· 方法论

认为近期抛售来自套息交易解除,中期降息利好风险资产

涉及标的:

中文翻译

我的观点和之前一样。最近这轮抛售,是日本央行加息和美联储降息后重新建立仓位,再引发套息交易解除。 短期来看,套息交易解除的影响比三次降息大得多。 现在我们已经看到了这轮抛售的结果。 但 12 月 10 日的美联储降息,对 $RKLB 到 $NBIS 这类风险资产的中期,比如未来 3 个月,是极其利多的,尤其是在它们基本面还在增长的情况下。

英文原文

I’ve held the same view as before. Recent selloff is carry trade unwind from reload after boj hike and fed rate cut. Carry trade unwind is much more impactful than 3x rate cut near term. And now we’ve seen the result of that selloff. But Dec 10ths fed rate cut is incredibly bullish for risk assets from $RKlB to $NBIS medium term like 3 months out, especially when they have growing fundamentals.

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