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作者因低IV看好$VIRT期权，认为风险收益比佳。
@__visionxry__ 隐含波动率(IV)确实极低，尽管 $VIRT 的期权流动性稍差。价差并非我见过最糟糕的。正股是最稳妥的选择，但不会带来40%的回报，我选择期权是因为我喜欢在低IV股票上操作。深入研究后，我认为风险收益比相当不错。 https://t.co/Y5HqyhHixB
英文原文
@__visionxry__ IV is extremely low though options are a bit more illiquid for $VIRT. Spread isn't the worst I've seen. Shares are safest bet but not going to return a 40%, I'm doing options since I like them on low IV stocks. Risk reward just seems good to me after looking into it more. https://t.co/Y5HqyhHixB
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博主加仓VIRT虚值看涨期权，认为当前IV是良好入场点。
@ManglaniAkshay 谢谢！是的，我将 $VIRT 的仓位增加到了约 6.5 万美元的虚值看涨期权(OTM Calls)。 部分高行权价期权的隐含波动率(IV)为 29%，这是一个非常好的入场点 https://t.co/5tyJJhRF6h
英文原文
@ManglaniAkshay Thanks! Yeah I upped my $VIRT position to $65k or so in OTM calls. 29% IV for some of the higher strikes is such a good entry https://t.co/5tyJJhRF6h
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警示MSTR杠杆风险，看好AMZN/META波段，回避RIVN/TSLA。
呃，我不会建议粉丝在内容提供商(CSP)上使用2倍杠杆ETF，尤其是$MSTR，它本身波动性已经足够大。如果遭遇波动率衰减导致的强制平仓，情况可能会变得很糟，尽管我确实认为MSTR正在触底。 我同意大多数观点，比如AMZN或META，通常我会在$BULL跌至13美元左右时进行波段交易。 由于基本面原因，我不会碰$RIVN或$TSLA。
英文原文
Uh I would not tell followers about CSPs on 2x leveraged ETFs especially on $MSTR, which is volatile enough. If they get assigned with volatility decay it might get messy, though I do agree MSTR is bottoming. I'd agree on most though like AMZN or META, usually I swing trade $BULL low $13. I wouldn't touch $RIVN or $TSLA cause of fundamentals.
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调侃持仓69股NBIS以在券商面前展示存在感。
@mattia030339 @soulbiri1 确实，有时候亏钱只是为了在券商面前展示你的“统治力”。 所以当别人为了风险管理而窥探你的投资组合时，他们会看到 69 股 $NBIS。
英文原文
@mattia030339 @soulbiri1 Ah true, sometimes it's better to lose money just to assert dominance on your brokerage. So when people peer into your portfolio for risk management they see 69 $NBIS shares
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博主致歉使用过多行话，欢迎提问澄清。
@Toy0tomi_H 抱歉，我意识到当我以意识流方式打字时，确实使用了很多行话(jargon)。 随时欢迎提问，我会帮忙澄清。
英文原文
@Toy0tomi_H Sorry I do realize I use a lot of jargon when I just type with stream of consciousness. Feel free to ask anything and I'll help clarify
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建议通过虚值期权和组合保证金降低行权风险，追求每周1%的可持续收益。
关键在于，如果 $AMZN 触及 207.5 的溢价位，或 $NBIS 触及 96 的溢价位，你应该求着被行权（assigned），这些也是你可以买入看涨期权（calls）的价位。我的建议是选择更虚值（OTM）的合约并使用组合保证金（portfolio margin），而不是像 $AMZN 215 那样选择更接近行权价的合约，从而降低每周被行权的风险。除了 HIMX、CIFR 和可能的 META，我提到的这几个行权价被触及的可能性较小；如果真触及了，你应持有股票进行波段交易（swing trade）。但正如你指出的，每周约 1% 的收益对大多数人来说更可持续。
英文原文
