业绩复盘
收益回顾、持仓表现、对错总结 · 共 481 条 · 滚到底自动加载更多
-
博主复盘今年亏损持仓，总结税务收割、迷因股及期权交易教训。
周末反思 ☁️ 我想列出今年所有亏损的持仓+经验教训。 ___ 1. $ETOR - ($62 → $38.6, 定投 $48, -19.58%) 2. $VIRT - (~$38 → $33, -45%) 3. $SNAP - ($8.2 → $7.69, -6.2%) (新) 4. $SG - ($8.2 → $7.32, -10.73%) 5. $GRRR - ($20.5 → $16.99, -17.12%) 6. $FLY - ($30.2 → $26.5, -12.25%) (新) 7. $LTC - ($113 → $91.1, -19.3%) 8. $OPAD - ($4.61 → $2.94, -36.2%) 9. $CRM - (~$250 → ~$243, ~30%) 10. $AMZN - ($218 → $213) (新) 11. $RDDT - ($202 → $195) (新) 12. $WULF - ($14.5 → $14) (新) 我发了很多股票，很高兴只有约7只短期看错（抱歉如果漏了一两只），还有约5只没踩准绝对底部。 我仍然认为它们会在2026年大涨，输家不多！ 个人反思 1. $ETOR: 基本面很好的股票。即使下跌~20%，我相信它会在2026年恢复。1/3现金，以盈透证券(IBKR)的速度增长。它受税务收割(tax-harvesting)效应影响（10月/11月），因为对冲基金卖出并在12月回购。 经验教训：无，我会再做一次。持有至2026年。为税务收割小幅减仓。 2. $VIRT: 如果我买看涨期权，可能不应该公开发布，因为这会影响对冲资金流。临近两次降息（对股市利好）时减仓进行税务收割。对冲有效但损失不少。 经验教训：对冲操作保密。仍然认为方向正确，只是想税务收割。 3. $SNAP: 在$8.2左右发布，当时他们将记忆功能转化为收入。这是2026年的布局，不担心短期税务收割。 经验教训：无。持有至2026年。 4. $SG: 说实话，我只是喜欢沙拉🥗。今年早些时候是$35+。我认为它最终会恢复，只是等待游戏，因为现在约1倍市销率(p/s)？ 经验教训：无。中期持有。 5. $GRRR: 调查其$14亿合同后迁移至$WLAC，看起来可疑。被$3.8亿市值对比$14亿收入潜力所诱。 经验教训：相信对可疑公司的直觉。如果属实可能5倍，但我不信任。可能不该进入。（已减仓） 6. $FLY: 下跌~12%，仍然是2026年中期升力布局。最近发布，时机可能更好。 经验教训：无，也许税务收割时机更好。 7. $LTC: 下跌~20%。加密货币被清算+政府停摆延迟ETF批准所重创。 经验教训：不要杠杆炒币。政府停摆延迟ETF批准哈哈。 8. $OPAD: 之前卖出，但当前价格-36%。我冲进去的迷因股(meme stock)。 经验教训：不要碰迷因股。 9. $CRM: 因短期期权+错过财报日损失~30%。波段交易搞砸了。 经验教训：始终检查财报日，只是一次性错误，以前没犯过。 10. $AMZN: 它是亚马逊。有时下跌1%。 经验教训：无。刚发布不久。 11. $RDDT: 以为$200是底部，进一步下跌。平均成本降至$190。 经验教训：无。刚发布不久。 12. $WULF: 因为所有新云(neoclouds)都在涨而买入。$14.5买入，跌至$14。 经验教训：不要盲目追高(ape)。时机可能更好。 _ 税务收割总结 除了新持仓($AMZN, $RDDT, $WULF)和提到的中期布局如$FLY（持有至2026年）外，大部分输家为年底税务收割而减仓。 TLDR: - 年底不要重仓税务收割股（如$LULU, $ETOR, $SNAP）。如果择时，等12月。 - 停止交易迷因股如$OPAD。 - 当SEA相关公司看起来可疑时相信直觉($GRRR)。 - 期权资金流影响流动性较差的股票（如$VIRT）。3月看涨期权可能仍会大涨，其他人买入可能影响行情，只是想税务收割。 其他交易如$AMZN, $RDDT, $WULF非常新，也许时机更好，但没踩准绝对底部。 _ 总体而言，目前还好！我数不清有多少100%+的收益...输家数量仍然很少，无论是数量还是仓位规模。
英文原文
Weekend Reflections ☁️ I just wanted to post every position I'm down on this year + lessons learned. ___ 1. $ETOR - ($62 → $38.6, DCA $48, -19.58%) 2. $VIRT - (~$38 → $33, -45%) 3. $SNAP - ($8.2 → $7.69, -6.2%) (new) 4. $SG - ($8.2 → $7.32, -10.73%) 5. $GRRR - ($20.5 → $16.99, -17.12%) 6. $FLY - ($30.2 → $26.5, -12.25%) (new) 7. $LTC - ($113 → $91.1, -19.3%) 8. $OPAD - ($4.61 → $2.94, -36.2%) 9. $CRM - (~$250 → ~$243, ~30%) 10. $AMZN - ($218 → $213) (new) 11. $RDDT - ($202 → $195) (new) 12. $WULF - ($14.5 → $14) (new) I post a ton of stocks, and I'm happy that there are only about 7 I've gotten wrong short-term (sorry if i miss one or two by accident) and about 5 that I didn't time the absolute bottom correctly. I still think they'll print in 2026, not too many losers though! Individual Reflections 1. $ETOR: Great stock fundamentally. Even down ~20%, I believe this will recover in 2026. 1/3 cash, growing at IBKR rates. It suffers from tax-harvesting effects (October/November) as hedge funds sell and rebuy in December. Lesson learned: None, Id do the same again. Holding for 2026. Trimmed slightly for tax harvest. 