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  1. 个股论点 $CIFR$IREN$NBIS$WULF

    买入IREN,看好其获超大规模云服务商合同潜力。

    @cronked 谢谢!回复晚了,但在下跌后我买入了一些 $IREN。它比 $NBIS、$CIFR、$WULF 更具投机性,但我预计未来会有超大规模云服务商(hyperscaler)的合同。显然 $NBIS 的非对称回报(asymmetric return)潜力最大,但拥有其他新云(neoclouds)公司也不错。

    英文原文

    @cronked Thanks! late reply, but I bought some $IREN after the drop. It's more speculative than $NBIS, $CIFR, $WULF, but I'd expect a hyperscaler contract down the road. Obviously $NBIS is most asymmetric return but wouldn't be bad to have other neoclouds up there too

  2. 个股论点 $NUAI

    警告 $NUAI 严重稀释风险,认为散户难获益。

    我之前研究过 $NUAI,除非他们进行再融资,否则其稀释问题对散户投资者来说是一个危险信号。他们与 ATW AI LLC 有一项股权融资协议,允许以 95% 的市场折扣发行价值 10 亿美元的股票。重申一遍:存在远低于市场价的稀释潜力。他们还提议另外授权发行 30 亿股以上。除非他们进行再融资或避免从员工持股计划 (EPFA) 中提款,否则我看不到散户持有者除了短期拉升和大幅扩张营收(这涉及稀释和融资)之外,还能从持股中获得什么好处。

    英文原文

    I looked into $NUAI earlier, their dilution is a red flag for retail investors unless they refinance. They have an equity financing with ATW AI LLC allowing issuance of $1B of shares 95% market discount. Repeat: Way below-market dilution potential. They also proposed another 3B+ share authorization. Unless they refinance or avoid drawing from the EPFA, I don't see how retail holders can benefit from holding shares apart from short term pumps + expanding rev by a ton (which involves dilution + financing).

  3. 杂谈 $NBIS$NVDA

    博主自述偏好短期交易,承认长期持有NVDA或NBIS回报更高。

    @babyfolio 哈哈,我个人只做短期交易/动量持有。我确信人们只要持有 $NVDA 或 $NBIS 五年就能获得更高的回报。

    英文原文

    @babyfolio lol I personally just do shorter term trading/momentum holds. I'm sure people would get higher returns just holding $NVDA or $NBIS for 5 years

  4. 杂谈 $GLXY$SLNH

    作者表示对GLXY等标的研究不足,暂不发表观点。

    @Pacheca12345 我知道这些公司,但尚未对 $GLXY、$SLNH 以及能源等较小的相关标的进行足够的尽职调查(DD),因此无法给出自信的方向性观点。也许其他人可以补充发言。

    英文原文

    @Pacheca12345 I know about them but haven’t done enough DD yet on $GLXY, $SLNH, and smaller adjacent plays like energy to give a confident directional opinion. Maybe someone else can chime in

  5. 个股论点 $CRWV$MSFT$NBIS

    NBIS因微软大单、优质资产及强劲财务成为首选。

    是的,$NBIS 是毫无悬念的首选。$170 亿的微软 (MSFT) 交易为期 5 年,因此收入爬坡最快,这还不包括更多交易。他们拥有大量优质公司,例如 30% 的 Clickhouse(Anthropic 使用)。资产负债表强劲(例如已筹集 $138 亿+,仅 $40 亿+),不像 $CRWV 那样有重大利息负担。NBIS 做全栈 (Full Stack),业务更多元化,毛利率高。在 260 亿市值下,整体价值极其惊人。

    英文原文

    Yeah, $NBIS is #1 choice by a longshot. $17B MSFT deal was over 5 years so fastest revenue ramp, not including more deals. They own a ton of great companies like 30% Clickhouse, which Anthropic uses. Great balance sheet (eg. $4B+ raised $138+), no major interest like $CRWV. NBIS does full stack, more diversified businesses already, large gross margins. All-around such an incredible value at 26B.

