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博主回应被拉黑，斥对方为兜售高价订阅的江湖骗子。
@RealMattMoney @michaeljburry @basispointpod @TheCompoundNews @theallinpod 是的，我被拉黑了，因为他的论点经不起公众审视。原以为他可能很有见识，结果是个兜售 $385 订阅并推销 Gamestock 的江湖骗子。
英文原文
@RealMattMoney @michaeljburry @basispointpod @TheCompoundNews @theallinpod Yeah I got blocked because his arguments don’t hold up to pubic scrutiny. Thought he might have been knowledgeable but the guy turned out to be a snake oil salesman selling $385 subscriptions and pitching Gamestock. https://t.co/xoT1vtp5cf
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讽刺 Burry 因 $PLTR 估值逻辑被驳斥而屏蔽批评者。
如果你用“Palantir 帮助美国政府利用黑盒 AI 程序入侵委内瑞拉”这一事实来回应 Burry 对 $PLTR 的做空论点，并且指出将其估值与小型企业营销工具 Hubspot 进行比较站不住脚，他会屏蔽你并隐藏你的评论！显然，当他的每月 385 美元占星术“头肩形态技术分析”和“Hubspot 与 Palantir 估值图表”在公开讨论中无法自圆其说时，这确实戳到了他的痛点。
英文原文
If you respond to Burry’s $PLTR short thesis with the fact that: Palantir helped the US government invade Venezuela with black box AI programs. And comparing the valuation to Hubspot, a small business marketing tool doesn’t hold up. He will block you and hide your comment! Clearly hits a nerve when his $385/month subscription for astrology “head and shoulders TA” and “Hubspot vs. Palantir valuation charts” doesn’t hold up to public discussion.
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推文仅包含链接，无具体文本内容。
https://t.co/VC9yJEKAmm
英文原文
https://t.co/VC9yJEKAmm
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批评《清晰法案》是银行游说毒丸，旨在扼杀竞争并控制资金流。
我们都清楚，这完全是为了PUA散户的胡说八道。这种行径对加密货币的危害，甚于Gary Gensler针对每一家金融科技公司的行动。 《清晰法案》(Clarity Act)强制加密货币以美元计价（这会抽干流动性），并将资金流动的完全控制权交给拥有银行牌照的公司。 机构无需该法案通过即可与加密货币互动。 这不过是银行游说推出的一枚毒丸，旨在摧毁竞争，以便维持其0.01%的活期存款利率，并阻止任何金融科技破坏其2天的ACH资金流转。
英文原文
We both know that this is complete BS to gaslight retail. This act is more harmful to crypto than Gary Gensler going after every fintech company. The Clarity act is forced dollar denomination to crypto (which drains liquidity) and hands complete control over flow of funds to companies with banking charters. Institutions can already interact with crypto without the act passing. This is just an poision pill by bank lobbying to nuke competition so they can keep their .01% interest rate checking and prevent any other fintech from disrupting their 2 day ACH flow of funds.
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英伟达市值达4.4万亿美元，获应得尊重。
@longinvest32 $NVDA 已经是一家市值 4.4 万亿美元的公司。我认为英伟达(Nvidia)正得到它应得的尊重！
英文原文
@longinvest32 $NVDA is already a $4.4T company. I think Nvidia is getting the respect it deserves!
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列出台积电营收预测，并提及特斯拉营业利润差异。
@XDJoeLee 这是不言而喻的。 $TSM（市值约1.9万亿美元）根据预测： ~622亿美元（2025年） -> ~858亿 – 874亿美元（2026年） -> ~1033亿 – 1053亿美元（2027年）。 差点没把 $TSLA 算进去，因为它的营业利润与其他公司差距太大，但想了想大家应该会有兴趣。
英文原文
@XDJoeLee That's a given. $TSM (~$1.9T MC) from projections: ~$62.2 Billion (2025) -> ~$85.8B – $87.4 Billion (2026) -> ~$103.3B – $105.3 Billion (2027). Almost didn't include $TSLA due to gap between operating income with the rest but thought people would be interested.