The thing is if $AMZN ever hits $207.5 - premium or $NBIS ever hits $96 - premium you should beg to get assigned and those are levels you might buy calls on. Going more OTM and using portfolio margin is my suggestion instead of going closer to strike like $215 on $AMZN and having higher risk of assignment every week. My strikes are less likely aside from hims/CIFR/ possibly meta up there are the three I'd say, and if they do hit, you want to hold the stock for a swing trade. But yeah as you pointed out 1% a week or so is a lot more sustainable for most people
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反思未锁定 $SMCI 利润导致巨额亏损，认为缴税优于本金大幅回撤。
@DeepValueBagger 你的罪过被宽恕了。 我最大的罪过是，当 $SMCI 让我赚取 50 万美元或更多时，我没有缴纳短期资本利得税（short-term capital gains tax），结果股价随即大幅回落。 虽然始终应考虑税务问题，但为了少缴 15% 的税而让 50 万美元以上的本金亏损 40%，显然比缴纳短期资本利得税更糟糕。
英文原文
@DeepValueBagger You are forgiven for your sins. My biggest sin was not taking short term capital gains tax when I made $500k+ or something on $SMCI and then it dipped right back down. Always good to consider tax but losing 40% on $500k+ from short term capital gains is better than 15% on less
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建议波段交易者接受期权行权通知以顺势买入。
@rioferdy838 @zenovaire 接受行权通知，因为如果你是做波段交易(swing trading)，你本来就会想在这些行权价买入那些股票。
英文原文
@rioferdy838 @zenovaire Take assignment since you'd probably want to buy those stocks at those strikes anyway if you're swing trading.
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批评付费课程，指出高IV低贝塔期权卖出是复利关键。
@zenovaire 谢谢！是的，我只是看到随机的人说“卖出 $AMZN 看跌期权”并购买每年约 399 美元的课程，有点受够了。但通过高隐含波动率(IV)股票 + 低贝塔值(Beta)的保证金期权卖出策略，确实是许多人实现数百万美元复利增长的方式。这确实需要相当多的知识。
英文原文
@zenovaire Thanks! Yeah I just see random people saying "Sell $AMZN puts" and buy a course for like $399 a year and kinda got fed up. But playing higher IV stocks + low beta on margin option selling really is how a lot of people compound millions. It does take a quite of knowledge to do
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ALAB因覆盖五大科技巨头且高增长，有望复制英伟达路径实现千倍涨幅。
@regard_capital 我在这里写了一点关于 $ALAB 的内容 https://t.co/T28ztuSkgY $ALAB 之所以起飞，是因为 Astera 是唯一一家系统性暴露于五大科技巨头(Mag7)中5家的小盘股。 1. ALAB 的客户群字面意义上就是 Mag7：$GOOGL、$MSFT、$NVDA、$META 和 $AMZN。 2. 他们的增长率惊人，同比增长约 150%+，毛利率为 76%（高于 NVDA，是半导体市场中最高的之一）。 3. 正如 $GOOGL 财报所示，AI 支出的资本支出(Capex)仍在增加。 NVDA 从 1500 亿市值起步 -> 4 万亿+，因为超大规模数据中心需要 GPU。我们正处于 ALAB 在 AI 供应链中产生这种效应的起点，而其市值仅为 200 亿。 如果他们执行得当且 AI 基础设施建设继续，我们可能会看到下一个 1000% 的涨幅。
英文原文
@regard_capital I wrote a tiny bit about $ALAB here https://t.co/T28ztuSkgY
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分享针对CIFR/IREN的周度看跌期权卖出策略及思维过程。
没问题！忘了在帖子里提到，如果你做这类交易，全是针对 $CIFR 或 $IREN 等标的的周度看跌期权(Put Option)卖出。我很少看到关于实际操作思维过程的帖子，而且我很多拥有1000万美元以上现金的前量化或分析师朋友也是这样做的。背后的思维过程有点难写清楚，但我尽力了哈哈。
英文原文
No problem! Forgot to mention in the post that it's all weeklies put option selling on stuff like $CIFR or $IREN if you're doing those. I don't really see many posts about the thought process how it's actually done and a lot of my former quant or analyst friends with $10m+ in cash do it this way too. Kinda hard to write out the thought process behind it but tried my best lol.
