$BTBT

提及 4 首次 2025-09-16 最近 2025-10-31

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  1. 指出AI云与挖矿股出现早期分化,市场开始定价利润率差异。

    当你提到6个月、12个月、3年时,你误解了帖子的细微差别。 帖子的要点是,我们现在看到通常同步交易的股票以及$NBIS等低贝塔股票开始出现早期分化。 本周:$NBIS: +7.25% | $CIFR: -7.15% $RIOT: -11.5% $BITF: -19.92% $CLSK: -11.63% $IREN: -5.54% $BTBT: -11.51%。 这仅仅是对分化的观察。我想指出,市场可能开始计入利润率差异。 当新云(Neocloud)领导者发布关于全栈利润率(full-stack margins)的此类帖子时,市场会有反应。

    英文原文

    You're misunderstanding the nuance of the post when you say 6 months, 12 months, 3 years. The point of the post was that we're now seeing early divergence of the names that usually trade in sync + $NBIS and others that trade lower beta. This week: $NBIS: +7.25% | $CIFR: -7.15% $RIOT: -11.5% $BITF: -19.92% $CLSK: -11.63% $IREN: -5.54% $BTBT: -11.51%. This is just an observation from about the divergence. And I wanted to point out that it's likely margin differences that the market's starting to price in. When the Neocloud leaders make posts about full-stack margins like these, markets react.

  2. HPC矿企表现分化,资金从传统矿企转向新云,IREN相对抗跌。

    这不仅仅是关于 $IREN,而是关乎高性能计算(HPC)矿企。如果非要比较,$IREN 的表现可能更为出色,尤其是与 $CLSK、$BITF 等其他公司相比。 例如: $NBIS: +7.25% $CIFR: -7.15% $RIOT: -11.5% $BITF: -19.92% $CLSK: -11.63% $IREN: -5.54% $BTBT: -11.51% 再次强调,这可能与比特币价格的多重因素有关。但最近很明显,它们之间出现了分化,而通常情况下它们会同向波动(如 $NBIS、$CRWV 具有较低的贝塔值)。 我会将叙事重心的变化——从利润率转向产能——作为矿企抛售以及资金整合进某些新云(Neoclouds)的原因之一。

    英文原文

    This isn't just about $IREN, it's around HPC miners. If anything IREN is probably one of the more exceptional performers, especially vs. $CLSK, $BITF, and others. EG. $NBIS: +7.25% _ $CIFR: -7.15% $RIOT: -11.5% $BITF: -19.92% $CLSK: -11.63% $IREN: -5.54% $BTBT: -11.51% Again, it's probably multi-faceted around Bitcoin prices. But it's pretty apparent as of recently, there's been divergence when normally they would move together (with $NBIS, $CRWV) lower beta. And I'd cite narrative changes around margins vs. capacity being a part of miner sell-off and consolidation into certain Neoclouds.

  3. 建议买入$WYFI并持有底层资产,指出公司常低于净资产价值。

    @matthew_sigel 是的,$WYFI 是很好的买入标的。人们应该忽略 $BTBT 并持有底层资产。公司可能因多种原因低于净资产价值(NAV),看看 Grayscale 及其加密货币持仓多年来的表现就知道了。

    英文原文

    @matthew_sigel Yeah $WYFI is a great buy. People should just ignore $BTBT and hold the underlying asset. Companies can be below NAV for many reasons, just look at Grayscale and its crypto holdings for many years

  4. 分享9月精选15只高潜力股票及理想入场点。

    我9月份精选的15只由催化剂驱动的股票,按截至2025财年的潜力排序,附解释及理想入场点: 1. $NBIS - 微软(MSFT)合同超170亿美元,稀释基本完成 < $100(现价)。相比 $IREN、$WULF 或 $BTBT 我更看好这只。 2. $HIMS - 42%的做空比例。来自欧盟的新增客户超120万。若有意外消息可能涨至$100 < $45 3. $LTC - ETF即将推出 + LTC储备 < $120(现价) 4. $RKLB - 中子号火箭将于2026年初发射 < $42 5. $TSM (看涨期权) - 市值持续增长至1.8万亿+,资本支出惊人。< $265(现价) 6. $ETOR - 随着 $HOOD、$IBKR 等金融科技股起飞,该股被低估。在当前价位下,我首选它而非 $DLO 或 $DAVE < $48(现价) 7. $LULU - 受假日消费提振,短期反弹至年底,超卖状态 < $165(现价) 7. $MRVL - 健康的45-55%同比增长,财报后遭不公平惩罚 < $70(现价) 8. $SG - 值得投资以博取反弹。去年股价$45。 < $9(现价) 9. $TSSI - 服务器机架(如 $SMCI、$DELL)正在追赶AI热潮的其余部分。 < $13.5 10. $ASTS - 像 $OPEN 一样的“邪教”级股票 < $38.5 11. $CRDO - 追赶 $ALAB 至380亿美元市值 < $125 12. $RUM - Charlie Kirk及保守派人士有望推动平台参与度至年底。 < $7.25 13. $AMZN (看涨期权) - AWS... 跟随 $ORCL 及其他数据中心财报表现 < $215 14. $SMCI - 2026年远期营收330亿美元。市值240亿美元哈哈。只要一份好财报就能起飞。$45(现价) 15. $IBIT (1年期LEAPS) - 鉴于美元超发,纯比特币敞口。不要 $MSTR 或 $BMNR,只要纯资产ETF < $112.5k 我还有什么遗漏的吗?

    英文原文

    My top 15 catalyst driven stocks from September sorted by potential to FY 2025, explanation, and ideal entry points: 1. $NBIS - 17B+ MSFT contract, dilution mostly finished < $100 (now). I like this over $IREN, $WULF, or $BTBT 2. $HIMS - 42% Short interest. 1.2M+ customers coming in from EU. Could up to $100 on surprise news < $45 3. $LTC - ETF launch soon + LTC reserves < $120 (now) 4. $RKLB - Neutron Launch early 2026 < $42 5. $TSM (calls)- Keep growing to 1.8T+ MC, capex spend insane.< $265 (now) 6. $ETOR - Undervalued with fintechl ike $HOOD $IBKR taking off. I'd prefer this over $DLO or $DAVE at current prices < $48 (now) 7. $LULU - Short term bounce to year end from holiday consumer spending, oversold < $165 (now) 7. $MRVL - Healthy 45-55% Y/Y, unfairly punished after earnings < $70 (now) 8. $SG - Worth the investment for bounceback. $45 last year. < $9 (now) 9. $TSSI - Server racks like $SMCI, $DELL catching up to rest of AI boom. < $13.5 10. $ASTS - Cult like stock like $OPEN < $38.5 11. $CRDO - Catchup to $ALAB at $38B MC < $125 12. $RUM - Charlie Kirk + conservatives likely to drive engagement to platform EOY. < $7.25 13. $AMZN (calls)- AWS... Follow $ORCL and other datacenter earnings < $215 14. $SMCI - 33B forward revenue 2026. 24B market cap lol. One good earnings and it pops off. $45 (now) 15. $IBIT (1Y leaps) - Pure BTC given USD printing. No $MSTR or $BMNR, just pure asset ETF < $112.5k Anything else I'm missing?