  6. 解析超大规模云厂商资本支出NeoClouds转移的逻辑,看好NBIS等标的的高回报潜力。

    NeoCloud 论点:超大规模云厂商资本支出漏斗 为什么我要投入 150 万美元以上到 NeoClouds(新型云服务商),以及为什么这可能带来 200-300%+ 的回报。 🔹 分类 Mag7(美股七巨头)合约方:$CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅ 带算力:$IREN ✅, $BITF 投机性:$WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH 转向 HPC(高性能计算)的矿工:$RIOT, $MARA, $CLSK, $HUT 论点: Mag7 的 AI 算力紧张,这是 $NVDA 设计使然。 原本流向 AWS、MSFT Azure、Google Cloud 用于传统算力的数万亿美元资本支出,当它们无法处理来自 Anthropic、OpenAI、Gemini 等的新 AI 负载时,现在将漏斗式流入 NeoClouds。 这是一个十年一遇的机会,类似于让 $NVDA 成为 4 万亿美元公司的 GPU 军备竞赛,关键在于未来 5-10 年为 AWS/Azure 等提供基础设施支持的是谁。 NBIS(来自 MSFT 的 170 亿)、CIFR / WULF(来自 GOOGL 的 30 亿)、CRWV(由 NVDA 背书)都在以数百百分比的速度扩张(NBIS 季度收入从 1.5 亿增长到可能超过 15 亿),且拥有 60-80% 的毛利率。 这种收入增长在历史上几乎闻所未闻。这主要是因为最富有的超大规模云厂商将资本支出漏斗式注入这些小公司。 NVDA / TSM(2022->):为超大规模云厂商提供 GPU CRDO / ALAB(2024 ->):超大规模云厂商获胜 -> 抛物线式增长。 NBIS/CIFR/IREN 等(2025 - )AWS/Azure 等 -> 来自 AI 算力的抛物线式增长 这就是如何获得数百百分比回报的方法,而不是在 Paypal 上进行价值投资。动量交易下一代公司。 所以看空论点通常涉及 - 执行风险(以前更偏向投机,现在像 NBIS 这样的公司有 40 多亿资金来执行) 人们总是担心执行问题,但如果微软或谷歌没有做自己的尽职调查,是不会签署如此大的 5-10 年合约的。 - 高利率(主要看你 CRWV),这就是为什么 NBIS、CIFR 等具有惊人的回报潜力。 $NBIS 在每股 138 美元以上时有 40 多亿资金(现在是 107 美元)。$CIFR 在每股 16 美元以上时有资金(现在是 11 美元)。高于当前价格的资金是一个看涨信号。 - GPU 折旧(有效的担忧,但这几乎像石油一样,即使是旧型号也保持了价值并仍然提供权益)。 - 估值(我认为我们才刚刚开始。如果 NBIS 明年规模达到 60 亿收入,75% 毛利率),260 亿市值非常小。 - NVDA 可能推出自己的 GPU 即服务并直接竞争。目前这些 NeoClouds 是 NVDA 防止对 Azure/AWS 等集中风险的答案。 - 定制超大规模云厂商芯片如 TPU、Trainium。但可能还需要几年,因为他们仍在乞求 NVDA 算力并签署了 5-10 年合约。 无论如何,像 Nebius 这样的 NeoClouds 相对于远期收入/毛利率确实被低估了。 我们仍然处于非常早期的阶段。确保像特朗普选举时的 Crypto/TSLA 或 OpenAI 发布时的 NVDA 一样搭乘 NeoCloud 浪潮。 当然,这高度投机,我不会建议全仓 YOLO,但对于这些为 Google/MSFT 等(Mag7 的现金牛)提供 AI 工作负载的小型 5-200 亿 NeoClouds,风险与回报是值得的。(交易时间范围:8 个月 - 1 年。) 这是 2025-2026 年最好的非对称 AI 基础设施交易。