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对比持有与期权策略，建议NBIS跌至96美元时买入LEAPS。
提醒一下，这全都是短期资本利得税！因此，持有股票获得的利润可能高于这种期权卖出策略。有时直接逢低买入 Weebius/$NBIS 更好，因为如果它单日下跌 6% 然后恢复至平盘，6% 的利润优于看跌期权(Put)的权利金。不过 $96 的行权价确实很安全，如果 $NBIS 再次跌至该水平，我会大量买入长期期权(LEAPS)。
英文原文
Just a reminder that this is all short term capital gains tax! So profits holding a stock might be more than this option selling style. Sometimes it's better to just buy the dip on Weebius/ $NBIS because if it drops 6% in a day then recovers to flat, cause 6% profit is better than premiums from puts. But yeah $96 strike is pretty safe, I'd switch buy a ton of leaps if they ever dropped to that level again on $NBIS.
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分享激进卖出高IV看跌期权的策略、保证金管理及风险警示。
激进地卖出期权（Writing Options）$100万组合如下： 5天收益+$20.24K，周回报2.024%，年化回报183.48%。 以$100万现金、IBKR组合保证金为例： 85股 $NBIS $96看跌期权(+$5.52K权利金) ($809K保证金) 55股 $HIMS $49.5看跌期权 (+$1.427K) ($270k) 250股 $CIFR $10看跌期权 (+$5.239K) - ($253k) 80股 RKLB $42看跌期权 (+3.8K) ($332K) 35股 TGT $85看跌期权 (+$1.3k) ($296k) 35股 AMZN $207.5看跌期权 (+$1.22K), ($725K) 50股 IBIT $59看跌期权 (+$947.86) - ($293k) 5股 META $712.5看跌期权 (+$869) ($335K) $100万现金，331万保证金。如果下周持有现金，我会这么做。 这是对每只股票进行底部择时(Bottom Timing)，并基于基本面、宏观时机、事件和波动率预测本周不会触及的行权价。 如果在财报周做，回报可能高于183%，这通常是最有利可图的事件。但再次强调，超级危险，这只是我个人会做的，仅供娱乐阅读或在模拟账户尝试，不要实盘。 此外，我是凭记忆估算保证金维持要求（例如，由于META、TGT、AMZN等贝塔值低，你可以加更多杠杆）。 你必须择时底部然后卖出看跌期权。例如：AMZN不太可能跌破$210，BTC在$107k左右见底，RKLB短期不会低于$43，NBIS有$100支撑，TGT见底，META不太可能一周跌5%+等。 希望这对活跃的波段交易者(Swing Traders)和高级交易者有点启发，如果你是只交易指数的新手，不要尝试。 _ 一些随机想法： 1. 不要在你不愿意在该价位买入的股票上卖出看跌期权。不要因OKLO或QBTS的高权利金而诱惑，因为它们可能在突然下跌后多年无法恢复。你需要先知道什么是优质的多头标的。 ^^^^重要*** ^^^^，请不要在随机仙股或投机标的上卖出期权。只卖你愿意买入并持有的标的，因为卖出看跌期权意味着你最终会在该价位买入。 2. 在高隐含波动率(Implied Volatility, IV)的真正好股票上重复操作，例如如果HOOD IV达到90%或RKLB/NBIS IV是90%，因为一旦行情停滞，IV最终会降至60%左右。 3. 不要对极高贝塔股票过度使用保证金，通常1.3-1.5x保证金对NBIS或RKLB这类股票更安全。高贝塔股2-3x杠杆很危险。 这就是为什么~1.5x保证金对NBIS、CIFR、HIMS、RKLB等是合理的（约1664倍杠杆效应），以防除一只外其他都跌。 然后对META、IBIT、TGT、AMZN等低贝塔股票，你可以放心使用保证金，因为即使大跌也不会严重损害投资组合。 4. 学习隐含波动率并知道它为何变化。如果你只是重复操作但在财报周卖出，而像TTD这样股票暴跌40%，你就麻烦了。这仅适用于非财报周。 5. 如果想更安全，选择低一档的行权价。比如$CIFR $7.5可能不会触及，但$10行权价有小概率触及。但我本来就想在$10买入+5.2K权利金，所以我选了那个行权价。 6. 还需要了解重大宏观事件+风险水平。凭记忆，可能有关于美国政府停摆的负面消息，美国衰退几率增加，Polymarket定价三次降息概率从65%降至56%等。 另一方面，像AMZN在8-9日有Prime Day，价格可能上涨，所以可能更好在之后卖出期权。如果风险太大，我可能会等到10月3日再开始卖出看跌期权。 _ 一般粗略经验法则： IV <30%：不太值得，像Blackrock、SPY除非有PPI等事件否则波动不大。 IV 30-45%：通常是MSFT、GOOGL、AMZN等科技股。除了用于高贝塔股的1.5x外，用额外保证金做这些很好。 45%-65%：通常是MRVL、Coin等30-60%年增长率的公司。有时它们定价错误，如COIN/HOOD的IV有时不值，鉴于它们的波动幅度。 65%-100%：通常是RKLB、NBIS等更有趣的散户股，这是很好的甜蜜点，因为它们可能在回调时反弹，如果你知道如何择时底部+加点缓冲，很可能获得100%+的权利金收益。 100%+：哈哈危险区（如果卖出几天到期的期权）。像OPEN、OKLO、财报。可能有原因。如果你知道原因，比如NBIS因MSFT交易上涨40%，我会在200% IV时卖出$85看跌期权，因为从根本上我会在那个价位买入。 如果NBIS等股票在1-2天到期时IV升至100%+，这对期权卖方其实是好事。如果是一周到期，嗯，可能有什么极度波动的事。 _ 如果我要分解个别案例： 以AMZN为例，作为波段交易者，我会在$210附近买入看涨期权，不太可能跌破$207.5（所以盈亏平衡点是$207.15，即-5.96%），所以你要确保选择一个它永远不会触及的水平。