· 个股论点

GOOGL云业务超预期利好AI需求,支撑LITE等光网络板块。

涉及标的:

相关概念: AI 资本支出

中文翻译

$GOOGL 今日公布财报: 每股收益(EPS):实际 $9.11 vs 预期 $2.91 - 散户对 EPS 大幅超预期的反应某种程度上只是会计噪音,因为 $SPCX、Anthropic 等可能是主要贡献者。 营收:实际 $1197 亿 vs 预期 $1169.8 亿 Google Cloud 营收:$247.7 亿,同比 +82%,vs 预期的 63-65% ($222-$226 亿) - 这是巨大的超预期,也是目前最重要的部分。 Cloud 营业利润:~$88.1 亿,暗示利润率 35.6%,vs Q1 的 32.9%。 资本支出(Capex):$449.2 亿 vs ~$441.5 亿(基本符合预期)。 所以初步解读是 Google Cloud 增长加速且利润率扩张,这对 AI 需求确实是看多(bullish)信号。 他们此前 $180-$190 亿的资本支出指引已经非常庞大,只要我们在财报电话会 + 前瞻指引中看到围绕这些数字... 对于 $LITE 和其他光学/网络交易来说应该没问题了。(例如上次财报,他们说数据中心和网络将占资本支出的 ~40%)。 超大规模云厂商(Hyperscaler)的财报电话会记录可能是 AI 资本支出交易中最需要关注的。 那应该在 3 分钟后开始。

英文原文

$GOOGL reported earnings today: EPS: $9.11 actual vs $2.91 expected - retail reactions to EPS blowout is kinda just accounting noise, since $SPCX, Anthropic, and others were likely large contributors. Revenue: $119.7B actual vs. $116.98B expected Google Cloud Revenue: $24.77B +82% Y/Y, vs. 63-65% expected ($22.2-$22.6B) - this is a very large beat and most material part so far. Cloud Operating Income: ~$8.81B, implying 35.6% margin vs. 32.9% Q1. Capex: $44.92B vs ~$44.15B (basically in line). So initial read through is Google Cloud accelerating growth with expanding margins is genuinely bullish for AI demand. Their former $180-$190B capex guidance is already extremely large, and as long as we get around these numbers in the earnings call + forward projections... Should be good to go for $LITE and the other optics/networking trade. (eg. last earnings, they said DC and networking would be ~40% of capex spend). Hyperscaler earnings transcripts are probably the most important thing to pay attention to with the AI capex trade. And that should be in 3 minutes.

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