2. $VIRT: If I buy calls, probably shouldn't post publicly since it affects hedging flow. Trimmed for tax harvesting since we're nearing two more rate cuts (bullish for markets). Hedging worked but lost quite a bit. Lesson learned: Keep hedges to myself. Still think I'm directionally right, just wanted to tax harvest. 3. $SNAP: Posted around $8.2 when they converted memories to revenue. This is a 2026 play, not worried about short-term tax harvesting. Lesson learned: None. Holding for 2026. 4. $SG: Honestly, I just like the salad 🥗. It was $35+ earlier this year. I think it'll recover eventually, just a waiting game cause it's like 1 p/s now? Lesson learned: None. Medium-term hold. 5. $GRRR: Migrated into $WLAC after investigating their $1.4B contract more, seemed sus. Got baited by the $380M market cap vs. $1.4B revenue potential. Lesson learned: Trust my gut on suspicious companies. Could 5x if legit, but I don't trust it. Probably shouldn’t have entered. (Trimmed) 6. $FLY: Down ~12%, still a 2026 medium-lift play. Posted recently, could’ve timed better. Lesson learned: None, maybe better tax-harvest timing. 7. $LTC: Down ~20%. Crypto got nuked by liquidations + government shutdown delays ETF approvals. Lesson learned: Don’t margin crypto. Government shutdowns delay ETF approvals lol. 8. $OPAD: Sold earlier, but current prices are -36%. Meme stock I aped into. Lesson learned: Don’t touch meme stocks. 9. $CRM: ~30% loss due to short-dated options + missing earnings date. Swing trade gone wrong. Lesson learned: Always check earnings dates, was just a on-off mistake, dont think I've ever made this mistake before. 10. $AMZN: It’s Amazon. Moves down 1% sometimes. Lesson learned: None. Just posted recently. 11. $RDDT: Thought $200 was bottom, dipped further. Averaged down to $190. Lesson learned: None. Just posted recently. 12. $WULF: Bought because all neoclouds were going up. Bought at $14.5, dipped to $14. Lesson learned: Don't ape into stocks. Could've timed better. _ Tax Harvesting Summary Trimmed most losers for EOY tax harvesting, except newer positions ($AMZN, $RDDT, $WULF) and medium-term plays like $FLY (holding through 2026) that I mentioned. TLDR: - Don't go hard into tax-harvested stocks end of year (e.g. $LULU, $ETOR, $SNAP). Wait for December if timing. - Stop trading meme-stocks like $OPAD. - Trust my gut when SEA-related companies seem suspicious ($GRRR). - Option flows affect less-liquid stocks (e.g. $VIRT). March calls could still print so other people buying might affect things, just wanted to tax harvest tho. Other trades like $AMZN, $RDDT, $WULF are very recent, maybe could've timed them better, but get the exact bottom. _ Overall, so far so good! I've lost count of how many 100%+ returns I've had... and the number of losers is still small, both for count and position size.