    英文原文

    The NeoCloud Thesis: Hyperscaler Capex Funnel Why I'm putting $1.5M+ into Neoclouds, and why this might be a 200-300%+ return. 🔹 Buckets Mag7 contracts: $CRWV, $NBIS ✅, $WULF, $CIFR ✅ With compute: $IREN ✅, $BITF Speculative: $WYFI, $GRRR ✅, $SLNH Miners pivoting to HPC: $RIOT, $MARA, $CLSK, $HUT Thesis: Mag7 is AI compute strained, by design from $NVDA. Trillions of capex that normally flowed through AWS, MSFT Azure, Google Cloud for traditional compute, will now funnel into NeoClouds when they cant handle new AI loads from Anthropic, OpenAI, Gemini, etc. This is a once-a-decade opportunity, similar to the GPU arms race that made $NVDA a $4T company, on who powers the infra for AWS/Azure/etc for the next 5-10 years. NBIS (17B from MSFT), CIFR / WULF (3B from GOOGL), CRWV (backstopped by NVDA) are all scaling hundreds of percent (NBIS went from 150M quarterly revenue to likely 1.5B+) with 60-80% gross profit margins. This revenue growth is almost unheard in history. It's mainly because it's the wealthiest hyperscalers funneling capex into tiny companies. NVDA / TSM (2022->): GPU for hyperscalers CRDO / ALAB (2024 ->): hyperscaler wins -> parabolic growth. NBIS/CIFR/IREN/etc (2025 - ) AWS/Azure/etc. -> parabolic growth from AI compute This is how you get hundreds of % in return, not value investing in Paypal. Momentum riding the next generational companies. So bear thesis usually involves around - Execution Risk (before it was more speculative, now companies like NBIS have 4B+ to execute) People can always worry about execution but Microsoft or Google would not be signing such large 5-10 year contracts without their own DD. - Large interest rates (mainly looking at you CRWV), that's why NBIS, CIFR, and others have potential amazing returns. You have 4B+ in funding for $NBIS at $138+ a share (when it's $107 now). And funding for $CIFR at $16+ a share when it's $11 now. ABOVE current price funding is a bullish tell. - GPU depreciation (valid concern but it's almost like oil, even older models kept their value and still deliver equity). - Valuation (I still think we're just getting started. If NBIS scales to 6B rev next year 75% gross margin), 26B marketcap is extremely tiny. - NVDA potentially launching their own GPU-as-a-service and directly competing. Right now these Neoclouds are NVDA's answer to preventing concentration risk to Azure/AWS/etc. - Custom hyperscaler chips like TPU, Trainium. But likely years away, since they're still begging for NVDA compute and signed 5Y-10Y contracts. Regardless these neoclouds like Nebius are really undervalued relative to forward revenue/gross margins. We're still very early. Make sure to ride the Neocloud wave like Crypto/TSLA with Trump election or NVDA with OpenAI release. Of course this is highly speculative and I wouldn't YOLO full port calls, but Risk vs. Reward on these little 5-20B neoclouds powering AI workloads for Google/MSFT/etc, the cash cows of Mag7, is worth it. (Trade time Horizon: 8m - 1 year.) This is the single best asymmetric AI infrastructure trade for 2025-2026.

  7. 个股论点 $HIMS

    HIMS大幅降价促增长,预期股价涨至100美元。

    @unusual_whales 随着价格下调1000%,$HIMS 将开始付费让大家服用 🐓药丸。股价很快将升至100美元,人口激增,感谢特朗普。

    英文原文

    @unusual_whales With 1000% price reduction, $HIMS will start to pay everyone to take 🐓pills. $100 share price soon and population boom, thanks Trump

  8. 杂谈 $AAL

    调侃AAL因名称含American而受益遣送航班概念。

    @Ze1ooooo 关于遣送航班(deportation flights)的论点很有效。你忘了提 $AAL 的名字里也有“American”这个词,所以股价会上涨。

    英文原文

    @Ze1ooooo Valid thesis on deportation flights. You forgot to mention $AAL also has the word American in the name stok price goes up.

