$RDW
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对比低估值高增长存储股与高估值消费股，感叹市场逻辑混乱。
有两家公司根本不在乎市场崩盘。 $APP 下跌 19.7% $DNKG 下跌 19.4% $PINS 下跌至 19.1% $ASTS 下跌 15.21% $RDW 下跌至 13.1% $USAR 下跌 12.4% 白银下跌 11.6% $OSS 下跌 9.58% $RGTI 下跌 8.85% $RDDT 下跌 6.8% $RKLB 下跌 5.4% $APPL 下跌 5.09% 黄金下跌 3.4% SPY 指数下跌 1.54% SanDisk 上涨 7.21%。 另一个最大的赢家？沃尔玛，今日上涨 3.78%。 你有一家远期 2027 年市盈率(p/e)约 7 倍的存储公司，其净利润同比增长三位数。 而一家浴巾转售商，增长仅与通胀持平，却坐拥 46 倍市盈率，表现优于市场。 市场正变得越来越没有道理。
英文原文
There are two companies that don’t care about market crashes. $APP down 19.7% $DNKG down 19.4% $PINS down to 19.1% $ASTS down 15.21% $RDW down to 13.1% $USAR down 12.4% Silver down 11.6% $OSS down 9.58% $RGTI down 8.85% $RDDT down 6.8% $RKLB down 5.4% $APPL down 5.09% Gold down 3.4% SPY Index down 1.54% Sandisk up 7.21%. The other biggest gainer? Walmart, up 3.78% today. You have a fwd 2027 p/e ~7 memory company growing net income at triple digits y/y. And a bath towel reseller growing in line with inflation sitting at 46 p/e, outperforming the market. Markets are starting to make less and less sense.
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发布西方供应链瓶颈小盘股清单，警示瓶颈不等于好投资。
@__EthanHunt__ 我在潜在瓶颈列表中列出了 $WOLF，这家公司确实很有趣。但“瓶颈”和“好投资”之间是有区别的。我觉得我做的尽职调查(DD)不能白费，所以干脆把它发出来了。 https://t.co/XCICxxODXQ
英文原文
@__EthanHunt__ I listed $WOLF in my list of potential bottlenecks, and the company genuinely is interesting. But there's a difference between "bottleneck" and good investment. Felt my the DD I did would go to waste, so ended up just posting it. https://t.co/XCICxxODXQ
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梳理西方供应链瓶颈小盘股，警示基本面风险，看好部分标的5倍潜力。
个人研究摘要。 西方供应链瓶颈如 $LPTH 和 $AXTI： $MTRN - 铍（Spor Mountain） $HALEU - 铀 | 小型模块化反应堆(SMRs) $ESE - 太空燃料箱（通过 Vacco） $GHM - 真空喷射器与表面冷凝器 | 美国海军 $FEIM - 原子钟 $OPXS - 光激光潜望镜 $TAYD - 振动 $PKE - 热 $VNP.TO - 西方镓 $TDY - 抗辐射图像传感器 $RDW - 展开式太阳能电池阵列 $PDFS - 英特尔 18A 的 Exensio 良率 $WOLF - 碳化硅 $RELL - 超级电容器与磁控管 $CPSH - 热管理/铝碳化硅 $VREX - X 射线管 $GSM - 西方金属硅 $INTT - 极端热循环 $CODA - 浊度（浑浊） $NTI - 腐蚀 $PLAB - 光掩模 $MKSI - 等离子体控制 $KULR - 爆炸性热量 $PESI - 放射性混合废物。 $CVV - 气相沉积成固。 $LPKFF - 激光诱导深刻蚀/玻璃基板 这些只是我研究的更多“低调”小盘股 -> 最终选择了 $AXTI 和 $LPTH，如果有人感兴趣的话。 其中许多尽管至关重要，但基本面很差，例如：$IQE（已广为人知），所以盲目买入瓶颈股并不是个好主意。 还有更多我尚未完成研究的（因此未列入），要找出那些尚未被定价的标的要难得多。 但如果其中许多在未来一年上涨 5 倍，我也不会感到惊讶。
英文原文
Personal TLDR research. Western supply chain bottlenecks like $LPTH and $AXTI: $MTRN - Beryllium (Spor Mountain) $HALEU - Uranium | SMRs $ESE - Space fuel tanks (through Vacco) $GHM - Vacuum Ejectors & Surface Condensers | U.S. Navy $FEIM - Atomic Clocks $OPXS - Light Laser Periscopes $TAYD - Vibration $PKE - Heat $VNP.TO - Western gallium $TDY - Rad-Hard Image Sensors $RDW - Roll-Out Solar Arrays $PDFS - Exensio Yield for Intel 18A $WOLF - Silicon Carbide $RELL - Ultracapacitors & Magnetrons $CPSH - Thermal / Aluminum Silicon Carbide $VREX - X-Ray Tubes $GSM - Western Silicon Metal $INTT - Extreme Thermal Cycling $CODA - Turbidity (Murkiness) $NTI - Corrosion $PLAB - Photomask $MKSI - Plasma Control $KULR - Explosive Heat $PESI - Radioactive mixed waste. $CVV - Gas-to-Solid Deposition. $LPKFF - Laser Induced Deep Etching/ Glass Substrates These are just more of the "under the radar" small caps I was researching -> ended up choosing $AXTI and $LPTH if people were interested. Lot of them have terrible fundamentals despite being vital eg: $IQE (already pretty known), so it's not a good idea to just blindly buy a bottleneck. There were a lot more out there I haven't finished researching (so didn't include), and it's a lot harder to pinpoint ones that haven't been priced in. But wouldn't be surprised if a lot of these went up 5x over the next year.
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BKSY基本面差，但受太空板块带动补涨，交易成功。
关于 Blacksky ($BKSY) 的投资逻辑，老实说，这是一家相当糟糕的公司。然而，Planet Labs $PL 以及像 $RKLB $RDW 这样的卫星/太空公司此前曾出现过大幅飙升，而 Blacksky（行业相关）当时却毫无动静。最终它的价格补涨跟上了，所以这笔交易做对了。
英文原文
As for thesis on Blacksky ($BKSY) honestly, pretty terrible company. However, Planet Labs $PL + Satellite / Space companies like $RKLB $RDW had a huge spike awhile ago and Blacksky (industry adjacent) hadn't moved at all yet. It ended up catching up in price, so it worked.