - 2.73% 此前，Sivers 是一家约 60% 欧洲/瑞典散户持股的公司…… 从那以后一路下跌，接近于零，因为他们在不断抛售股份。 美国人即将获得接近绝对多数的控制权，恰在 2027 年 CPO（共封装光学）超级周期之前。 转让似乎快完成了？
英文原文
What did I say? $SIVE was undergoing a transfer of Swedish ownership over to the US... If I'm interpreting things right from the new cap table. The US / West now owns 42.18% of $SIVE: ~ $FNF (Fidelity) - 11.5% (US/West) ~ $SCHW (Schwab) - 11.4% (US/West) ~ $IBKR - 9.25% (US/International) ~ Pershing (BNY Melon) - 4.15% (US/West) ~ Morgan Stanley - 3.12% ~Merrill Lynch ( $BOA ) - 2.76% Europe: ~7.73%: Clearstream Banking - 6.16% (European) UBS Switzerland AG - 1.57% (Swedish/EU) While Swedish now hold ~7.49% of $SIVE: Försäkringsaktiebolaget Avanza Pension - 4.76% Nordnet Pensionsförsäkring AB - 2.73 Before, Sivers was a ~60% European/Swedish retail owned company... They went from that, down closer to 0 as they keep selling their shares. US has close to majority control, right before the CPO supercycle of 2027. Transfer seems almost complete?
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建议美国散户转去 IBKR 做国际股票
美国散户应该从 $HOOD 转到 $IBKR 去买国际股票。 我不明白为什么还有人会在投资时继续用 Robinhood。 除非你只有 50 美元，而且不在乎手续费。
英文原文
US retail investors should switch from $HOOD to $IBKR for international equities. I’m not sure why anyone still uses Robinhood for investing anymore. Unless you have $50 and no clue what you’re doing. They had their chance to innovate but focused on Melania Coin integrations
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IBKR UI 太烂但能忍
@labubu_trader 哈哈，我对 $IBKR 界面像垃圾这件事也有同感，但后来习惯了。 想象一下，他们只要拿出利润里的 15 万美元，就能请一个设计师重做 TWS、移动端和仪表盘。 希望 $HOOD 能往正确方向转向。
英文原文
@labubu_trader haha i felt the same with $IBKR UI being trash, but I got used to it. Imagine if they just spent like $150k on their billions of profit. for one designer to overhaul TWS, mobile and their dashboard Hope $HOOD pivots to the right direction.
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IBKR 目前强于 HOOD
现在确实是 $IBKR > $HOOD。 我也认为 Robinhood 有机会扭转局面……他们的界面更好，也更偏零售用户。 但就目前执行而言（取消期权的 payment for order flow）以及缺少国际业务，真的糟透了，所以目前显然还是 Interactive Brokers 更好。
英文原文
It’s true $IBKR > $HOOD currently. I do think Robinhood has the potential to turn that around though… they have a better UI and more retail-friendly platform. But just current execution (remove payment order flow for options) and lack of int. offerings is horrendous, so interactive brokers is clearly the better choice atm.
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HOOD 产品创新方向跑偏
$HOOD 真正该做的产品创新，本来应该是尽快支持国际股票交易。 结果他们反而加码“预测市场” + “抽奖” + 一堆新烂币上架，让散户乱七八糟地亏钱。 他们还把零售用户输给了 $IBKR，而后者现在已经支持韩国股票交易了。 尤其是受到台湾、韩国、欧洲、日本等国际股票增长的推动。 结果，这个季度 IBKR 新账户数量创了历史新高（这是基于我自己的定性体验）。 我认为 $HOOD 这次财报不及预期，是因为他们搞错了自己真正该帮助散户做什么。 如果他们能让散户大量交易国际股票，赚更多交易费、更多保证金使用、更多平台留存现金和财富增长等等，这才是这个平台的基础。 即便数字资产下行，事情也许本可以更好。
英文原文
Product innovation from $HOOD would have been enabling international stock trading ASAP. Instead they doubled down on "prediction markets" + "raffles" + new crapcoin listings where retail recklessly lose their money. They also lost retail to $IBKR that now enabled Korean stock trading. Especially due to international stock growth from Taiwah, Korea, Europe, Japan. As a result, we saw new IBKR accounts grow to an all time high this quarter (just from qualitative experiences). My opinion is $HOOD missed earnings since they lost track of what they should actually do to help out retail investors. If they had retail investors all spending tons of TX fees from int. Equities trading, likely more margin usage, fees, cash on platform, wealth appreciation, and so on, which is the basis of the platform. Maybe things would have gone better despite digital asset downturn.
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亚洲/欧盟股票不该按美股期权对待
是啊，很高兴听到别人也有同样感受。你提到的 Win Semi/HPS.A 是少数几个更罕见、保证金要求更低的例子。 但即便这些标的已经到了十亿美元市值，它们大多数时候还是会被收 100% 左右的维持保证金。 亚洲 / 欧盟的纯多头股票，不应该和美国短期期权一样对待，我希望 $IBKR 能稍微放宽一点限制。
英文原文
Yeah glad to hear others are feeling the same. Win Semi/HPS.A were a few of the rarer ones that had lower margin requirements as you mentioned. But even if they're in the billion MC range, they still get slapped with close to 100% maintenance margin most of the time. Long only equity in Asia/EU shouldn't be treated the same as US short dated options and I hope $IBKR eases restrictions a bit.
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IBKR 的保证金规则太离谱
@Ren_aramb 对，$IBKR 在保证金要求上真的很会整活……而且波动一大它们就加码。 就像 100% 保证金和短期美股期权差不多，但你拿的明明只是亚洲 / 欧盟纯股票？ 连用期权做多的维持保证金都比这低，哈哈。
英文原文
@Ren_aramb Yeah $IBKR is trolling with the margin requirements... and they hike it on volatility too. Like 100% is the same as short dated US options, but instead you just holding pure equities in Asia/EU? Even going long with options has less maintenance margin lol.
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IBKR 海外股票保证金过高
呃……$IBKR + Portfolio Margin + 外国股票怎么回事？ 亚洲或欧洲的每一个名字都被直接打到 100% 维持保证金，毫无道理。 只是因为隔夜风险？ 你明明在做纯多头，却比短期美股期权还糟。
英文原文
Uh... what's with $IBKR + Portfolio Margin + Foreign Stocks? Every single name in Asia or Europe gets slapped to 100% maintenance margin for no reason. Just because something isn't in the US like in Korea, Europe, or Japan doesn't make it a toxic asset? Do you guys just use prime brokers or something to get around this?