-
博主反思应多买NBIS价外期权，但表示释然。
@babyfolio 2026年12月到期的期权，$110-$115的价位！ 我现在回想起来，本应该多做一些价外(OTM)的$NBIS $125行权价期权。不过没关系。
英文原文
@babyfolio December strikes like $110-$115 for 2026! I should have done more OTM $NBIS strikes like $125 now that I think of it. It’s okay though
-
博主回顾1月份进行的轻度虚值期权交易操作。
@LibertadEterno 1月份做了3个月到期、轻度虚值(out of the money)的期权。
英文原文
@LibertadEterno Did 3 months out in Jan slightly otm
-
博主感谢粉丝并分享收益增长7.5%
@soulbiri1 谢谢，结果涨了 7.5% 哈哈
英文原文
@soulbiri1 Thx turned out to be +7.5% lol
-
博主自嘲亏损，反思不应在历史高位盲目追高。
@soulbiri1 哈哈我已经亏损-5.29%了，我想这算是提醒我不要在历史最高价(ATH)时盲目追高(ape in)。
英文原文
@soulbiri1 haha im already down -5.29%, this is a reminder for me i guess to not ape in ATHs
-
因CIFR大涨跟风买入，未做深入调研。
@soulbiri1 我这么做只是因为我的 $CIFR 持仓今天涨了 29%，而且我看到 Wolf 的图表在那里显得很沮丧。除了知道 $GOOGL 的交易以及它与 CIFR 的相似性外，我没做太多尽职调查(DD)，但还是买了。看看结果如何！
英文原文
@soulbiri1 I'm just doing this because my $CIFR positions went up 29% today and I just saw Wolf's chart sitting there all sad. Didn't do much DD aside from knowing about the $GOOGL deal + similarity with CIFR but bought anyway. Will see how it goes!
-
清仓GRRR进行税务亏损收割并转向WLAC，明日将复盘策略。
@soulbiri1 我清仓了 $GRRR 以进行年底税务亏损收割(Tax Loss Harvesting)，并转向 $WLAC，我明天会发布一篇关于我的亏损和策略的文章。
英文原文
@soulbiri1 I sold out of $GRRR for EOY tax harvesting and pivoted to $WLAC, I’ll post a write up tomorrow around my losses and strategies.
-
博主分享RKLB建仓与信念建立过程，并列举长期看好标的。
@paramdan42454 这是我在未来5年，或者2年时间框架内，信念最坚定的标的。 对于像 $RKLB（$16 - 我首次买入时，$28 - 我建立信念时）这样的股票。 关于 $HOOD、$TSM 的事情是随机列举的，这只是我在未来十年内最坚信的内容。
英文原文
@paramdan42454 It's what I have the most conviction in the next 5 years, or a 2 year time-frame. For stocks like $RKLB ($16 - When I first bought, $28 - When I developed conviction). Things from $HOOD, $TSM, are in random order, it's just what I believe in the most within the next decade.
