$Luxnet

提及 2 首次 2026-03-31 最近 2026-04-02

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  1. 认为激光瓶颈下很难选赢家,Sivers 以较低市值却进入大客户路线图而很有吸引力。

    100% 是激光。 我个人不会往下游去做组装之类的业务。 但在激光瓶颈下,真的很难在 Luxnet、Furukawa、Sumitomo、$SIVE、$MTSI、$LITE、$SMTC(在 Heico 收购 CW 之后)这些公司里挑出唯一赢家…… 不过我觉得 Sivers 特别有吸引力,因为它们已经进入了 $JBL 的 1.6T 路线图,以及 $MRVL 的 CPO 路线图,而市值才大约 2.9 亿美元。

    英文原文

    100% lasers. I personally wouldn't go downstream into assembly and others. But with the laser chokepoint it's really hard to pick a winner between stuff like Luxnet, Furukawa, Sumitomo, $SIVE, $MTSI, $LITE, $SMTC (after heico cw acqusition) and others... But I found Sivers to be really compelling since they're in $JBL 1.6T + $MRVL CPO roadmap at ~$290m MC.

  2. 表示自己只是做高层分析,不想把整条光子链讲得太细。

    @swisssong 不客气。我觉得大家应该把这份分析当成非常高层次的理解,而不是对整个行业的深度拆解。 我也不太明白 Mirae 怎么漏掉了从 $MTSI 到 Luxnet 这么多名字……

    英文原文

    @swisssong Anytime. I think people should treat the analysis as extremely high level, not a deep dive into the industry. I'm not quite sure how Mirae missed so many names from $MTSI to Luxnet...