· 方法论

认为 SOI 的重估是因为自己把研究免费公开给散户,并借此解释为什么机构不喜欢。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

我不觉得 Citi 或 Kepler 的任何“分析师”应该对 $SOI 为什么会这样感到惊讶: 一个 1 倍账面价值、在 CPO / 硅光基板里几乎垄断的公司(现在大概 1.4 倍)。 会被重估 40%+。 尤其是在一篇易懂的分析被传播出去之后,人们就能自己建立信念。 时代变了: 机构想让那些“只会发热门、没脑子的网红”去推荐 Paypal 和其他已经过热的股票。 或者鼓动 WSB 的人去买 $TSLA 的 0DTE 看涨期权。 而我是在做一个被低估的、十亿美元级欧洲瓶颈 / 断点公司的供应链研究。然后还把研究免费给了大家。 不是把它锁在 2000 美元+ 的机构研究报告后面。 免费。 我是在教育散户,告诉他们我自己是怎么理解供应链瓶颈、光子和基本面的。 然后再把这些整理成足够简单的 thesis,让大家也能形成自己的观点。 而且第一次,散户在 X 上能够比机构更早地看到那些基础面瓶颈。 看看 $AXTI:我在约 5 亿美元市值时就发给所有散户看了。 现在机构正在涌入,把它推到 26 亿美元以上,因为它是光子行业关键的 InP 基板供应商。 这就是一句“说破的潜台词”: 当一个免费、受欢迎的 X 账号,成功教育了散户去理解像 Soitec 这样在基础面上被严重低估的技术公司时, 它就彻底破坏了机构靠付费墙研究去抢在散户前面的能力。 没有理由去淡化这种趋势。 我相信股票是正和游戏,所以没必要守着信息不分享。

英文原文

Don't think any "Analyst" from Citi or Kepler should be surprised why $SOI: A 1X book CPO/Silicon Photonics Substrate virtual monopoly (now ~1.4). Gets re-rated 40%+. Especially after a digestable analysis gets distributed for people to build their own conviction on. Times have changed: Institutions want dumb, popular "influencers" to publish longs on Paypal and other overbought stocks. Or encourage folks on WSB to buy 0DTE call options on $TSLA. I'm doing supply-chain research on an undervalued billion dollar European bottlenecks/chokepoints. Then gave that research away for free. Not paywalled for $2000+ behind institutional research notes. Free. I'm educating retail on my own thought process regarding supply chain bottlenecks, photonics, and fundamentals. Then putting that into a simple enough thesis, so they can form their own opinions. And for the first time, retail is able to front-run institutions on fundamental bottlenecks. Just look at $AXTI: I posted at ~$500m valuation for every retail investor. And now, institutions are piling in, sending it to $2.6 billion+ as the fundamental InP substrate provider to the photonics industry. This is the quiet part said out loud: When a free and popular X account successfully educates retail on highly strategic, fundamentally undervalued tech companies like Soitec: It completely disrupts the institutions' ability to paywall research and frontrun retail investors. There’s no reason to downplay the trend. I believe stocks are a positive sum game, so there's no reason to gatekeep information.

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