全部推文

共 6448 条 · 第 200 / 215 页 · 滚到底自动加载更多

  1. 个股论点 $CRWV$META$NBIS

    给出NBIS不同价位操作建议,并提及随新闻重估。

    @heaty70 对于 $NBIS,低于 $145 是强力买入,$145-$170 区间为买入/持有。很难给出确切数字,但鉴于我在该价位卖出了 CC(看涨期权),$170 以上我会转为持有/卖出。显然,我会根据 $META / $CRWV 等新消息每周重新评估其估值。

    英文原文

    @heaty70 Anything under $145 for $NBIS is a strong buy, $145-$170 Buy/Hold. Hard to give a figure but I'd switch it to hold/sell at $170+ since I did sell CC's at that strike. Obviously re-rating it weekly on new news like $META / $CRWV.

  2. 杂谈

    博主感谢粉丝支持,分享涨粉喜悦并乐于交流投资观点。

    @pepemoonboy 谢谢,被称为🐐(Greatest of All Time,指“史上最佳”)让我非常受宠若惊。 我还是 X 平台的新手,过去两周粉丝从 600 涨到 5000+ 真的超酷。 我很高兴能和你以及社区里的其他人交流想法和高确信度股票。

    英文原文

    @pepemoonboy Why thank you, being called a 🐐is very flattering. I’m still new to X and going from 600 followers to 5k+ in the last two weeks is super cool. Im just happy I get to exchange ideas and high conviction stocks with other people like yourself and the rest of the community

  3. 方法论

    作者表示将持有,认为走势类似2021年,预计降息后市场将垂直上涨。

    不,我会持有,但发帖只是半开玩笑,因为不可能正确择时。不过与2021年相比确实非常诡异,因为走势模式看起来很相似。例如,我们又有两次跟随季节性的降息,所以我预计未来几个月会出现垂直上涨。显然还有很多其他因素起作用,但即使历史不会重演,也常常押韵。

    英文原文

    Nope, I'm holding, but just half-joking with the post because it's impossible to time the market correctly. It's just very uncanny to 2021 though because pattern looks similar. Eg. we have another 2x rate cuts following seasonality so I'd expect a vertical line up for the next few months. Obviously there's a lot more that comes into play but history does rhyme a lot even if it doesn't repeat.

  4. 方法论 $ARKK$OKLO$RGTI

    建议用ARKK作为市场顶部指标,应对AI股新高恐慌。

    人们正对 $OKLO、$RGTI 等触及历史新高及泡沫感到恐慌。 半开玩笑地说,如果你想择时顶部: Cathie Wood 的 ARKK 实际上是一个很好的指标。(~2026年2月) 当一切都在🔼上涨时,它就像矿井里的金丝雀(canary in the coal mine)。 https://t.co/auTXknICGd

    英文原文

    People are panicking about markets from $OKLO, $RGTI, etc. hitting all time highs and bubbles. Half joking but if you you want to time the top: Cathie Wood's ARKK is actually a good indicator. (~Feb 2026) It's a great canary in the coal mine when everything goes 🔼 https://t.co/auTXknICGd

  5. 个股论点 $VIRT

    VIX未达预期且降息在即,但VIRT仍具极高对冲价值且被低估。

    @jamiemints 在政府停摆期间,波动率指数(VIX) 的飙升幅度不及我预期,且目前市场预计还有两次降息。波动率与 $VIRT 高度相关。如果市场真的暴跌两周,它将是理想的对冲工具。目前其估值仍然极低。

    英文原文

    @jamiemints VIX didn’t spike as much as I hoped during government shutdown and now we have two more rate cuts projected. Volatility + $VIRT are highly correlated. It was the ideal hedge in case markets ended up tanking for two weeks. Still extremely undervalued.

