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Nebius核心业务高增,其L4级Robotaxi子公司Avride被市场低估。

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中文翻译

Nebius [ $NBIS ] 的核心业务简直疯狂。年收入(ARR)在一年内实现700%以上的同比增长,达到70-90亿美元以上。 更疯狂的是这一点。 其子公司可以超越主营业务 🤯 原因如下: $GOOGL Waymo、$TSLA、$AMZN Zoox、Motional、$NBIS Avride 是目前仅有的5家美国完全自动驾驶(FSD) Robotaxi 公司。 是的,$NBIS Avride 是其中之一。 - 它是4家拥有L4级完全自动驾驶(与Waymo同级)的公司之一。 - 它是3家实现L4级FSD商业化的公司之一(Motional仍处于研发阶段)。 作为参考,Tesla [ $TSLA ] 的Robotaxi目前仅为L2级(需要人工监督)。 人们希望购买Robotaxi公司,因为Cathie Wood所说:“Robotaxi可能占 $TSLA 价值的90%)。 因此,他们通过 $3.6T 的 $GOOGL 和 $1.4T 的 $TSLA 等万亿美元公司来买入该板块的敞口。 但有一家L4级FSD Robotaxi公司即将通过 $UBER 与Waymo竞争: 那就是Avride,一家估值60亿美元的子公司,$NBIS 持有其83%的股份,而市场完全忽略了它。Avride 是 该60亿美元估值基于Seeking Alpha分析师报告(2025年8月),将Avride与Nuro的E轮融资估值进行对标。仅在2025年1月,其估值估计为34亿美元,短短6个月内几乎翻倍(反映了Avride与Uber和现代合作的势头)。 支持当前估值的关键近期进展: - 2017年:Avride由Yandex自动驾驶集团创立 - 2017-2024年:研发... - 2024年10月:与Uber达成多年期配送机器人和Robotaxi合作伙伴关系 - 2025年3月:与现代签署L4级自动驾驶汽车联合开发谅解备忘录(MOU) - 2025年10月:获得Uber和Nebius高达3.75亿美元的战略投资 - 2025年底:在德克萨斯州达拉斯通过Uber推出Robotaxi 我们现在看到7年的研发开始商业化爬坡(像Waymo一样),今年通过 $UBER 实现。 你可以以 $NBIS 210亿美元市值的零头价格,获得这家超高速增长的L4级FSD Robotaxi公司。🚗 鉴于Avride同比增长三位数,且我们看到该公司在7年的资本支出投入研发后终于开始商业化,它在2年内估值远超Nebius当前市值的可能性非零。 我们曾看到Waymo从450亿美元市值(2024年10月,融资56亿美元)增长到2000亿美元以上(DA Davison建议的估值)。 Avride目前仅为60亿美元,是 $NBIS 市值的一小部分。但它正处于与 $UBER 合作的增长临界点,就像Waymo最初在旧金山起步但现在无处不在一样。 Nebius ( $NBIS ) 是市场中被误解的成长型公司。但作为投资者,尽早布局下一代公司才能获得最高回报

英文原文

Nebius [ $NBIS ] core business is insanity. 700%+ Y/Y growth to $7-9B+ ARR in 1Y. What's more insane is this. Their subsidiary can outgrow their main business 🤯 Here's why: $GOOGL Waymo, $TSLA, $AMZN Zoox, Motional, $NBIS Avride are the only 5 FSD US Robotaxi companies right now. Yes $NBIS Avride is one of the 5. - And 1 of 4 with FSD Level 4 - fully driverless, the same level as Waymo. - And 1 of 3 that are commercialized with FSD level 4 (Motional is R&D phase) Tesla [ $TSLA ] robotaxis for perspective is only at Level 2 (requires human oversight). People want to buy robotaxi companies because as Cathie Wood puts it “Robotaxis could represent 90% of $TSLA ‘s value). So they buy exposure to the segment through trillion dollar companies like Waymo through the $3.6T $GOOGL and $1.4T $TSLA. But there's a Level 4 FSD robotaxi company that is just about to compete with Waymo through $UBER: That name is Avride, a $6 billion subsidiary company that $NBIS owns 83% of, and one that the market completely has missed. Avride is an The $6B valuation was based off a Seeking Alpha analyst report (August 2025) that benchmarked Avride against Nuro's Series E valuation. Just in Jan 2025 it was estimated to be valued at $3.4 billion, growing almost double in just 6 months time (reflecting Avride's momentum with Uber and Hyundai). Key recent developments supporting the current valuation: - 2017: Avride founded though Yandex Self Driving Group - 2017-2024: Development... - October 2024: Multi-year Uber partnership for delivery robots and robotaxis - March 2025: Hyundai MOU for co-development of Level 4 autonomous vehicles - October 2025: Up to $375 million in strategic investment from Uber and Nebius - By EOY 2025: Dallas Texas Robotaxi Launch with Uber We’re now seeing 7 years of R&D starting commercialization ramp (like Waymo), through $UBER this year. and you can get this hyper scaling self-driving FSD level 4 robotaxi company. As discounted spare change of $NBIS at a $21B marketcap. 🚗 Seeing how Avride is growing triple digits Y/Y and we’re seeing the company finally commercialize after 7 years of capex into research, there’s a nonzero chance it becomes valued way more than the Nebius current market cap in 2 years. We've seen Waymo grow from a $45B marketcap (October 2024, $5.6B raised) to over $200B+ (DA Davison suggested valuation). Avride is now only at $6B and a small change of $NBIS's marketcap. But it's at the precipice of growth with $UBER, just like how Waymo started out in SF but now it's everywhere. Nebius ( $NBIS ) is the misunderstood growth company in the market. But being early to the next generation companies is where the highest returns are made as an investor

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