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AI 驱动下，三星和海力士营业利润增速惊人，有望在 2027 年追平或超越美股巨头。
全球最盈利公司排名（Mag 7 vs. 世界） 2025->2026->2027 年营业利润(Operating Income)预测。 #1: $NVDA (美国, 4.4T 市值) 🇺🇸 ~1350 亿 -> 1865 亿 -> 2401 亿美元 #2 三星电子 (韩国, 8200 亿市值) 🇰🇷 ~302 亿 -> ~1700 亿 -> ~2267 亿美元 #3 $MSFT (美国, 2.9T 市值) ~1285 亿 -> 1530 亿 -> 1815 亿美元 #4 $GOOGL (美国, 3.7T 市值) ~1290 亿 -> 1420 亿 -> 1730 亿美元 #4 海力士 (韩国, 4100 亿市值) ~327 亿 -> ~1240 亿 -> ~1610 亿美元 #5 $APPL (美国, 3.76T 市值) 1331 亿 -> 1460 亿 -> 1605 亿美元 #6 $AMZN (美国, 2.13T 市值) 800 亿 -> 1050 亿 -> 1365 亿美元 #7 $Meta (美国, 1.62T 市值) 833 亿 -> 970 亿 -> 1215 亿美元 #8 $TSLA (美国, 1.31T 市值) 44 亿 -> 80 亿 -> 240 亿美元 韩国 8200 亿市值的三星电子预计将在 2027 年在营业利润上追平 $NVDA。 同时，海力士预计将在 2027 年在营业利润上超越 $APPL 和 $AMZN。 主要结论是，由于人工智能(AI)的加速部署，美国超大规模云服务商和韩国股票的增长令人惊叹。
英文原文
Global ranking of the most profitable companies in the world (Mag 7 vs. World) Projections for 2025->2026->2027 (Operating Income). #1: $NVDA (USA, 4.4T MC) 🇺🇸 ~$135.0B -> $186.5B -> $240.1 Billion #2: Samsung Electronics (Korea, $820B MC) 🇰🇷 ~$30.2B -> ~$170B -> ~$226.7 Billion #3 $MSFT (USA, $2.9T MC) ~$128.5B -> 153.0B -> $181.5 Billion #4 $GOOGL (USA, $3.7T MC) ~$129.0B -> $142.0B -> $173.0B #4 Sk Hynix (Korea, $410B MC) ~$32.7B -> ~$124B -> ~$161.0 Billion #5 $APPL (USA, $3.76T MC) $133.1B -> $146.0B -> $160.5B #6 $AMZN (USA, $2.13T MC) $80.0B -> $105.0B -> $136.5B #7 $Meta (USA, $1.62T MC) $83.3 -> $97.0B -> $121.5B #8 $TSLA (USA, $1.31T MC) $4.4B -> $8.0B -> $24.0B Samsung Electronics, a $820B company in Korea is projected to catch up to $NVDA in 2027 in operating income. Meanwhile Sk Hynix is projected to overtake both $APPL and $AMZN in operating income in 2027. The main takeaway is that the growth of both US hyperscalers and South Korean equities is astounding due to Artificial Intelligence ramp.
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硅基金刚石散热技术预计2027-2028年成熟，政府拨款指引技术趋势。
@zephyr_z9 是的，硅基金刚石(On Silicon Diamond)加上用于散热的合成金刚石，大概要等到 2027 年底到 2028 年？ 但你可以从政府拨款的资金流向中，看出哪些技术是即将兴起的。
英文原文
@zephyr_z9 yeah, diamond on silicon + synthetic diamonds for cooling is prob like late 2027 into 2028? But you can see what's up and coming from where the money flows from gov grants.
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嘲讽将Hubspot与Palantir进行无意义比较的行为。
你前几天还在画 $PLTR 洗发水品牌的图表分析(TA)。 现在却把 Hubspot（一家为小企业销售博客和营销工具的公司）与 Palantir（一家帮助美国通过黑盒 AI 程序入侵委内瑞拉的 AI 国防承包商）进行比较。 我认为 Palantir 估值过高，但我不确定这些比较和图表的意义。
英文原文
You went from drawing $PLTR Shampoo brand TAs a few days ago. Into comparing Hubspot, a company that sells blogging and marketing tools for small business. With Palantir, an AI defense contractor that helped the US invade Venezuela with blackbox AI programs. I think Palantir is overvalued but idk about these comparisons and charts.
