个股论点
围绕单一股票的投资逻辑与仓位表态 · 共 2504 条 · 滚到底自动加载更多
-
博主计划在NBIS大跌时买入长期期权。
@DeepValueBagger 我一直在等待像这样（基本面没有实质性变化）10%以上的跌幅，以便买入 $NBIS 的长期期权（LEAPS）。很高兴你也看到了这个机会。
英文原文
@DeepValueBagger I've been waiting for a 10%+ drop like this (with no material changes to fundamentals) to buy leaps on $NBIS. Glad you see the opportunity too.
-
作者基于信念交易，认为NBIS长期期权表现将类似HOOD的V型反转。
@soulbiri1 $NBIS 的LEAPS（长期期权）应该会有不错的表现，这让我想起$HOOD从40美元跌至29美元，随后反弹至100美元以上的时期。 我基于自己的信念进行交易！
英文原文
@soulbiri1 $NBIS leaps should print, reminds me of the time $HOOD went from $40 to $29 then went on a rally to $100+. I trade on my own conviction!
-
NBIS市值逼近OKLO，但前者明年ARR预计达40-60亿。
@_visionarius 当然！$NBIS 的市值几乎追平了 $OKLO。区别在于后者尚未产生收入，而 Nebius 明年的年化经常性收入(ARR)预计将达到 40-60 亿美元 lol。
英文原文
@_visionarius Of course! $NBIS is almost at $OKLO's marketcap. The difference is the latter is pre-revenue and Nebius is set to do $4-6B ARR next year lol.
-
博主在NBIS大跌时加仓30万看涨LEAPS，视其为绝佳买入机会。
抛售 $NBIS 我个人在这个价位加购了30万美元的看涨LEAPS（长期股权预期证券），在我看来，10%的跌幅是巨大的买入机会。
英文原文
Fire sale $NBIS Personally added $300K in call leaps at this level, 10% drop is a huge buying opportunity imo. https://t.co/EYYmETApmP
-
AI核心标的275美元为极佳买点
@spybear180 是的，约 275 美元。整个 AI 交易的核心，即使在 291 美元也是极佳的买入机会。
英文原文
@spybear180 Yeah ~$275. Center of the whole AI trade, even at $291 it’s an amazing buy
-
降息在即，建议利用回调做多NBIS、TSM等高确信度AI及科技股。
距离降息还有12天（概率94.1%）。做市商(MMs)喜欢利用这样的时机清洗期权链(option chain)。 就我个人关注的杠杆交易(leveraged trades)关键价位而言： $NBIS - $105-$110 $TSM - $170-$175 $BTC - ~<$100K $RKLB - $35-$40 $ALAB - $100-$120 _ 特别点名亚马逊，尽管市场反弹，其年初至今(YTD)仍下跌4.6%。 $AMZN - $200-$210（现在$211买入看涨期权(calls)极佳，让我想起$GOOGL在史诗级反弹前的$145。基本上现在看起来不错，但像Google一样，它跌破了人们预期的水平，所以甚至可能触及$200） 我对高确信度(high conviction)标的使用保证金+期权没问题，这只是我个人的风险承受能力，非财务建议(NFA)。 现在是做多高确信度标的的最佳时机。
英文原文
We are 12 days away from a rate cut (94.1% odds). MMs enjoy times like these to cleanse the option chain. In terms of levels I’m personally looking out for larger sized leveraged trades: $NBIS - $105-$110 $TSM - $170-$175 $BTC - ~<$100K $RKlB - $35-$40 $ALAB - $100-$120 _ Special shoutout to Amazon, which is down 4.6% YTD despite the rally. $AMZN - $200-$210 ($211 is extremely good now for calls, reminds me of $GOOGL at $145 before the epic rally. Basically around now seems good, but like Google it dropped below levels people expected so might even touch $200) I’m fine with margin + options on higher conviction stuff, this is just my personal risk tolerance, NFA. These times are the best to go long on high conviction.