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IBKR 意外帮我拉增长
@ZacSazerac999 我这是无意中在帮 $IBKR 拉零售增长，哈哈。 不过很高兴听到这个！Interactive Brokers 的执行最好，所以你长期来看确实会省下不少。 只是他们的 UI 真的还有很多要改。
英文原文
@ZacSazerac999 I’m inadvertently hard carrying $IBKR retail growth lol. But glad to hear that! interactive brokers has the best execution so you’ll actually save up long term. Their UI can use a lot of work though.
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IBKR 开始支持韩国股票
哇，不会吧。 $IBKR 现在已经有韩国股票了。 这会很有意思，我之前有很多想法都没法做多。
英文原文
Woah no way. $IBKR has Korean stocks now. This is going to be fun, I had a lot of ideas in mind I couldn’t long.
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IBKR 也赚了点中介费
@x4tsr 大概会少赚几百万的推荐费……不过没关系，至少让 $IBKR 的净利润稍微多了一点。
英文原文
@x4tsr Probably would have been millions in referral fees… it’s okay though, improves $IBKR earnings net income by a tiny bit.
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IBKR 现在确实更好
不客气，$IBKR？ 但它现在确实是更好的券商，我倒是很惊讶 $HOOD 还没有国际股票。
英文原文
You’re welcome $IBKR? But it legitimately is the better brokerage right now, I’m surprised $HOOD doesn’t have international stocks. https://t.co/yMEZOXtI9w
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IBKR 业务也会有点帮助
@pennycheck 说实话，这对 $IBKR 来说也不算坏主意，我会去听他们的财报哈哈！ 但我确实认为，零售账户带来的增量相对机构成交量来说只是小幅提升……不过交易费 / 保证金使用这些长期可能会像 $HOOD 那样变得有意义。
英文原文
@pennycheck Honestly, not a bad idea for $IBKR, will tune into earnings lol! But I do think all the retail accounts only account for a slight boost relative to institutional volume... the trading fees / margin usage might be material like $HOOD over time.
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Anthropic终于强制KYC验证，建议美国AI前沿实验室统一推行以阻止蒸馏泄露。
我去，终于Anthropic听进去了并强制推行KYC验证。早该如此了，别再让DeepSeek、月之暗面(Moonshot)和MiniMax免费蒸馏Opus和其他最新模型了。（引用推文内容：今天Anthropic点名了DeepSeek、Moonshot和Minimax的蒸馏行为。OpenAI也面临同样的问题，被中国实验室薅羊毛。最简单的解决方案没人做：KYC验证。每个金融机构从$HOOD到$IBKR都这样做，以追踪资金流向（如Persona自拍/身份证验证）。同样的方法应适用于token流向。美国前沿实验室应尽快对最新模型实施KYC。我确信他们关心无摩擦增长，但这关乎国家安全，个人和企业只需完成一次这个流程即可。这是目前为止最容易实现的方案，一天就能完成。如果不这样做，中国实验室将继续寻找绕过方法。）
英文原文
Holy **** finally Anthropic listened and forced KYC. About time, stop letting DeepSeek, Moonshoot, and MiniMax have a free pass to distill Opus and other latest models. https://t.co/Ba8XBTIsnb
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推荐 IBKR 用于国际股票交易。
@japhy_zeng 我推荐用 $IBKR 来买国际股票。反正你大概也该开个账户，因为他们的执行最好。
英文原文
@japhy_zeng I recommend $IBKR for international stock access. Probably want to get an account anyway since they have the best execution
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解释图表颜色是因为切换了绩效单位。
@DanCote303 当你切换到百分比绩效时，线条会变成绿色。 当你切换到 $IBKR 的美元价值时，它会变成蓝色。
英文原文
@DanCote303 The line is green when you switch to % performance. It's blue when you go to USD values on $IBKR.
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说自己用 IBKR 交易 SIVE 和 Win 等公司。
@buht 我用 $IBKR 来交易像 $SIVE 或 WIN 这样的公司。
英文原文
@buht $IBKR for companies I mention like $SIVE or WIN
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解释IBKR数据问题导致只能市价买入某只股票。
@RitwikBobbili 是 $SIVE SFB。IBKR 上的数据没有显示出来，所以我只能以市场价买入。
英文原文
@RitwikBobbili It's $SIVE SFB. The data on $IBKR doesn't show up so I just ended up market buying.
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调侃大银行分析师得修正 IBKR/HOOD 业绩预期，因为有人在 X 上研究海外标的。
我们居然活在这样一个世界里， 大银行的股票分析师…… 可能得修正 $IBKR 或 $HOOD 的盈利预测。 因为 X 上一个普通人却在看像 $SIVE、$IQE、Macronix、海力士、Unimicron 这种 Robinhood 或美国券商根本买不到的国际股票。 真是个疯狂的时代。
英文原文
It’s hilarious we live in a world: Where equity analysts at major banks… Might need to adjust their estimates for $IBKR or $HOOD earnings. Because a random person on X liked international equities like $SIVE, $IQE, Macronix, SK Hynix, Unimicron, and others not available on Robinhood or US brokerages. What a wild timeline.
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说 IBKR 有显示数据的 bug。
@mkfilko 对，是 $IBKR。 现在它们显示数据有 bug。
英文原文
@mkfilko Yes it’s $IBKR. Right now they have a bug displaying data.
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博主认为SIVE成为Jabil光源供应商的消息将驱动SIVE股价大幅重新估值。
@mrsgayathridas 关于$IBKR的看法。$SIVE成为$JBL的光源这个新公告可能是迄今为止最大的新闻。我预计这只股票将因这个消息而获得巨大的重新估值。Jabil为$GOOGL、$META、$AMZN、$MSFT提供光收发器。他们是一个巨头的存在。
英文原文
@mrsgayathridas $IBKR. The new announcement $SIVE is the light source for $JBL is probably biggest news to date. And I expect the stock to get re-rated immensely from the news. Jabil powers $GOOGL, $META, $AMZN, $MSFT for optical transceivers. They’re a huge player.