-
关税冲击致市场恐慌，建议现金抄底非直接受损股，作者认亏持仓。
让人想起越南的闪回。 说笑归说笑，特朗普对中国进口商品加征100%关税并限制关键软件对华出口后，市场下跌超过3.65%。 这一突发事件是理性的重新定价，但也由恐惧和追加保证金通知（margin calls）所催化（盘后，例如$IREN下跌21%，或$BTC跌至10.7万美元）。 这通常预示着增长放缓和通胀上升（降息概率降低）。 然而，Polymarket和美联储期货数据仍显示到2025年有70-72%的概率进行3次降息。明年的中期选举通常对股市有利。而且我们正接近季节性行情的尾声，这通常对股市最有利。 当然，许多股票在交火中下跌，没有任何直接暴露，例如$UNH或$DKNG（例如Draftkings与中国、进口等无关，因为它是美国体育相关的，但下跌了9.4%）。 简而言之：可能是短期的关税冲击，轻微的宏观风险，以及由恐惧引发的整体抛售，但随后将恢复。 现在市场已关闭，在流动性低、利差大的时候（如盘后/隔夜）可以赚很多钱（在早期的关税事件中，$HOOD隔夜从45美元跌至28美元，随后大幅反弹至100美元以上）。 正是由于这类随机事件，我不建议持有期权，因为头寸可能会瞬间被核爆。 如果你持有现金头寸，去为极端抛售寻找便宜货，例如$CIFR下跌16%至14美元，而不是恐慌性地卖出你自己的头寸。 否则，这类事件通常只是短期的冲击，我们可能会看到在10月下旬降息前的恢复。当然，前提是股票没有像$QLCM、$NKE、$MU、$CDNS等那样受到中国收入的实质性影响。 （我没有预料到反应的严重程度，今天损失了不少，但将持有头寸）。
英文原文
Getting Vietnam flashbacks. Jokes aside, markets dropped 3.65%+ after Trump tarrifs Chinese imports by 100% and restricts the export of critical software to China. This surprise event was rational repricing but also catalyzed by fear + margin calls (after hours, with $IREN dropping 21% for example, or $BTC dropping to $107k). What this typically foreshadows is slower growth and higher inflation (lower rate cut odds). However, Polymarket and Fed futures data still shows 70-72% of 3 rate cuts by 2025. Midterm elections next year are also generally bullish for stocks. And we're approaching end of season seasonality, which is typically the best for stocks. And of course, many stocks dropped in crossfire without any direct exposure, such as $UNH or $DKNG (eg. Draftkings has nothing to do with China, imports, etc. since it's US sports related, but fell 9.4%) TLDR: likely a short term tariff shock, mild macro risk, and a overall sell-off from fear, but into recovery. Now that markets are closed, a lot of money can be made is in times of low liquidity high-spread like after-hours/overnight (during earlier tariffs, $HOOD dropped from $45 to $28 overnight then went on a massive rally to $100+). Random events like these are why I don't recommend options as positions can be nuked up in an instant. If you have cash positions, go bargain hunting for extreme selloffs, eg. $CIFR dropping 16% to $14, instead of panic selling your own positions. Otherwise, things like these are usually short term from shock, and we'll likely see a recovery frontrunning rate cut in late October. That of course if the stock isn't materially impacted from China revenue unlike $QLCM, $NKE, $MU, $CDNS, etc. (I didn't expect the extent of the reaction, lost a decent amount today, but will hold positions).
-
分享受关税影响较小的个股建仓及宏观恐慌下的逢低买入机会。
关于持仓变动： 新建 $DKNG 仓位 - $32.7（看起来估值不错，下跌7%） 买入 $UNH - $356（下跌3%） 买入 $AMZN - $217.8（下跌4%） 感觉这些股票受关税影响最小，尤其是 Draftkings 哈哈。 另外，由于宏观担忧因特朗普的一条推文突然浮现，$SPY 下跌1.65%提供了绝佳的逢低买入机会。 举几个例子： $AMZN - 下跌3.7% $AMD - 下跌8.27% $HIMS - 下跌8% $SNAP - 下跌5.1% $META - 下跌3.07% $WLAC, $NBIS 始终适合定投(DCA)。
英文原文
In terms of position changes: Started new $DKNG position - $32.7 (seems pretty good value, 7% drop) Bought $UNH - $356 (3% drop) Bought $AMZN - $217.8 (4% drop) Just felt these were the least unaffected by tariffs, especially Draftkings lol.
-
博主祝贺他人收益并调侃自己持仓表现不及对方。
@platochi 我记得你在做完尽职调查(DD)后，一直在评论区推荐 $PATH，恭喜你的收益！ 我的 $CIFR 和 $NBIS 看涨预测目前仅上涨 130%-170%，所以我有点嫉妒你跑赢了我。
英文原文
@platochi I remember you kept calling out $PATH in the comments after you did the DD, congrats on the return! My $CIFR and $NBIS calls are only up 130%-170% so I’m a little jealous you outperformed me.
-
博主分享在关税恐慌中低买高卖AMD看涨期权的交易经历。
@Edu4rdo26 嘿，我在关税末日暴跌期间持有 $AMD 的看涨期权(Call Options)，当时价格是 $86，后来在 $95 左右卖出了。
英文原文
@Edu4rdo26 dw I had $AMD calls at $86 during the tariff doom drop and sold at $95 or something.