-
TSM财报超预期，作为AI核心受益，股价看涨至450美元以上。
$TSM 财报大爆，符合预期。它们是整个 Neocloud 交易和 AI 建设的核心。 鉴于 46% 的每股收益 (EPS) 同比增长（利润率扩张）和 37% 的营收同比增长，$TSM 轻松突破 $450+。（不过由于期权流向，短期可能会有些波动） ✅ 营收 $322.7 亿（预期 $316.1 亿） ✅ EPS: $2.84（预期 $2.63） 前瞻指引： ✅ 前瞻营收：$322 亿–$334 亿（预期 $320 亿） ✅ 毛利率：59–61% 作为大盘股，增长和利润令人惊叹。
英文原文
$TSM blowout earnings as expected. They’re the center of the whole Neocloud trade and AI Buildout. TSM is easily going to $450+ with 46% EPS y/y (expanding margins) and 37% revenue growth y/y. (Short term might be a little volatile because of option flow though) ✅ Revenue $32.27B (Est. $31.61B) ✅ EPS: $2.84 (Est. $2.63) Guidance: ✅ Forward Rev: $32.2B–$33.4B (Est. $32.0B) ✅ Gross Margin: 59–61% Amazing growth and profit as a mega cap.
-
博主认为NBIS无利空下跌是买入机会，并在122.9美元附近加仓看涨期权。
没有新闻的下跌总是 $NBIS 的礼物。 （在约 $122.9 处加仓了看涨期权） https://t.co/LmgjK3uoog
英文原文
No news dips are always a nice gift $NBIS. (Added calls at~$122.9) https://t.co/LmgjK3uoog
-
核能股涨势延续，受美军基地核电计划利好推动。
接着……投机性核反应堆股票的涨势仍在继续 $NKLR $OKLO $SMR 华尔街日报：“美军将使用核反应堆为基地供电” https://t.co/COEteFJUeE
英文原文
and... the speculative nuclear reactor stock run continues $NKLR $OKLO $SMR WSJ: "US Army to Power Bases with Nuclear Reactors" https://t.co/COEteFJUeE
-
建议直接持有$WYFI，避免ETH控股公司的稀释风险。
@Rainier_hs 一个值得吸取的教训是，公司经常以低于净资产价值(NAV)的价格交易。而且，鉴于这是一家以太坊(ETH)控股公司，且为了非高性能计算(HPC)目的进行稀释，我宁愿直接持有 $WYFI。
英文原文
@Rainier_hs A good lesson to learn is that companies trade under NAV all the time. And especially since it's an ETH holding company that dilutes for non HPC purposes, would rather just get direct exposure to $WYFI.
-
WLAC提交Form 425，因市场认知度低且具高回报潜力而买入。
@genZinvest0r 是的，$WLAC 就在大约 20 分钟前提交了 Form 425（招股说明书最终版），这应该是一个很好的催化剂。除了金融圈（finx）的人，几乎没人知道这件事，所以大家都处于极早期的阶段。不过，我确实能看到它实现 200-300% 回报的潜力，这也是我买入的原因。https://t.co/dHsw7Xy1xk
英文原文
@genZinvest0r Yeah $WLAC just filed their form 425 like 20 minutes ago so should be a good catalyst. Almost nobody outside of finx knows about it, so everyone is extremely early. But yeah can definitely see it being a 200-300% return, which is why I bought in. https://t.co/dHsw7Xy1xk
-
博主基于宏观利好更新美股AI/半导体/能源等板块的强烈买入、买入及持有名单。
大豆/植物油崩盘，个人思考与解释： 强烈买入 $ALAB $CRDO $NBIS $WLAC $LTC $TSM $BTC （+ 同上次税务收割股） $AMZN $SMCI _ 买入 $AMD $FLNC $SEI $BZAI $NKLR $IREN $WULF $CIFR $CRWV $BITF $WYFI $SLNH $BITF $RBRK $GLXY $GRAB $SEA $META $TGT $SNAP $MU $RKLB $FLY $UNH 持有 $MP $HOOD $EOSE $NVDA $GOOGL $DFLI $SOFI $VIRT $RR $AVGO $BE $ASTS （已达推文股票代码上限，其余同上次帖子，Quantum或Oklo仍建议卖出） _ 强烈买入 ALAB - 数据中心建设的重要组成部分，拥有类似英伟达(NVDA)的利润率，客户包括Mag7。已有来自博通(AVGO)的竞争者，真的不认为Arista会构成竞争威胁。 CRDO - 与ALAB同样的抛售，之前觉得两者都略有高估，但现在回到修正区间，适合补仓。 NBIS - $400目标价牛市情景。宏观顺风来自政府重新开放+10月底降息预期进入财报季，短期前景看好。利好众多（如Meta x CRWV，因此有更多Mag7客户的潜力），分部表现良好，例如Clickhouse，季度收入从$1亿扩展到$15亿+非常惊人。合同已锁定，只是公司执行的问题。 WLAC - 之前在$13时写过投资逻辑。即使在$14.5也很强，因为它可以轻松重估100%+。 LTC - 受杠杆交易者和政府停摆影响。预计停摆将持续一段时间，主要买入理由是ETF获批。但无论如何，低于$100都是很好的买入点，因为最终会获批（~95%概率）。 TSM - 天哪。如果是美国公司这将是$3万亿市值的公司，利润率惊人，对于其规模而言增长率惊人。每篇关于OpenAI X (**Sydney Sweeney合作)或AMD建设/NVDA建设的帖子中，TSM都是核心，即使以历史高点买入，也轻松成为$2万亿+公司（目前约$1.5万亿）。 BTC - $112K是好的入场点。黄金不断创历史新高，基本面没什么变化，只是最近大量清算。 （+ 同上次税务收割股） AMZN - 我真不知道为什么年初至今还在跌。我觉得亚马逊不需要太多解释，但仍在增长（例如AWS积压订单巨大，仍增长24%，当然不如ORCL、GCP等），但考虑到年底季节性和2月前的上涨，现在可能是抄底的最佳时机。AMZN今天触及$213-215是补仓的好机会，因为短期波段交易通常浮动在$218-$227，但长期我预计它会追赶其他Mag7。 SMCI - 被低估。