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警示散户勿重仓短期期权，亚马逊周权期权因股价连跌归零。
Reddit 上最受关注的故事： 一名 Robinhood 用户用积蓄购买了五位数金额的 $AMZN 周权看涨期权(Weekly Calls)。 条件是？ 股价需收复 205 美元以上，潜在收益可能超 100 万美元。 否则归零。 今天，亚马逊收于 198.8 美元。 亚马逊已连续第 9 个交易日下跌，导致其周权期权组合在本周结束时变得一文不值。 故事的教训：请停止持有短期期权。 那 2.6 万美元本可以随时间复利增长至 50 万美元，但现在它毫无价值。
英文原文
The most watched story on Reddit: A Robinhood user bought 5 figures of $AMZN weekly calls with their savings. The condition? Recover past $205 for a potential $1M+. Or go to $0. Today, Amazon finished at $198.8. Amazon has now dropped for the 9th straight session, causing their portfolio of weekly options to end the week worthless. Moral of the story: Please stop holding short-term options. That $26K could easily compound to $500K with time, but now it’s worth nothing.
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微软AI需求推高存储波动预期，远期隐含波动率或存在定价偏差。
我的假设是MMS使用了GARCH模型或基于长期平均值的波动率预测。韩国指数在过去10-20年间处于区间震荡。如果回顾往年，模型通常假设波动率在2年内会均值回归。但如果我们看微软对三星/SK海力士陡峭的营业利润预测，加上$MU/$SNDK等存储芯片固有的波动性，看涨期权将从波动率扩张中受益。因此，在我看来，远期隐含波动率存在定价偏差。
英文原文
My assumption is MMS used garchr models or volatility forecasting projections against long-term averages. Korean indexes were range bound for 10-20 years. If it looks at previous years, models typically assume volatility might re-revert to mean in 2 years. But if we look at MS's steep operating income projections on Samsung/Sk Hynix + inherent volatility with memory like $MU / $SNDK, it looks calls will benefit from vega expsnion. So further out IV looks to be mispriced from my view.
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分析贝莱德韩国指数期权隐含波动率定价及未来走势预期。
@cashbeking 这是贝莱德韩国国家指数2028年的期权链。短期隐含波动率(IV)看起来定价更准确，约为48%，但2年期LEAPS为32-33%。1年期现在是38%，但以前也是32%。不过我预计它们会一起上升。
英文原文
@cashbeking This was the 2028 option chain for Blackrock's national south korea index. Shorter dated IV looks like it's priced in more accurately at ~48% but 2Y leaps are 32-33%. 1Y is now 38% but that was formerly 32% too. I'd expect them all to rise together though.
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建议定投$EWY以布局存储周期，并澄清期权策略不适合所有人。
@TalentActivity 是的，定投(DCA) $EWY 股票似乎是获取三星/海力士敞口并参与存储超级周期的绝佳想法。这条帖子只是在讨论2028年的跳跃以及由定价不足的波动率带来的隐含波动率(Vega)扩张，期权并不适合所有人。
英文原文
@TalentActivity Yeah DCA $EWY shares seem like a great idea to get exposure to Samsung/Sk Hynix and the memory supercycle. This post was just discussing 2028 leaps and vega expansion from underpriced volatility, options are not the best way to go for everyone.
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博主因账号规模扩大，被迫创建付费子频道分享日常灵感与交易。
@platochi 是的，我创建了一个新的子频道，专门用于分享洗澡时的灵感(shower thoughts)以及全天内的随机交易(random trades)。 我的账户规模变得太大，无法在主时间线上发布所有内容。 我不想收取任何费用（或离开平台），但遗憾的是 X 强制要求设置最低门槛。
英文原文
@platochi Yeah I made a new sub channel just for shower thoughts + random trades throughout the day. My account go too big so can't really post them all on my main timeline. I didn't want to charge anything (or go off-platform) but X made me set a minimum sadly.
