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强调$HIMS高做空比例带来的逼空潜力，认为风险收益比值得。
我不知道该强调多少次了，关于 $HIMS 一家市值110亿美元、盈利且快速增长的公司，做空比例(short interest)高达42%……有潜力像 $OPEN 或 $GME 那样，在逼空(short squeeze)行情中创造历史。 风险收益比(risk reward)值得博取。
英文原文
I don’t know how to reiterate this enough for $HIMS 42% short interest on a 11B, profitable, and fast growing company… has the potential to make history on a short squeeze like $OPEN or $GME. The risk reward is worth it. https://t.co/xoCKXMzdqu
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建议禁用股票出借，因该股42%已被做空。
@himshouse 确保在你的券商处也禁用股票出借(stock lending)。该股票42%已被做空(sold short)。
英文原文
@himshouse Make sure to disable stock lending on your brokerage too. The stock is 42% sold short.
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SOL被抢跑，XRP基本面荒谬，LTC因ETF预期看涨至200美元。
@mamadamacdonald $SOL 已经被抢跑（frontran），$XRP 的基本面荒谬程度与 $PLTR 相当。 $LTC 在 ETF 获批和莱特币国库（Litecoin treasuries）方面仍有巨大上涨空间。鉴于市值（MC）很小，一旦积累足够，我们很可能会看到巨大的飙升。$200+。
英文原文
@mamadamacdonald $SOL already got frontran and $XRP fundamentals are just as absurd as $PLTR. $LTC has a ton of room to run with etf approval and Litecoin treasuries. Given the MC is so small, we’ll likely see some massive spike when enough gets accumulated. $200+
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博主抨击收费交易课程为骗局，强调展示真实获利能力。
友情提醒：如果你真的是一个日内波段/算法交易者，你就不需要在 Discord 上售卖 50 美元的付费课程。 这些人是 X 上最大的“江湖骗子”（snake oil scammers）。 这也是我开设账号的主要原因之一，向人们展示如何从市场中真正获得回报 https://t.co/sQYIyHv9Yz
英文原文
PSA: If you were an actual swing/algorithmic trader, you wouldn’t need to sell $50 paywalled courses on Discord. These people are the biggest snake oil scammers on X. They’re one of the main reasons I started an account to show people how to actually make returns from markets https://t.co/sQYIyHv9Yz
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建议同时持有UPWK和HIMS，前者避税，后者博反弹。
@mattia030339 我会说两个都做，除非你的仓位已满。$UPWK 自从我发帖以来涨了很多，所以可能最好持有它以获得长期资本利得税优惠。否则，$HIMS 由于42%的做空比例，如果在回调时能买入，可能在近中期有更大的潜力。
英文原文
@mattia030339 I’d say do both unless you’re full port. $UPWK went up a ton since i posted so might be a good idea to just get long term capital gains tax on it. Otherwise $HIMS probably has more potential near/mid term cause of 42% short interest, if you can catch it on a dip.
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指出AMD依赖台积电代工。
@alc2022 还有……$AMD 运行在 $TSM 之上。
英文原文
@alc2022 and... $AMD runs on $TSM.
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建议买入垄断且低估的台积电，因其他AI股均依赖其代工。
如果你在纠结 $ORCL 对比 $AMZN | $GOOGL，$AMD | $AVGO 对比 $NVDA，$NBIS 对比 $IREN 对比 $WYFI 对比 $CRWV 这很简单。直接买入 $TSM，上述所有公司都依赖于它。 估值偏低且拥有垄断地位，基于未来增长 + 边缘推理(Edge Inference)的资本支出，市值有望从 1.3 万亿美元 -> 1.8 万亿美元。
英文原文
If you're debating $ORCL vs. $AMZN | $GOOGL, $AMD | $AVGO vs. $NVDA, $NBIS vs. $IREN vs. $WYFI vs. $CRWV It's easy. Just buy $TSM, everything above is dependent on it. Undervalued and a monopoly, will likely run from $1.3T -> $1.8T MC based on forward growth + capex from ERs.