市场关注短期表现，Charles引用的55%+同比前瞻收入增长无人相信+未实现的积压订单。但现在随着所有数据中心建设，这开始说得通了。因此应在接下来两次财报中重估。 _ 买入 AMD - OpenAI x AMD，Oracle使用AMD建设，这么多交易，如果它确实是$NVDA的强劲竞争对手，将重估为潜在$1万亿+公司。我不认为赢家通吃，可以看到$NVDA $4.5万亿+市值和$AMD $3500亿市值，所以我们可以看到大幅拉升（OpenAI通常是前沿模型领导者，如果Sam说他们可以使用AMD芯片+Elon说它对中小模型有益，可能意味着积极信号） FLNC - AI消耗后能源强劲重估，很好的买入。 SEI - AI消耗后能源强劲重估，很好的买入。 BZAI - 别人做过这家公司的深度研究，仅因板块和向边缘计算转移（例如机器人将很热）。由于低市值和类似公司的上涨可能表现良好。 NKLR - 像$OKLO这样的核能股已经起飞，这只是跟随梯队。 IREN - 无需介绍，巨大的GW算力，只是还没有宣布Mag7交易，但随时可能到来 -> 强劲重估。不是强烈买入的唯一原因是因为不完全确信矿工能像CRWV那样转型并保持高利润率（例如$ORCL打击文章），但我们会看到。 WULF - GOOGL积压订单，另外$3.6+亿左右的资金帮助很大。 CIFR - X上有很多关于未来产能和强劲重估的信息。一直喜欢这家公司，因为它是NBIS-lite。你可以买任何Neocloud，因为板块潜力巨大，Mag7将收入注入。 CRWV - 因为债务不像其他人那样喜欢，但由于植物油修正，$134（低于META交易宣布时）是更好的买入点 BITF - Neocloud类别相同 WYFI - Neocloud类别相同 BITF - Neocloud类别相同 GLXY - Neocloud类别相同，有助于其建设 RBRK - 做过深度研究，中期网络安全板块很好的买入，他们只需缩减营销，然后看起来有更多自由现金流，因为他们将大部分运营支出花在营销上。 GRAB - 基本面很好，-6.56%修正再次买入 SEA - 东南亚的AMZN，很多人使用。仅因客户群+变现潜力就买入。基本面$50亿+收入38% Y/Y增长也很好。 META - 我真的很不喜欢他们在AI上的昂贵资本支出，因为他们并没有像ChatGPT那样推出前沿模型，谁知道Zuck在做什么。但除此之外，一个月下跌7.3%，回到$700支撑位，可能在这里买入以追赶是个好主意。 TGT - 下个月股息是好的催化剂。 SNAP - Jenners回来了（有助于人气），他们将前记忆运营支出转为收入，这可能会导致明年巨大的重估。只是受税务收割影响，否则现在会是强烈买入。通常税务收割事件在12月完成。 MU - 现在中国恐惧稍微减弱，MU因为建设中的内存使用而成为更强的买入。 RKLB - 中子，金色穹顶合同，很多催化剂 FLY - 中等提升 UNH - 不受大豆影响的医疗保健股，但有修正。机构发布持仓后可能会上涨（例如Warren可能买了更多） 随机想法 基本上任何不是Oklo的成长/风险股都很好，因为我们有 -> 10月底降息 -> 政府重新开放（可能在10月底或11月初） 进入 -> 12月降息。 -> 中期选举（对股票看涨） 通常市场崩盘发生在紧缩而非宽松时。你的愚蠢量子泡沫可能会再持续3-12个月。如果你做空，可能等到明年2月。 无论如何，这是风险偏好的好时机，特别是搭乘Neoclouds -> 相关板块（例如能源）-> 相关公司（例如smci, tsm等）的趋势。 我半开玩笑地说大豆，因为它可能签署了升级紧张局势，但我可能会看到明年前的上涨。另外我可以写很多关于每一个的内容，但这很耗时，但我会不时发布关于随机股票如$RBRK的投资逻辑帖子。 太空/机器人/能源/量子/AI/半导体/关键垂直领域是目前最顶级的，不要对抗动量。我可以认为某些东西被高估了（例如一些关键材料，因为与Neoclouds相比仍然具有投机性，后者基于Mag7的执行有保证的收入），但我不会在降息时做空它。 只是个人想法，非财务建议
英文原文
The Great Soybean/Seed Oil Crash, personal thoughts and explanations: Strong Buy $ALAB $CRDO $NBIS $WLAC $LTC $TSM $BTC (+ same as tax harvest stocks last time) $AMZN $SMCI _ Buy $AMD $FLNC $SEI $BZAI $NKLR $IREN $WULF $CIFR $CRWV $BITF $WYFI $SLNH $BITF $RBRK $GLXY $GRAB $SEA $META $TGT $SNAP $MU $RKLB $FLY $UNH Hold $MP $HOOD $EOSE $NVDA $GOOGL $DFLI $SOFI $VIRT $RR $AVGO $BE $ASTS (Hit the ticker maximum but everything else from last post, still sell on Quantum or Oklo) _ Strong Buys ALAB - Huge part of datacenter buildout, NVDA like margins, Mag7 customers. Already had competitors from AVGO, really don't think Arista would be a competitive threat. CRDO - Same sell-off as ALAB, thought they were both kind of overvalued before, but now they're back in correction territory so good to stock up. NBIS - $400 PT bull case. We have macro tailwind from government re-opening + rate cut EOM october into earnings, so short term looks promising. Lot of things going for it (eg. meta x crwv, so there's potential for more mag7 clients), sum of parts doing well, eg. clickhouse, and scaling rev from $100m to $1.5B+ a quarter is insane. there's already contracts locked in its just a matter of company execution. WLAC - Wrote a thesis about this earlier at $13. Even at $14.5 strong because it can re-rate 100%+ easily. LTC - Affected by leverage traders and government shutdown. The shutdown is predicted to last awhile and the main reason to buy was the ETF getting approved. But a great