-
分享NBIS两周内涨14%的持仓收益并调侃市场预期。
@EestiRadar 自从我发布关于 $NBIS 的 ETF 帖子以来，大约两周内股价上涨了 14%，从 $106 涨到了 $121。 你们抱有什么样的期望呢 lol？
英文原文
@EestiRadar $NBIS is up 14% in like 2 weeks since I posted the ETF from $106 to $121. What kind of expectations are you having lol?
-
博主调整ETF持仓：大幅加仓AMD及新购多只AI/能源股，减仓部分股票以进行税务亏损收割。
哇，我在这个ETF上操作得极其激进，一切都涨得**很多。 不管怎样，以下是一些我会做的公司调整及解释： $AMD - +10%（重新评级） $FLY - +3%（新增） $WLAC - +1%（新增） $MU - +1%（新增） $FLNC - .5%（新增） $SEI - .5%（新增） $DFLI - - .25%（新增） _ 减仓（进行税务亏损收割 Tax harvesting） $ORCL $LULU $META $UPWK $ETOR $SNAP 其他小盘股 _ 以下是解释 $AMD - 刚刚获得了1000多亿美元的前瞻性收入，他们的季度收入几乎一夜之间翻倍，而且市场甚至还没有定价。极强的买入信号 $FLY - 44亿美元估值，从事类似$RKLB的小型至中型发射任务。让我想起RocketLab刚起步的时候，风险回报比很好。 $WLAC - Neocloud IPO，估值6亿美元（很低），EBITDA毛利率75%+，营收同比增长250%，很可能由Mag7（七大科技巨头）提供保底支持 $MU - 鉴于Stargate + OpenAI所需的基础设施量，内存需求旺盛 $FLNC + $SEI - 能源板块（高风险高回报） $DLFI - 电池板块（高风险高回报） 减仓 $ORCL - 在GPU建设方面遇到困难，这正好显示了超大规模云服务商和像$NBIS这样的Neocloud之间的护城河。直接购买Neocloud有更高的上行空间。 $LULU, $META, $UPWK, $ETOR, $SNAP. - 涨幅不大，我们要尽可能激进地持有赢家，并在完成税务亏损收割后回购，例如换成$AMD，以及获得更高回报的三次降息收益。 将在年底完成税务亏损收割后回购。
英文原文
Wow I cooked insanely hard with this ETF, everything is up a **** ton. Anyway, some company changes I'd make + explanations: $AMD - +10% (rerate) $FLY - +3% (new) $WLAC - +1% (new) $MU - +1% (new) $FLNC - .5% (new) $SEI - .5% (new) $DFLI - - .25% (new) _ Trim (Tax harvesting) $ORCL $LULU $META $UPWK $ETOR $SNAP Misc small caps _ Here's an explanation $AMD - Just got $100B+ in forward revenue lol, they almost doubled their quarterly revenue overnight and hasn't even been priced in yet. Extremely strong buy $FLY - $4.4B valuation doing small-medium lift launches like $RKLB. Reminds me of RocketLab when they first started, risk-reward is good. $WLAC - Neocloud IPO at $600m valuation (low) for something doing 75%+ EBITDA gross margin + 250% rev from last year + likely backstopped by Mag7 $MU - Memory in demand given the amount of infra required by Stargate + OpenAI $FLNC + $SEI - Energy Play (high risk high reward) $DLFI - Battery Play (high risk high reward) Trim $ORCL - Having trouble with GPU buildout, just goes to show the moat between hyperscalers and Neoclouds like $NBIS. Higher upside just buying Neoclouds. $LULU, $META, $UPWK, $ETOR, $SNAP. - Hasn't gone up much, we're playing as aggressive as possible with winners and will buy back once tax harvesting is done, eg. swap for $AMD, and higher return triple rate cut returns. Will buy back near EOY once tax harvesting is done.
-
博主回顾早期IPO获利经历，表示更愿持有Boost。
@cuantitative 我提前抢到了 $DJT 和 $OKLO 的首次公开募股(IPO)，但错过了 $BULL。这些股票都带来了惊人的收益，比如3-6倍的回报，但我总是在它们身上过早卖出。不过，与前面两只相比，我确实更乐意持有 Boost 的股份。
英文原文
@cuantitative I’ve frontran $DJT, $OKLO ipos, missed out on $BULL. Those were all wildly profitable like 3-6x return but I always sold early on them. I’m genuinely fine holding shares of Boost vs the first two though.