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利用$EWY期权定价错误，做多看涨期权以捕捉存储超级周期带来的维加扩张。
我发布在“淋浴思考”频道的交易思路： 韩国指数波动率套利，并利用布莱克-斯科尔斯模型(Black-Scholes models)。 $EWY 的看涨期权似乎定价错误。 这是贝莱德(Blackrock)的韩国指数，主要由存储芯片（三星电子、SK海力士）构成。 该指数每日波动2-5%以上，尽管隐含波动率(IV)定价像普通指数，但过去一年仍上涨了136.25%。 三星波动大。SK海力士波动也大（例如估算65%-80%）。 但通过指数组合后的定价远低于低贝塔值的 $GOOGL (37.33%) 和 $AMZN (39.12%)，约为32%的IV。 我观察 $EWY 一段时间，它确实看起来很波动。 至于定价，我猜测做市商(MMs)基于历史平均值（5-10年）定价IV，当时韩国指数完全持平。他们预期两年后的看涨期权会均值回归。 但这种波动应成为新常态，因为市场正在定价新的存储超级周期（例如 $TSM 从30% IV升至46.2% IV）。 看涨期权将从三星+SK海力士带动指数中受益。 主要好处是你无法从 $KORU 获得的维加(Vega)扩张。 你也无法像美国个股那样获得期权做市商的压盘效应，因为这是韩国的国家指数且期限较长。 简而言之：个别成分股SK海力士+三星具有高波动性。 它们基本上占指数的一半，但指数期权以低波动性定价，可能是因为基于5-10年的历史数据。 看涨期权将从维加扩张中受益，因为做市商的前瞻性波动率估算过于锚定于历史已实现波动率，而过去5-10年 $EWY 的历史波动率较低。
英文原文
Trade idea that I published to my shower thoughts channel: Korean Index volatility arbitrage and taking advantage of Black-Scholes models. $EWY long options seem mispriced. This is Blackrock's Korea Index, which is majority memory (Samsung Electronics, Sk Hynix). The stock swings 2-5+% a day, and is up 136.25% 1Y, despite priced like a normal index IV. Samsung is volatile. SK Hynix is volatile (eg. 65% - 80% est). But the combination of the two through the index is priced way less than both low beta $GOOGL (37.33%) and $AMZN (39.12%) at ~32% IV. I've been watching $EWY for a bit and it does look volatile. As for pricing my guess is MMs priced in IV based on historical averages (5-10 years), where the Korean index was completely flat. And were expecting calls 2 years out to revert to the mean. But this volatility should be the new norm as markets price in the new memory supercycle (eg. $TSM went from 30% IV to 46.2% IV). Long calls should benefit from both Samsung + Sk Hynix carrying the index. And the main benefit is vega expansion that you won't get from $KORU. You also can't get this option MM pinning like individual US stocks since this is Korea's national index and long term. TLDR: Individual components SK Hynix + Samsung are highly volatile. They're basically half of the index, but options in index are priced with low volatility, perhaps due to historical 5-10 year data. Long calls benefit from vega expansion that weren't priced in correctly as MM forward vol estimates are anchored too heavily on historical realized vol, which was low for $EWY over the past 5-10 years
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微软前沿模型开发属实，需重视关键矿产供应链。
@ak_dfranco 路透社报道关键矿产，认真对待此事很有道理。话虽如此，$MSFT 开发前沿模型并加以使用这一基础事实是成立的。这自去年起就已知处于开发阶段。https://t.co/KDOhV1pl9V
英文原文
@ak_dfranco Makes sense to take this seriously as a Reuters reports on critical minerals. That being said, some basis holds with $MSFT developing frontier models and using them. This has been known to be in development since last year. https://t.co/KDOhV1pl9V
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微软拟弃用OpenAI模型，转而使用自研前沿模型。
Windows Central报道：“微软AI负责人Mustafa Suleyman向FT确认，公司正准备弃用OpenAI的模型。” 话虽如此，该报道措辞非常耸人听闻，我引用它时感到有些抱歉。 但这可能有一定依据，鉴于$MSFT正在构建自己的前沿模型(frontier models)并计划使用它们来替代OpenAI。
英文原文
Windows Central. "Microsoft AI chief Mustafa Suleyman just confirmed to FT that the firm is gearing up to ditch OpenAI's models." That being said the report is worded very sensationally and I feel bad for quoting it. But likely has some basis with $MSFT building their own frontier models and using them instead of OpenAI.
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批评Clarity法案将加密资金导向银行，称其为行业灾难。
一派胡言。银行和其他机构早已能与加密市场互动。《Clarity Act》（清晰法案）只是扩大了强制美元计价的范围，同时抽干了来自收益的流动性。然后它将金融科技公司和交易所的所有资金流拱手让给银行。这大概是加密货币历史上最具破坏性的法案之一。假装通过该法案对华尔街有利，而银行正试图通过毒丸计划摧毁整个行业以保住其0.01%的活期存款利率，这简直滑稽可笑。
英文原文
What a load of BS. Banks and others can already interact with crypto markets. The Clarity Act just expands on forced dollar denomination while drying up liquidity from yields. Then it hands all flow of funds from fintechs and exchanges to the banks. This the probably one of the most harmful bills in the history of crypto. Pretending that it’s a good thing to get it passed for Wall Street while banks try and poison pill nuke the industry to keep their .01% interest rate checking accounts is hilarious.