  9. 方法论

    建议大量期权交易者转用盈透证券,小散户可留原券商。

    @TribeRuffner 我进一步研究了一下,盈透证券(IBKR) 的期权执行可能最好。 如果你交易大量期权,绝对值得更换券商。 如果你只是小散户卖备兑看涨期权(CCs) 或单纯持有股票,留在 Robinhood 或嘉信理财(Schwab) 也没问题。

    英文原文

    @TribeRuffner Looked into it a bit more and IBKR probably has the best option execution. If you're touching large quantities of options it's 100% worth moving brokerages. If you're a little fish selling CCs or just holding stock, it's fine to stay in Robinhood or Schwab.

  10. 方法论 $GOOGL$TSM

    对比PayPal与GOOGL、TSM的隐含波动率,质疑其期权溢价性价比。

    @DeepValueBagger @PaperBozz @FrostyFinances 隐含波动率(Implied Volatility)为38%,对于像PayPal这样的标的来说处于较高水平,所以我不确定溢价是否真的便宜。例如,当我交易$GOOGL看涨期权时,隐含波动率为28%,或者$TSM为32%。

    英文原文

    @DeepValueBagger @PaperBozz @FrostyFinances IV is 38% which is on the higher end for something like PayPal though so not sure about premium being cheap. When I did $GOOGL calls they were 28% for example or $TSM was 32%.

  11. 个股论点 $PYPL

    作者认为 PayPal 适合交易而非投资,建议关注 2026 年 3 月 $60 看涨期权。

    @DeepValueBagger @PaperBozz @FrostyFinances 哦,是的,我对 PayPal 也有类似的看法。我不会将 $PYPL 股票作为投资标的,但它看起来适合交易。比如,如果有人在 2026 年 3 月买入 $60 的看涨期权,可能会获得不错的收益。

    英文原文

    @DeepValueBagger @PaperBozz @FrostyFinances Oh yeah I had the similar thoughts about PayPal. I wouldn't touch $PYPL shares as an investment but it does look decent for trading. Like Mar 2026 $60 calls would probably print a decent amount if someone did it.

  12. 业绩复盘 $ASTS$BTC$LTC$NBIS

    博主表示愿对ETF加杠杆,计划减仓ASTS,持有LTC/BTC不追高NBIS。

    @soulbiri1 哈哈,对于上面的投资组合ETF,我甚至愿意使用1.5倍的杠杆。在$ASTS反弹32%后,我会考虑减仓。在这些价位上,我依然看好$LTC和$BTC,所以不会为了买入更多$NBIS而减仓它们。记得卖出看涨期权(CC)!

    英文原文

    @soulbiri1 Lol the portfolio etf above id be comfortable 1.5x margin. I'd be fine trimming $ASTS after 32% recovery. I still like $LTC and $BTC at these prices so I wouldn't trim for more $NBIS. Make sure to sell CC's!

  13. 方法论

    博主偏好持有股票而非频繁做CSP,认为股票上涨回报高于期权权利金。

    不,我主要做看涨期权(Call Credits),除非是财报季,因为我更倾向于持有股票。那些每周频繁做看跌期权(CSP)的人,很多时候现金占比高达80%。当然,你仍然可以用杠杆或20%的现金来做,但我偏爱不这么做,因为我抄底时机把握得相当好,且股票上涨带来的回报超过了CSP的权利金收益。是的,这些总是做周权。

    英文原文

    No I do mainly CC's unless it's earnings since I prefer to hold equities. People who do CSPs's every week a lot of times have like 80% cash. Obviously you can still do it with margin or 20% cash but I prefer not to do it since I time the bottom pretty well and returns on stock going up outweigh CSP premiums. Yeah always weeklies for these.

  14. 方法论

    建议模拟交易备兑看涨期权以学习,虽难掌握但优于收租。

    嗯,为了学习目的,模拟交易(Paper Trade)你现有持仓的备兑看涨期权(Covered Calls)并观察是否每周都能获利,是个好主意。 仍然不建议初学者这样做,但如果能熟练掌握,利润非常可观。 我宁愿卖出备兑看涨期权(CSP),也不愿买房后出租,但我会说99%以上的人无法有效执行这一策略。 很高兴能帮上一点忙!

    英文原文

    Hmm, for learning purposes it's a good idea to paper trade covered calls on your existing stocks and see if you profit every week. Still don't recommend it for beginners, but highly profitable to learn if you get good at it. I'd prefer selling CSP over buying then renting out real estate but I'd say 99%+ of people can't do it effectively. Glad I was able to help a bit!