你也知道IV+贝塔（波动方式）相对较低，所以可以根据它不会触及来调整保证金。 对于高贝塔股，例如85股 NBIS $96看跌期权，(+5.52K权利金) ($809K) IV是92%，这对期权卖方太棒了。你获得更多权利金，而且你不认为它会跌破$100。IBKR不提供此功能，所以我推荐Robinhood查看盈亏平衡点，这只股票需要跌11.3%才能盈亏平衡。 _ 再次强调，我只推荐给风险承受能力较高的活跃波段交易者，否则坚持持有超过一年的股票。 这也是为了激进复利期权卖出， 而不是战略性地用于定投(DCA)建仓（例如，如果我想在$120买入AMZN，并认为能以更好价格获得，你可以卖出当前行权价的看跌期权，而不是低得多的行权价）。 此外，这几乎每周都有效，**除非**发生像特朗普关税那样彻底击垮市场的黑天鹅事件。那周的看跌期权卖方会被摧毁，你可能需要接受微小损失并重新开始。 当我有闲置现金时我会这么做，因为我更偏向突破交易者(Breakout Trader)类型。 这只是我个人的交易风格和思维流程，再次强调非常危险，即使你有一些经验。这是超级高级的，我很多前量化交易员+买方同事都有现金，并在$1000万+上做这种期权卖出风格，我只是展示怎么做以及背后的思维过程。 欢迎随意提问，我会帮忙解释。
英文原文
Aggressively writing options off $1m would be: +$20.24K in 5 days, 2.024% a week, 183.48% y/y return. With a $1M cash, IBKR portfolio margin example: 85 $NBIS $96 PUT, (+$5.52K premium) ($809K) 55 $HIMS $49.5 PUT (+$1.427k) ($270k) 250 $CIFR $10 Put (+$5.239K) - ($253k) 80 RKLB $42 PUT (+3.8K) ($332K) 35 TGT $85, (+$1.3k) $296k) 35 AMZN $207.5, (+$1.22K), ($725K) 50 IBIT $59 PUT (+$947.86) - ($293k) 5 META $712.5 PUT (+$869) ($335K) $1M cash, 3.31M margin. This is just something I would do if I kept cash for the next week. This is bottom timing on every stock, and predicting strikes that would not hit for this week based on fundamentals, macro timing, events, and volatility. Also the return would probably be higher than 183% if you did it earnings week lol, which is probably the most profitable out of any event. BUT AGAIN SUPER DANGEROUS, this is something I'd personally do, maybe just read for fun and try on paper accounts but not live. Also, I'm also going off the top of my head with margin maintenance (eg. you can leverage more with META, TGT, AMZN, etc. given they're low beta). You have to time bottoms then write the puts. eg. AMZN not likely hitting sub $210, BTC sort of bottoming $107k around now, RKLB not going below $43 near term, NBIS $100 support, TGT bototming, META not likely to drop 5%+ a week, etc. So hopefully this is a bit informative to active SWING TRADERS and advanced traders, if you're a newcomer with just indexes, do not try this. _ So just random thoughts 1. Do not write puts on stocks you're not comfortable buying at those levels. Don't get tempted by high premiums on OKLO or QBTS cause those could just never recover for years on a sudden drop. You need to know what a great long is already. ^^^^IMPORTANT*** ^^^^, please do not write options on random penny stocks or speculative stuff. Only stuff you're fine buying and holding since writing puts kinda means you would buy it at those levels anyway. 