buy sub <$100 anyway, because it will get approved in due time (~95% chance). TSM - Holy crap. This would be a $3T company if this were a US company, insane profit margins, insane growth rate for their size. And every post you see about OpenAi X (**sydney sweeney partnership) or AMD buildout/NVDA buildout. TSM is the center of it all and would easily be a $2T+ company (from here at ~$1.5T), even if buying at ATHs. BTC - $112K good entry point. Goldt keeps hitting ATH, nothing really changed fundamentally, just lot of liquidations recently (+ same as tax harvest stocks last time) AMZN - I really don't know how it's still down YTD. I don't think Amazon needs much explaining but still growing (eg. AWS backlog massive, still going like 24% but not as much as ORCL, GCP and others obviously), but with EOY seasonality and runup to Feb, now is probably the best chance to catch the bottom. AMZN hitting $213-215 today was a good chance to stock up since it usually floats between $218-$227 if you're short term swing trading but long term I'd expect it to catchup to other mag7. SMCI - Underrated. Markets were looking short term performance, and Charles was quoting like 55%+ Y/Y forward revenue growth which nobody believed + backlog that didnt get realized yet. But now with all the data center buildouts, now it's kinda making sense. So should re-rate in the next two earnings. _ Buy AMD - So many deals from OpenAI x AMD, oracle building out with AMD, this is going to re-rate to a potential $1T+ company if it's actually a strong competitive to $NVDA. I don't think it's winner takes all and you can see a $4.5T+ market cap size with NVDA and some $350B marketcap size with AMD, so we can see a large ramp up (OpenAI is usually the leader in frontier models and if Sam says they can use AMD chips + elon said its' good for small-medium weight models, prboably means something positive) FLNC - Strong re-rate on energy after AI consumption, great buy. SEI - Strong re-rate on energy after AI consumption, great buy. BZAI - Someone else did a DD on this company, just cause of sector and shift to edge compute (eg. Robotics goign to be hot). Because of low MC and runup of similar companies could turn out well. NKLR - Nuclear stocks like $OKLO have been taking off, this is just follow the lader. IREN - Needs no introduction, huge GW compute capacity just no announced mag7 deals yet but could come anytime -> strong re-rate. Only reason not a strong buy is because not fully convinced miners can pivot like CRWV and maintain great margins (eg. $ORCL hit piece) but we'll see. WULF - GOOGL backlog, another $3.6+ or so in funding helps a lot. CIFR - Lot of info on X about future capacity and strong re-rating. Always liked this company because it was NBIS-lite. You can probably buy any Neocloud and it will go up because the sector is incredibly high potential with Mag7 funneling revenue. CRWV - Didn't like this as much as others because of debt but because of the seed oil correction much better buy point at $134 (below when META deal was announced) BITF - Same in Neocloud category WYFI - Same in Neocloud category BITF - Same in Neocloud category GLXY - Same in Neocloud category, helps with their buildout