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说可以通过 IBKR 买入，自己直接市价买入，不太在意 1-2% 的成交价差。
@Davidson_august 对，可以通过 $IBKR 买入。他们的斯德哥尔摩行情数据有点卡。我自己就直接市价买，不太在意 1-2% 的限价成交差异，因为我本来就是看多的。
英文原文
@Davidson_august Yeah you can do it through $IBKR. Their Stockholm data feed is kinda buggy. I personally just did market buy whatever price, since I'm personally long. So didn't really care much about 1-2% limit fill differences.
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提醒 AI 供应链里很多瓶颈并不在美国，IBKR 也比 HOOD 覆盖更多标的。
@afasano23 AI 供应链里很多乱七八糟的瓶颈 / 断点都不在美国……比如日本那边的 HBM 和 Toto 马桶。 和 $HOOD 等平台比起来，$IBKR 能买到的股票范围要大得多。
英文原文
@afasano23 Lot of the random bottlenecks/chokepoints in the AI supply chain are not US based… as seen with HBM and Toto toilets over in Japan. $IBKR has access to most stocks compared to $HOOD and others.
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建议开通盈透证券账户以交易国际市场
@ramprasadenaik 开通盈透证券($IBKR)账户以获取国际市场交易权限
英文原文
@ramprasadenaik Get an $IBKR account for access to international markets
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指出IBKR交易数据虽被夸大，但规模依然可观。
@Veeshalnarote12 @BlessedFrLife $IBKR 的交易数据略有夸大。但核心观点依然成立，即其规模相当可观。
英文原文
@Veeshalnarote12 @BlessedFrLife $IBKR inflates trades a bit. But point still stands that it's a decent amount though
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博主调侃自己为盈透证券带来大量用户，并指出其支持国际股票交易。
@MaoBaoBaomby 我觉得我在用户数量上硬扛着 $IBKR，给他们带来了创纪录的用户数。但这家经纪商可以交易国际股票。
英文原文
@MaoBaoBaomby I feel like I’m hard carrying $IBKR in terms of giving them record numbers of users. But that brokerage has access to international stocks.
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分析AI供应链中关键海外垄断厂商及美国本土瓶颈环节的投资逻辑。
哈哈 https://t.co/8i18XOIKK7 我重点关注的海外股票摘要： 1. 日本帝人博谢(Nitto Boseki) - T-玻璃(T-Glass) 2. 台湾欣兴电子(Unimicron) - 基板/玻璃基板(Substrates/Glass Core) 3. 三星/SK海力士 - 高带宽内存(HBM) 4. 日本铠侠(Kioxia) - 与 $SNDK 合作的 NAND 闪存 5. 台湾南亚科技(Nanya Technologies) - 内存 我通常更偏好做多美国供应链，如 $INTC (晶圆代工)、$MU (内存) 或 $LPTH (锗)，因为它们具备“美国制造”的瓶颈优势及供应链地位。但这些海外公司要么对整个人工智能(AI)基础设施建设至关重要，要么能捕获大量溢出需求。 如果你想知道如何投资海外市场？ - $IBKR 像帝人博谢这样的公司有美国场外交易(OTC)等价物，如 $NBCLF。如果你使用 Robinhood，$EWY / $FLKR 可以提供对韩国大型内存公司的敞口。 像帝人博谢这样的公司接近垄断，因此这是我特意去投资的极少数海外公司。
英文原文
lol https://t.co/8i18XOIKK7
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建议AI实验室实施KYC验证以遏制模型蒸馏风险。
今天，Anthropic 点名批评了 DeepSeek、Moonshot 和 Minimax 的蒸馏行为。 OpenAI 也面临中国实验室同样的问题。 没人做的最愚蠢的修复方案： KYC 验证。 从 $HOOD 到 $IBKR 的每家金融机构都这样做以追踪资金流向（例如 Persona 自拍/ID）。 同样的规则应适用于 token 流。 美国前沿实验室应尽快对其最新模型实施此措施。 我确信他们关心无摩擦增长，但这关乎国家安全风险，且个人/企业只需经历一次此流程。 这是最容易在一天内完成的修复方案。 如果不这样做，中国实验室将继续找到绕过方法。
英文原文
Today, Anthropic called out DeepSeek, Moonshot, and Minimax for distillation. OpenAI has also faced the same issues with Chinese labs. The most braindead fix nobody is doing: KYC verification. Every financial institution from $HOOD to $IBKR does this to track flow of funds (eg. Persona selfie / ID) Same should apply to token flows. American Frontier Labs should start doing this soon for their latest models. I'm sure they care about frictionless growth, but this is national security at risk and people/enterprises only need to go through this process once. This is by far the easiest fix that can be done in a day. Chinese labs will continue to find bypasses if this is not done.
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博主展示19个月1800%收益以证非偶然。
@boi_ozzy 在19个月的时间里，我的 $IBKR 账户收益超过1800%。以防有人以为这只是偶然的回报。https://t.co/Z9jr5ttd51
英文原文
@boi_ozzy I’m up over 1800%+ for my $IBKR account over an 19 month timeframe. Just in case people think this is one-off returns. https://t.co/Z9jr5ttd51
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指出Robinhood无法交易OTC股票，建议快速开设IBKR账户。
@HenryV9120 @WheelieInvestor Robinhood 也无法访问场外交易市场(OTC)来交易 $RPBPF。 $IBKR 账户应该能很快设置好。
英文原文
@HenryV9120 @WheelieInvestor Robinhood can't access OTC either for $RPBPF. $IBKR accounts should be really quick to setup.
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指出无法通过HOOD交易，建议改用IBKR或LSE账户。
@WheelieInvestor 不幸的是，我认为你无法通过 $HOOD 实现。可能需要一个 $IBKR 账户或拥有伦敦证券交易所(LSE)访问权限的账户。
英文原文
@WheelieInvestor I don't think you can with $HOOD unfortunately. Probably need an $IBKR account or an account with LSE access.
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建议避免使用Robinhood交易期权，因其执行质量差且存在利益冲突。
@BitcoinDiddy 没错，使用 Robinhood 交易短期期权纯粹是在浪费钱。做市商(Market Makers) 如 Citadel 实际上是在付钱给 $HOOD，以换取更差的成交质量，并针对信息不对称的散户资金进行反向交易。使用 $IBKR 或其他券商，你能获得更好的执行质量，且订单直接对接交易所。
英文原文
@BitcoinDiddy Yep, using Robinhood for short dated options is just throwing away money. MMs like Citadel literally pay $HOOD to give users worse fill and to trade against uninformed retail flows. Using $IBKR or others, you get better execution, and it goes direct to exchanges.