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韩系存储巨头盈利或超美科技巨头，AI内存短缺或成常态，建议关注亚裔半导体股。
这些数据令人震惊： 预计三星和SK海力士将在2027年成为全球最盈利的公司。 它们的预测值超过了$APPL和$GOOGL，这两家公司的营业利润均约为4万亿美元级别。 作为参考，三星的估值约为8200亿美元，SK海力士的估值约为4100亿美元。 这意味着到2027年，一家估值约4100亿美元的SK海力士，其盈利能力将超过$GOOGL（3.7万亿美元）。 根据摩根士丹利此前的估算，SK海力士和三星预计将带来： 合计约3877亿美元的营业利润。 美国两家最盈利的公司$APPL和$GOOGL在2025年的合计营业利润为2630亿美元。（谷歌1290-1320亿美元，苹果1331亿美元） 2027年预测： 三星电子：约2267亿美元 SK海力士：约1610亿美元 2027年预测： 苹果：约1560-1650亿美元 谷歌：约1680-1780亿美元 较小的韩国股票在盈利能力上超过数万亿美元美国超大规模云服务商的统计数据令人震惊。 一个真正有趣的观点是，一家4100亿美元的公司其盈利能力超过了4万亿美元以上的超大规模云服务商。 但市场正在定价的更大问题是，内存短缺是暂时的，还是它们会成为AI基础设施建设中像GPU一样必要的“石油”。 如果你对这个问题的回答是“很可能”，那么获得韩国、日本或台湾股票的敞口可能是一个不错的选择。
英文原文
These numbers are staggering: Samsung and SK Hynix are projected to become the most profitable companies in the world by 2027. Their projections exceed $APPL and $GOOGL, both ~$4T companies in operating profit. For reference, Samsung is valued at ~$820B and SK Hynix is valued at ~$410B. That would make a ~$410B company in SK Hynix more profitable than $GOOGL ($3.7T) in 2027. By Morgan Stanley estimates earlier, SK Hynix and Samsung are est. to bring in: ~$387.7 Billion USD combined operating income. America’s two most profitable companies $APPL and $GOOGL combined brought in $263 Billion USD for 2025. (Google $129-132B, Apple $133.1B) 2027 est. Samsung Electronics: ~$226.7 Billion Sk Hynix: ~$161.0 Billion 2027 est: Apple: ~$156B-$165B Google: ~$168B-178B The statistics of smaller Korean equities exceeding multi trillion dollar US hyperscalers in profitability is staggering. It’s a genuinely interesting point, that a $410B company exceeds $4T+ hyperscalers in profitability. But the bigger question markets are pricing in is if the memory shortage is ephemeral, or if they become a necessary “Oil” like GPUs for the AI buildout. If your answer to that is “likely, might be good to get exposure to Korean, Japanese, or Taiwanese equities.
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看好NBIS长期价值，但短期面临融资稀释及宏观压力。
我两天前覆盖过 $NBIS。目前的动量交易焦点已转向内存/光子学(Photonics)，因为新云厂商(Neoclouds)在去年获得超大规模云厂商(Hyperscaler)订单后，目前处于静默建设阶段（每周鲜有新消息）。 尽管如此，我仍然看好 $NBIS，鉴于其年度经常性收入(ARR)达到80亿美元，且Clickhouse与Avride的加总估值(Sum of Parts)支撑有力（Clickhouse估值达150亿美元；例如若以400亿美元估值融资，其28%的股权价值为112亿美元，几乎相当于其当前市值的一半），我对Q4财报给出的牛市目标价为400美元。 不过，由于超额配售选择权(ATM)抛压、为能源公司(ER)3GW管道融资可能带来的稀释、宏观因素以及建设期间的资本支出(Capex)支出，短期内存在较大压力。
英文原文
I covered $NBIS 2 days ago. The momentum trade is now memory/photonics since neoclouds are in the silent buildout phase (with little new news weekly) after getting hyperscaler deals last year. That being said I still like $NBIS, $400 bull case PT Q4 earnings given they hit $8B ARR, Clickhouse + Avride carries sum of parts (Clickhouse hit $15B valuation, Eg if they raise at $40B that 28% equity is 11.2B, almost half their current valuation). That being said there’s a lot of short term pressure from ATM overhangs + possible dilution as they raise for the 3GW pipeline from ER, macro (largely), and capex spend during the buildout.
