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博主转发并提及五只美股代码。
@AnalizAyaz $NBIS, $RKLB, $IBIT, $TSM, $LPTH
英文原文
@AnalizAyaz $NBIS, $RKLB, $IBIT, $TSM, $LPTH
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警告$DPRO风险极高，强调仓位管理，属投机性押注。
@Aldo_Aurelius 鉴于 $DPRO 营收极低，其风险极高。因此，如果你决定自行建仓，仓位管理(position sizing)至关重要。这绝对不适合所有人，因为它本质上是对无人机产能带来的收入确认(revenue recognition)的一次投机性押注。
英文原文
@Aldo_Aurelius $DPRO is incredibly risky given low revenue. So position sizing is important if you decide yourself you want to take positions. It’s definitely not for everyone as a speculative bet on drone revenue recognition from capacity
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认为FIG只需降低杂项费用即可改善毛利率表现。
@ShortsHoward @charlieliner 毛利率方面。他们只需要降低杂项费用，$FIG 的财报就会很好看。
英文原文
@ShortsHoward @charlieliner Gross margins though. They just need to lower misc expenses and $FIG prints
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博主表示持有AXTI以应对其20%的随机波动，避免频繁交易。
@jliljliljlil $AXTI 随机上下波动 20%，我只是持有它，而不是试图进行波段交易。
英文原文
@jliljliljlil $AXTI moves up and down randomly 20%, I just hold it instead of trying to trade it.
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Figma财务强劲且AI难替代，认为股价超卖。
@ShortsHoward @charlieliner 是的，$10亿 2025财年营收，91%的毛利率（高得离谱），40%的同比增长，$16亿现金且无债务。 看起来超卖了，像Opus这样的AI并不会取代Figma。
英文原文
@ShortsHoward @charlieliner Yeah $1B FY 2025 revenue, 91% gross margins (unholy) 40% y/y growth, $1.6B cash no debt. Seems oversold, AI like Opus doesn’t replace figma.
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分享短线交易获利及新建仓的持仓操作
@charlieliner 太棒了！像 $LPTH 这样的标的从 -5% 反弹至 +7%，这 6 小时的买入操作利润丰厚。 我自己也建仓了 $FIG，并定投(DCA)了 $META（尽管我原本告诉自己不会买软件类股票）。 好奇看看结果如何 https://t.co/FHRRQrj0Ub
英文原文
@charlieliner Nice! Going from -5% to +7% on some of these names like $LPTH was extremely profitable 6 hour buy. I ended up initiating $FIG positions myself and DCA $META (even though I told myself I wouldn’t buy software stuff). Curious to see how that turns out https://t.co/FHRRQrj0Ub
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对比RKLB与DPRO的政府资金优势，提示早期风险并看好无人机基建。
好问题！这有点像 $RKLB 虽然来自新西兰，但受益于美国国防部(DoD)的资金支持。 $DPRO 同时受益于加拿大和美国的资金支持，因为它符合《国防授权法》(NDAA)的规定。 再次强调，由于处于早期阶段，存在大量风险，不要指望未来财报发布前会有太多利好被计入股价。我只是认为他们的无人机基础设施(Drone Infra)建设具有潜力。
英文原文
Good question! It’s kinda like $RKLB is from New Zealand but benefits from US DoD funding. $DPRO gets benefits from both Canada and US funding as its ndaa compliant Again there are tons of risks since its early stage and don’t expect much to be priced in until their future earnings. I just thought their drone infra buildout had potential
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DPRO作为稀缺上市CAD无人机公司，从某观点中受益。
@digestive_bisc 错过了那个巨大的观点，谢谢。$DPRO 作为少数几家上市的计算机辅助设计(CAD)无人机公司之一，从中受益良多。
英文原文
@digestive_bisc Missed out on that huge point thanks. $DPRO benefits a lot from that as one of the only public CAD drone companies.