  15. 方法论 $AMZN$CIFR$GOOGL$IBIT$IREN$TSM

    作者打破只买正股规则,在特定黑天鹅或底部信号下转向期权策略。

    我在这里打破了自己关于只买正股而非看涨期权(call)的经验法则——32%的隐含波动率(IV)股票,但通常如果发生黑天鹅事件导致无关紧要的下跌,例如 $IREN 因摩根大通(JPM)糟糕的目标价下跌14%。或者 $CIFR 下跌17%后仅因 $GOOGL 的支撑而下跌5%,这时我会转向看涨期权。通常如果我认为触底了,或者认为像 $TSM $AMZN 这样的股票会在几个月内上涨,且我在定投(DCA),且IV没有偏离32%太多且不至于糟糕,我会考虑使用期权。当然也有例外,比如 $IBIT 高IV时跳入周度备兑看涨期权(covered calls),但那是另一种策略。不过,抄底时机极难把握。

    英文原文

    I broke my own rule of thumb here about shares only vs. call -> 32% IV stock but usually if something black swans off something immaterial eg. $IREN 14% drop off JPM bs price target. Or $CIFR 17% drop into 5% drop off $GOOGL backstopping it, then I switch to calls. Usually if I think it's a bottom or if I think a stock would go up like $TSM $AMZN over a few months and I'm DCA and IV isn't way off 32% and horrendous I'd consider it. There's exceptions obviously like $IBIT with higher IV leaps into weekly covered calls but that's another strategy. Bottom timing is extremely hard though

  16. 杂谈

    赞赏博主公开提醒2倍杠杆ETF风险,并认可其期权卖出观点。

    @pepemoonboy @KresoOptions 哦,是的,我本来打算早点指出2倍杠杆ETF(Leveraged ETFs)的问题,但很高兴你提醒大家了。 为你公开告知大家而不是试图隐藏帖子,表示尊重+致敬👏。不过你关于期权卖出(Option Selling)的见解大体上是正确的。

    英文原文

    @pepemoonboy @KresoOptions Oh yeah I was going to point out 2x leveraged ETFs earlier but glad you alerted everyone about it. Respect + honorable 👏 for letting everyone know instead of trying to hide your post. Your insights about option selling are generally true though

  17. 方法论 $AMZN$HOOD$IBKR$IIBIT$NBIS$TSM$TTD

    分享期权卖方策略经验:选对券商、小户用保证金、精通IV与财报风险。

    补充一下关于学习期权卖方策略的讨论: 1. 券商选择极其重要,大资金账户切勿使用 $HOOD。他们声称免费,但可能是期权交易中最差的券商,因为他们将订单路由给做市商(MMs),并通过糟糕的成交执行来赚取你的钱。除非你在Mag7或SPY上卖出低点差的现金担保看涨期权(Cash-Secured Calls, CCs)或现金担保看跌期权(Cash-Secured Puts, CSPs),否则请使用 $IBKR 进行订单执行,即使你以最低价格卖出,他们也能提供最好的成交。看似损失几美元,但每份合约0.2-0.4美元的执行差异能带来数千美元的差别。 2. 如果是小账户,我建议用保证金(Margin)代替2倍杠杆ETF,因为后者存在波动率衰减(Volatility Decay)。(你可以谷歌搜索为什么不要长期持有2倍杠杆ETF)。使用保证金有清算风险,但仍优于杠杆ETF。帖子中应该已经提到过这一点。 3. 学习股票的隐含波动率(Implied Volatility, IV)。例如,$HOOD 通常每天波动不超过4-6%。$NBIS 通常每天波动不超过7%。$TSM 很少出现单日4%以上的波动。如果你在 $NBIS 上卖出4天到期的CCs,例如6*4,卖出约$130的24%+虚值(Out-of-The-Money, OTM)期权(当前股价$107)通常是明智且盈利的。如果你卖出约$110的CCs,你是在要求股票被行权(Call Away),这通常是你试图卖出股票时的策略。了解催化剂(Catalysts)也很重要。如果有财报(Earnings)发布,原始IV不再适用,因为股价可能大幅波动。财报期间的CCs策略完全不同。 4. CSP策略很好。如果你想用小账户大量操作,使用IBKR的投资组合保证金(Portfolio Margin),这样你可以在很多股票上卖出大量深度虚值的看跌期权(Puts)。最大风险是你不知道自己在做什么,或者出现像今年早些时候全球突然加征20%关税导致市场崩盘这样的黑天鹅事件。我是从大量经验的角度说的,但新手可能会亏很多钱。IV规则同样适用。如果 $AMZN 通常每周波动+-5%,你可以卖出7% OTM的看跌期权,很可能每周获利。财报策略又是另一回事。解释起来很花时间,但也极其盈利。很多人持有$1M+资金,通过“更安全”的CSP或定投(DCA)每周被动赚取$10k。每季度财报周能赚大钱,除非股票像 $TTD 那样暴跌40%。但总体而言,如果你想复利增长财富+现有资产,学习这些很重要。 期权卖方策略是极佳的“房地产”(指卖出CCs或极深度虚值看跌期权),前提是你懂行且操作于 $IIBIT、$HOOD 等正规资产。否则风险巨大。总体上是给交易者很好的建议。只是我基于个人经验的一些想法和细微差别。