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HOOD无目标价但具高赔率，看好其银行业务带来的颠覆性催化。
@Lovefist17 没有目标价。我只是猜测其风险回报比值得，它可能会像 PLTR 那样，市值飙升至被高估的 4000 亿美元。标普指数（S&P）对大盘股的被动资金流入简直愚蠢。此外，$HOOD 正在推出银行业务，这极具颠覆性且是良好的催化剂。
英文原文
@Lovefist17 No price target. I'm just guessing it's worth the risk/reward that it pulls a PLTR and goes to a overvalued 400B market cap. Passive inflows from S&P is just stupid with large caps. Also $HOOD is launching banking which is extremely disruptive + good catalyst
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类比HOOD估值，指出HIMS盈利且市值小，空头因股价坚挺而恐慌。
@himshouse 这让我想起当 $HOOD 股价交易在 18 美元时，所有人都给出 12 美元目标价(PT)的情景。 42%的做空比例(Short Interest)在股价于他们额外做空 6% 后仍守住 50 美元时感到恐慌。 $HIMS 实现盈利，正在收购公司，市值仅 100 亿美元，且有新产品发布。
英文原文
@himshouse This reminds me when everyone gave $HOOD a $12 PT when the stock was trading at $18. The 42% short interest are scared when price is holding $50 after they shorted another 6%. $HIMS is profitable, acquiring companies, small 10B market cap, and with new product launches.
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博主列出下月基于潜力最看好的五只股票及买入逻辑。
如果我要根据潜力在下个月买入5样东西： 1. $HIMS - 42%的做空比例(SI)，新产品/降息催化剂+120万欧盟客户。逼空不可避免，只是时间问题。 2. $LTC - 抢在机构之前，为10月2日的ETF发行做准备。 3. $NBIS - 仅基于微软(MSFT)的交易，股价轻松达到100美元以上。抱歉了$IREN持有者。 4. $CRDO - 仅仅是为了追赶$ALAB的市值(MC)。 5. $HOOD - 鉴于标普(S&P)按市值加权且HOOD市值超1000亿美元，纳入标普的流入资金将大幅增加其市值。
英文原文
If I had to buy 5 things for the next month by potential: 1. $HIMS - 42% SI, new product/rate cut catalyst + 1.2M EU customers. Short squeeze inevitable, just a matter of time. 2. $LTC - Frontrun institutions for the ETF launch October 2nd. 3. $NBIS - Should easily be $100+ just based off of MSFT deal. Sorry $IREN holders. 4. $CRDO - Just to catchup $ALAB MC. 5. $HOOD - S&P inclusion flows will add a ton to the market cap given S&P is weighted by MC and hood is $100B+.
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博主承认常凭感觉交易且胜率较高，非全基于分析。
@Toy0tomi_H @mattia030339 有道理，不过我并非所有的交易都基于分析。我大部分时间只是凭感觉交易(vibe trade)，结果发现我大多数时候都是对的。
英文原文
@Toy0tomi_H @mattia030339 Makes sense, not all of my trades are based on analysis though. I just vibe trade a large part of the time and I turn out to be right majority of the time.
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博主质问某用户是否喜欢诈骗他人。
@StockTrader_Max 你喜欢诈骗别人吗？
英文原文
@StockTrader_Max Do you enjoy scamming people?
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空头成本高昂且公司增长，终将触发逼空。
嗯，空头持仓比例/借券可用性才是关键转折点。鉴于公司正在增长，且他们需为42亿美元($4.2B)的持仓支付借券费用，终归会有某个时点他们必须进行平仓。原本预期PPI数据加上惊喜的产品发布就是转折点，但看来他们又找到了几个百分点的股票来做空。
英文原文
Well the short interest %/borrow availability is the tipping point. At some point they’ll need to cover since company is growing and they’re paying borrow fees on $4.2B. Was expecting PPI + surprise product launch to be it but they found another few percent of shares to sell short I guess.
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HIMS空头加仓压制股价，高融券率下若买盘持续将引发轧空。
分析有误。对于 $HIMS，主要是因为空头又卖空了超过 2.5% 的流通盘，以防止股价突破 50 美元并触发抛物线式轧空（parabolic squeeze）。目前约 42% 的股票被卖空，如果买盘持续，他们将陷入困境。
英文原文
Analysis is off. For $HIMS it’s mainly because short sellers shorted another 2.5%+ of the float to prevent the stock from breaking out from $50 and triggering a parabolic squeeze. ~42% of the stock is now sold short and they’re trapped if buying pressure continued. https://t.co/QvgQu4MQod
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惊讶于巨额融券压制股价，认为上行空间大且下行风险低。
@NighthawkTradez 我很惊讶他们甚至设法借入流通股的42%进行做空，以将其价格压制在$50以下。考虑到价格依然坚挺，要回购的数量真是令人难以置信。现在上行波动性更大，下行风险更小。
英文原文
@NighthawkTradez I’m surprised they even managed to borrow 42% of the float to sell short to keep it under $50 That’s an insane number to buy back given the price is still holding strong. Even more volatile upside and less downside risk now.
