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Nebius因AI投资组合及核心业务高增长被严重低估,有望成下一个GOOGL。

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中文翻译

Nebius [ $NBIS ] 是目前被低估程度最高的成长型公司。它有望成为下一个市值达 210 亿美元的 $GOOGL。原因很简单:其投资组合公司令人惊叹。最极端的例子是 $FTX。回顾 $META 如何成长为万亿级巨头,不仅靠 Facebook,更靠 Instagram、Whatsapp 等投资组合公司主导了社交媒体格局。$FTX 在数字资产和前沿技术领域做了类似布局。2021 年,$FTX 投入 58 亿美元,重仓三家核心公司:1. Anthropic(13.56%,估值 25 亿);2. Robinhood [ $HOOD ](7.6%,估值 85.4 亿);3. Solana [ $SOL ](4100 万+代币)。如今,Anthropic 最新估值 3500 亿,该持股价值约 474 亿;Robinhood 市值超 1000 亿,持股价值约 76 亿;Solana 代币 131.5 美元,持股价值超 57 亿。仅这三家公司四年增值超 550 亿,还不包括 FTX 其他数十亿投资及 Chime、Layerzero、Aptos、Hidden Road(被 $COIN 收购)等。其投资组合价值超越了核心业务(试想若核心业务如 $GOOGL 搜索般增长该多好)。$NBIS 现在拥有与 $FTX(加密)、$META(社交)相同的结构,但在人工智能领域,且核心业务真实且快速增长。Nebius 持有:1. Clickhouse(28%,估值约 70 亿,2025H1 营收 6.3 亿);2. Avride(83%,估值约 60 亿,Uber 领投后);3. Toloka AI(~65%,估值约 6.4 亿);4. TripleTen(100%,估值约 3 亿)。Clickhouse 服务于 Anthropic、$META、$TSLA、$NET 等;Avride 是自动驾驶出租车公司,$UBER 投资 3.75 亿以竞争 Waymo;Toloka 是 AI 标注平台,被 Amazon、Microsoft 等使用。投资组合估值合计 76 亿,增速快于多数公开成长股。而其核心业务同比增长 700%+,ARR 达 70-90 亿,现金 48 亿,服务于 $META、$MSFT 等。这可能是其被纳入 MSCI 指数前最后一个月低于 90 美元的机会,将获数亿至十亿流入。相比 $IREN 或 $CIFR,$NBIS 是唯一拥有此类投资组合的数据中心成长股。$NBIS 仅估值 210 亿,市场正在忽视这一机会。

英文原文

Nebius [ $NBIS ] is the most undervalued growth company right now. And it has the potential to become the next $GOOGL at a $21B market cap. There's one simple reason: It's portfolio companies are mindblowing. The most incredible example on this concept is the company $FTX. Here's the story: When we look at how $META grew into a $1T+ company, it wasn't just Facebook. It was their portfolio companies Instagram, Whatsapp, and others made Meta dominate the social media landscape. $FTX was doing something similar, but in digital assets and frontier technologies. Four years ago, in 2021, $FTX invested $5.8B into a large basket of assets. And put a large chunk into these three core companies: 1. Anthropic, 13.56% at a $2.5 Billion valuation. 2. Robinhood [ $HOOD ] 7.6% at a $8.54B valuation 3. Solana [ $SOL ], 41M+ tokens. Fast forward to today, that would have been: · Anthropic in it's latest round is worth $350B. That stake would have been worth ~$47.4B. · Robinhood is now worth over $100B. That stake would be worth ~$7.6B. · Solana is now worth $131.5 per token, making the stake well over $5.7B. Those three companies alone generated well over $55B+ in value in 4 years time, and this is not even including FTX's tens of billions of dollars + hundreds of other investments + holdings in Chime, Layerzero, Aptos, Hidden Road (bought by $COIN), and crypto. Their portfolio companies outlasted their core business (and imagine, how much it would have been worth if the core business kept scaling like $GOOGL search did alongside Youtube). $NBIS now has the same setup as $FTX did in crypto, $META in social media, but in artificial intelligence with a legitimate and incredibly rapidly growing core business. Nebius owns: 1. Clickhouse, 28% at a ~$7B valuation ($6.3 H1 2025) 2. Avride, 83% at a ~$6B valuation. (post Uber raise) 3. Toloka AI, ~65% at a ~$640 million valuation 4. TripleTen, 100% at a ~$300m valuation. · Clickhouse powers Anthropic, $META, $TSLA, $NET, and many fortune 500 companies. · Avride is a self-driving car robotaxi company, spun out of Yandex that $UBER invested in a $375M round in to compete with Waymo. · Toloka is a AI labeling platform that Amazon, Microsoft, Anthropic, and Shopify uses. $1.96B + $4.96B + $416M + $300m = $7.6B valuation in portfolio companies that are growing faster than most public growth companies. But if we look at their core business that is scaling to 700%+ Y/Y to $7-9B ARR, with $4.8B in cash, powering $META, $MSFT, Cursor, governments, and many more... This might be the last month it's under $90 before it receives hundreds of millions to low billions of extra inflows from MSCI inclusion today. There's no other datacenter growth company that has this type of portfolio if we look at crowd favorites like $IREN or $CIFR. $NBIS is only valued at $21B and the market is sleeping on this opportunity.

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