· 供应链分析

内存大厂2027产能售罄,反驳供过于求论调。

涉及标的:

相关概念: HBM 高带宽内存

中文翻译

SK海力士、$MU 和三星已售罄2027年的DRAM/HBM产能。 $SNDK、三星、美光当前的年度NAND产能已售罄,铠侠和SK海力士预计将于2026年8月前敲定分配方案。 - 客户仅能获得其初始请求量60-70%的配额 - 业内人士指出,2027年将迎来最严重的内存短缺时刻 - 分配数量已基本确定,但最终交货价格将在临近交付时确定 来源:Digitimes,引用行业消息。 当产能早已售罄时,很难看到那些关于2027年早中期内存“供过于求”的说法。

英文原文

SK Hynix, $MU , and Samsung have sold out of 2027 capacity for DRAM/HBM. $SNDK, Samsung, Micron current annual NAND capacity has been sold out, with Kioxia and SK Hynix expected to finalize allocations by August 2026. - Customers are being allocated only 60–70% of the volumes they initially requested - industry insiders pointed out that 2027 will enter the most severe moment of memory shortage - Allocation amounts are mostly decided, but final shipment pricing will be determined closer to delivery Source: Digitimes, citing industry sources. Hard to see those memory "oversupply" claims in early-mid 2027 when they're all sold out of capacity already.

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