· 个股论点

LPTH是国防锗瓶颈,短期受板块拖累,长期受益于供应链转移。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

$LPTH 主要是国防领域的锗瓶颈。它似乎更多是从中国供应链向美国黑钻(Black Diamond)过渡的长期受益者。 它在算法上与国防板块挂钩(近期因缺乏催化剂,从 $ONDS 到 $AVAV 均下跌)。如果美国入侵伊朗,该交易可能会再次火热。 不太可能看到像 $GOOGL 和 $AMZN 资本支出带来的半导体供应链瓶颈那样巨大的短期飙升。或者像 $AXTI 因光子学应用可能看到的瓶颈+涨价。 但从 Andruil、$NOC、$ONDS 等来看,长期应有增量收入。

英文原文

$LPTH is germanium bottleneck mainly for defense. It seems more of a long term beneficiary from transition from China supply chains to US black diamond. And it’s algorithmically tied to defense sector (which is down recently, from $ONDS to $AVAV due to a lack of catalysts). If US invades Iran the trade is probably going to be hot again. Not likely going to see that massive short term spike that semi supply chain bottlenecks do from the $GOOGL and $AMZN capex spend. Or bottleneck + price hikes that $AXTI might see from photonics usage. But long term from Andruil, $NOC, $ONDS and others should be incremental revenue

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