    英文原文

    So just to add to the discussion on learning option selling: 1. BROKERAGE IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT, NEVER USE $HOOD IF YOU HAVE A LARGE PORT. They claim it's free but it's probably one of the worst for option trading since they route your order to MMs and that's how they make money off of you by screwing your fills. Unless you're selling CC's CSP on Mag7/SPY with low spread, then use $IBKR for order execution since they give you the best fill even if you sell for the lowest price. It looks like you're losing a few dollars but .2 -.4 per contract on execution makes thousands of dollars of a difference. 2. If you're a smaller account, I'd recommend margin instead of 2x leveraged ETFs because of volatility decay. (you can use google to learn why you don't hold 2x leveraged ETFs for more than a short time). You have liquidation risks if you use margin but it's still better than leveraged ETFs. Think they pointed it out already in the post 3. Learn IV of stocks. Eg. Hood probably doesn't go up and down more than 4-6% a day normally. NBIS probably doesn't move more than 7% a day. TSM doesn't really move 4%+ a day. If you're selling CCs 4 days out like on NBIS, 6*4 for example, selling 24%+ OTM for like $130 if it's $107 is usually smart and profitable. If you sell CCs for like $110, you're asking for your stock to be called away and it's usually a strategy when you try and sell it. It's also important to learn catalysts. If there's an earnings coming up the original IV doesn't apply anymore since it could swing a lot higher or lower. Earnings CCs is completely different. 4. CSP is good. If you want to do a lot of this with a small account use IBKR portfolio margin, that way you can write a sell a ton of puts way OTM on a lot of stocks. Biggest risk is either you don't know what you're doing, or there's some black swan event like random 20% tarrifs on the world crashing the market earlier on in the year. Again I'm saying this from the perspective of tons of experience, but a newcomer might lose a lot of money. Same rule for IV applies. If AMZN is usually +-5% a week, you can sell PUTS 7% OTM and likely profit every week. Earnings again is a whole new strategy. it will probably take me a whole lot of time to explain this but it's extremely profitable too. A lot of people just sit on $1M+ and make like $10k a week passively doing "safer" CSPs or DCAing into positions. And earnings week every quarter is an insane amount of money. Unless a stock gets nuked like how TTD tanked 40%. But generally important to learn if you want to compound your wealth + existing assets. Option selling is great real estate (for selling CCs, or extremely OTM put selling) ONLY if you know what you're doing + do it on legitimate assets like IIBIT, HOOD. Otherwise there's tons of risks involved. Generally great advice overall for traders to learn. Just my thoughts and nuances to the lesson from personal experience.

