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提及 3 首次 2026-04-29 最近 2026-04-30

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  1. SLNH 也是高稀释标的

    $SLNH 跟 $BKKT、$ASST 和 $IREN 一样,都是垃圾股。 它正在通过 5 亿美元 ATM 积极稀释所有人。 真不明白为什么还有人听一个一再把散户组合搞崩的人说话。 我就看着他们从散户接盘侠手里融出 5 亿美元,最后把这些人稀释到 0。 然后再说“我们账上有 5 亿美元,所以市值应该更高”,再用这个 ATM 给自己发 SBC。 它们都绝对是很差的多头。

    英文原文

    $SLNH is a shtco like $BKKT, $ASST, and $IREN. That is actively diluting everyone with a $500M ATM. Not sure why anyone even listens to a guy who has consistently crashed retail portfolios over and over. I’m going to watch them raise $500M off retail bagholders that get diluted to $0. Then say “we have $500m on our balance sheets, MC should be higher” and award themselves SBC off the ATM. They’re all absolutely terrible longs.

  2. RDDT 财报大超预期

    哇,$RDDT 刚刚交出了一份爆表的季度财报。 -> 营收 6.63 亿美元(同比增长 69%),高于约 6.08 亿美元共识。 -> EPS 1.01 美元,高于 0.6 美元共识(超预期 68.3%)。 -> 毛利率 91.5%。 -> Q1 GAAP 净利润 2.04 亿美元。这个可能是真正衡量盈利能力最重要的数字,因为它包含 SBC。 下季度他们指引营收 7.15 亿至 7.25 亿美元,调整后 EBITDA 2.85 亿至 2.95 亿美元。 Reddit 看起来简直就是一台高增长印钞机。(披露:我确实持有 Reddit 仓位。) 短线期权流会带来很多图表波动。 但从基本面看,如果你抛开噪音去看 Reddit 的财报,Reddit 就是在疯狂印钞。

    英文原文

    Wow, $RDDT just posted an absolute blowout quarter. -> $663M revenue (69% growth Y/Y) vs. ~$608M consensus. -> $1.01 EPS reported vs. $0.6 consensus (68.3% beat). -> 91.5% gross margins. -> Q1 GAAP net income was $204M. This is probably the most important figure for true profitability since it includes SBC. Next quarter they projected, $715M to $725M revenue growth with $285 million to $295 million adjusted EBITDA. Reddit looks like a literal, high growth money printer. (Disclosure: I do have Reddit positions.) Expect a lot of chart volatility from short term option flows. But fundamentally, if you look at Reddit earnings without the noise, Reddit money printer go brrr.

  3. 测试/良率链条普遍利多

    我帮你盯着这件事(测试/良率篇): $VIAV 和 $FORM 的财报:极度看多 这意味着什么? 像 $ONTO / $CAMT 这样的名字会起飞。再加上 $TOWA(6315),因为有迹象显示存储产量正在激进爬坡。 像 Msscorps / $KEYS 这样的名字也会起飞。 更广泛来看,存储和光学生态的上游良率、测试、验证和检测都会大幅受益。而且如果它们正在扩产,这对 $COHR、$FN、$LITE 等也都是领先指标。 对 $VIAV: -> 4.068 亿美元 vs. 3.93 亿美元(超预期)同比增长 42.8%。 -> 每股收益 0.27 美元 vs. 0.2-0.24 美元 指引为 4.27 亿至 4.37 亿美元,显示加速。 对 $FORM: -> 2.26 亿美元,按年增长 32%,每股收益 0.56 美元 vs. 0.45 美元 -> 毛利率大幅提升到 49%(这说明有定价权)。 -> 指引为每股收益 0.61 美元,中值营收约 2.4 亿美元。 “高带宽存储(HBM)需求创纪录,以及代工和逻辑网络应用更强劲” 基本上就是更小的良率/测试生态整体都在起飞。BRRR。

    英文原文

    Monitoring the situation for you (testing/yields edition): $VIAV and $FORM earnings: Extremely Bullish So what does this mean? Names like $ONTO / $CAMT go brr. Throw in $TOWA (6315), since there's indication of aggressive memory production ramp. Names like Msscorps / $KEYS should go brrr. Broader upstream yields, test, validation, and inspection for both memory + optical ecosystem go heavily BRRR. And it's a leading indicator for $COHR, $FN, $LITE, and others if they're ramping up production. For $VIAV: -> $406.8M vs. $393M (beat) 42.8% Y/Y growth. -> $.27 EPS vs $0.2-$0.24 Guidance was $427m-$437m, indicating acceleration. For $FORM: -> $226M, 32% Y/Y, $.56 EPS vs. $.45 -> margins increased a TON to 49% (which indicates pricing power). -> Guidance was $.61 EPS, midpoint ~$240m revenue. "Record demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) and stronger "Foundry & Logic networking applications" Basically the smaller yields/test ecosystem in general. BRRR.