2. REPEAT with high IV on REALLY good stocks, eg. if HOOD IV reaches 90% or RKLB IV is 90% or NBIS IV is 90%, cause eventually IV decreases to 60% or something once things stall out. 3. Do not over-margin extremely high beta stocks, usually 1.3-1.5x margin is safer for stuff like NBIS or RKLB. 2-3x on high beta is dangerous. That's why ~1.5x margin is fine 1,664 on NBIS, CIFR, HIMS, RKLB, etc in case all of them drop aside from one. Then low beta stocks like META, IBIT, TGT, AMZN you;'re fine margining since it wouldn't really dent the portfolio much if it drops that much. 4. LEARN implied volatility and know WHY it changes. If you just do this on repeat but sell stuff on earnings week and something like TTD crashes 40%, you're in trouble. Again this only applies non-earnings week. 5. If you really want to play safe, do one strike lower. Like $CIFR $7.5 will probably not hit, but $10 strike has a small chance. But I'd want to buy it at $10 anyway + the 5.2K prem, so I chose that strike. 6. Also need to know any major macro events + risk levels. So off the top of my mind, there's probably going to be negative news about US GOV shutdown, increased chances of US recession, polymarket pricing down triple rate cut 65% -> 56%, etc. On the other hand, some catalysts like stuff like AMZN has prime day on 8th-9th so it's likely to do better around and increase in price so probably better to write options later. So I might just wait until Oct 3rd, to start selling puts instead of this week if it's too risky. _ Generally rough rule of thumb IV - <30%, not exactly worth it, doesn't really move too much like blackrock, SPY unless there's like PPI or some other event IV - 30-45%, usually tech stocks like MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, etc. It's good to do these with extra margin on top of your 1.5x that you use for higher beta. 45%-65%, usually more 30-60% y/y growth type companies like MRVL, Coin, etc. Sometimes they're really mispriced like COIN/HOOD IV is not worth sometimes given how much they move. 65%-100%, usually your more fun retail stocks like RKLB, NBIS, it's really good sweet spot since they'll likely bounce on dips and if you know how to time bottoms + add a few percent off, it's likely 100%+ premium gain. 100%+, lol danger zone (if you're selling few days out). stuff like OPEN, OKLO, earnings. Probably a reason for it. It's good if you know WHY like NBIS increasing 40% off MSFT deal, i'd sell $85 puts back then at like 200% IV because fundamentally I'd buy at those levels. IV goes to 100%+ on stuff like NBIS if there's one or two days out and that's actually a good thing for option sellers. If it's a week out then uhh something might be extremely volatile. _ If I had to breakdown individual ones AMZN for example, as a swing trader I'd would buy calls around $210 levels, unlikely to drop past $207.5 (so breakeven is $207.15 which is -5.96%), so you want to make sure you choose a level it never hits. You also know IV + beta (how things fluctuates) is relatively low so you can change your margin based on