RBRK - Did a DD on this, great buy for cybersecurity sector in mid term, they just need to scale back marketing and then it looks like they have a lot more FCF because they're spending most OPEX on marketing. GRAB - Great fundamentally, -6.56% correction good to buy again SEA - AMZN in SEA, tons of people use them. Just a buy just because of costumer base + monetization potenetial. Fundamentally growing $5B+ rev 38% Y/Y is also great. META - I really don't like all their expensive capex on AI since they're not really putting out fronteir models like ChatGPT with it, who knows what Zuck is doing. But that aside, down 7.3% over the month, going to $700 support, probably a good buy around here to play catchup. TGT - Dividend next month good catalyst. SNAP - The Jenners are coming back (helps with popularity), they're shifting former memory opex to revenue, and this will probably cause a HUGE rerating next year. Just suffers from tax harvesting otherwise would be a strong buy rn. Usually tax harvesting events are kinda done in December. MU - Now that China fears are kinda less intense, MU is a lot stronger buy just cause of memory use on buildout. RKLB - Neutron, golden dome contracts, lot of cataylsts FLY - Medium lift UNH - Healthcare stock not affected by soybeans but had a correction. Would likely go up one instituions post their ports (eg. warren likely bought more) Random thoughts Basically any growth/risk stock that's not named Oklo is great because we have -> Rate Cut end of month October -> Government re-opening sometime (likely around end of Oct or early Nov) Into -> Rate Cut December. -> Midterms (Bullish for stocks) Usually market crashes happen when there's tightening not easing. And your stupid quantum bubbles would likely continue for another 3-12 months afterward. If you're short, then probably wait till next Feb. Anyway, this is a great time for risk-on, and specially riding trends with neoclouds -> affiliated sectors (eg. energy) -> affiliated companies (eg. smci, tsm, etc). I half joke-about soybeans because it likely signed escalating tensions, but I'd probably see a run-up into next year. Also I could write up a lot about each one but it's pretty time consuming but I'll put on a thesis post about random ones eg. $RBRK, from time to time. Space/robotics/energy/quantum/ai/semi/critical top verticals right now, don't fight against momentum. I can think something is overvalued (eg. some critical materials bc. it's still spectulative compared to neoclouds that kinda have guaranteed rev based on execution from mag7) but I wouldn't short it into rate cuts. Just personal thoughts, NFA
-
宏观降息与基本面改善将推动NBIS估值重估。
至少对于2025年的$NBIS而言： 宏观层面 -> 政府重新开放至月底降息，进而进入财报季（这对大多数成长股是巨大的催化剂） -> 12月进行第二次降息。 基本面 -> Nebius或相关公司（如Coreweave）获得更多“七巨头(Mag7)”的合同。 -> 财报发布（基于前瞻指引，其估值应大幅重估） -> 分部投资正走向IPO。
英文原文
At least for 2025 on $NBIS Macro wise -> Gov re-open into rate cut end of month into earnings (huge huge catalyst for most growth stocks) -> Second rate cut in December. Fundamentals -> More Mag7 contracts for Nebius or related companies like Coreweave. -> Earnings report (they should re-rate really hard on this with forward projections) -> Sum of parts investments moving toward IPO.
