$ACMR
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分析多只AI供应链股票的NAV折价、控股结构及增长潜力，偏好独立增长标的。
个人笔记如下： 1. Priortech 持有 $CAMT 21% 的股份，市值约为其 1.35 倍，看起来更像是一家控股公司。 2. Bit Digital 的人一直在喊单，但 $WYFI 的净资产值(NAV)折价并不纯粹，存在大量稀释且并非 AI 母公司。 3. 纬创(3231)是我自 $SIVE 以来见过的最佳标的，加上 Ayar 和纬颖(Wiwynn)是我最喜欢的“三剑客”。 市值约 162 亿美元，第一季度收入增长惊人，同比增长 144%。 持有纬颖 35.46% 的股份，约为其市值的 0.66 倍。我预计纬颖将继续增长。 4. 中美硅科技(5483)持有全球晶圆(6488) 46.64% 的股份。 市值 35 亿美元，持股价值约 79 亿美元，但独立增长并不快，尽管其交易价格大幅低于净资产值(NAV)。 5. 一真控股(Iljin Holdings)持有一真电气(Iljin Electric) 42.99% 的股份，市值约 2.2 亿美元，而净资产值(NAV)持股约 11.3 亿美元。这与变压器/电缆直流相关。 但我不确定是否相信韩国股票能实现 NAV 解锁，可能更适合激进投资者(Activist Investors)。 6. Simmtech Holdings 市值约 1.7 亿美元，而母公司约 10 亿美元，看起来也很离谱。 即 6 倍以上的 NAV。这是 PCB 基板相关的名字。同样，另一个可能不信任韩国治理类型的名字。 我认为 $ACMR 和沪硅产业(WUS) 很快都会有 H 股子公司上市，且这两者拥有最大的 NAV 折价和独立增长能力。 此外，有一位非常成功的激进投资者正在针对沪硅产业，所以我预计那里会达成某种中间立场。 所以也许周一我会在此基础上增加这些股票的持仓集中度，我们拭目以待。纬创独立增长非常快。 我仍在进行研究，通常这些是“淋浴时的想法”，因为我尚未正式得出结论，但觉得其他人可能感兴趣。
英文原文
In terms of personal notes: 1. Priortech owns 21% of $CAMT , ~1.35x their MC, seems more like holding co. 2. Bit Digital people kept shouting, but NAV discount is not clean $WYFI , lot of dilution + not AI parent. 3. Wistron (3231) is the best one I've seen since $SIVE + Ayar + Wiwynn are one of my favorite trio. ~$16.2B MC, Q1 revenue up a ridiculous amount with 144% Y/Y growth. Owns 35.46% of Wiwynn, which is ~0.66x of MC. I'd expect Wiwynn to keep on growing. 4. Sin-American Silicon 5483 does own 46.64% of GlobalWafers (6488). MC is $3.5B, stake value is ~$7.9B, but not exactly growing too fast independently, though it's heavily trading heavily discount to NAV. 5. Iljin Holdings owns 42.99% of Iljin Electric, it's ~$0.22B MC vs. ~$1.13B NAV holding. This was transformer/cable DC related. But again idk if I trust korean stocks for NAV unlock, probably better for activist investors. 6. Simmtech Holdings was ~$0.17B MC vs. ~$1.0B of parent, which also looks ridiculous. So 6x+ NAV. PCB substrate related name. Also another prob don't trust korean governance type name. I think both $ACMR and WUS have H-Share subsidiary listing soon, and those were the biggest NAV discounts with independent growth. Then you have a highly successful activist going after WUS so I'd expect some middle ground there. So maybe I'll put more concentration into those on top of what I already own Monday, we'll see. And Wistron was growing very fast independently. I'm still doing research, normally this goes in shower thoughts since I haven't formally made a conclusion, but thought others might be interested.
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博主寻求具备AI增长潜力的最大NAV折价标的以拓展研究
有人有最大净资产价值(NAV)折价清单或想法吗？但独立具备人工智能(AI)增长潜力？ 像 $ACMR 和 WUS (2316) 相比 SK Square 这样更极端的标的。 我持有上述标的，只是想研究更多机会。 最近似乎开始受到关注
英文原文
Anyone got a list or ideas of the biggest NAV discounts. But independently has AI growth? Stuff more extreme end like $ACMR and WUS (2316) compared to SK Square. Have exposure to the ones above, just wanted to research more opportunities. Seems to be getting noticed recently
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认为SIVE硅光子激光器业务估值偏低，应高于POET等公司
感觉 $SIVE 应该比 $POET 获得高得多的估值，而后者主要集中在先进封装领域。$LITE 和 $COHR 因供应 EML 激光器而获得高额溢价。然后 $SIV 为硅光子学/共封装光学(CPO)提供激光器……但估值只有 $POET 的 1/6……是 Ayar 的 1/20（当然他们是多源采购）。至于 $ACMR 则不够新，需要跟上。
英文原文
Feels like $SIVE should deserve a much higher valuation than $POET, which is mainly on the advanced packaging side. $LITE and $COHR get huge premiums for supplying EML lasers. Then $SIV does the lasers for silicon photonics/cpo… but is 1/6th the valuation of $POET… and 1/20th the valuation of ayar (granted they do multi-source though). As for $ACMR not as up to date, need to catch up
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A开头半导体股因订单与瓶颈大涨，暗示供应链瓶颈改善。
哇…… $AEHR 今日因超大规模云服务商订单上涨30%+。 $ACMR 本周因中国存储（长鑫存储+长江存储）上涨29%。 $AXTI 本周因光子学(CPO)产能爬坡及谷歌资本支出上涨42%。 $AMKR 本周因先进封装瓶颈上涨19%。 也许以字母A开头的瓶颈是个好兆头？
英文原文
Wow… $AEHR up 30%+ today on hyperscaler orders. $ACMR up 29% this week on China memory (cmxt + ymtc) $AXTI up 42% this week on photonics ramp and Google capex spend $AMKR up 19% this week w/ advanced packaging bottlenecks. Maybe the bottlenecks starting with letter A are a good sign?