· 个股论点

Coreweave因高债务和OpenAI依赖被评F级,NBIS更优。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

如果你花30秒读一下帖子,就会发现我并没有给 $BITF 评级。 关于 $CRWV,短期有上涨空间,因为抛售至60美元区间确实过度了。但中长期的债务利息负担过重。 相比之下,$NBIS 和 $IREN 通过可转换债券融资或低利息,每季度对利润率的侵蚀很小;而 Coreweave 每年支付的债务利息超过12亿美元。 此外,OpenAI 占其总积压订单的三分之一。虽然他们拥有一些有防御性的大型超大规模客户($META, $MSFT)以及 $NVDA 的背书,但像 $ORCL 那样为 OpenAI 建设基础设施,鉴于其缺乏收入以及 Gemini ($GOOGL) 的竞争,存在相当大的风险。 因此,尽管 Coreweave 是备受好评的全栈式服务供应商,但由于荒谬的债务利息侵蚀利润率,加上积压订单高度集中于 OpenAI(合同不确定性),其评级为 F 级,而这并不影响像 $NBIS 这样多元化的全栈式服务供应商。

英文原文

If you spent just 30 seconds reading the post, you would see I didn't rate $BITF. With $CRWV there's short term upside because sell-off was way too much to the $60s. But medium-long term they have way too much debt interest. While $NBIS and $IREN funds through convertibles or little interest cutting into margins every quarter, Coreweave pays over $1.2B+ in annual debt expense interest. OpenAI also makes up 1/3th of their total backlog, so while they have some defensible hyperscalers ( $META, $MSFT) + $NVDA backstop, building out for OpenAI like $ORCL, presents considerable risk given their lack of revenue + Gemini $GOOGL competition. So they are F tier despite being a highly rated full-stack offering due to absurd debt interest cutting into margins + large concentration of backlog from OpenAI (contract uncertainty) that don't affect diversified full-stack offerings like $NBIS.

在 X 上查看原推 ↗