-
博主因行业因素考虑明日加仓，并提及个人游戏偏好。
@mysticall3g3nd 这让我想起我最喜欢的英雄联盟战队，可能会因为行业原因明天加仓。
英文原文
@mysticall3g3nd Reminds me of my favorite league of legends team, probably will add tomorrow cause industry
-
认为ALAB超卖，CRDO随Astera抛售，大豆是佳选
@DanielTan64198 另一家与 $ALAB 竞争的公司（我认为它被超卖了，因为尽管已有 $AVGO 这样的大竞争对手，但大型科技公司仍在采购其产品），$CRDO 随 Astera 一同抛售。另外，大豆也是很好的加仓标的。
英文原文
@DanielTan64198 Another company competing vs $ALAB (think it’s oversold bc they already have big competitors like $AVGO but big tech uses them anyway), $CRDO just sold off with Astera. Also soybeans, both great adds
-
机构低位增持 $NBIS，认为其将赋能 Azure，建议勿因噪音卖出。
机构在低位进行了一些有趣的操作，以积累 $NBIS 流通盘的另外 20%。 机构持股比例为 38%（极低）（优质公司通常在 60-80%），而对冲基金开始终于意识到 Nebius 未来将为 MSFT Azure 和许多其他前沿模型提供动力。 所以，在“大豆籽油”新闻上卖出并不是个好主意，但这可能像 Oracle 的抹黑文章一样甩掉了一些散户。
英文原文
Institutions do some fun stuff to accumulate another 20% of the float of $NBIS at lower levels. Institutional ownership is 38% (extremely low) (60-80% usually on great companies), and hedge funds are starting to finally realize Nebius will power MSFT Azure and many other frontier models in the future. So yeah, not a good idea to sell on the Soybean Seed Oil news, but probably shook off some retail like the Oracle hit piece.
-
NBIS作为AI核心基建营收激增，却因农产品因素下跌。
人工智能是历史上最大的国家安全问题与竞赛。 AI 可以基于算力设计核武器或创造改变生活的发现。 $NBIS 是 AI 和 Mag7（七大科技巨头）的新基础设施，其远期营收同比增长 1400%。 🥭然而，因为种子油和豆类（农产品）的影响，它跌了 5.4%。 https://t.co/VRd8RoLB4a
英文原文
AI is the largest national security issue and race in history. AI can design nuclear weapons or create life changing discoveries based on compute. $NBIS is the new infra of AI and Mag7 with 1400% Y/Y forward revenue. 🥭And it sold off 5.4% because of Seed Oils and Soybeans. https://t.co/VRd8RoLB4a
-
用游戏卡组比喻构建新云AI基础设施投资组合。
🧙♂️ 召唤艾克佐迪亚，理想的“新云”卡组 艾克佐迪亚卡组： 🧩 $NBIS – 头部 🧩 $WLAC – 左臂 🧩 $IREN – 右臂 🧩 $CIFR – 左腿 🧩 $WULF – 右腿 贪婪壶配置： 🏭 $TSM ⚡ $FLNC 🏡 $GLXY 当这五张牌全部进入你的投资组合时，Sydney Sweeney 将从“新云”降临 https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl
英文原文
🧙♂️ Summoning Exodia, the ideal Neocloud Deck Exodia Deck: 🧩 $NBIS – Head 🧩 $WLAC – Left Arm 🧩 $IREN – Right Arm 🧩 $CIFR – Left Leg 🧩 $WULF – Right Leg Pot of Greed Setup: 🏭 $TSM ⚡ $FLNC 🏡 $GLXY When all five are in your port, Sydney Sweeney descends from the Neocloud https://t.co/dlnjgCAIxl
-
预测NBIS股价将突破400美元。
@nateschanker @mvcinvesting @EndicottInvests @investwithsheng @TradeSignalHQ $NBIS 涨至 $400+！
英文原文
@nateschanker @mvcinvesting @EndicottInvests @investwithsheng @TradeSignalHQ $NBIS to $400+!