it never hitting. For high beta for example, 85 NBIS $96 PUT, (+$5.52K premium) ($809K) IV is 92% which is so nice for option selling. You get more premium, and you don't really erxpect it to dip below $100 either. IBKR doesn't do this so I'd recommend stuff like Robinhood to see breakeven, so on this stock would need to drop 11.3% for breakeven. _ Again I'd only recommend this if you're an active swing trader with higher risk tolerance, otherwise stick with stocks that you just hold over a year. This is also for aggressive compounding option selling, not using it strategically to DCA into positions, (eg. if I wanted to buy AMZN at $120, and I think I could get it at a better position, you can write PUTS at current strike instead of way lower). Also, this kinda always works every week **UNLESS** there's a black swan event like Trump tarrifs that absolutely tank the market. So PUT sellers that week kind of got wrecked, and you might need to just take a tiny loss and restart. I do this when I have spare cash on the side since I'm more of a breakout trader type. This is just my personal trading style and flow of thoughts, again VERY DANGEROUS, even if you have some experience. This is super advanced, a lot of former quant traders + buyside colleagues of mine have cash and do this option selling style off $10m+, I'm just kinda showing how it's done and what the thought process is behind it. Feel free to ask random questions and I'll help explain.
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建议利用NBIS或CIFR等高增长标的实现资产复利，而非止步于FIRE。
@wallstreetbets 太多人盯着财务独立与提早退休(FIRE)，却没意识到他们仍可以像南希·佩洛西那样，通过 $NBIS 或 $CIFR 这类标的，将 $5M 的投资组合复利增长至 $50m。
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@wallstreetbets Too many people looking at FIRE and not realizing they can still compound their $5M portfolio to $50m like Nancy Pelosi with stuff like $NBIS or $CIFR
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建议全仓押注NBIS，认为其股价大概率从当前水平上涨。
@12345tgrf 我的意思是，如果必须全仓押注某只股票，我会选择 $NBIS。这取决于你的风险承受能力，但从股价走势来看，很难想象它不会从当前水平继续上涨。
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@12345tgrf I mean if I had to full port something it would be $NBIS. Depends on your risk tolerance, but share wise it's hard to see it ever not rising from these levels.
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建议通过X平台深度研究捕捉NBIS等新云动量交易机会。
@Liquidity4Life 拥有这样的心态很棒。230% 的回报率简直令人惊叹，请继续保持你现在的做法。 但在 X 上获取更多深度研究(DD)确实有帮助，这样你就能捕捉到像 $NBIS 或新云(neoclouds)这样的突破和动量交易机会，而这些通常是你不会发现的。
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@Liquidity4Life That's a great mindset to have. 230% is an absolutely amazing return, just keep doing what you're doing. But it does help to take in more DD on X so you can catch breakouts and momentum trades like $NBIS or neoclouds that you normally wouldn't have discovered.
