· 供应链分析

AI半导体板块分化,光学股复苏节奏各异,预期风险偏好回升将带动反弹。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

@pkcapital_ 从 $AVGO 到 $TSM 来看,AI 半导体主题(AI semi theme)正在下跌。高贝塔(higher beta)个股似乎受到的打击最重。从我观察到的光学(optical)个股趋势来看,$LITE / $COHR 恢复最快,其次是规模更大但仍属高贝塔的个股如 $AAOI / $AXTI(恢复了一半)。而像 $SIVE / $POET 这类个股耗时最长。但我认为,当市场风险偏好(risk-on)回升或财报(earnings)推动重新评级(re-ratings)时,会出现更强劲的反弹。

英文原文

@pkcapital_ The AI semi theme is down if you look at $AVGO to $TSM. Higher beta names seem to have been hit the hardest. From trends I've seen with optical names, $LITE / $COHR recovered fastest, then larger still high beta names like $AAOI / $AXTI (halfway). Then your $SIVE / $POET type names have taken the longest. But I do see a sharper recovery when markets are more risk-on or when earnings forces re-ratings.

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