-
@Rexxig $NBIS 牛市情景下目标价$400。目前股价为$135。 绝对值得至少建仓 Nebius。虽然不能对其他标的说同样的话（指同样安全），但随着 Mag7 将收入向下漏斗式转移，所有新云厂商都应上涨。
英文原文
@Rexxig $NBIS $400 PT on a bull case. It's sitting at $135. Definitely worth dropping into Nebius at least. Can't really say the same as safely for the rest, but all neoclouds should go up with mag7 funneling revenue down to them.
-
NBIS凭借全栈软件及多元客户，长期潜力优于IREN。
IREN 短期内可能因原始算力(GW)优势而表现优异，但 $NBIS 具备在市场修正/崩盘中存活并最终成为下一个市值超1000亿美元的 $MSFT 的潜力，其价值源于各部分投资之和。此外，他们拥有多元化的客户群（从 $ORCL 财报中我们已看到其重要性）。同时具备全栈+软件编排能力（从 $ORCL 财报及 $CRWV 收购软件公司中可见其重要性）。市场正在定价矿工转型的能力，但正如甲骨文案例所示，始终存在盈利风险，因此 NBIS 已具备这一优势。
英文原文
IREN might outperform near term just because of raw GW but $NBIS has the potential to outlast any market correction/crash and become the next $100B+ $MSFT with sum of parts investments. Also they have diversified client base (we've seen why that's important with the $ORCL report) Also full stack + software orchestration (we've seen why that's important with the $ORCL report and why $CRWV has been buying up software companies). People are pricing in miners being able to pivot but there's always profitability risk as seen with oracle, hence why NBIS already has that down.
-
博主完全赞同关于NBIS的观点。
@arpit_sidana $NBIS 100%（完全同意）
英文原文
@arpit_sidana $NBIS 100%
-
博主因补涨逻辑买入$WULF，以集齐新型云服务商投资组合。
今天，我内心那个WSB（华尔街赌徒）的声音说话了…… 所以今天冲进了 $WULF，在发现它涨幅不大（3.6%）而 $CIFR 和 $WYFI 都涨了28%之后，以此凑齐“Neoclouds”（新型云服务商）的“艾克佐迪亚”（游戏王卡片组合，意指集齐关键组件）。（之前已经少量买入了一些 $WYFI、$WLAC 和 $BITF） $WULF 拥有与 $CIFR 类似的 $GOOGL 合同。https://t.co/0oYU9TtaxV
英文原文
Today the WSB degen inside me spoke... So aped into $WULF today to complete exodia of the Neoclouds after seeing it not go up much (3.6%) while $CIFR, $WYFI both went up 28%. (bought $WYFI, $WLAC and $BITF a little earlier on) Similar $GOOGL contract as $CIFR. https://t.co/0oYU9TtaxV
-
博主表示更看好 $WLAC
@LibertadEterno 我更喜欢 $WLAC
英文原文
@LibertadEterno i prefer $WLAC
-
质疑Boost财务数据准确性，分析其与Fluidstack合作及获Mag7客户潜力。
Boost 此前预测其年度经常性收入(ARR)为2.75亿美元，毛利率75%，IPO估值6亿美元。我不认为那个790万美元的数字是准确的。此外，Fluidstack 1.8亿美元的 ARR 很可能是一个严重滞后的快照，因为那是2024年的数据。目前尚不清楚他们与 Fluidstack 的合作模式，但鉴于 $CIFR 和 $WULF 正是通过这种方式获得合同，他们有望获得 $GOOGL 等 Mag7 客户的业务。
英文原文
Boost was projecting ARR of $275M forward revenue, 75% gross margin, IPO at $600m valuation. Don't think that $7.9m number was accurate. Also Fluidstack's ARR at $180m is likely a way lagging snapshot since that was 2024. Not too clear how they work with Fluidstack yet, there's potential for Mag7 clients like $GOOGL since that's how $CIFR and $WULF got the contracts.