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HOOD财报后牛市或终结，短期震荡，需靠国际化或发币破局。
在财报发布后，我开始感觉 $HOOD 的牛市周期已经结束。 我不认为它会崩盘，但可能会在一段时间内保持区间震荡。 看到营收同比增速放缓至 27%，而在 800 亿美元市值下，远期 35 倍市盈率 (P/E) 的估值可能会膨胀至 45-50 倍以上。 这种增长部分是通过收购（例如收购 Bitstamp）买来的，而不是像过去那样通过新功能变现实现的。 长期来看它仍有潜力，但短期面临太多逆风。 唯一的慰藉是加密市场正在复苏。 或者 - 尽快进行国际股票扩张（$IBKR 正在大量吸纳资金流，因为投资者希望配置日本或韩国等其他国家的市场） - 在其新区块链上推出代币，以便像 BNB 和币安那样增加资产负债表规模。 以及其他一些想法等。 我不认为依赖预测市场 (prediction markets) 是正确的选择。为了短期利益这样做，形象 (optics) 肯定很差。
英文原文
Starting to feel like the bull cycle is over for $HOOD after their earnings. I don’t think it’s going to crash, but likely stay rangebound for awhile. Seeing revenue deceleration to 27% y/y and forward 35 p/e estimates possibly balloon to 45-50+ at a $80B MC. That growth was partially bought as well (eg. Bitstamp acquisition) rather than new feature monetization like they’ve done in the past. Long term it still has potential but short term too many headwinds. The saving grace is crypto market recovering. Or - International stock expansion ASAP ( $IBKR is eating up a ton of inflows as investors want exposure to other countries like Japan or Korea) - Token launch on their new blockchain, so they can bump up balance sheets like BNB and Binance. With some other ideas, etc. Don’t think relying on prediction markets is the right choice to go down. It’s definitely a bad optics for short term gain.
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确认 $IBKR 交易总量虽非单笔但依然巨大。
@ruth_capital 是的，没错。重点不是单笔交易，而是对于 $IBKR 来说，这个量依然相当大。
英文原文
@ruth_capital Yep this is correct. Not individual trades, but still quite a lot for $IBKR was the point.
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IBKR因国际半导体投资受益，HOOD应优先拓展台日市场。
@hippygecko 有趣的是，$IBKR 是国际散户投资存储/半导体超级周期的二阶受益者。$HOOD 无法接入这类台湾或日本股票。我确信 @vladtenev 应该将此作为他的第一优先级。https://t.co/ne4ZdKaZYy
英文原文
@hippygecko It’s interesting that $IBKR is second order beneficiary of US retail investing internationally in the memory/semi supercycles. $HOOD doesn’t have access to these types of TW or JP stocks. Pretty sure @vladtenev should make this his #1 priority. https://t.co/ne4ZdKaZYy
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告知用户需在盈透证券开启境外交易权限。
@WaterFish2000 它在 $IBKR 上。你只需要开启境外交易权限即可。https://t.co/FY3s1GYrpn
英文原文
@WaterFish2000 It's on $IBKR. You just have to enable foreign trading permissions. https://t.co/FY3s1GYrpn
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南亚科因巨头退出成熟存储市场成唯一供应商，享稀缺溢价，股价低估。
南亚科(TPE: 2408)是我在存储领域的多头持仓之一，与$MU、SK海力士和三星并列。 但理由不同。 你可能在想，这种抛物线趋势（1年+972%）是否会停止？可能不会。 而且它每天还在上涨7%。 以下是简单的总结： 其远期市盈率仅为~13.62（随着涨价，现在可能更低）。 营收同比增长+357.7%/净利润同比增长+804.27%，其利润天文数字般巨大。 类似于美光上个月57.56%+的增速，且自从我首次提及以来已翻倍有余： 股价简直跟不上。 当巨头（三星、SK海力士和$MU）争夺高端AI市场时，南亚科专注于PC、计算机电子和工业领域的成熟及特种DRAM产品。（尽管他们也在做1b节点的先进芯片）。 存储公司留下了巨大的空白，而南亚科填补了它： 美光 - 完全退出消费级产品线 SK海力士 - 几乎完全专注于HBM4和服务器级DRAM。 三星 - 将30-40%的成熟产线重新分配给先进AI存储。 南亚科 - 最后的坚守者 需求保持稳定，但成熟DRAM供应突然断崖式下跌。且它仍被广泛使用于： - 消费级PC和笔记本电脑：2015至2023年间生产的数百万台电脑使用DDR4 - 智能手机：大多数中端和入门级智能手机使用LPDDR4 - 家庭电子产品：智能电视、游戏机（如旧款Nintendo Switch或PS4）使用这些。 基本上，它们仍需生产这些，但南亚科手握所有牌。 买家为旧内存支付“稀缺溢价”，因为他们无处可买，且在一个无聊的市场中看到了供应冲击。 南亚科本质上成了沙漠中卖水的人。他们可以不断抬高水的价格。 我做多这家在沙漠中卖水的公司。
英文原文
Nanyna (TPE: 2408) is one of my longs alongside $MU, SK Hynix, and Samsung for memory. But for a different reason. You might be thinking if this parabolic trend (+972% 1Y). is going to stop? Probably not. And it just keeps going up 7% a day. Here's a simple TLDR why: The forward P/E is only ~13.62 (likely lower now with price hikes). With +357.7% Revenue Growth/+804.27% Net Income Growth Y/Y, their profits are astronomical. Similar to Micron and their 57.56%+ last month, and more than doubling since I first mentioned it: The stock price literally can't keep up. While the giants (Samsung, SK Hynix, and $MU) are fighting over the high-end AI market, Nanya specialized in the legacy and specialty DRAM products from PCs, computer electronics, and industrial. (They are doing advanced chips though with 1b Nodes though). And the memory companies left a massive void Nanya filled: Micron - Total Exit from Consumer Lines SK Hynix - Focusing almost entirely on HBM4 and server-grade DRAM. Samsung - Reallocating 30–40% of legacy lines to advanced AI memory. Nanya - Last man standing Demand stayed steady but legacy DRAM supply suddenly fell off a cliff. And it's still widely used from: - Consumer PCs and Laptops: Millions of computers built between 2015 and 2023 use DDR4 - Smartphones: Most mid-range and budget smartphones use LPDDR4 - Home Electronics: Smart TVs, gaming consoles (like the older Nintendo Switch or PS4) use these. Basically, they still need to make these, but Nayna has all the cards. Buyers are paying a "scarcity premium" for older memory because they can't find it anywhere else and seeing a supply shock in a boring market. Nanya essentially became the guy selling water in a desert. And they can keep jacking up the price of water. I'm long on the cat sounding company selling water in the desert.