  6. 个股论点 $MU

    关注美光科技低前瞻市盈率,计划进行深入研究。

    @Deenobrown123 如果美光科技($MU) 的前瞻市盈率(Forward P/E) 为 11,看起来很有前景。我会仔细研究一下,我还没有做过深入分析。

    英文原文

    @Deenobrown123 if $MU's forward p/e is 11 looks promising. ill take a closer look, i haven't done a deep dive yet

  7. 方法论

    批评泛泛的期权卖方建议,强调具体行权价实例的重要性。

    是的,那些售卖订阅服务的“期权卖方”账号也是如此。他们只是发布“当隐含波动率(IV)高时卖出期权”这类内容,这让人直翻白眼,因为其中有很多细微差别。他们根本不发布具体的行权价。希望我能通过实例展示大家在洞察层面应该阅读什么,比如当我给出带有具体行权价的周权看跌期权卖出示例时,那样才能真正提供帮助。

    英文原文

    Yeah same goes for all those “option seller” accounts selling subscriptions. They just post “sell options when IV is high” and it’s just a huge eye roll since there’s so much nuance. They don’t post strikes or anything. Hope I can show by example what people should be reading through insight wise that might actually help like when I give examples of selling weekly puts with specific strikes.

  8. 杂谈

    博主吐槽无法摆脱不断出现的机器人骚扰

    @Edu4rdo26 是啊,我似乎就是没法摆脱那些东西。我一直屏蔽机器人,但它们还是源源不断地来 lol

    英文原文

    @Edu4rdo26 Yeah I just can't seem to get rid of those. I keep blocking the bots but they keep coming lol

  9. 杂谈

    批评新手易受博眼球账号误导,错失优质深度研究博主。

    @moninvestor 很遗憾,那些大型博眼球/引战账号总是新手最先接触到的。而像 @pepemoonboy 分享投资历程,或像 @DeepValueBagger 提供真正优质尽职调查(DD)的博主,交易者们往往在被炒作伤害后才后知后觉地发现。

    英文原文

    @moninvestor It's sad that those types of large engagement-bait accounts are always the ones newcomers discover first. And people who share their journey @pepemoonboy or have genuine great DDs like @DeepValueBagger, traders find out afterward after they get burned from the hype.

  10. 杂谈

    批评在X平台变现粉丝而非专注市场盈利的错误心态。

    @Neat_Lama 是的,带着完全错误的心态进入 X 平台,试图通过变现粉丝而不是从市场中赚钱。

    英文原文

    @Neat_Lama Yeah it's the completely wrong mindset going into X trying to monetize followers instead of making money from the markets.

  11. 杂谈

    博主回应感谢,强调自己坚持事前公开论点和持仓的透明度。

    @heaty70 很高兴听到这个消息,我只是真心实意想提供帮助。 我有时会犯错,但我总是在事情发生之前公开我的投资论点(Thesis)和持仓(Positions)。

    英文原文

    @heaty70 Glad to hear it, just genuinely trying to help. I can be wrong sometimes, but I always post my thesis and positions before anything happens.

  12. 杂谈

    批评博主为刷互动发布暴涨股代码,损害投资者利益。

    @soulbiri1 这不是退出流动性(exit liquidity)。而是他们不知道如何从市场中赚钱,所以转而通过变现粉丝来获利。我愤怒的是,他们为了刷互动量(engagement farming),不惜以人们的生计为代价,发布那些已经上涨了1000-4000%的股票代码。

    英文原文

    @soulbiri1 It's not exit liquidity. It's that they don't know how to make money from the markets so they resort to monetizing followers. What I'm angry about is that they're engagement farming at the cost of people's livelihoods by posting tickers that already went up 1000-4000%.

