· 个股论点

HIMS利空出尽基本面反转,周一或现历史性空头挤压,作者计划买入。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

周一可能创造历史。 因为历史上最大规模的空头挤压之一可能正在上演。 > 机构做空了 $HIMS 40% 的流通股(规模极大) > 预期其营收增长为 0 > 押注 FDA 和 $NVO 会让该公司破产 然而,所有转折都在一天内发生: > $HIMS 与 Novo Nordisk 的诉讼被撤销。 > Hims 营收突然再次加速。 > 与此同时,$HIMS 通过 Eucalyptus 扩展至加拿大、澳大利亚和日本。 > $HIMS 通过 Zava 扩展至英国和欧洲。 > 现在突然拥有了合法的全球分销网络、健康的资产负债表、与 $NVO 的合作关系,以及 40% 的流通股被做空。 可能没人预料到这一点。 尤其是那些认为 HIMS 会破产、现在面临数十亿美元无限亏损的空头。 我也曾看空 $HIMS,但这确实是一个巨大的反转故事。 两种可能的场景: 1. 如果所有空头周一同时平仓,可能会发生类似大众汽车式的空头挤压。 很可能一些空头为了风险管理想在其他人之前以 $22 的价格退出,这将引发即时的买盘压力。 2. 另一种场景是随着 $NVO 合作关系的建立,$HIMS 的增长重新点燃,并随着公司基本面改善,出现类似 $TSLA 式的缓慢挤压。 鉴于 $HIMS 曾交易于 $70,现在回到 $22,且兼具法律清晰度和营收加速。 我个人会在周一跳上这艘船,添柴加火,看看事态如何发展。 这可能是历史的缔造时刻。

英文原文

Monday could make history. As one of the largest short squeezes in history could unfold. > Institutions shorted 40% of $HIMS (extraordinarily large) > expecting 0 revenue growth > betting the FDA and $NVO would bankrupt the company All in one day: > $HIMS lawsuit with Novo Nordisk dropped. > Hims sudden revenue acceleration begins again. > All while $HIMS expanded to Canada, Australia, and Japan via Eucalyptus in the meantime. > $HIMS expanded to UK and Europe with Zava > Now suddenly a legal global distribution network, healthy balance sheet, $NVO partnership, and 40% of the float shorted. Likely 0 people expected this. Especially short sellers who now face billions in infinite losses, that thought HIMS would be bankrupted. I was bearish on $HIMS too, but this is a massive turnaround story. The two likely scenarios: 1. One scenario is a Volkswagen-type short squeeze on Monday if all the short sellers tries to cover at once Monday It's very likely some short sellers want to exit before others do at $22 for risk-management and this causes immediate buying pressure. 2. The other scenario is growth in $HIMS reignited with the $NVO partnership and a slower $TSLA-style squeeze over time as company fundamentals improve. Given $HIMS was once trading at $70 and now it's back at $22, with both legal clarity + revenue acceleration. I would personally hop on the boat on Monday to add fuel to the fire to see where this heads. Could be history in the making.

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