· 供应链分析

分析AXTI双寡头地位及IQE作为外延晶圆龙头的估值潜力。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

是的,分析得很到位!$AXTI 基本上在两个不同的瓶颈环节(上游原料加工和磷化铟(InP)衬底)处于双寡头地位。 $IQE 确实非常关键,但大多数人并没有将 $LITE 与其他超大规模云服务商(Hyperscalers)进行映射关联。 它可能是西方最大的外延晶圆(Epiwafer)工厂,其市值($38.5亿)与 IQE($1.5亿)的巨大差异,主要源于资产负债表状况以及纯题材(Pure Play)暴露度的不同。 如果他们能转向纯题材并消除拖累因素,估值重估(Rerate)的空间可能会相当大。

英文原文

Yep, that’s a good analysis! $AXTI is basically a duopoly in two different bottlenecks (upstream feedstock processing and InP substrates). $IQE is really critical but most people don’t really do the mapping to $LITE to other hyperscalers. It’s probably the largest western epiwafer fab, and landmark is $3.85B MC. vs IQE $150m mainly due to balance sheet and pure play exposure. If they just pivot to pure play the cut the drag could be rerated quite a bit

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