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博主复盘分享头寸单日涨跌，承认$ETOR看错，并说明后续发帖计划。
第二天——我分享的头寸单日回报： $TSSI：$14.40 → $15.76 (+9.44%) $HIMS：$47.85 → $51.17 (+6.94%) $NBIS：$91.00 → $96.20 (+5.71%) $TSM（杠杆）：$253.60 → $261.79 (+3.23%) $ETOR：$45.00 → $43.50 (–3.33%) —— 这个看错了，但时间会证明一切。 因为已完成每小时的更新，中午就结束发帖了。 作为一次性分享，觉得全天随机聊聊想法挺有趣。我通常不提及何时止盈，因为告诉别人卖出感觉很奇怪。 如果有好的机会，我偶尔还是会回来发帖聊股票。
英文原文
Day 2 — single-day returns on the positions I’ve shared: $TSSI: $14.40 → $15.76 (+9.44%) $HIMS: $47.85 → $51.17 (+6.94%) $NBIS: $91.00 → $96.20 (+5.71%) $TSM (leverage): $253.60 → $261.79 (+3.23%) $ETOR: $45.00 → $43.50 (–3.33%) — got this one wrong, but time will tell. Wrapping up mid-day since I’m done with the hourly posts. As a one-off, thought it’d be fun to share some random thoughts throughout the day. I usually don’t mention when I take profit since it feels weird to tell people to sell. I’ll still drop in from time to time to post about stocks if there's a good opportunity.
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作者认为$APPL发布会后先跌后涨，看好iPhone Air但提示高风险。
有时我也喜欢赌一把。 $APPL 似乎总是在苹果发布会（Apple Event）上，当人们说它很糟糕时下跌。 然后在几天后，当他们进行股票回购（Buybacks）并改变公众叙事（Public Narrative）时反弹，就像苹果智能（Apple Intelligence）那样。 我挺喜欢 iPhone Air。这个交易（Play）风险极高。 https://t.co/d8Y1B0aDFP
英文原文
Sometimes I like to gamble too. $APPL somehow always falls every Apple event when people say it’s bad. Then a few days later rallies when they do buybacks and change public narrative like with Apple Intelligence. I quite like the iPhone Air. This play is extremely high risk. https://t.co/d8Y1B0aDFP
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财报后获利了结，待查基本面变化后跟进。
@grokwaadi 哦，我在财报发布后获利了结，然后有一段时间没关注它了。我需要重新审视一下，看看基本面是否有任何变化，稍后会跟进。
英文原文
@grokwaadi Oh I took profit after earnings and forgot about it for a bit. I’ll need to look at it again and see if there was any fundamental changes, will follow up later
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作者认为$HIMS增长强劲，确信将引发空头回补。
@jliljliljlil 关于轧空(Short Squeeze)没有具体的时间点，它发生在空头头寸减少时。要么是出现50%以上的剧烈飙升，要么像2020年的 $TSLA 那样持续一年的缓慢轧空。鉴于 $HIMS 的增长势头以及在欧洲拥有120万客户，我非常有信心他们会进行空头回补(Cover)。
英文原文
@jliljliljlil There’s no pt on short squeezes, it’s whenever short interest decreases. Either there’s a whopping spike that goes up 50%+ or some sustained squeeze over a year like TSLA back in 2020. Given $HIMS growth + 1.2M customers in Europe, I have high conviction that they’ll cover.
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博主质疑对方能力，表示虽愿提供建议但对方采纳可能性低。
@Undiscovered42 @evanspiegel 我仍然认为他并不清楚自己在做什么。 如果他们愿意考虑，我很乐意提供想法，但这不太可能。
英文原文
@Undiscovered42 @evanspiegel Still don’t think he knows what he’s doing. Happy to give them ideas if they ever want to consider it but unlikely.
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建议$SG波段交易关注$10，长期持有博财报利好反弹。
@okcnav 我在 WSB 上说，如果你是做波段交易(swing trading)，$10 是个好价位。 现实来看，如果财报(earnings)表现良好，股价完全可能重回 $14+。 人们忘了 $SG 不久前还是 $40 呢 lol，所以为了长期投资(investing)而持有它，承担这个风险是值得的。
英文原文
@okcnav On WSB I said $10 if you’re swing trading. Realistically it could go back to $14+ if earnings are good. People forget $SG was $40 not too long ago lol so worth the risk just holding it for investing.