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指出盈透证券提供法兰克福上市的SK海力士交易代码。
@Ren_aramb $IBKR 提供 $HY9H，即法兰克福证券交易所上市的 SK 海力士(SK Hynix)。
英文原文
@Ren_aramb $IBKR has $HY9H which is SK Hynix on Frankfurt.
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推荐AI供应链关键外国垄断股及美股替代投资渠道。
我首选的外国股票摘要： 1. 日本帝人博西(Nitto Boseki) - T-玻璃(T-Glass) 2. 台湾欣兴电子(Unimicron) - 基板/玻璃核心(Substrates/Glass Core) 3. 三星/SK海力士 - 高带宽内存(HBM) 4. 日本铠侠(Kioxia) - 与 $SNDK 合作的 NAND 闪存 5. 台湾南亚科技(Nanya Technologies) - 内存 我通常更偏好“美国制造”瓶颈及供应链相关的美国标的，如 $INTC (晶圆代工)、$MU (内存) 或 $LPTH (锗)。但这些外国公司要么对整个人工智能(AI)基础设施建设至关重要，要么能捕获大量溢出需求。 如果你想知道如何进入外国市场？ - $IBKR 像帝人博西这样的公司有美国场外交易(OTC)等价物，如 $NBCLF。如果你使用 Robinhood，$EWY / $FLKR 可以提供对韩国大型内存公司的敞口。 像帝人博西这样的公司接近垄断，因此这是我特意去投资的极少数外国公司。
英文原文
TLDR of my top foreign stocks: 1. Nitto Boseki - T-Glass (Japan) 2. Unimicron - Substrates/Glass Core (Taiwan) 3. Samsung/SK Hynix - HBM (Korea) 4. Kioxia - NAND w/ $SNDK (Japan) 5. Nanya Technologies - Memory (Taiwan) US supply chains like $INTC (foundry), $MU (memory), or $LPTH (germanium) are typically my longs of preference "Made in America" bottleneck + supply chains. But some of these foreign companies are either critical to the entire AI buildout or capture a lot of the overflow. If you're wondering how you get access to foreign markets? - $IBKR There are US OTC equivalents for companies like Nitto Boseki like $NBCLF. If you're on Robinhood, $EWY / $FLKR provides access to large KR memory exposure. Some like Nitto Boseki are near monopolies so these are the very rare foreign companies I go out of my way to invest in.
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推荐IBKR交易全球市场，TTMI作为替代，并提示市场机会众多。
我在美国，但经常四处旅行。$IBKR 可以访问大多数市场。话虽如此，如果你想避免外汇费用，$TTMI（一年涨幅267%）等美国标的可以提供类似的敞口，但显然并不完全相同。此外，我讨论的话题很多，市场上还有大量其他机会。
英文原文
US, but I travel around a lot. $IBKR has access to most markets. That being said there are similar US plays like $TTMI (up 267% 1Y) for similar exposure if you want to avoid foreign fees but obviously not quite the same. Also I talk about a lot of things, there's tons of other opportunities out there
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委国政权更迭解锁困境资产价值，需通过IBKR交易。
其中许多如 $GRZ.V 或 $ASHM 曾是高风险、困境资产，因委内瑞拉政府原因被冻结。随着马杜罗政权更迭，其所有价值（金矿、债券）刚刚被解锁。因此，由于市值较小或具有委内瑞拉利益的外国公司属性，这些股票大多不在纳斯达克/纽交所上市，你需要通过 $IBKR 等券商才能交易。
英文原文
Many of these like $GRZ.V or $ASHM were risky, distressed assets, frozen because of Venezuelan government. Now that there's a regime change from Maduro, all of their value (gold mines, bonds) just got unlocked. For that reason, lot of these are not on Nasdaq / NYSE because of small marketcap or foreign companies with Venezuelan interest, so you would need to go to $IBKR or others to access then.
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新云板块因恐慌抛售与基本面脱节，建议持有以捕捉反弹。
是的，像 $CIFR 这样的新云(Neoclouds)股票在盘前走势简直惨不忍睹，而且这还是在其与 $GOOGL 的交易价格之前，盘前已下跌超过 10%。 这也假装 $AMZN 的托管中心(colocation)交易从未发生过。正如你提到的 $NBIS 的情况，正逼近其与 $MSFT 的交易前水平。由于市场崩盘+恐慌性抛售，我们看到整个板块与基本面完全脱节。 目前，我们可能正在目睹新云(Neoclouds)因保证金级联清算(margin cascading liquidations)+短期期权到期导致的机械性下行资金流。我虽然没有使用任何保证金，但鉴于 $IBKR 等经纪商的保证金使用率创历史新高，可能整个板块都存在保证金清算。 但在抛售后的反弹中错过一两个巨大的反弹日，可能会让你失去最大的恢复收益，这就是为什么在波动时期持有更好。我仍然持有 $NBIS 和其他股票，因为我对它们的基本面有信心。
英文原文
Yeah premarket on Neoclouds like $CIFR is just disgusting to look at and it's pre $GOOGL deal price with the 10%+ drop premarket. And that's pretending $AMZN colo deal never happened too. Similar thing as you mentioned with $NBIS, approaching pre $MSFT deal. We're seeing a complete detachment from fundamentals across the board due the market crash + panic selling. Right now, we're likely seeing margin cascading liquidations + mechanical flows downward with short term option expiration on Neoclouds. I'm not using any margin but there's probably margin liquidations across the board given record high usage on brokerages like $IBKR. But missing one or two huge rebound days after a selloff can cost the biggest recovery gains, which is why it’s better to hold through periods of volatility. I'm still holding $NBIS and others since im confident in their fundamentals.
