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IREN 是很差的多头
$IREN 是个糟糕透顶的多头标的。我想不出有谁会真正关心组合净值增长，还愿意买进一个 60 亿美元 ATM、同时高管又给自己发创纪录高额 SBC 的公司。 人们只是因为“有稳定供电”的承诺才买进去，但这已经不算护城河了，那是去年的事了。
英文原文
$IREN is a horrendous long. I can’t imagine anyone that cares about portfolio appreciation to buy into a $6B ATM while executives award themselves record high SBC. People are just buying in to get diluted because of a promise of secured power (which is no longer a moat, it was last year)
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中美 IPO 估值差异
对，这就是现在美国 IPO 的一个问题。 中国那边，Unitree 只给到 60 亿美元市值，而 SpaceX 的估值到 1.75 万亿美元，Anthropic/OpenAI 都到 1 万亿美元。美国市场的上行空间明显更受限。 但总会有下一个 Nvidia，正如最近 $AMD 从 3 美元涨到 300 多美元一样。
英文原文
Yeah, that's an issue with US IPO nowadays. Over in China, they're offering Unitree at $6B MC, while SpaceX gets 1.75T valuations and Antropic/OpenAI get 1T valuations. Upside is a lot more capped in US. But there's always the next Nvidia, as seen with $AMD going from $3 to $300+ recently.
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IREN 社区编造信息
我说 $IREN 社区成员 IQ 很低，可不是开玩笑。 他们确实在编造信息，好让别人继续买入正在进行的稀释。 这个社区会散布这种胡话去骗新的散户，然后一个月后再来一轮，继续他们那 60 亿美元的 ATM。 提示：Anthropic 和 $IREN 之间根本没有交易。 这简直是在侮辱那些真正做 OSINT / 供应链映射的人。
英文原文
I wasn't joking when I said $IREN community members have low IQ. Since they literally have to fabricate information get people to get others to buy into active dilution. The community shares this sort of BS to convince new retail investors, then does another one a month later for their active $6B ATM. Hint: there's no deal with Anthropic or $IREN. It's an insult to anyone who actually does OSINT/Supply Chain mapping.
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欧洲和美国的定价方式不同
你好，感谢更有建设性的讨论。 但除了欧洲人之外，我还真没见过谁会因为 2.5%、1300 万美元的稀释，就去抱怨一家要登陆纳斯达克的公司。 在美国……我们有些随机的比特币矿工，光为了试图转型和买 GPU，就能搞出 60 亿美元以上的稀释（超过公司一半市值）。所以对超大规模云厂商供应链来说，这点稀释其实非常小。 你也应该明白，你讨论的是美国超大规模云厂商的供应商，对吧？比如 $JBL、$MRVL……最近所有 CPO 时间表都被 $NVDA 提前了。 如果有什么的话，Sivers 是我见过最被低估的光子股票之一，而且绝对还没把上行计价进去。 美国市场通常会提前 12 个月定价，但我能理解欧洲是按过去 12 个月来看的。
英文原文
Hi, appreciate the more productive discussion. But I've never seen anyone aside from Europeans complain about 2.5% $13M dilution to get listed on NASDAQ. Over in the US... we have random Bitcoin miners with $6B+ dilution (over half the MC) just to attempt a pivot and buy GPUs. So the amount to hyperscalers supply chains is very tiny. And you do realize you're talking about US hyperscalers suppliers right? Like $JBL, $MRVL... All the CPO timelines have been accelerated by $NVDA recently. If anything Sivers is one of the most undervalued photonic stocks I've seen in the market and definitely not priced for upside yet. US markets typically price things 12 months in advance, but I understand if Europe does things previous 12 months.
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IREN 仍然看空
@BitcoinAIGuy 我现在仍然看空 $IREN，因为有 60 亿美元 ATM 的悬压，哪怕市场传言他们在做 colo 也是如此。我去年确实做多过，你知道的。
英文原文
@BitcoinAIGuy I’m still bearish on $IREN due to $6B ATM overhang, even if there’s rumors they’re doing colo. I was long last year you know.