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博主分享其金融背景及过目不忘的记忆力如何辅助交易。
@taleino93 自学成才，拥有金融背景。 我拥有过目不忘的记忆力，能脱口而出期权流向(Option Flow)/财报/市值/宏观事件，并即时将信息拼凑整合。 这很不寻常，但对日内交易/波段交易很有帮助。
英文原文
@taleino93 Self-taught and background in finance. I also have photographic memory where I can remember option flow/earning report/market cap/macro event off the top of my head and piece things together on the fly. It’s unusual but helpful for day trading/swing trading.
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建议持有 $TSSI 以捕捉半导体牛市红利，预期单日涨幅超 10%。
如果你正考虑在 $TSSI 上获利了结，请记住该股在稀释前曾达 $30，且目前半导体牛市势头强劲，涉及 $SMCI、$TSM、$AVGO、$IREN、$NBIS、$WYFI、$NVDA 和 $ORCL。若涨势持续，单日涨幅可能超过 10%。
英文原文
If you’re thinking about taking profits on $TSSI, just remember the stock was $30 before dilution and there’s a huge semi bull run with $SMCI, $TSM, $AVGO, $IREN, $NBIS, $WYFI, $NVDA and $ORCL. Could see it go up 10%+ a day if the run continues. https://t.co/ks67hMAi01
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展示日内交易思考过程，强调基本面而非恐慌。
通常我不会发这么多推文，但只是想向大家展示我日内交易时的思考过程。你需要从基本面角度思考，不要像散户那样恐慌。
英文原文
Normally I don’t post this much but just want to show you the thought process when I day trade. You need to think in terms of fundamentals and not panic like retail.
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NBIS稀释利空已消化，股价获买盘支撑。
我说过，$NBIS 的稀释性回调已被完全买盘消化，因为市场早已将其定价。免费分享 6% 的回报 https://t.co/yo7W0HktdR
英文原文
Told you, $NBIS dilution dip completely bought out since it was already priced in. Free 6% https://t.co/yo7W0HktdR
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博主分享$TSM期权建仓细节，看高市值至1.8万亿并建议逢低买入。
如果你好奇的话，这就是我昨天买入的具体期权合约。我在进行成本平均法建仓，但可能会将规模扩大到价值30万美元的LEAPS（长期股权预期证券）。$TSM 的市值可能会反弹至1.8万亿美元，所以如果你打算跟随操作，试着寻找一个好的回调买入点。
英文原文
These were the exact strikes I bought yesterday if you were curious. I was cost averaging, but probably scaling it to $300k worth of leaps $TSM will probably rally to $1.8T market cap, so try and find a good dip if you’re tagging along. https://t.co/xyvc7WdSU7
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UPWK 16美元仍低估，减仓留底仓，目标价20-25美元。
我在 $UPWK 16.5-17 美元附近减仓，但保留部分仓位，以防回购+收购将其推升至 20-25 美元。 在 11-14 美元时它被完全低估。在 16 美元时它仍然被低估。 我会将合理价值目标价(PT)定为 20 美元，如果收购/现有产品增加远期营收，或者如果运营利润率提高，则定为 25 美元。无论如何，持有股票并在不确定时卖出看涨期权(CC)总是一个好主意。
英文原文
I trimmed $UPWK around $16.5-$17 and kept some in case buybacks + acquisitions take it to $20-25. At $11-14 it was completely undervalued. At $16 it's still undervalued. I'd put it $20 fair value PT and $25 if acquisitions/existing product increase forward rev. Or if operating margins increase. Either way, holding it and selling CC's if you're unsure is always a good idea.
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赞赏博主分享历程，批评付费墙与变现风气。
@pepemoonboy 恭喜，看到人们分享自己的历程令人耳目一新……尤其是与许多只关注变现或躲在付费墙后面的 X 用户相比。
英文原文
@pepemoonboy Congrats, it’s refreshing when people share their journey... especially compared to so many X users who just focus on monetizing or hiding behind paywalls.
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认为NBIS稀释已定价，建议趁恐慌下跌加仓。
（这意味着利用这段时间加仓）。稀释效应已被市场定价，若股价下跌7%以上则属过度反应。我正试图抄底，从散户恐慌抛售中吸纳更多 $NBIS。
英文原文
(what this means is use this time to add to your positions). Dilution was already priced in and if the stock drops 7%+ it's an overreaction. I'm just trying to time the bottom to add another large chunk of $NBIS from retail panic sellers.
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股价涨幅已反映稀释预期，否则应更高。
@StockSavvyShay 希望你们意识到，当股价上涨45%时，稀释效应(dilution)已经被定价(priced in)了。否则，考虑到合同规模，股价本应上涨100%以上。
英文原文
@StockSavvyShay Hope you guys realize dilution was already priced in when the stock went up 45%. Otherwise it would have went up 100%+ given the contract size.