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美股AI/半导体股隔夜恐慌后大幅反弹，验证地缘博弈下的供应链套利机会。
$ONDS 至 $LPTH 现已反弹 +7.16% 至 +9.0%。 甚至 $INTC 也上涨了 4.4%。 许多股票在隔夜交易中下跌了 -5% 至 -8%。 还有其他人利用 TACO 交易恐慌获利吗？ https://t.co/uwp9sW7sQn
英文原文
$ONDS to $LPTH are now back up +7.16% to +9.0%. Even $INTC is up 4.4%. Many were down -5% to -8% overnight trading. Did anyone else take advantage of the TACO trade panic? https://t.co/uwp9sW7sQn
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澄清估值指标，分享对PDYN及DPRO作为分包商被算法低估的看法。
承接上文，我想说的是企业价值/收入(EV/Revenue)比率，而非上面的市销率(P/S)。不过我之前也研究过 $PDYN，这是一家有趣的公司。另外，关于 $DPRO 的帖子并没有太多新内容，因为它在 Finx 上已经很流行了。关键在于其基础设施布局+大规模产能爬坡+作为分包商(subcontractor)缺乏亮眼合同这一复杂情况，这往往能触发季度财报(Q reports)中算法可能未定价的因素。很多人忽略了这一点，所以我想分享自己的看法。
英文原文
Pigybacking off of this, meant to say ev/revenue not p/s above. But yeah I looked at $PDYN before too, interesting company. Also there's nothing too new with the $DPRO post since it's already popular on finx. It's just really nuanced with the infrastructure setup + large capacity ramp + no flashy contracts since it's a subcontractor -> hits Q reports that algos might not price in. A lot of people missed that aspect, so just wanted to post my own thoughts about it.
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建仓$DPRO，视其为无人机战争基础设施，类比早期$RKLB，具高增长潜力。
我建仓了少量 $DPRO（市值2.4亿美元）。 这是一家端到端的战争无人机承包商，Draganfly 看起来像是无人机领域的 $RKLB（Relativity Space）。 $ONDS 从 0.51 美元涨到 15 美元（13倍），我一直在寻找类似的标的。 以下是市场（和我自己）之前忽略的点： Draganfly 是一家垂直整合的国防主承包商，而不仅仅是无人机制造商。 $DPRO 控制着从工厂基础设施到最终无人机的整个生态系统。它是《国防授权法案》（NDAA）禁止大疆（DJI，曾占据估计 70-80% 市场份额）后的最大受益者。 我之前没理解的最大护城河：嵌入式生产（embedded production）。 我关注的是当前较小的营收数字，却忽略了他们正在美国多个基地建设分布式制造能力。 Draganfly 与美国陆军（2025年9月）的合同不仅仅是交付无人机；而是要在美国基地安装微型工厂（Micro-Factories）。 它将 Draganfly 融入美国战争部（Dept. of War）的体系中，创造出竞争对手无法取代的“粘性”。 我建仓的原因是：他们的无人机产能从 2025 年的 500 万美元跃升至 4 亿美元。 结合其与 Global Ordnance 的合作伙伴关系（作为分包商，Ordnance 获得了 7.5 亿美元 IDIQ 合同），以及 US-CAD 项目（双方均受益，如 2.2 亿美元对北约的 CAD 资金）。 $DPRO 有可能实现三位数甚至 1000%+ 的同比增长率。 而且……营收会在财报中以惊喜的方式体现在资产负债表上。 每个无人机玩家如 $AVAV、$AIRO、$ONDS 都有自己的专长，$DPRO 专注于非动能和基础设施方面： -> 瑞典等欧洲国家（2026年）使用 $DPRO 无人机进行救生行动。 -> DEF-C -> 乌克兰冲突中的侦察无人机 -> Global Ordnance（大型国防承包商） -> 美国战争部（美国陆军） 而这些非动能无人机可以转化为动能应用。 手握 5100 万美元现金（健康的资产负债表），仅 20% 的产能爬坡就对应约 2.2 倍远期市销率（p/s）。 这是一个非常投机的风险投资式押注，因为他们正在快速扩张基础设施（就像早期的 $RKLB），Northland 给出了 20 美元的目标价。 这是一种直觉，认为营收将赶上他们在美军中部署的基础设施（特别是 Replicator 项目，且直到财报发布前都是隐藏的）。 $DPRO 在 FinX 上已经很受欢迎（说服其他用户花了一些功夫），所以我个人也加入了这场狂欢，想看看它会走向何方。 TLDR：在 $DPRO 建立少量投机性头寸，因为它有望成为无人机战争的基础设施（就像 2 美元时的 $RKLB 之于太空），具有巨大的上行潜力。 由于处于极早期阶段，随着产能建设的收入确认，也存在大量风险。
英文原文