-
提醒新手注意 $WLAC 盘前流动性风险，并分析其作为 Neocloud 的高增长潜力。
给新手的 $WLAC 提示： 尽量避免在盘后/盘前买入这类低流通盘的小市值股票，因为流动性极低且买卖价差（Bid-Ask Spread）很大（如果非要买，请挂限价单）。 例如，目前的买价是 $13.8，卖价是 $15.08，如果你不挂限价单而是直接市价买入，你会立即亏损 9.28%。 此外，与正常交易时段相比，流动性匮乏导致价格波动被放大，次日可能会回归正常。 _ 背景信息：$WLAC 是一家 SPAC IPO，将转换为 Boost，估值约 6 亿美元。 Boost 是一家 Neocloud（新型云服务商），与 $WULF / $CIFR 最相似，因为它们都与 Fluidstack 合作，而 Fluidstack 由 $GOOGL 支持。 其优势在于已有 75%+ 的 EBITDA 毛利率，这非常棒，且营收同比增长 250%，估值较低。它将从近期的 Neocloud 热潮中大幅受益，并可能因获得一份 Mag7（七大科技巨头）合同而大幅重估。 可能在接下来两个月内任何时间 IPO，这只是个等待游戏。
英文原文
Just a heads up about $WLAC to newcomers: Try not to buy these types of low-float small MC stocks after-hours/pre-market due to really low liquidity + high spread (and if you do, place limit orders). Bid-Ask is $13.8, Sell $15.08 right now as an example, so you're losing 9.28% immediately if you don't limit buy a stock and just place a 100x buy order. There's also a lack of liquidity compared to normal market hours so a lot of price movements are inflated + could go back to normal the next day. _ For context, $WLAC is an SPAC IPO that converts into Boost ~$600m valuation. Boost is a Neocloud most similar to $WULF / $CIFR in that they work with Fluidstack, which is backstopped by $GOOGL. The benefit was that they already have 75%+ EBITDA gross margin, which is incredibly great and are 250% rev y/y + low valuation. It should benefit a lot from the Neocloud run recently + could re-rate largely with one mag7 contract. Could IPO anytime in the next two months, it's just a waiting game.
-
因行情垂直飙升，停止卖CIFR看涨期权并买入NBIS。
@pepemoonboy 本周我停止了对 $CIFR 卖出看涨期权(CC) 以买入 $NBIS，因为所有走势都呈垂直飙升态势。
英文原文
@pepemoonboy I stopped selling CC's this week for $CIFR to $NBIS because everything is just going vertical.
-
看好RKLB长期潜力，并推荐NBIS等替代标的。
@paramdan42454 只要基本面良好，股票在长期内总是会上涨的。 我认为 $RKLB 总有一天会像 SpaceX 一样达到 3500 亿美元的市场规模，而它现在才 300 亿美元。 如果你觉得自己错过了什么，也总有新的机会，比如 $NBIS $FLNC $WLAC。
英文原文
@paramdan42454 Stonks always go higher over longer periods of time if they’re fundamentally good. I think $RKLB will go to $350B market cap one day like SpaceX and it’s still $30B now. There’s always new opportunities too if you feel like you missed something like $NBIS $FLNC $WLAC
-
上调NBIS目标价至450美元，重申其他新云标的跑赢大盘评级。
随着泰勒·斯威夫特进入新云(NeoCloud)领域，即便GPT-5拥有10GW算力也找不到她持久的男友。 我将$NBIS的1年目标价上调至$450，并重申对其他标的的跑赢大盘(outperform)评级，原因是能源消耗无限。
英文原文
With Taylor Swift entering the Neocloud space, not even 10GW compute on GPT-5 can find her a lasting boyfriend. Raising my 1Y price target on $NBIS to $450 and reiterating outperform on the rest due to infinite energy consumption. $WLAC $CIFR $FLNC $IREN $TSM $AMD $BITF $WYFI $GLXY
-
对比FLNC与CIFR，建议分散配置避免过度集中于AI基建。
@woosla79 它们都很好且相关，说实话，如果比较 $FLNC 和 $CIFR，我不知道哪个涨得更快。同时持有两者以获取敞口是不错的，但不要过度集中于人工智能基础设施建设。
英文原文
@woosla79 They’re all really good and related, I don’t know what would go up faster if you compare $FLNC with $CIFR, tbh. Good to have exposure to both, but don’t be overly concentrated on AI buildout.