  13. 杂谈 $OKLO$RGTI

    批评网红无依据推荐暴涨股,呼吁揭露以保护投资者。

    看到那些最热门的 X 用户出售订阅服务,然后告诉人们 $OKLO、$RGTI 等是必持的顶级股票,却连任何实质性信息都不提供,这真令人悲哀。 我快疯了,这正在给人们的生活造成巨大的潜在伤害,因为他们为了获取互动量,随意挑选那些涨幅达 1000-4000% 的热门股票。 迟早得有人站出来揭露这种行为,否则它会给人们带来真正的伤害。 如果有人列出这类清单,并围绕它们给出更有辩护力的观点,那我宁愿选择“求同存异”,而不是公开指责。

    英文原文

    It's just sad to see the most popular X users selling subscriptions and then telling people $OKLO, $RGTI, etc. are the top stocks to own without even giving any material information. I'm losing my mind and it's just causing so much potential damage to people's lives because they pick any popular stock that went up 1000-4000% for engagement. Someone needs to call this out eventually, otherwise it will cause so much real harm to people. If someone made theses types of lists and then gave a more defensible opinion around them, then I'd just agree to disagree rather than call it out.

  14. 方法论 $IONQ$JOBY$OPEN$RGTI

    批评热门博主为流量散布有害信息,倡导透明披露基本面与催化剂的研究方法。

    周六吐槽,因为最热门的 X 账号为了追求互动量和订阅费,正在积极伤害散户。 那些在 X 上卖 10 美元课程的人,只为了互动量,随便挑像 $RGTI 这种零营收却涨了 4000% 的股票。 然后在 $JOBY、$OPEN、IONQ 等股票暴涨 1000%+ 后,再事后诸葛亮地加上它们,声称因为“X 的未来”所以是必持牛股。 这些内容毫无实质意义,只是有害信息。 如果人们盲目跟随并为此支付 10 美元,你的投资组合会被炸毁。 当我做股票列表时,我会透明地写下: 对股票催化剂或基本面变化的简要解释。 人们可以持不同意见,但这正是让讨论变得富有成效的原因。人们可以根据新信息做出自己的判断。 从实际交易者的角度来看,许多最热门的 X 账号完全是胡说八道。 看到新手盲目上当,不仅损失了自己的钱,还要支付订阅费,这让人心痛。

    英文原文

    Saturday Rant because the most popular X accounts are actively harming retail for engagement and subscriptions. The people who sell $10 courses on X just pick anything like $RGTI that went up 4000% off 0 revenue for engagement. Then add $JOBY, $OPEN, IONQ, etc. retroactively after a 1000%+ rise and that they're a top stock to own because "Future of X". There's nothing material and it's just harmful information. if people follow them blindly and pay $10 for this, your portfolio will get nuked. When I do stock lists, I write down transparently: A light explanation of catalysts or fundamental changes to a stock. People can disagree, but that's what makes discussions productive. People can make their own judgement from new information. So many of the most popular X accounts are just complete BS from an actual trader's perspective. It hurts to see newcomers blindly fall for this and end up losing their own money on top of paying for subscriptions too.

  15. 个股论点 $IONQ$JOBY$OKLO$OPEN$RGTI

    批评某博主推荐的中小盘股名单,指出其持仓逻辑荒谬且风险极高。

    @RealJGBanks 抱歉,恕我直言这份名单糟透了,我完全无法认同。 如果 $RGTI、$OKLO、$JOBY、$OPEN、$IONQ 是你按板块划分的中小盘股首选持仓,那就祝你的粉丝组合被核爆吧。 如果有人在 $RGTI 零营收暴涨4000%之前发布这份名单,那倒还说得过去。

    英文原文

    @RealJGBanks Sorry but terrible list imo, couldn't disagree more. If $RGTI, $OKLO, $JOBY, $OPEN, $IONQ are your top choices of small-mid caps to own by sector, have fun nuking the portfolio of followers. If someone posted this list before $RGTI went up 4000% off 0 revenue, then sure.