I’ve initiated small positions in $DPRO ($240m). This is an end-to-end war drone contractor and Draganfly looks like the $RKLB to Ondas. $ONDS went from ($.51 -> $15, 13x) and was looking for an equivalent. Here’s what markets (and myself missed). Draganfly is a vertically integrated defense prime, not just a drone maker. $DPRO controls the entire ecosystem, from the factory infrastructure to the end-drone. And it’s the largest beneficiary of NDAA that banned DJI, which controlled est. 70-80% of market share. The biggest moat I didn’t understand earlier: embedded production. I looked small current revenue numbers but missed the that they’re buildout distributed manufacturing throughout many US bases. Draganfly’s contract with the U.S. Army (Sept 2025) isn't just to ship drones; it is to install Micro-Factories at US bases. It integrates Draganfly into the fabric of US Dpt. of War, creating a layer of "stickiness" that is impossible for competitors to displace. Here's why I entered positions: they went from $5M drone capacity ramp in 2025 to $400m. Combining this with its partnership with Global Ordnance (where it’s a sub-contractor and Ordnance received $750 Million IDIQ), US-CAD programs (benefits from both) like $220m CAD funding to NATO. It’s possible for $DPRO from triple digits or possibly 1000%+ revenue growth rates Y/Y. And... revenue hits balance sheet by surprise in the earnings. Each drone player from $AVAV, $AIRO, $ONDS, have their own specialty, $DPRO focuses on the nonkinetic and infrastructure aspect: -> European countries like Sweden use $DPRO drones (2026) for life-saving operations. -> DEF-C -> reconnaissance drones for Ukraine conflict -> Global Ordnance (massive defense contractor) -> U.S. Department of War (US Army) and those nonkinetic drones can be transformed with kinetic applications. With $51M cash on hand (healthy balance sheet), just 20% of capacity ramp would be ~2.2 fwd p/s. This is a very speculative venture style bet as they've been rapidly expanding infrastructure (like $RKLB at the start), with Northland giving $20 PT's. And this is a hunch that the revenue will catch up to the infrastructure they've deployed across the US army (esp. with Replicator programs and is hidden until earnings). $DPRO has already been popular on FinX (and it took some convincing from other users) so I've personally joined the party as I'm curious to see where it heads. TLDR: took small speculative positions in $DPRO as it's setup to be the Infrastructure of Drone Warfare (like $RKLB back at $2 for space) with high potential upside. As it's extremely early, there's lot of risks as well with revenue recognition from capacity buildout.
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LPTH因美欧冲突受益，提供美国本土黑钻替代方案，当前下跌属无差别抛售。
$LPTH 实际上是美欧冲突导致供应链中断的主要受益者之一，因为美国从德国和比利时进口大量锗(Germanium)。Lightpath 提供了瓶颈环节的替代方案，其黑钻(Black Diamond)产品 100% 在美国制造（前体也主要来自美国）。这很可能只是一次广泛的无差别抛售。
英文原文
$LPTH is actually one of the big benefiaries of conflicts between US and EU for supply chain disruption as US imports significant amount of germanium from Germany and Belgium. And Lightpath offers the bottleneck alternative with black diamond manufactured 100% in US (precursors mainly US too) This is probably just a wide indiscriminate selloff.