-
博主回顾自制ETF表现优异，称几乎全中。
@soulbiri1 是的，回过头来看，我制作的那个 ETF 简直太神了(goated)。几乎每只成分股都涨了。
英文原文
@soulbiri1 Yeah that etf I made was absolutely goated looking back in hindsight. Almost everything hit
-
博主感叹某股暴涨，自嘲持仓过少错失良机。
@rocket5010 疯狂的涨势，人们将这家市值4000亿美元的公司视为正在追赶市值4.5万亿美元英伟达($NVDA)的目标。我本应该多买一些，哈哈，我只有1100股。
英文原文
@rocket5010 Crazy run, people are seeing this as a $400B MC company chasing up to a $4.5T $NVDA. I should have bought more lol I only have 1.1k shares.
-
博主收益4.1%，因发布重大错误信息而删帖。
@itsdsha 我目前收益为 4.1%。 我删除了之前的帖子，因为我提供的信息有误，且该错误属于重大信息(material)。
英文原文
@itsdsha I’m up 4.1%. I deleted my past post since I gave wrong information that turned out to be material.
-
博主表示仍持有CIFR看涨期权，涨幅达169%。
@__visionxry__ 是的，我仍然持有我在发布逢低买入帖子时建立的 $CIFR 看涨期权。它已经上涨了 169% 哈哈
英文原文
@__visionxry__ Yeah I’m still holding onto my $CIFR calls when I made the dip buying post. It’s up 169% lol
-
持有等待恢复，对冲策略已生效，跌破30美元才考虑操作。
@BlessedFrLife 我只是持有等待恢复，除非它跌至 30 美元。虽然目前跌幅仍然不小，但对冲策略已发挥了作用。
英文原文
@BlessedFrLife Im just holding for recovery unless it drops to $30, it’s down quite a bit still but hedging served its purpose
-
纠正流通股误判，通过卖出看涨期权降低持仓成本。
由于解禁导致的流通股(float)变化是实质性的，我之前误读了新闻，以为那只是机构的一笔大宗(block sale)交易。这就是公开学习(learning in public)！不过股价确实可能回到$10，所以卖出略高于行权价的周权看涨期权(weekly CC)可以降低风险。我卖出了150张本周到期的$12.5行权价看涨期权，将平均成本降低了约20美分。
英文原文
Its float changes due to unlock, which is material, I messed up reading the news articles saying it was just a one large block sale by institutions. This is called learning in public! But yeah could always head back to $10 so writing weekly CC slightly above strike lowers risk. Sold 150 or $12.5 strike for this week expiry lowered cost avg down 20 cents or so.
-
计划定投并等待23日财报验证投资论点
@iPheNoX9 是的，我会进行成本平均(Cost Average)。除了近期至中期上升趋势中波动率降低之外，我真的无法理解这次下跌。 散户交易量应该会大幅上升。 等到23日发布财报时，我会让我的投资论点接受市场的检验。
英文原文
@iPheNoX9 Yeah I’ll cost average. Genuinely don’t understand the drop aside from near-mid term uptrend with lower volatility Retail trading volumes should be up a ton. I’ll try my thesis against the market when they release earnings on the 23rd.