  18. 个股论点 $NBIS

    看好NBIS期权未平仓量激增,目标价150-200美元。

    @babyfolio 哦,是的,它们仅用于日内/波段交易。我不相信其中一半的说法,但总体而言,应该是盈利的。 我同意 $NBIS 将涨至 150-200+ 美元。场外看跌期权(OTM Calls)的未平仓合约量实在太多了,所以接下来的走势应该会很有趣。

    英文原文

    @babyfolio Oh yeah they're just for day/swing trading. I don't believe in half of them but overall, should be profitable. I agree with $NBIS to $150-200+ though. There's way too many open interest calls OTM so now things should be interesting.

  19. 分享今日多只股票及加密货币的短期交易与长期持仓逻辑。

    除了ORCL、$NBIS、$IREN、$CIFR之外,今天这些是一些有趣的(短期)投资组合新增/交易和入场点,如果你好奇的话,附上我的一点点理由: GEMI ~$23.9 - 有趣的短期波段交易,随时波动+-~5%。不过从市值(Market Cap)来看被高估了。 AMZN ~$219.78 - 为4个月的时间框架进行定投(DCA)。 Figma ~$52.65 - 之前跌了4-5%,预计它会恢复。利润率在10亿美元营收基础上高达90%或类似的离谱数字。有趣的短期交易。 RKLB ~ $46.29 - 在$43 -> 53之间有趣的波段交易。 CRDO ~ $142.21 - 只是觉得它可能在10月反弹,定投(DCA)。 BTC ~ $109.5k - 不太在意+-5k的波动,这是为了长期持仓。 KLAR ~ $39.95 - 有趣的波段交易。 ETOR ~ $40.95 - 难以置信的低估lol。我可能会持有这东西$1M,而价格就保持不变。 当然,还在ORCL、CIFR、NBIS、IREN等股票上卖出了虚值(Out of the Money)的周权备兑看涨期权(Covered Calls)。

    英文原文

    Apart from ORCL, $NBIS, $IREN, $CIFR today these were some fun (short term) portfolio adds/trades and entries if you were curious + tiny bit of my reasoning: GEMI ~$23.9 - fun short term swing trade +- ~5% all the time. Overvalued though MC wise. AMZN ~$219.78 - DCA for 4 month timeframe. Figma ~$52.65 - was down like 4-5%, just expected it to recover. Profit margins are like 90% or something stupid off 1B revenue. Fun short term trade RKLB ~ $46.29 - fun swing trade between $43 -> 53. CRDO ~ $142.21 - Just thought it might rebound in Oct, DCA BTC ~ $109.5k - don't really care about +-5k too much, this is for long term positions. KLAR ~ $39.95 - fun swing trade ETOR ~ $40.95 - incredibly undervalued lol. I might end up with $1M of this thing and it will just stay the same price. And of course sold weekly covered calls on ORCL, CIFR, NBIS, IREN, etc... for way out of money strikes.

  20. 杂谈 $IREN

    博主调侃JP Moron对IREN的目标价。

    @Umbisam 看到 JP Moron 时我笑了。对于 $IREN 的目标价来说,这是个有趣的名字。

    英文原文

    @Umbisam I laughed when at JP Moron. Funny name for those $IREN price targets.

  21. 杂谈 $ETH$HOOD$SOL

    建议通过零费率平台买入ETH并质押,或选择质押ETF。

    @DividendDude_X 在 $HOOD 上以 0 手续费买入 USDC(美元稳定币),-> 购买价值 $100 的 $ETH 用于支付 Gas(Gas费,即区块链交易手续费)。 在 DEX(去中心化交易所)上将 USDC 兑换为 STETH 或其他资产,并存储在 Ledger(Ledger硬件钱包)硬件钱包中。 如果你只是做 ETH 或 SOL,现在已经有质押 ETF 了。

    英文原文

    @DividendDude_X Buy USDC on $HOOD 0 fee, -> buy $100 worth of $ETH for gas fees. Swap USDC for STETH or something on a DEX and hold it on Ledger hardware wallet. If you're just doing ETH or SOL there's staked ETFs now.