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博主坦言难以抗拒将仓位全仓转入Meta的诱惑。
@CB3409 我确实睡觉，但当我想把仓位全部转入 $META 的诱惑袭来时，这很难做到。
英文原文
@CB3409 I do sleep, but it’s hard to when I get the temptation to just full port it into $META
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博主分享国防及半导体个股观点，计划加仓DPRO和SKYT。
@WaltzDisneyz @itachidata28 我之前发过关于 1) 供应链 2) 国防 3) 美国本土制造半导体 的帖子。但个人而言，$OSS 用于国防，$LPTH 因为那家伙特定跌了 5% 简直太蠢了。正打算加仓 $DPRO 和 $SKYT，因为它们都跌了 4-6%+。
英文原文
@WaltzDisneyz @itachidata28 I made a post about it earlier regarding 1) supply chains 2) defense 3) made in America semis But personally $OSS for defense, $LPTH since that one dropping 5% in specific just stupid. Was looking to scale up $DPRO and $SKYT since they’re both down 4-6%+
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市场反复受关税影响，作者认为历史重演，但也承认可能看错。
@FahadMaow 市场正在应验这句谚语： “一次被骗，是你愚蠢；被关税骗了50次，是我愚蠢” 我们一次又一次地看到 TACO 剧本重演。鉴于中期选举和以往的历史，我认为这次也不会例外。 当然，我也可能错了。
英文原文
@FahadMaow Markets are following the idiom: "Fool me once, shame on you; fool me 50 times with tariffs, shame on me" We’ve seen the TACO playbook over and over again. I don’t think this time is any different given midterms and previous history Could be wrong though.
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利用非理性恐慌逢低买入，博弈政策缓和后的市场反弹。
这类抛售既出于风险管理，也源于非理性恐惧，例如 $OSS 下跌 -6.1%，$SKYT 下跌 -6.3%，因此“TACO”交易策略提供了绝佳机会。尤其是像 $LITE 这样基本面健康的公司，在周五下跌 6% 后，隔夜又再跌 3.78%。我将进行逢低买入 -> 特朗普缓和局势（市场开始复苏）-> 达成贸易协议，市场创历史新高。当然，这可能只需一天，也可能需要 4-5 天，谁也不知道。
英文原文
These types of selloffs are both risk-management and stems from irrational fear, eg. $OSS down -6.1% $SKYT down -6.3%, so the TACO trade presents great opportunities. Esp. when healthy companies like $LITE drop another 3.78% overnight after a 6% drop on friday. I'm going dip hunting -> Trump de-escalates (markets start to recovery) -> Trade deal made, markets ATH. Of course this might be one day or 4-5 days, who knows.
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特朗普关税恐慌是估值礼物，国防与本土AI供应链将受益于政策博弈。
关于$OSS -6.1%至$ONDS -4.85%下跌引发的潜在市场崩盘恐慌很多。但随着市场转红，特朗普已开始降级局势。从特朗普关税的历史来看，我们知道一件事：特朗普非常在意市场： - $AVAV的复制者（Replicator）Switchblade无人机项目 至 - 复制者2（Replicator 2）反无人机系统，$AIRO、$ONDS等可能受益。 1.5万亿美元的拟议国防支出保持不变。 AI建设中的 - $LITE、$COHR在$GOOGL和超大规模ASIC建设中的角色 或 - $INTC、$SKY在美国本土硬件中的角色 均未改变。我们正见证历史上最大的无人机、关键材料储备、AI建设、太空扩张及“美国制造”供应链的扩张。 我认为这种波动往往是“估值礼物”，因为这些都是空头威胁。欧美领导人之间的泄露消息显示对话正在进行。特朗普只是在用“极限施压”话术看能谈判到什么。当然，特朗普将标普500视为其实时支持率，这就是为什么他在中期选举前迫使大幅降息。随着美股隔夜转红，我们已看到局势缓和。我们很可能会看到完整的“贸易协议达成”，以便他宣称成功->市场创历史新高。
英文原文
There's a lot of panic about a potential market crash from $OSS -6.1% to $ONDS -4.85% dropping ON. But now, Trump is already starting to de-escalate as markets go red. From the history of Trump's tariffs We know one thing. Trump cares too much about the market: $1.5T in proposed defense spending from - $AVAV Replicator Switchblade drone programs to - Replicator 2 counter-UAV with potential for $AIRO, $ONDS and others. is still the same. Nothing in the AI buildout from - $LITE, $COHR role in $GOOGL and hyperscaler ASIC buildout or - $INTC, $SKY role in US domestic hardware has changed. We're seeing the largest buildup from drone, critical material stockpiles, AI buildout, Space scale-up, and Made in America supply chains in history. My opinion is that this volatility is often a "valuation gift" since these are all empty threats. And the leaked messages between the EU/US leaders shows dialogue is taking place. Trump is just doing his "Maximum Pressure" rhetoric to see what can be negotiated. And, of course, Trump views the S&P 500 as his real-time approval rating, which is why he's forcing so many rate cuts before midterm elections. As US markets go red overnight, we're seeing the walk-back happen already. And we'll likely see that full "trade-deal made" so he can claim he succeeded -> markets hit ATHs.