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根据交易策略和标的波动性选择券商平台
我在盈透证券(IBKR)之外也使用Robinhood和Charles Schwab。使用多个平台没问题。 但如果你大量交易期权，建议转向$IBKR或Fidelity，因为两者的执行质量极佳。在波动性更高的情况下，$IBKR可能略胜Fidelity。 不过情况很微妙。如果买卖价差很低（如$MSFT或$SPY），$HOOD优于其他平台，你实际上能省钱。 如果你在$CIFR或高隐含波动率(IV)股票上卖出期权，价差通常大得多，仅因糟糕的成交执行（例如交易6万美元期权）就可能损失数千美元，此时你最好从$HOOD转移。 如果是长期投资且不加杠杆，平台选择其实无所谓。如果是长期投资且使用股票保证金，$IBKR或Robinhood很棒，因为保证金利率较低，而Schwab/Fidelity较高。 总之，这取决于你的具体目标和持仓股票，情况相当微妙。
英文原文
I use Robinhood and Charles Schwab too on top of IBKR. It's fine to use multiple. But if you're doing a ton of options it's worth going to $IBKR or Fidelity since both of them have great execution. IBKR probably tops out Fidelity when it comes to more volatility. It's nuanced though. $HOOD beats other platforms if the spread is low like $MSFT or $SPY and you'll actually save money. If you're selling options on $CIFR or higher IV stocks, the spread is likely to be much much higher and you can lose thousands of dollars (if you trade with $60k in options for example) just based on bad fills and completely you're better off moving from $HOOD. If you're long term investing, no margin, doesn't really matter what platform you go. If you're long term investing margin with shares, IBKR or Robinhood are great cause margin rates are low, while Schwab/Fidelity are higher. Again it's kinda nuanced depending on what exactly you're aiming to do, what stocks you have.
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认为ETOR今日大跌被低估，因其高现金储备及强劲增长。
@MakhmudovAkbar 是的，$ETOR 今天跌了 5% 确实是个好机会。真心不知道为什么跌这么多，毕竟他们持有约 33% 的现金，且增长速度堪比 $IBKR。
英文原文
@MakhmudovAkbar Yeah $ETOR is great on a 5% drop today. Genuinely don't know why it's down so much given they're like 33% cash and growing at $IBKR rates.
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博主发布周一收盘观点，列出多只美股的买卖评级及具体逻辑。
周一收盘思考： 极强买入 $NBIS $ETOR $LTC $VIRT 买入 $AMZN $SMCI $TGT $CRM $TSM $CRDO $SG $CIFR $LULU $SLNH $ORCL $MSTR $RIOT $MARA 持有 $IREN $HIMS $RKLB $PYPL $MRVL $IBIT $UPWK $GRAB $ALAB $ASTS $SOFI $NVDA $NVO 卖出 $HOOD $TSLA $RDDT $CRCL $PLTR $BMNR 强烈卖出 $OKLO $QBTS $IONQ _ 欢迎持不同意见，但这只是我的个人看法。 极强买入理由 - 买入约7万美元的Virtu看涨期权，隐含波动率28%，远期市盈率仅6.6倍，被低估。 - 在通往200美元的路上，每次回调都定投NBIS。 - ETOR在39美元时严重被低估。我不明白它怎么跌到那的。如果我没记错，市值33亿，现金储备超7亿，复利增长类似IBKR而非HOOD/BULL，但股价却直线跌破IPO价。 - LTC ETF批准在即（3-4天内），概率95%。除非被拒，现在是绝佳买点。 买入理由 - 今天买入5万美元以上Amazon看涨期权，回调至219美元以上后复苏前景看好。受益于10月至1月的年底季节性效应。10月8日Prime Day。可能再次回调，因此适合定投而非极强买入。 - SMCI仍预测55%的远期营收增长，季度营收超50亿，有点被低估。 - TGT下个月分红。有些Target事件，但我觉得不如Amazon Prime Day重要。 - CRM图表上看刚触底，基本面没太大变化。 - TSM在273美元更好，虽然总是好买点，但不像250美元以下那样极具吸引力。 - CRDO/ALAB，两者大幅回调。更像是修正而非崩盘，因此再次成为不错的买点。 - SG，不知道。我只是喜欢他们的沙拉，考虑到不久前交易价40美元，8美元的风险回报比不错。 - CIFR，GOOGL背书，现在看执行。我会逢低买入，但今天大涨了。 - LULU受益于10月至1月的年底季节性假日购物。 - SLNH，据说X上有关于波浪的讨论。市值很小约1亿美元，风险回报比似乎可以。 - ORCL，以140亿美元折扣估值持有TikTok美国大量股份，且来自OpenAI/MSFT的远期营收众多。就像AVGO一样，财报后可能回调，然后一两个月后迎来猛烈反弹。 - MSTR，比特币10月表现良好。被做空，所以溢价率可能在1.4x-1.5x，相比炒作时的2x。 - RIOT/MARA转向HPC，所以我比之前更喜欢它们。 持有股票没什么变化 - Hood，我个人做日内交易，所以如果我认为在单日上涨12.27%的130美元以上卖出是好的，别介意。 - TSLA，脱离基本面的信仰股。 - RDDT，我在100美元时持有大量，现在240美元或450亿市值不会买，所以可能会卖出/三角套利。 - CRCL，直接买Coinbase。 - PLTR，脱离基本面的信仰股，大部分利润只是利息收入。 - BMNR，如果你想买就买ETH，但ETH在4000美元以上也是强烈卖出。 强烈卖出 任何营收极少但市值100-200亿以上的股票我觉得很可笑。如果你从8美元持有OKLO到116美元，向你致敬。
英文原文
Monday Market Close Thoughts: Extremely Strong Buy $NBIS $ETOR $LTC $VIRT Buy $AMZN $SMCI $TGT $CRM $TSM $CRDO $SG $CIFR $LULU $SLNH $ORCL $MSTR $RIOT $MARA Hold $IREN $HIMS $RKLB $PYPL $MRVL $IBIT $UPWK $GRAB $ALAB $ASTS $SOFI $NVDA $NVO Sell $HOOD $TSLA $RDDT $CRCL $PLTR $BMNR Strong Sell $OKLO $QBTS $IONQ _ Feel free to disagree but these are just my thoughts Strong Buy Explanations - Bought ~$70K of Virtu calls, 28% IV and just 6.6 forward p/e is undervalued. - Always DCA NBIS on the road to $200 on every dip. -ETOR is just way too undervalued at $39 imo. I don't even know how it hit that. If I remember correctly $700M+ cash pile on a 3.3B market cap, compounding similar rate to IBKR instead of HOOD/BULL but just straight line down below IPO price. - LTC ETF approval in 3-4 days with 95% odds. Great buy now unless it gets rejected ofc. Buy Explanations - Bought $50k+ Amazon calls today, looks more promising for recovery on the dip to $219+. Benefits from end of year seasonality from Oct - > Jan. Prime Day Oct 8th. Could dip again which is why it's good to DCA and not an extremely strong buy. - SMCI still projecting 55% forward revenue growth and it's kinda undervalued doing 5B+ quarterly revenue lol - TGT dividend in another month. There's some Target event but don't really think it matters as much as Amazon prime day. - CRM just bottoming chart wise, fundamentals not really changed - TSM better at $273, it's always a good buy but not a screaming buy like sub $250 - CRDO/ALAB, both dipped a lot. More of a correction rather than crash, which is why it's a decent buy agian. - SG, idk. I just like their salad and think risk reward at $8 is good considering they were trading $40 not too long ago. - CIFR, GOOGL backstopped now just execution. I'd buy on dips but today was a big rally - LULU benefits from Oct -> Jan end of year seasonality with holiday shopping. - SLNH, apparently waves have been going around X. Pretty small $100m marketcap or so, risk reward seems okay. - ORCL, they're a large shareholder of TikTok