  16. 个股论点 $NBIS

    类比云业务,认为$NBIS等AI算力基建商建成后利润将超预期。

    @PronkDaniel 人们曾对 AWS、Azure、GCP 等说过类似的话,但它们最终成为了“七巨头”(Mag7) 的现金牛。当你将同样的商业模式应用于 AI 算力,并聚焦于 $NBIS 等公司时,在基础设施建设完成后,其盈利能力将超出人们的预期。

    英文原文

    @PronkDaniel People said that about it AWS, Azure, GCP and others but they turned out to be the cash cows of Mag7. When you take the same business but for AI compute then funnel it down to $NBIS and others, it will be more profitable than people think after buildout.

  17. 个股论点 $SNAP

    建议等待$SNAP回调,指出其云支出过高导致净利润不佳。

    @capybara_830 呃,我会等待回调,但$SNAP在删除用户记忆或向用户收费后,净利润可能会大幅飙升。他们花在Google Cloud上的钱简直荒谬。他们的营收数据很漂亮,但净利润却不尽如人意。

    英文原文

    @capybara_830 uhh I'd wait for a pullback, but $SNAP net income will probably shoot up a ton after deleting everyone's memories or making people pay. The amount of money they spend on Google Cloud is absolutely absurd. Their revenue numbers are great, net profit not so much.

  18. 杂谈

    博主感慨纸面富贵与早年财务窘境的巨大反差。

    @aarondotdev 确实如此,我的纸面估值(paper valuation)曾一度超过1亿美元,但我年轻时几乎连大学学费都付不起。

    英文原文

    @aarondotdev So true, my paper valuation was worth more than $100m+ at one point but I barely could pay off college tuition when I was younger.

  19. 方法论

    市值不等于价值,流动性才是关键,开放市场测试会导致价格暴跌。

    @yacineMTB 你可以用1美元买入某公司的X股,从而使其估值达到1万亿美元。流动性(liquidity)更为重要。你会从那些通过持有99%供应量来炒作加密货币的人身上学到这一点。市值(market cap)不等于价值(value),如果他们在开放市场(open market)中测试,价格可能会暴跌。

    英文原文

    @yacineMTB You can buy X share for $1 of a company and make it a 1 Trillion valuation. Liquidity matters more. You learn this with people inflating crypto by holding 99% of the supply. Market cap ≠ value, and it would probably dump if they tested it in an open market.

  20. 个股论点 $NBIS$RDDT

    认可RDDT和NBIS为优质云服务商

    @rioferdy838 $RDDT 和 $NBIS 都是优秀的云服务提供商(CSP),不错的选择

    英文原文

    @rioferdy838 Both $RDDT and $NBIS are great CSPs, good choice

  21. 个股论点 $BITF$CIFR$NBIS

    对BITF持观望态度,因研究不足暂不给明确观点。

    @foogleman1234 所有新云/挖矿股可能都在买入/持有之间浮动,包括 $BITF。我还没有对它做足够的尽职调查(DD)来给出像 $NBIS 或 $CIFR 那样明确的方向性观点。

    英文原文

    @foogleman1234 All neocloud/miners probably float between buy/hold including $BITF. Haven’t done enough DD on it yet to give a good directional opinion like $NBIS or $CIFR.

  22. 个股论点 $PLTR

    建议长期持有以博取类似PLTR的资本利得。

    @NateWGlass 你说得对,我会选择卖出,哈哈。如果你目前持有它,不妨继续持有以获取长期资本利得,并期待它像 $PLTR 那样表现。

    英文原文

    @NateWGlass Ur right I'd move to sell lol. It if you're holding it currently might as well keep it for long term capital gains + pull a $PLTR.

