· 个股论点

Avride是$NBIS核心资产,自动驾驶出租车市场潜力巨大,机构严重低估$NBIS价值。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

根据 Seeking Alpha 报告与 Nuro 的基准对比,其估值现在可能约为 60 亿美元。但我会说 Avride 是 $NBIS 的皇冠明珠,而非 Clickhouse,尤其是当 Waymo 等自动驾驶出租车 (Robotaxi) 公司在短时间内估值飙升至 1000 亿美元以上时。 $TSLA 仅因推出自动驾驶出租车就增加了数千亿美元的价值(例如 Cathie Wood 表示自动驾驶出租车可能占特斯拉价值的 90%),这是一个因参与者稀缺而具有极大上行空间的市场。 基本上只有 $TSLA、$GOOGL 的 Waymo、$AMZN 的 Zoox、现代……以及正试图抵御自动驾驶出租车竞争的 $UBER。 $UBER 通过 Avride 而非与 Waymo 合作来扩大其防御能力至关重要,以避免将客户引导至竞争对手的应用程序(例如他们联合投资了 3.75 亿美元的原因)。 鉴于 $NBIS 拥有 Avride 83% 的股份,如果其规模达到约 450 亿美元市值(这是 Waymo 在 2024 年 10 月的估值)……这实际上超过了 Nebius 今天的市值,而它才刚刚在德克萨斯州启动。 像 Hedgeye 这样的基金可能没有计算 SOP 增长,并且严重低估了 Nebius。

英文原文

Probably around $6B now as per the seeking alpha report benchmarked vs Nuro. But I'd say Avride is crown jewel of $NBIS, not clickhouse, especially when robotaxi companies like Waymo scaled to a $100B+ valuation in a short time. $TSLA gained hundreds of billions in value just due robotaxi launch (eg. Cathie Wood said robotaxis could be 90% of tesla's value) and it's a market with extreme upside due to lack of players. There's basically just $TSLA, $GOOGL Waymo, $AMZN Zoox, Hyundai... and then $UBER which is trying to defend themselves against robotaxi competition. $UBER has the upmost importance to scale its defensibility with Avride instead of partnering with Waymo -> funneling customers into the other app. (eg. why they joint invested $375M). Given how $NBIS owns 83% of avride, if it scales to ~$45B MC, which was Waymo's valuation BACK in October 2024.... That's literally more than Nebius's marketcap today lol, and it just launched in Texas. Funds like Hedgeye probably aren't accounting for SOP growth and are vastly underestimating Nebius.

在 X 上查看原推 ↗