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分析AVAV、AIRO、DPRO在美军复制者计划中的角色及风险收益特征。
$AVAV 绝对是的。它是黄金标准，并且已经是“复制者”(Replicator) 计划的一部分。（因此与 $KTOS 一起已经取得了成功） $AIRO 用于反无人机“复制者”(Replicator)，具有最高的上行潜力和最低的下行风险。 我稍后会写一篇关于 $DPRO 的文章，但它让我想起了早期阶段的 $RKLB，上行空间非常具有投机性。
英文原文
$AVAV definitely. It’s the gold standard and is already part of replicator. (So already successful alongside $KTOS) $AIRO is for counter UAV replicator, highest potential for lowest downside risk. I’ll do a write up on $DPRO later but it reminds me of early stage $RKLB, very speculative upside.
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调侃建议全仓买入Snapchat以娱乐。
@ChiefLiquidity 把它全部换成 $SNAP，这样你就可以在太阳辐射风暴上叠加一个跳舞的热狗了。
英文原文
@ChiefLiquidity Full port it into $SNAP so you can overlay a dancing hotdog on top of solar radiation storms
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调侃中美机器人技术差距，戏称需教配送机器人防身。
@Citrini7 这是美国机器人技术的巅峰时刻，而中国拥有能后空翻、练功夫、拿黑带的机器人。也许是我们该教教配送机器人如何反击那些把它们掀翻的行人了。 https://t.co/dJwns42aG6
英文原文
@Citrini7 This is the peak of American Robotics while China has backflipping, kung fu, black belt robots. Maybe it’s time we teach the delivery robots how to fight off pedestrians flipping them over. https://t.co/dJwns42aG6
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ONDS估值虽高，但作为独立标的仍具合理性。
@platochi @bennybigbull 与其他无人机公司如 $AIRO 相比，$ONDS 的估值（市销率）显得昂贵（28倍 vs 2.5倍）。我想表达的是，单看它本身，这是一个合理的选股标的。
英文原文
@platochi @bennybigbull $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies like $AIRO (28 vs 2.5 p/s) Standalone it’s a justified pick, is what I’m trying to say.
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作者认为$ONDS估值过高，建议关注其他估值更低的无人机股。
个人而言，我觉得与其他无人机公司相比，$ONDS 的定价偏高。 我持有 $AVAV、$DPRO、$KTOS 和 $AIRO 以获取无人机领域的敞口。 （这只是我凭记忆随口一说，别太当真）Ondas 目前的前瞻性企业价值/收入倍数（Forward EV/revenue multiples）约为 28 倍以上。即使是 AVAV，作为“复制者”（Replicator）项目的一部分，其倍数也仅为 8-9 倍。 Airo 则是针对“复制者 2.0”的反无人机（Counter UAV）系统。 当我买入 $AIRO 时，其前瞻性市销率（Forward P/S）约为 2.5 倍（现在可能更高，也许是 3-4 倍）。 甚至 $DPRO 根据一些收入计算，可能也只有 2.8 倍左右。 所以在我看来，其他无人机公司有更高的上行空间。
英文原文
Personally speaking, I feel like $ONDS is richly priced compared to other drone companies. I have $AVAV, $DPRO, $KTOS, and $AIRO for drone exposure. (Just going off the top of my head, dont take this too literally) Fwd EV/revenue multiples was ~28s+ now for Ondas. Even AVAV was 8-9 and they were in the replicator program. Airo was for counter UAV for replicator 2. When I bought $AIRO was trading at ~2.5 fwd p/s (probably higher now, maybe 3-4's). Even $DPRO might even be potential 2.8 from some rev calculations. So IMO higher upside with other drone companies.
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建议买入错杀标的而非传统对冲，并认可CRML的稀土受益逻辑。
我想指出一些超额收益机会：买入因错误原因下跌8%的标的（例如用于国防的美国无人机），而非像 $GLD / $SLV 这样的已知对冲工具。不过，如果讨论受益者，你提到的 $CRML 很棒，因为 Tanbreez 及其稀土矿藏。
英文原文
I just wanted to point out some alpha regarding buying into things down 8% for the wrong reason (eg. US drones for defense) rather than known hedges like $GLD / $SLV. But yes, if we talked about beneficiaries, your mentions like $CRML, bc of Tanbreez and all its rare earth deposits are great!