US at a discounted 14B valuation and have tons of forward rev from OpenAI/MSFT. It's one of those things where it probably dips after earnings like AVGO then pulls off a face ripping rally a month or two later. - MSTR, Bitcoin does well in Oct. Been shorted so Nav prem is probably around 1.4x-1.5x compared to 2x like during hype waves -RIOT/MARA pivoted to HPC so I like them more than before For hold stocks nothing really changed - Hood, I personally day trade so don't be offended if I think it's a good sell $130+ on a 12.27% increase day. - TSLA, cult stock detached from fundamentals - RDDT, I had a lot back at $100 wouldn't buy at $240 or 45B marketcap now so would probably sell/tri. - CRCL, just buy Coinbase instead - PLTR, cult stock detached from fundamentals, large part of their profit is just interest income - BMNR, just buy ETH if you want but ETH is a strong sell at $4k+ Strong Sell Anything carrying barely any rev with 10-20B+ marketcap I think is amusing . Props to you if you held OKLO from $8 to $116 though.
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分享期权卖方策略经验：选对券商、小户用保证金、精通IV与财报风险。
补充一下关于学习期权卖方策略的讨论： 1. 券商选择极其重要，大资金账户切勿使用 $HOOD。他们声称免费，但可能是期权交易中最差的券商，因为他们将订单路由给做市商(MMs)，并通过糟糕的成交执行来赚取你的钱。除非你在Mag7或SPY上卖出低点差的现金担保看涨期权(Cash-Secured Calls, CCs)或现金担保看跌期权(Cash-Secured Puts, CSPs)，否则请使用 $IBKR 进行订单执行，即使你以最低价格卖出，他们也能提供最好的成交。看似损失几美元，但每份合约0.2-0.4美元的执行差异能带来数千美元的差别。 2. 如果是小账户，我建议用保证金(Margin)代替2倍杠杆ETF，因为后者存在波动率衰减(Volatility Decay)。（你可以谷歌搜索为什么不要长期持有2倍杠杆ETF）。使用保证金有清算风险，但仍优于杠杆ETF。帖子中应该已经提到过这一点。 3. 学习股票的隐含波动率(Implied Volatility, IV)。例如，$HOOD 通常每天波动不超过4-6%。$NBIS 通常每天波动不超过7%。$TSM 很少出现单日4%以上的波动。如果你在 $NBIS 上卖出4天到期的CCs，例如6*4，卖出约$130的24%+虚值(Out-of-The-Money, OTM)期权（当前股价$107）通常是明智且盈利的。如果你卖出约$110的CCs，你是在要求股票被行权(Call Away)，这通常是你试图卖出股票时的策略。了解催化剂(Catalysts)也很重要。如果有财报(Earnings)发布，原始IV不再适用，因为股价可能大幅波动。财报期间的CCs策略完全不同。 4. CSP策略很好。如果你想用小账户大量操作，使用IBKR的投资组合保证金(Portfolio Margin)，这样你可以在很多股票上卖出大量深度虚值的看跌期权(Puts)。最大风险是你不知道自己在做什么，或者出现像今年早些时候全球突然加征20%关税导致市场崩盘这样的黑天鹅事件。我是从大量经验的角度说的，但新手可能会亏很多钱。IV规则同样适用。如果 $AMZN 通常每周波动+-5%，你可以卖出7% OTM的看跌期权，很可能每周获利。财报策略又是另一回事。解释起来很花时间，但也极其盈利。很多人持有$1M+资金，通过“更安全”的CSP或定投(DCA)每周被动赚取$10k。每季度财报周能赚大钱，除非股票像 $TTD 那样暴跌40%。但总体而言，如果你想复利增长财富+现有资产，学习这些很重要。 期权卖方策略是极佳的“房地产”（指卖出CCs或极深度虚值看跌期权），前提是你懂行且操作于 $IIBIT、$HOOD 等正规资产。否则风险巨大。总体上是给交易者很好的建议。只是我基于个人经验的一些想法和细微差别。
英文原文
So just to add to the discussion on learning option selling: 1. BROKERAGE IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT, NEVER USE $HOOD IF YOU HAVE A LARGE PORT. They claim it's free but it's probably one of the worst for option trading since they route your order to MMs and that's how they make money off of you by screwing your fills. Unless you're selling CC's CSP on Mag7/SPY with low spread, then use $IBKR for order execution since they give you the best fill even if you sell for the lowest price. It looks like you're losing a few dollars but .2 -.4 per contract on execution makes thousands of dollars of a difference. 2. If you're a smaller account, I'd recommend margin instead of 2x leveraged ETFs because of volatility decay. (you can use google to learn why you don't hold 2x leveraged ETFs for more than a short time). You have liquidation risks if you use margin but it's still better than leveraged ETFs. Think they pointed it out already in the post 3. Learn IV of stocks. Eg. Hood probably doesn't go up and down more than 4-6% a day normally. NBIS probably doesn't move more than 7% a day. TSM doesn't really move 4%+ a day. If you're selling CCs 4 days out like on NBIS, 6*4 for example, selling 24%+ OTM for like $130 if it's $107 is usually smart and profitable. If you sell CCs for like $110, you're asking for your stock to be called away and it's usually a strategy when you try and sell it. It's also important to learn catalysts. If there's an earnings coming up the original IV doesn't apply anymore since it could swing a lot higher or lower. Earnings CCs is completely different. 4. CSP is good. If you want to do a lot of this with a small account use IBKR portfolio margin, that way you can write a sell a ton of puts way OTM on a lot of stocks. Biggest risk is either you don't know what you're doing, or there's some black swan event like random 20% tarrifs on the world crashing the market earlier on in the year. Again I'm saying this from the perspective of tons of experience, but a newcomer might lose a lot of money. Same rule for IV applies. If AMZN is usually +-5% a week, you can sell PUTS 7% OTM and likely profit every week. Earnings again is a whole new strategy. it will probably take me a whole lot of time to explain this but it's extremely profitable too. A lot of people just sit on $1M+ and make like $10k a week passively doing "safer" CSPs or DCAing into positions. And earnings week every quarter is an insane amount of money. Unless a stock gets nuked like how TTD tanked 40%. But generally important to learn if you want to compound your wealth + existing assets. Option selling is great real estate (for selling CCs, or extremely OTM put selling) ONLY if you know what you're doing + do it on legitimate assets like IIBIT, HOOD. Otherwise there's tons of risks involved. Generally great advice overall for traders to learn. Just my thoughts and nuances to the lesson from personal experience.