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建议若工作无成就感应辞职寻找意义，热爱工作则财富自来。
你只活一次！如果你在工作中找不到成就感，那么鼓起勇气辞职去寻找更大的意义是一种很棒的心态。当然，最理想的情况是从事一份你真正喜欢的工作，甚至你会在空闲时间也自愿去做。我发现当你做到这一点时，金钱自然会随之而来。
英文原文
You only have one life to live! If you don’t find fulfillment in your work, it’s a great mindset to take the leap of faith and quit to find greater meaning. Of course the best case scenario is the type of job where you genuinely enjoy the work that you’re doing. And that you would do it all in your free time. I find that when you do that money comes naturally.
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批评法案将基础设施让给银行，警告其将扼杀加密创新及COIN前景。
《Clarity Act》（清晰法案）简直是对整个加密货币行业的毒丸核弹，将所有基础设施拱手让给银行。禁止稳定币使用第三方收益，使得银行可以维持其0.01%的支票账户利率。要求接触资金流必须拥有银行牌照或IDI（存款机构）资格，这对你们风投组合中的大多数公司来说都是有效的核打击。继续坚持斗争，政府政策显然在确保美元作为所有加密货币的底层货币，这一点我们可以认同。但同时不要允许银行加入那些会摧毁加密货币和 $COIN 长期创新的条款。
英文原文
The Clarity Act is just a poison pill nuke on the entire crypto industry, giving all the rails over to banks. Banning 3rd party yields for stablecoins allows banks to just keep their .01% interest rate checking. Then having banking licenses or IDI requirements to even touch flow of funds is an effective nuke on majority of your venture portfolio companies. Keep up the good fight, Gov policy is obviously making sure Dollar is bottom line currency for all crypto that is fine to align on. But at the same time don’t let banks throw in provisions that nukes the long term innovation for crypto and $COIN.
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LPTH订单积压1亿，等待客户从锗供应链转向黑钻技术。
@Ren_aramb 是的，$LPTH 积压订单约 1 亿美元。需求确实存在，看起来现在是在等待企业从外国拥有的锗（Germanium）供应链转向黑钻（Black Diamond）技术。
英文原文
@Ren_aramb Yeah $LPTH is backlogged with ~$100m. Demand is there, looks like a waiting game for companies to switch over to black diamond from foreign owned germanium supply chains https://t.co/sgVpFZFwMa
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七巨头盈利强劲支撑科技股，但加密市场低迷警示短期流动性风险。
我认为“七巨头”(Mag7)的盈利过于强劲，不足以引发全面修正。$META 指引营收增长约 30%。$GOOGL 庞大的 1800 亿美元资本支出由其 2025 年超 1320 亿美元的营业利润资助。这些资金流入 AI、存储和半导体领域，为其提供了底部支撑（例如，存储占 AI 集群物料清单(BOM)的很大比例）。即使是其他板块的中盘股如 $RDDT，在 35% 的净利率转化为净利润后，远期市盈率(Forward P/E)估值也接近 26-30 倍，营收同比增长 70% 且远期增长超 50%。增长目前看来仍可持续，且软件等其他板块大幅折价。但比特币/以太坊尚未恢复通常是短期流动性问题的最佳“煤矿金丝雀”(canary in the coal mine)。我预计中期选举前会出现更广泛的复苏。
英文原文
IMO Mag7 earnings are too strong for a full-blown correction. $META projecting guided ~30% revenue growth. $GOOGL's enormous $180B capex spend is funded by it's $132B+ operating income from 2025. All those funds trickle down into AI, memory, semis and puts a floor on them (eg. memory is a huge percentage of BOM for AI clusters). Even mid cap in other segments like $RDDT, is close to ~26-30 forward P/E estimates after 35% of revenue as net income -> 70% Y/Y revenue growth and 50%+ forward. Growth still looks sustainable right now, and other segments like software are heavily discounted. But the fact Bitcoin/Ethereum is not recovering yet is usually the best canary in the coal mine for short term liquidity issues. I'd expect a broader recovery going forward to midterms.