  23. 杂谈

    博主因耗时且偏离主业,仅演示一次策略而非每周更新。

    @JK6483 呃,每周做这件事有点累人,所以我只做了一次作为示例 + 实时结果。 如果我个人执行这个策略,我会更愿意发布我的操作,但这有点耗时 + 偏离主业。

    英文原文

    @JK6483 Uh it's a bit tiring doing this every week, so I just did it once to give an example + live results. If I were personally doing this strategy I'd be happier posting what I do but it's a little time consuming + out of the way

  24. 杂谈

    博主坦言未研究该话题,因跟踪50+股票已精力有限。

    @tulipincali 最近没有深入研究,无法给出有依据的观点。 光是跟踪50多只股票的最新动态就已经够吃力了。

    英文原文

    @tulipincali Haven't looked into it recently to give an informed opinion on. Hard enough keeping up to date on like 50+ stocks

  25. 个股论点 $SNAP

    博主表示看好Snap,计划周一买入。

    @dubiousnoob 说实话,我现在挺看好 $SNAP 的。我可能会在周一买入一些。

    英文原文

    @dubiousnoob Tbh I like $SNAP now. I'd probably buy some Monday

  26. 个股论点 $RGTI

    RGTI空头回补推升股价,因属邪教股故不做空。

    空头头寸此前更高 -> 空头回补 -> 股价上涨。15%的空头头寸仍被视为略高。$RGTI 今年早些时候为25.1%,现为14.4%,在拉升过程中买入10%的流通盘导致这种高市值。更多做空 -> 回补 -> 同样的趋势,因为这些都是“邪教股”。这就是我不做空邪教股的原因。

    英文原文

    Short interest was higher before -> SI cover -> price increased. Short interest at 15% is still considered slightly elevated. On $RGTI it was 25.1% earlier this year, now it's 14.4%, buying back 10% of the float on the ramp up causes this elevated MC. Shorting more -> cover -> same trend because these are cult stocks. This is why I don't short cult stocks

  27. 个股论点 $IONQ$RGTI

    指出IONQ和RGTI的高市值主要由空头头寸驱动。

    @commonsenseplay $RGTI 是一个极佳的做空标的。但你要意识到,IONQ 和 $RGTI 市值之所以达到 130 亿美元以上,很大程度上是由空头头寸(short interest)驱动的。

    英文原文

    @commonsenseplay $RGTI is an amazing short. But you do realize that the reason the IONQ/RGTI marketcap is $13B+ is largely driven by short interest.

  28. 杂谈

    祝贺粉丝达成首十万美元里程碑,强调复利效应。

    @InvestWithJxsh @TJTheWheelDeal @amitisinvesting @DeepValueBagger @optionscjp 恭喜,赚到第一个 $100k 是最难的成就之一。从 $100k 到 $1M 的速度比你想象的快。既然你22岁就开始了,你有足够的时间让复利发挥作用!

    英文原文

    @InvestWithJxsh @TJTheWheelDeal @amitisinvesting @DeepValueBagger @optionscjp Congrats, first $100k is one of the hardest achievements. $100k -> $1M goes by faster than you think. Since you started really early at 22, you have so much time to compound!

  29. 个股论点

    分享某股在不同价位下的建仓、补仓及期权操作策略。

    @platochi 是的。我会在 $17.35 左右买入股票。如果跌到 $16 就进行成本平均。如果跌到 $15,再跌到 $14 我会买入 LEAPS(长期期权),$12.5 买入更多看涨期权。在股价暴跌时通过期权增加杠杆显然更危险,但如果真跌到那么低,风险回报比是值得的。

    英文原文

    @platochi Yeah. I'd buy shares around $17.35. Cost avg if it went to $16. Again at $15, if it went to $14 I'd do leaps, $12.5 more calls. It's obviously more dangerous taking more leverage with options on a nosedive but if it ever gets that low risk-reward is worth it.

  30. 方法论 $AMZN

    建议用投资组合保证金交易期权,低波标的可用杠杆,高波标的限1.5倍。

    @1995bearjew 关于撰写看跌期权(put options),我建议使用保证金(margin)交易低贝塔(low beta)标的如 $AMZN,但对于波动性更大的标的,杠杆率绝不超过1.5倍。 为此请使用投资组合保证金(portfolio margin)。

    英文原文

    @1995bearjew For writing put options yeah I recommend using margin for low beta stuff like $AMZN but never going above 1.5x for more volatile stuff. Use portfolio margin for this