个股论点

围绕单一股票的投资逻辑与仓位表态 · 共 2208 条 · 第 45 / 45 页

  1. 2025-07-02 个股论点

    利用 Polymarket 概率,通过杠杆和备兑看涨期权交易比特币。

    Polymarket 也定价了比特币今年达到 12 万美元的 76% 概率,所以即使比特币在几个月后仅上涨 10%,你通过杠杆 + 备兑看涨期权(covered calls) 仍然能赚很多。7 月/8 月通常是 9 月疲软前买入的最佳时机,然后在 11 月/12 月重新买入。

    英文原文

    Polymarket also is pricing in 76% odds of Bitcoin reaching $120k this year, so even if Bitcoin only goes up 10% after a few months you still make a lot from leverage + covered calls. July/August is usually the best time to buy before Sept weakness then rebuy Nov/Dec.

  2. 看好BTC长期期权潜力,建议高波动时卖出看涨期权获利。

    说真的,$IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 年的长期期权(LEAPS)拥有巨大的上涨潜力。隐含波动率(IV)极低(44-55),新法案使美元通胀10-11%,全球货币供应量增加,历史上减半后一年期的7/8月往往会出现大幅上涨。与此同时,在每周高隐含波动率时卖出比特币看涨期权(CCs) = 即使有时间价值损耗(theta)也能获利。

    英文原文

    Seriously though $IBIT $BTC 2026-2027 Leaps have huge upside Very low IV (44-55), new bills inflated USD by 10-11%, global monetary supply increasing, historical rallies Jul/August one year after halving. Meanwhile, selling BTC CCs into weekly high IV = profit despite theta

  3. $ETORO 利润三成来自加密,低位或有补涨潜力。

    鉴于 $ETORO 是一只新上市股票,它可能尚未像(比特币 -> $MSTR -> $COIN -> $MARA 等)那样与加密货币紧密关联。然而,$ETORO 37% 的利润来自加密货币,且目前处于低位,因此可能像其股价从 $61 飙升至 $76 的那天一样,有补涨空间。

    英文原文

    Given how ETORO is a new stock, it's likely not associated with Crypto yet like how (Bitcoin -> $MSTR -> $COIN -> $MARA, etc). However, 37% of $ETORO's profits come from Crypto and it's at a low so might have some room to catch up like the day they spiked $61 -> $76

  4. 建议 $63.1 加仓 $ETORO,因其相对同行存在补涨空间。

    如果感兴趣,我也会分享一些随想。 $ETORO 在 $63.1 是一个很好的加仓点。像 $HOOD 和 $BULL 这样的加密经纪商都上涨了 8-10%+,而 ETORO 却下跌了 1.25%。 通常相关板块会有相似的走势,这更多是一种补涨行为。

    英文原文

    I'll also post random thoughts too if people are interested. $ETORO is a great add at $63.1, crypto brokerages like $HOOD and $BULL are both up 8-10%+ while ETORO is down 1.25%. Usually related sectors have similar movements, it's more of playing catch-up

  5. 博主基于技术分析看好Upwork突破17美元并建仓。

    因此,我认为 Upwork 将突破 $17+,并买入了一定数量。这对于任何像我这样拥有博士学位的人来说,图表的技术分析(TA)都完全展示了这一点。

    英文原文

    For that reason I believe Upwork will breakout $17+ and bought a decent amount. This is fully shown in the TA of the chart for anyone with a PHD such as myself.

  6. 暗示$NARU/$UPWK即将迎来重大利好转折。

    这意味着,$NARU/$UPWK 在接下来的几周和几个月里即将拥有严重的“剧情护甲”(Plot Armor)。 你知道接下来会发生什么。鸣人遇见纲手。动画里没演,但有一个弹跳式的登场和查克拉按摩。鸣人的故事迎来了大团圆结局。

    英文原文

    Which means, Naruto/UPWK is about to have some serious plot armor in the upcoming weeks and months. You know what comes next. Naruto meets Tsunade. They didn't show this in the show but there's a bouncy entrance and the Chakara Massage. There's a happy ending to Naruto.

  7. UPWK暴跌后图表形态暗示反弹在即,类比火影忍者剧情。

    所以,就像往常一样,在‘木叶村’被毁后,$UPWK 需要进行重建。一根巨大的暴跌K线(dump candle)如同‘佩恩’本人般袭来。但他们没看到的是……图表正需要这一跌。‘鸣人’已登场。你可以看到他的发际线正在图表中形成。

    英文原文

    So as usual with the destruction of the hidden leaf village, UPWK had some rebuilding to do. A massive dump candle hits like Pain himself. But what they don’t see… is that the chart needed this. Naruto HAS ARRIVED. You can see his hairline being formed in the chart.

  8. 博主基于九尾狐技术形态买入15万美元UPWK。

    为什么我购买了价值15万美元的$UPWK。 这是UPWORK($UPWK)以及我购买15万美元以上股份的原因解释。 起初,你看到的看起来像一只猫(CAT)。它从两只耳朵开始。看起来像猫对吧? 错了。这是九尾狐(NINE TAILED FOX)形态,不仅仅是任何一只猫。 https://t.co/BUYY3BncTs

    英文原文

    Why I bought $150k in $UPWK. Here is UPWORK, UPWK and my explanation on why I bought $150k+ in shares. At first, you see what looks like a CAT. It starts off with the two ears. Looks like a cat right? Wrong. This is the NINE TAILED FOX Pattern, not just any cat. https://t.co/BUYY3BncTs