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对比低估值高增长存储股与高估值消费股，感叹市场逻辑混乱。
有两家公司根本不在乎市场崩盘。 $APP 下跌 19.7% $DNKG 下跌 19.4% $PINS 下跌至 19.1% $ASTS 下跌 15.21% $RDW 下跌至 13.1% $USAR 下跌 12.4% 白银下跌 11.6% $OSS 下跌 9.58% $RGTI 下跌 8.85% $RDDT 下跌 6.8% $RKLB 下跌 5.4% $APPL 下跌 5.09% 黄金下跌 3.4% SPY 指数下跌 1.54% SanDisk 上涨 7.21%。 另一个最大的赢家？沃尔玛，今日上涨 3.78%。 你有一家远期 2027 年市盈率(p/e)约 7 倍的存储公司，其净利润同比增长三位数。 而一家浴巾转售商，增长仅与通胀持平，却坐拥 46 倍市盈率，表现优于市场。 市场正变得越来越没有道理。
英文原文
There are two companies that don’t care about market crashes. $APP down 19.7% $DNKG down 19.4% $PINS down to 19.1% $ASTS down 15.21% $RDW down to 13.1% $USAR down 12.4% Silver down 11.6% $OSS down 9.58% $RGTI down 8.85% $RDDT down 6.8% $RKLB down 5.4% $APPL down 5.09% Gold down 3.4% SPY Index down 1.54% Sandisk up 7.21%. The other biggest gainer? Walmart, up 3.78% today. You have a fwd 2027 p/e ~7 memory company growing net income at triple digits y/y. And a bath towel reseller growing in line with inflation sitting at 46 p/e, outperforming the market. Markets are starting to make less and less sense.
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推荐$LASR作为定向能激光领域最佳标的
@metapata 如果人们有生之年想看到这一点，$LASR 是对定向能激光(Directed Energy Lasers) 暴露度最好的标的之一 https://t.co/eNPepoBrk7
英文原文
@metapata If people ever want to see this in their lifetime, $LASR has one of the best exposure to energy directed lasers https://t.co/eNPepoBrk7
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分享$LASR大涨30%+，看好其定向能激光技术在国防及机器人领域的应用潜力。
$LASR 自上个月我提及以来已上涨近 30%+。显然，市场（和男人们）真的很喜欢那种能像拦截高超音速导弹一样击落任何目标的“死光”激光束。不难想象国防部将激光束安装在 $TSLA Optimus 机器人上并派它们去参战。如果美国正在从太空建造《星球大战》中的死星或《终结者》中的天网，这家公司就是那个核心。话虽如此，我目前并未持有该股票，但认为其他人可能会欣赏这类低调的公司。定向能激光（Directed Energy Lasers）确实非常未来感十足且酷炫。
英文原文
$LASR is up almost 30%+ now since I mentioned it last month. Apparently markets (and guys) really like death ray laser beams that shoot anything down like hypersonic missiles. It’s not too hard to imagine the DoD attaching laser beams to $TSLA Optimus Robots and sending them off to war. If America is building the Death Star in space from Star Wars or the Terminator from Skyney, this company would be it. That being said, don’t have any right now, but thought others might appreciate under the radar companies like this. Energy directed lasers are just so futuristic and cool.
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看好瓶颈ETF名单，认为该板块将跑赢大盘。
@rwang07 当然！瓶颈 ETF 是非官方自封的最酷 ETF。只等 @matthew_sigel 将其加入 VanEck。这是一个很扎实的名单，我认为该板块应该能跑赢大盘。
英文原文
@rwang07 Of course! The bottleneck ETF is the unofficial, self proclaimed coolest ETF. Just waiting for @matthew_sigel to add it to Vaneck. It’s a solid list, I think the group should outperform.
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博主调侃三个月后会有人询问是否听取了匿名者的建议
@zephyr_z9 三个月后，我预计会有一篇“你们听匿名者的话了吗？”的后续帖子
英文原文
@zephyr_z9 3 months later, I’m expecting a “did you listen Anon?” follow up post
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分享研究灵感来源：X平台互动、私信及线下讨论。
@yomattyboi - 其中三分之一来自像 @zephyr_z9 这样的 X 用户，他们引用转发我关于“$AXTI 磷化铟(InP) 兄弟们，你们考虑过 _ 吗？”的内容。然后我会进一步向上游进行研究。 - 另一部分来自评论区或人们提及股票时的私信(DM) - 最后一部分仅仅是线下的行业讨论
英文原文
@yomattyboi - 1/3rd of it is folks on X like @zephyr_z9 quote tweeting me about “ $AXTI InP bros, have you thought about _?” Then I do more research upstream. - other part is comment sections or DMs from people who tag about stocks - last part of it is just industry discussions irl