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长期仅投RKLB，短期看好NBIS和CIFR的超大规模扩张。
@Melissa09744266 除非是 $RKLB，否则我不做长期投资，因为太空领域关乎国家安全，拥有巨大的护城河，且仅次于 SpaceX。不过，我预计 4-5 年后 AWS 和 GOOGL 的超大规模云服务商芯片可能会准备好。在那之前，我们仍处于以 $NBIS 和 $CIFR 为代表的超大规模扩张模式。
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@Melissa09744266 I don't long term invest unless it's $RKLB since space is a national security issue, huge moat m, and #2 second to SpaceX. But yeah I'd expect in 4-5 years AWS, GOOGL hyperscaler chips might be ready around then. Until then, we're in hyperscaling mode with $NBIS and $CIFR.
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看好IREN年底前达80美元，认为NBIS将翻倍。
@95jG5OcU2mL0OCK 鉴于 $IREN 和这些新云(neoclouds)的增长速度，80美元是一个极其保守的目标价。我预计 $NBIS 至少会翻倍至225美元以上，因此 IREN 很可能在年底前触及80美元。
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@95jG5OcU2mL0OCK $80 is an extremely conservative price target given how fast $IREN and these neoclouds are growing. I'd expect $NBIS at least to double to $225+ so IREN would likely hit $80 before end of year.
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感谢指正，补充因转型HPC而遗漏的$HIVE。
@ape_hodling 你说得对，感谢指出 $HIVE。是的，我漏掉了它，因为他们的业务正从挖矿转向高性能计算(HPC)。
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@ape_hodling You're right, thanks for pointing out $HIVE yeah I missed it in my bucket list since they're pivoting to hpc from mining
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博主认为 Grok 对 NBIS、IREN 和 CRWV 的分析很准。
@grok @castorastuto Grok 对 $NBIS $IREN $CRWV 的分析相当准确，哈哈。
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@grok @castorastuto grok is pretty accurate with the analysis of $NBIS $IREN $CRWV lol
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建议使用富达，避免使用将订单流卖给做市商的券商。
@claudiohrios 富达(Fidelity)很棒。我只是说不要使用像 $HOOD 或 $BULL 这样将支付订单流(Payment Order Flow)路由给做市商的券商。
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@claudiohrios Fidelity is great. I was just saying don't use brokerages like $HOOD or $BULL with payment order flow that route to market makers.
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HIVE转型HPC领域前景看好，利好未来收入。
@Air_Airia 我花了一些时间深入研究（例如 https://t.co/WlUsSt7YIZ）。 看起来 $HIVE 正在转型进入高性能计算(HPC)领域，这对未来的收入增长非常有利。 虽然要真正了解这门业务可能需要一两个小时，但乍一看其发展方向很有前景。
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@Air_Airia Took me a bit to read into it (eg https://t.co/WlUsSt7YIZ). Looks like $HIVE pivoting into HPC which is really good for forward revenue. It would probably take me an hour or two to really get to know the business but at first glance it looks direction ally promising.
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对比CRWV高息债务与NBIS优越融资条款
@Veganhippo21 @DeepValueBagger $CRWV 的债务利率超过 9%，而 $NBIS 的融资条款要好得多。
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@Veganhippo21 @DeepValueBagger $CRWV has 9%+ interest rate on debt while $NBIS fundraising terms are miles better
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看好为微软和谷歌提供AI算力的小市值公司，认为其估值错配带来巨大非对称回报。
未来8-12个月可能是自这些市值仅30-50亿美元的小型公司开始为Google Cloud或Microsoft Azure提供AI算力以来，市场尚未意识到这一机会（直到某份财报发布）以来的最快上涨期。 这些公司的合同已锁定，例如5年期170亿美元的大单。但市场总是前瞻性的，因此4年后如果看起来它们将开始像苹果与高通那样进行业务转型，我们将看到重新估值。 但与此同时，一家为$MSFT Azure提供动力的公司市值260亿美元，而一家为$GOOGL云提供动力的公司市值40亿美元，其未来的营收潜力和非对称回报在接下来两年里显得荒谬得可笑。
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Probably fastest runup in the next 8-12 months since most people and markets still don't see the opportunity with all these tiny 3-5B companies powering AI compute for Google Cloud or Microsoft Azure yet until one of their earning reports. These are contracts already locked in like 5Y for 17 Billion but markets are always forward looking so after 4 years if it looks like they'll start to pivot off like how apple did with Qualcomm, we'll see a revaluation. But in the meantime 26B mc for a company powering $MSFT azure and 4B MC for a company powering $GOOGL cloud is hilarious forward rev potential and asymmetrical return next 2 years.
