· 供应链分析

推测OSS为Anduril供应商,基于AI边缘计算需求匹配及AI模型概率分析。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

披露:我目前无持仓,且不计划建仓。(原因:已持有过多高贝塔股票)。 我想发布一些关于 Anduril 供应链公司的投机性研究,这是在研究 $KRKNF | Kraken Robotics 之后进行的。 这是 $OSS(市值 1.1554 亿美元)。 简而言之:Anduril 为美国陆军推出了 Effects-Short Range (LE-SR) 系统。OSS 是一家边缘 AI 基础设施公司。尽管 Anduril 收购了竞争对手 Klas(一家坚固型 AI 边缘计算公司),但 $OSS 似乎是 Anduril 的供应商。 OSS 宣布获得一份 650 万美元的合同,交付 80 台“高性能服务器和现场可编程门阵列(FPGA)系统……用于支持美国军事行动的移动情报平台”。 1. OSS 的专业领域:为移动战术军事环境中的边缘 AI/ML 提供高性能、加固型 FPGA 和服务器系统。 2. Anduril 的需求:LE-SR (Altius 600) 平台需要坚固、紧凑的计算能力,以便在战术边缘自主运行其 Lattice AI 软件。 _ 650 万美元用于 80 台 3U SDS 加固服务器和 FPGA 系统。功能包括传感器数据采集、AI 生成的实时分析以及战术环境下的存储:这与 Lattice 对集群管理的需求相符: 硬件:AMD EPYC 9004 “Genoa” 处理器,最多七个 PCIe Gen4 x16 插槽用于 GPU/FPGA 集成,支持热插拔存储高达 1 PB,并针对 -40°C 至 70°C 的温度进行加固。 适合指挥控制(C2):这些系统适合地面枢纽而非无人机载荷,支持操作员在环接口和多资产协调。 ________ 3. 买家被描述为一家“领先的国防和技术解决方案公司”。OSS 强调向国防领域转型(目前约占收入的 50%),此交易是其一系列成果的一部分,包括 600 万美元的国防部(DoD)续约和其他军事订单。 唯一缺失的是客户名称,鉴于国防承包商的性质,这通常保密,但看起来像是 Anduril,且是回头客(与该客户的额外开发和平台机会正在进行中)。 关于 OSS <-> Anduril 合同和信息的更深入内容是通过前沿模型 Deep Research 工具获取的: Gemini - 85% 的概率 Anthropic Claude - 75-80% 的概率 OpenAI ChatGPT - 70% 的概率 XAI Grok - 40-45% 的概率 认为 OSS 是 Anduril 的供应商。 如果 OSS 确实是 Anduril 的供应商并从 650 万美元的合同扩展,那么鉴于该国防承包商带来的未来收入潜力,其市值很可能从 1.2 亿美元向上重估。如果不是,鉴于其他美国军方合同,它目前的市值也是合理的。 支持 Anduril 使用 OSS 这一假设的间接证据似乎很有说服力。 我想在财报发布前发布这个看看是否正确(如果他们提到的话)。不过我不打算在此建仓,因为像 $NBIS 这样的高贝塔股票具有更高的非对称回报,但如果 $OSS 涨 5 倍,我会很遗憾。 我偶尔会研究一些小公司看看是否值得投资,但只是想出于好玩发布这个看看是否正确。

英文原文

Disclosure: I have no positions and don't plan on initiating any. (Reason: have too many high-beta stocks). I just wanted to publish some speculative research I did on Anduril supply chain companies after researching $KRKNF | Kraken Robotics. This is $OSS ($115.54M MC). TLDR: Anduril launched Effects-Short Range (LE-SR) for the US Army. OSS is an edge AI infra. $OSS seems like a Andruil supplier, despite Andruil aquiring Klas, a competing rugged AI edge company. OSS has announced a contract of $6.5 million to deliver 80 “high-performance servers and field-programmable gate array systems… for a mobile intelligence platform supporting U.S. military operations.” 1. OSS's specialization: High-performance, ruggedized FPGA and server systems for AI/ML at the edge in mobile, tactical military environments. 2. Anduril's requirement: The LE-SR (Altius 600) platform requires rugged, compact computing to run its Lattice AI software autonomously at the tactical edge. _ $6.5 million for 80 3U SDS rugged servers and FPGA systems. Functions include sensor data collection, AI-generated real-time analysis, and storage in tactical settings: mirroring Lattice's requirements for swarm management: Hardware: AMD EPYC 9004 “Genoa” processors, up to seven PCIe Gen4 x16 slots for GPU/FPGA integration, hot-swappable storage up to 1 petabyte, and ruggedization for -40°C to 70°C temperatures. Fit for C2: The systems suit ground-based hubs rather than drone payloads, supporting operator-on-the-loop interfaces and multi-asset coordination. ________ 3. The buyer is described as a "leading defense and technology solutions company". OSS has emphasized shifting to defense (now ~50% of revenue), with this deal part of a streak including $6M DoD renewals and other military wins The only missing piece is the customer name, which, given the military contractors, is often kept confidential, but it seems like its Anduril and it's a repeat-client (Additional development and platform opportunities are underway with this customer). A more in-depth information about OSS <-> Andruil contracts and info were fed through frontier model Deep Research tools: Gemini - 85% assigned probability Antropic Claude - 75-80% assigned probability OpenAI ChatGPT - 70% assigned probability XAI Grok - 40-45% assigned probability of OSS being the Andruil supplier. In the chance OSS is an Anduril supplier and scales up from the $6.5M contract, then it's likely to be re-rated upward from a $120m marketcap from high future revenue potential from this defense contractor. If not, then it deserves its current market-cap anyway due to other US Military contracts. The circumstantial evidence supporting the hypothesis of Anduril using OSS seems compelling. Thought it would be fun to post this before their ER to see if it's right or not (if they ever mention it). I don't plan on taking positions in this though since other high-beta stocks like $NBIS have higher asymmetrical return, but if $OSS 5x's, I'll be sad. I do look into small companies on the side to see if it's worth investing or not but just wanted to publish this for fun to see if it's right.

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