-
博主分享在SPRB上2小时获利3.7万美元并部分止盈的经历。
我无语了……在 $SPRB 上2小时内赚了+$37K（已实现+$21K）。最终我止盈了大部分仓位。 对我来说这不算多，但鉴于如此短的时间框架，我觉得这很有趣，只是没人可以分享。 我会持有价值$30k的仓位看看后续走势。https://t.co/ywK3ozncPA
英文原文
I have no words… +$37K on $SPRB in 2 hours ($21K realized). Ended up taking profit on most. It’s not much to me but I just find this amusing given the short timeframe and had nobody to share it with. I’ll hold $30k worth to see where it goes. https://t.co/ywK3ozncPA
-
博主回顾加密资产历史预测并披露当前持仓。
@MqwantyMqwanty 我在比特币($BTC)首次冲向$124k之前，于$106k给出了目标价。随后在以太坊($ETH)冲向$4k之前，于$1.6k给出了目标价。 我目前仍持有比特币多头，没有以太坊头寸，并在$113做多莱特币($LTC)。 这些内容发布在我的Reddit上而非X，我最近才加入这里。
英文原文
@MqwantyMqwanty I gave $BTC at $106k before the first run to $124. Then $ETH at $1.6k before the runup to $4k. I’m still long bitcoin, no eth postions, long $LTC at $113 They were posted on my Reddit instead of X, I just joined here recently
-
博主复盘持仓亏损，认为ETOR市场定价严重偏离。
@LegalEagle123 @BaronAfanas 我目前 $ETOR 的持仓成本平均在 $48，所以处于亏损状态；我的 $VIRT 下跌了 30%，但如果波动率指数(VIX)保持低位，这是符合预期的。 原本以为政府停摆会让 VIX 短暂飙升，但结果并没有。 不过对于 $ETOR，我认为市场对此的反应极其离谱。
英文原文
@LegalEagle123 @BaronAfanas I'm like cost average $ETOR $48 at this point so I'm at a loss, my $VIRT is down 30% but it's expected if VIX stays low. Thought government shutdown would have spiked VIX for a bit but turned out not to. But yeah for $ETOR, I think the market is extremely off about this
-
博主自嘲此前期权策略过于保守。
@itsthesquonky 我在一两周前做了2026年1月、行权价130美元以上的期权，期限3个月，但显然那太保守了哈哈。
英文原文
@itsthesquonky I did Jan 2026, $130+ strikes 3 months out a week or two ago but apparently that was too conservative lol https://t.co/ls4L5BDxgq
-
博主披露当前约90万股票及15万期权持仓，承诺持仓破百万后更新。
@itsthesquonky 约90万美元的股票持仓，15万美元以上的看涨期权(Call)。当我通过均价摊高使股票持仓超过100万美元时，我会发布更新后的持仓。
英文原文
@itsthesquonky Round $900k in shares, $150k+ in calls. I'll post updated positions when I cost avg up above $1M shares. https://t.co/YX06OeQHgp
-
复盘HOOD走势，类比RDDT经历，强调中期预测差异。
那条帖子是针对大约13%涨幅后的下一个交易日发布的，$HOOD 是我长期高确信度持仓之一，但目前走势像极了 $PLTR。我在 $RDDT 上也曾有过类似经历，随后又跌了20%，但最终变成了买入机会。如果我要给出中期预测，结论会不同。
英文原文
that post was for the next trading day after a 13% gain or so, $HOOD is was one of my high conviction stocks for long term but is currently pulling a $PLTR had the with $RDDT and now dropped another 20% but turned into a buy. if i had to give medium term predictions it would be different.
-
博主反思去年因过早止盈 $MSTR 看涨期权，错失巨额潜在收益。
@mrazqkuki @SebastianS79509 @DeepValueBagger 呃，说实话，我作为多头投资者(long investor)的表现可能会更好，但没那么有趣。 例如，去年我在 $MSTR 看涨期权(calls)上投入了六到七位数的资金，因为我是在抢跑比特币减半(BTC halving)，仅这一项本就能带来约 3000%+ 的收益，例如超过 2000 万美元。但我却在 300-400% 左右就卖出了。
英文原文
@mrazqkuki @SebastianS79509 @DeepValueBagger Uh, I'd probably perform better as a long investor tbh, but not as fun. Had 6-7 figures in $MSTR calls last year for example, since I was frontrunning BTC halving and that alone would have been like 3000%+ $20m+ gain for example. But sold for 300-400% or something.
-
复盘RKLB和HOOD过早卖出，错失后续大幅上涨。
我曾在$15时持有约$600k的$RKLB，在$25时卖出，随后在$22至$30之间反复操作，但在$30多美元中期过早卖出，现在股价已达$47，这还不算太糟。此外，我在关税下跌时在$30持有$300k以上的$HOOD多头头寸，但在恢复至$38左右时卖出，否则现在本可获利数百万。
英文原文
Same I had like $600k of $RKLB at $15 sold at $25, kept flipping it between $22 and $30, sold it too early mid 30's and now it's $47, which isn't that bad. Also had $300k+ of $HOOD longs at $30 on the tariff dip, but sold on recovery at like $38, would have been a few million by now