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博主表示将重新审视某公司稀释相关的危险信号。
@Lotterystonks @GClandesti37321 我稍后会研究那部分，如果情况属实，我会重新审视我在稀释(dilution)方面看到的危险信号。乍一看，这种做法非常奇怪。
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@Lotterystonks @GClandesti37321 I'll look into that part in a bit and revisit the red flags I saw with dilution if that's true. It's a very strange way to do it at first glance.
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批评靠卖课而非市场交易获利，并质疑对PLTR和DUOL的看多观点。
@alc2022 看着你对 $PLTR 和 $DUOL 的坚定信念挺有意思，我觉得这错得离谱，但我们可以求同存异。不过，试图通过粉丝获利并不是正道。要从市场中赚钱，而不是靠卖课程。
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@alc2022 I have a fun time seeing your conviction on $PLTR and $DUOL and think they're hilariously wrong but we can agree to disagree. But trying to profit off followers is not the way to go. Make money off the markets, not by selling courses.
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看好NBIS/CIFR，拒绝参与NUAI的恶性稀释。
@Lotterystonks @GClandesti37321 我很乐意在 $NBIS 或 $CIFR 以良好条款完成稀释并实现规模化后投资。但如果 $NUAI 以低于市场价95%的价格稀释现有持有者10亿美元以上，并将规模扩大至30多亿股，那我就不想参与。
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@Lotterystonks @GClandesti37321 I'm happy to invest like $NBIS or $CIFR after they completed their dilution at good terms and are scaling. But if $NUAI are diluting existing holders $1B+ and scaling that to 3B+ more shares at 95% under market rate, then I don't want to participate.
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博主请求停止推荐，因当前多头仓位过重。
@WatcherGuru 求求别发了，我现在多头仓位已经太多了。
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@WatcherGuru Pls stop, I have too many long positions right now
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博主区分成长与价值投资，推荐不同周期的个股组合。
@DeepIceValue 哈哈，我看到了 $NVO 和 $UNH，然后看了你的主页，意识到你更偏向价值投资(Value Investing)。如果让我选，1-2 年周期我会选 $NBIS 或 $TSM。3 年周期我会选 $RKLB。价值投资组合(Value Investing Basket)会是：$TGT, $UPWK, $PYPL, $LULU, $UNH, $NVO。
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@DeepIceValue lol I saw NVO and UNH and then looked at your profile and realized it was more so value investing. If I had to choose, would be $NBIS or $TSM 1-2 years. Then $RKLB for a 3 year timeframe. Value investing basket would be: $TGT, $UPWK, $PYPL, $LULU, $UNH, $NVO
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指出某股虽适合短期交易，但因稀释股权不适合长期持有。
@GClandesti37321 没问题，任何一家市值4000万美元的上市公司都有其存在的原因。 当然可以权衡风险收益比，但类似于 $BKKT 那样不断稀释股东权益的公司，它是一笔有趣的短期交易，却是极差的长期持有标的。
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@GClandesti37321 no problem, there's always a reason why something is a 40m market cap publicly traded company. can always take the risk/reward but similar to $BKKT that always dilutes their shareholders, it's a fun short term trade, terrible long term hold.