  22. 业绩复盘 $CIFR$IRRN$NBIS

    博主分享期权交易盈利,但警告高风险,建议买入正股。

    @pepemoonboy 谢谢!我今天做的每一笔 $NBIS $CIFR $IRRN 看涨期权(call) 都盈利了,涨幅大约在 5-20%。但我不会向任何人推荐短期看涨期权,因为风险真的很高。买入正股(shares) 才是正道!我只在我觉得是日内底部时才做看涨期权,而且我也稍微有点运气。

    英文原文

    @pepemoonboy Thanks! I'm green on every single $NBIS $CIFR $IRRN call by like 5-20% today but I wouldn't recommend short term calls to anyone since risk is really high. Shares are the way to go! I only do calls when I feel like it's the daily bottom and I had a bit of luck on my side

  23. 业绩复盘 $SMCI

    博主凭直觉交易SMCI,两天获利18%。

    @__visionxry__ 哦,我刚才完全是凭直觉做的这笔交易。 它对 $SMCI 奏效了,两天内涨了大约 18%。

    英文原文

    @__visionxry__ Oh I just did this one on feels. It worked with $SMCI went up like 18% in 2 days after

  24. 个股论点 $ETH$IBIT

    博主在当前位置买入IBIT,但不看好ETH。

    @3KComeback 是的,在这些价位买入相当数量的比特币现货ETF($IBIT)。不过我不看好以太坊($ETH)。

    英文原文

    @3KComeback Yeah buying a decent amount of $IBIT at these levels. I don't like $ETH though.

  25. 业绩复盘

    博主分享一小时内通过看涨期权获利超1万美元的交易经历。

    @Wind56083722900 哈哈,谢谢。仅凭其中一个看涨期权(Call Option)的合约,我一小时内就赚了超过1万美元。手头留点闲钱,以便在股价意外大幅下跌时买入看涨期权。 https://t.co/BveSfka10a

    英文原文

    @Wind56083722900 lol thanks. I'm up over $10K in an hour on just one of those call strikes. Good to have some spare change to buy calls if something really drops beyond expectations https://t.co/BveSfka10a

  26. 个股论点 $CRM

    凭直觉认为$CRM在$243的看涨期权表现良好。

    $CRM 的看涨期权在 $243 这个价位看起来也不错,只是凭一种模糊的直觉。

    英文原文

    $CRM calls also looks good somehow at $243, just a fuzzy feeling

  27. 个股论点 $AVGO

    持仓观望一个月,看财报后是否复刻AVGO走势。

    @soulbiri1 不确定,先持有一个月看看它财报后是否会像 $AVGO 那样表现。 历史不会重演,但会押韵!

    英文原文

    @soulbiri1 Not sure, just holding it for a month to see if it pulls an $AVGO post earnings. History doesn't repeat itself but it rhymes!

  28. 个股论点 $ORCL

    定投ORCL并买入看涨期权,看好其远期营收潜力。

    对 $ORCL 头寸进行定投(DCA)。在股价下跌 2.4% 时买入了一些 $284 的看涨期权(Call Options)。 可能会看到持续至 10 月初的抛售,但考虑到与 OpenAI、TikTok 等合作带来的巨大远期营收潜力,我认为风险收益比(Risk/Reward)是值得的。

    英文原文

    DCA's into $ORCL positions. Bought some calls $284, on the 2.4% drop. Could see extended selloff into very early October but too much forward rev potential with OpenAi, TikTok, etc so risk/reward is worth it imo https://t.co/wY2iMVK43u

  29. 个股论点 $ORCL

    博主因回调诱惑买入甲骨文看涨期权

    @__visionxry__ 我最终买入了 $ORCL 看涨期权 lol,回调太诱人了 https://t.co/WOE1qNbq7I

    英文原文

    @__visionxry__ I ended up buying $ORCL calls lol, dip was too tempting https://t.co/WOE1qNbq7I

  30. 方法论

    建议在反弹时进行再平衡和获利了结。

    @mattia030339 @soulbiri1 在反弹行情中进行再平衡(Rebalancing)和获利了结(profit taking)是明智之举。

    英文原文

    @mattia030339 @soulbiri1 Rebalancing and profit taking on rallys is smart