· 方法论

分享期权卖方策略经验:选对券商、小户用保证金、精通IV与财报风险。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

补充一下关于学习期权卖方策略的讨论: 1. 券商选择极其重要,大资金账户切勿使用 $HOOD。他们声称免费,但可能是期权交易中最差的券商,因为他们将订单路由给做市商(MMs),并通过糟糕的成交执行来赚取你的钱。除非你在Mag7或SPY上卖出低点差的现金担保看涨期权(Cash-Secured Calls, CCs)或现金担保看跌期权(Cash-Secured Puts, CSPs),否则请使用 $IBKR 进行订单执行,即使你以最低价格卖出,他们也能提供最好的成交。看似损失几美元,但每份合约0.2-0.4美元的执行差异能带来数千美元的差别。 2. 如果是小账户,我建议用保证金(Margin)代替2倍杠杆ETF,因为后者存在波动率衰减(Volatility Decay)。(你可以谷歌搜索为什么不要长期持有2倍杠杆ETF)。使用保证金有清算风险,但仍优于杠杆ETF。帖子中应该已经提到过这一点。 3. 学习股票的隐含波动率(Implied Volatility, IV)。例如,$HOOD 通常每天波动不超过4-6%。$NBIS 通常每天波动不超过7%。$TSM 很少出现单日4%以上的波动。如果你在 $NBIS 上卖出4天到期的CCs,例如6*4,卖出约$130的24%+虚值(Out-of-The-Money, OTM)期权(当前股价$107)通常是明智且盈利的。如果你卖出约$110的CCs,你是在要求股票被行权(Call Away),这通常是你试图卖出股票时的策略。了解催化剂(Catalysts)也很重要。如果有财报(Earnings)发布,原始IV不再适用,因为股价可能大幅波动。财报期间的CCs策略完全不同。 4. CSP策略很好。如果你想用小账户大量操作,使用IBKR的投资组合保证金(Portfolio Margin),这样你可以在很多股票上卖出大量深度虚值的看跌期权(Puts)。最大风险是你不知道自己在做什么,或者出现像今年早些时候全球突然加征20%关税导致市场崩盘这样的黑天鹅事件。我是从大量经验的角度说的,但新手可能会亏很多钱。IV规则同样适用。如果 $AMZN 通常每周波动+-5%,你可以卖出7% OTM的看跌期权,很可能每周获利。财报策略又是另一回事。解释起来很花时间,但也极其盈利。很多人持有$1M+资金,通过“更安全”的CSP或定投(DCA)每周被动赚取$10k。每季度财报周能赚大钱,除非股票像 $TTD 那样暴跌40%。但总体而言,如果你想复利增长财富+现有资产,学习这些很重要。 期权卖方策略是极佳的“房地产”(指卖出CCs或极深度虚值看跌期权),前提是你懂行且操作于 $IIBIT、$HOOD 等正规资产。否则风险巨大。总体上是给交易者很好的建议。只是我基于个人经验的一些想法和细微差别。

英文原文

So just to add to the discussion on learning option selling: 1. BROKERAGE IS EXTREMELY IMPORTANT, NEVER USE $HOOD IF YOU HAVE A LARGE PORT. They claim it's free but it's probably one of the worst for option trading since they route your order to MMs and that's how they make money off of you by screwing your fills. Unless you're selling CC's CSP on Mag7/SPY with low spread, then use $IBKR for order execution since they give you the best fill even if you sell for the lowest price. It looks like you're losing a few dollars but .2 -.4 per contract on execution makes thousands of dollars of a difference. 2. If you're a smaller account, I'd recommend margin instead of 2x leveraged ETFs because of volatility decay. (you can use google to learn why you don't hold 2x leveraged ETFs for more than a short time). You have liquidation risks if you use margin but it's still better than leveraged ETFs. Think they pointed it out already in the post 3. Learn IV of stocks. Eg. Hood probably doesn't go up and down more than 4-6% a day normally. NBIS probably doesn't move more than 7% a day. TSM doesn't really move 4%+ a day. If you're selling CCs 4 days out like on NBIS, 6*4 for example, selling 24%+ OTM for like $130 if it's $107 is usually smart and profitable. If you sell CCs for like $110, you're asking for your stock to be called away and it's usually a strategy when you try and sell it. It's also important to learn catalysts. If there's an earnings coming up the original IV doesn't apply anymore since it could swing a lot higher or lower. Earnings CCs is completely different. 4. CSP is good. If you want to do a lot of this with a small account use IBKR portfolio margin, that way you can write a sell a ton of puts way OTM on a lot of stocks. Biggest risk is either you don't know what you're doing, or there's some black swan event like random 20% tarrifs on the world crashing the market earlier on in the year. Again I'm saying this from the perspective of tons of experience, but a newcomer might lose a lot of money. Same rule for IV applies. If AMZN is usually +-5% a week, you can sell PUTS 7% OTM and likely profit every week. Earnings again is a whole new strategy. it will probably take me a whole lot of time to explain this but it's extremely profitable too. A lot of people just sit on $1M+ and make like $10k a week passively doing "safer" CSPs or DCAing into positions. And earnings week every quarter is an insane amount of money. Unless a stock gets nuked like how TTD tanked 40%. But generally important to learn if you want to compound your wealth + existing assets. Option selling is great real estate (for selling CCs, or extremely OTM put selling) ONLY if you know what you're doing + do it on legitimate assets like IIBIT, HOOD. Otherwise there's tons of risks involved. Generally great advice overall for traders to learn. Just my thoughts and nuances to the lesson from personal experience.

在 X 上查看原推 ↗