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德国股市作为美股风向标，因流动性低导致跌幅夸大。
@solbtcethcat 这是美国股市的德国市场。它是一个不错的方向性指标，但很可能是“愚蠢资金”，由于流动性低，跌幅被夸大了。
英文原文
@solbtcethcat This is Germany markets for US equities. It's a good directional indicator but likely dumb money, with exaggerated drops given low liquidity.
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格陵兰关税引发恐慌，建议逢低买入美国防、关键材料及本土半导体股。
美股期货因格陵兰关税新闻下跌。 许多欧洲股市热门股现下跌： $ONDS (-8.55%) 或 $RKLB (-7.65%)。 以下是如何从该局势中潜在获利的方法： 第一层：供应链 这是与北约盟友的争端。这威胁到供应链。 许多美国国防系统依赖欧洲组件（德国光学器件、英国/荷兰芯片）。格陵兰是稀土元素(REEs)的巨大潜在来源。 格陵兰受阻意味着美国必须依赖国内来源。 与欧洲的贸易战给国防承包商和其他部门带来混乱。 如果下跌，美国关键材料供应商如 $MP 或瓶颈对冲如 $LPTH 将是良好的逢低买入机会。 第二层：美国直接冲突/战争 战争板块如 ($AVAV 或 $KTOS) 实际上极具韧性，因为从根本上说，争端涉及美国国家安全。 欧洲（莱茵金属、萨博）国防股正在反弹，而美国（如 $ONDS）遭抛售。美国代码被恐惧的欧洲散户投资者错误定价。 国防股可能在“避险”恐慌初期下跌，但它们实际上最终成为与北约盟友紧张关系的主要受益者。（特朗普的事你无法预知）。 如果隔夜或盘前出现大幅下跌，如果发生无差别抛售，这可能是一个良好的买入机会。 第三层：美国半导体供应链/晶圆厂 与欧洲（特别是荷兰/ASML 和德国/蔡司）的贸易战严重损害半导体供应链。 在所有这些痛苦中，垂直整合的“美国制造”硬件公司将受益最大。 如果下跌，像 $COHR、$AMKR 或美国晶圆厂如 $INTC、$GFS 这样的公司可能是良好的逢低买入机会。 这更微妙，因为市场认为它们仍然有风险，因为许多“国内”玩家仍依赖欧洲进口（ASML 光刻、蔡司光学）来运营。 然而，这是关于供应链主权的美国国家安全，这是对美国政府不会让这些公司失败（例如英特尔的国家安全豁免）的美国政策的非对称性赌注。 可能避免： 科技/SaaS 的接飞刀，因为它们被视为“风险资产”，通常被抛售最多，除非情况极端。 _ 鉴于流动性低，欧洲市场可能正在恐慌性抛售至真空。 套利机器人可能会迫使美国隔夜价格下跌以匹配欧洲/期货的“隐含价格”。 然而，如果实际受益于该局势的板块出现跳空低开，这可能是极好的机会。 方向上，市场可能会看跌。 但预计许多这些 -7% 或 -9% 的数字将恢复到合理水平如 -1.5%，有些甚至翻正。
英文原文
US Futures are down due to Greenland Tariff news. Many popular names on EU stock exchanges are now down: $ONDS (-8.55%) or $RKLB (-7.65%). Here's how to potentially profit off the situation: Tier 1: Supply Chains This is a dispute with NATO Allies. This threatens supply chains. Many US defense systems rely on European components (optics from Germany, chips from UK/Netherlands). Greenland is a massive potential source of Rare Earth Elements (REEs). The blockage of Greenland means the US must rely on domestic sources. A trade war with Europe creates chaos for defense contractors and other sectors. US Critical Material providers like $MP or bottleneck hedges like $LPTH would be a good dip buying opportunity if they drop. Tier 2: US Direct Conflict/War War sectors like ( $AVAV or $KTOS ) are actually extremely resilient since fundamentally, the dispute goes back to US National Security. EU (Rheinmetall, SAAB) defense stocks are rallying, while US ( eg. $ONDS ) got sold off. US tickers are being mispriced by fearful European retail investors. Defense stocks might drop initially during "risk-off" panic but they actually end up being the primary beneficiaries of the tension with NATO allies. (you never know with Trump). Any large drops (if they happen) overnight or pre-market, this might be a good buying opportunity if there's an indiscriminate selloff. Tier 3: US Semi Supply Chains/Foundry A trade war with Europe (specifically the Netherlands/ASML and Germany/Zeiss) hurts the semiconductor supply chain immensely. Through all this pain, the vertically integrated "Made in America" hardware companies would benefit the most. Companies like $COHR, $AMKR, or US foundries like $INTC, $GFS might be a