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推测$ETOR因年底税务亏损收割被抛售，但基本面强劲且估值低。
@KevinLMak 可能是 $ETOR。我猜是因为它今年股价下跌，人们在年底(EOY)前进行税务亏损收割(tax harvest)。但它拥有约800多百万美元的净现金，市值36亿美元，同比增长22%（类似 $IBKR），且盈利，却深陷低谷。
英文原文
@KevinLMak Prob $ETOR. I'm guessing it's because it's down for the year and people tax harvest before EOY. But ~800+ net cash, 3.6B marketcap, growing 22% y/y like $IBKR, profitable, down in the dumps.
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分享9月精选15只高潜力股票及理想入场点。
我9月份精选的15只由催化剂驱动的股票，按截至2025财年的潜力排序，附解释及理想入场点： 1. $NBIS - 微软(MSFT)合同超170亿美元，稀释基本完成 < $100（现价）。相比 $IREN、$WULF 或 $BTBT 我更看好这只。 2. $HIMS - 42%的做空比例。来自欧盟的新增客户超120万。若有意外消息可能涨至$100 < $45 3. $LTC - ETF即将推出 + LTC储备 < $120（现价） 4. $RKLB - 中子号火箭将于2026年初发射 < $42 5. $TSM (看涨期权) - 市值持续增长至1.8万亿+，资本支出惊人。< $265（现价） 6. $ETOR - 随着 $HOOD、$IBKR 等金融科技股起飞，该股被低估。在当前价位下，我首选它而非 $DLO 或 $DAVE < $48（现价） 7. $LULU - 受假日消费提振，短期反弹至年底，超卖状态 < $165（现价） 7. $MRVL - 健康的45-55%同比增长，财报后遭不公平惩罚 < $70（现价） 8. $SG - 值得投资以博取反弹。去年股价$45。 < $9（现价） 9. $TSSI - 服务器机架（如 $SMCI、$DELL）正在追赶AI热潮的其余部分。 < $13.5 10. $ASTS - 像 $OPEN 一样的“邪教”级股票 < $38.5 11. $CRDO - 追赶 $ALAB 至380亿美元市值 < $125 12. $RUM - Charlie Kirk及保守派人士有望推动平台参与度至年底。 < $7.25 13. $AMZN (看涨期权) - AWS... 跟随 $ORCL 及其他数据中心财报表现 < $215 14. $SMCI - 2026年远期营收330亿美元。市值240亿美元哈哈。只要一份好财报就能起飞。$45（现价） 15. $IBIT (1年期LEAPS) - 鉴于美元超发，纯比特币敞口。不要 $MSTR 或 $BMNR，只要纯资产ETF < $112.5k 我还有什么遗漏的吗？
英文原文
My top 15 catalyst driven stocks from September sorted by potential to FY 2025, explanation, and ideal entry points: 1. $NBIS - 17B+ MSFT contract, dilution mostly finished < $100 (now). I like this over $IREN, $WULF, or $BTBT 2. $HIMS - 42% Short interest. 1.2M+ customers coming in from EU. Could up to $100 on surprise news < $45 3. $LTC - ETF launch soon + LTC reserves < $120 (now) 4. $RKLB - Neutron Launch early 2026 < $42 5. $TSM (calls)- Keep growing to 1.8T+ MC, capex spend insane.< $265 (now) 6. $ETOR - Undervalued with fintechl ike $HOOD $IBKR taking off. I'd prefer this over $DLO or $DAVE at current prices < $48 (now) 7. $LULU - Short term bounce to year end from holiday consumer spending, oversold < $165 (now) 7. $MRVL - Healthy 45-55% Y/Y, unfairly punished after earnings < $70 (now) 8. $SG - Worth the investment for bounceback. $45 last year. < $9 (now) 9. $TSSI - Server racks like $SMCI, $DELL catching up to rest of AI boom. < $13.5 10. $ASTS - Cult like stock like $OPEN < $38.5 11. $CRDO - Catchup to $ALAB at $38B MC < $125 12. $RUM - Charlie Kirk + conservatives likely to drive engagement to platform EOY. < $7.25 13. $AMZN (calls)- AWS... Follow $ORCL and other datacenter earnings < $215 14. $SMCI - 33B forward revenue 2026. 24B market cap lol. One good earnings and it pops off. $45 (now) 15. $IBIT (1Y leaps) - Pure BTC given USD printing. No $MSTR or $BMNR, just pure asset ETF < $112.5k Anything else I'm missing?
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作者类比UPWK，认为ETOR低市值高增长被市场错杀。
回顾我的历史，我通常在底部买入，比如 $GOOGL，或在短期底部买入，比如当所有人都认为公司会失败时的 $UPWK。 $ETOR 类似于 $UPWK，拥有大量现金头寸且盈利。但它正以 $IBKR 20%+ 的年增长率增长，而市值却极低。 有时很难逆着市场情绪交易，但我认为市场对此定价错误。
英文原文
If you look at my history, I usually buy stuff at the very bottom like $GOOGL or short term bottom like with $UPWK when everyone thinks the company will fail. $ETOR is similar to $UPWK with large cash positions + profitable. But it's growing at $IBKR rates 20%+ y/y but extremely low market cap. Hard to trade against sentiment sometimes, but I do think market is pricing this wrong.