· 个股论点

CRWV基本面强但负债高,建议短线交易而非长持

涉及标的:

中文翻译

手滑发错了,重读时觉得没必要编辑。$CRWV 超卖,550亿美元积压订单,Neocloud 领域龙头,有 $NVDA 背书,业绩不及预期源于数据中心(DC)延迟,仅将收入推迟至后续季度。但我不会长期持有(220亿积压订单来自OpenAI),相比同行其高债务利息侵蚀自由现金流(FCF)/利润率,且资产负债表薄弱(如18亿美元现金),在当前信贷收紧环境下更易受冲击(尤其与未获融资的OpenAI高度相关)。若现价$75持有我不会卖出,但也不会长期持有(仅做短线交易)。发帖时大概就在纠结这算哪类。

英文原文

Accident, didn't feel like editing the post when I read it again. $CRWV is oversold, $55B backlog, Neocloud sector leader, backstopped by $NVDA, miss due to DC delays, just shifts revenue down toward later quarters. However, I would not hold it ($22B of backlog is OpenAI), high debt interest compared to others that cut into FCF/margins, and low balance sheet eg. $1.8B cash which makes it more susceptible to credit tightening right now (especially with correlation to OpenAI with doesnt have the funding). I wouldn’t sell it if I had it now at $75, but I wouldn’t long term hold it either (short term trade). I was probably wondering what category that fits in when I made the post earlier.

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