good dip buy if they drop. This is more nuanced since markets think they're still risky because a lot of the "domestic" players still rely on European imports (ASML lithography, Zeiss optics) to operate. However, this is US national security for supply chain sovereignty and this is an asymmetrical bet on US policy that they won't let these companies fail (eg. National Security Exemptions for Intel). Probably avoid: Falling knives on Tech/SaaS since they're considered "risk assets" and usually get sold off the most, unless it goes extreme. _ European markets are likely panic-selling into a void, given low liquidity. The arbitrage bots might force US overnight prices down to match the "implied prices" of European/Futures. However, this might be the excellent opportunity if there's a gap-down on names on sectors that actually benefit from the situation. Directionality, markets are likely going to see red. But expect many of these -7% or -9% numbers to recover to reasonable levels like -1.5%, with some flipping positive.
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Lightpath的锗是AI供应链关键瓶颈
@bennybigbull 我原本有关于 $LPTH 和 $AXTI 的深度撰写案例，但文章太长所以我删减了一个。不过是的，Lightpath 的锗(Germanium)是主要瓶颈之一 https://t.co/1cUXeoXMbX
英文原文
@bennybigbull I originally had two examples with $LPTH and $AXTI in depth writeups but the article got too long so I trimmed one of them. But yes Lightpath for Germanium is one of the big bottlenecks https://t.co/1cUXeoXMbX
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POET虽受散户追捧，但被视为未来互连瓶颈的替代方案。
@train9898 $POET 不幸的是，它是 WSB/X 上散户最喜爱的十大股票之一，所以并不算是低调。但它们是未来 1-2 年内解决互连瓶颈(interconnect bottleneck)的替代方案之一。
英文原文
@train9898 $POET unfortunately is retail’s top 10 favorite stocks on WSB/X so not exactly under the radar. But they’re one of the workarounds to inp in 1-2 years time
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感谢提及，指出光子学领域存在诸多供应链瓶颈。
@crux_capital_ 感谢提及！希望内容略有启发。光子学(Photonics)领域存在诸多瓶颈，相信你会对该领域感兴趣。
英文原文
@crux_capital_ Appreciate the shoutout! Hope it was slightly informative There’s a lot of photonics related bottlenecks so I’m sure you’d be interested in that area
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博主参与马斯克百万美元文章挑战，旨在分享信息而非求胜。
@platochi 我只是觉得为 @nikitabier 和 @elonmusk 的 $1M 文章挑战赛（$1M Article Challenge）一搏会很有趣！ 基本上没有获胜的机会。 但即使没有奖金，我也会这样做，以与他人分享有用的信息。
英文原文
@platochi I just thought it would be fun to shoot my shot for @nikitabier and @elonmusk $1M article challenge! Basically 0 chance of winning. But even without the prize, I’d do this anyway to share helpful information with others.
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通过信息发现寻找供应链瓶颈，多数标的因基本面差而落空。
@Ren_aramb 同意，这基本上就是一场淘金热。但我们是通过信息发现来寻找未来的瓶颈环节。找到正确的那个就等于发现了黄金（也许 $LPKFF 是那个知道的人）。我假设大多数人最终会空手而归，因为他们的很多基本面都很糟糕。
英文原文
@Ren_aramb Agreed, this is basically the gold rush. But instead we’re hunting for future bottlenecks with information discovery. Finding the right one would be discovering gold (maybe $LPKFF is the one who knows). I’d assume most end up empty since a lot of their fundamentals are bad.