· 业绩复盘

认为 IQE 涨了 70% 但仍被 legacy drag 压制,而 Landmark 等更纯粹的同业市值更高。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

自从我发帖之后,$IQE 已经涨了大约 70%。 它是全球最大的 InP epifab 之一。 不过,$IQE 身上有太多历史包袱。 因此,像 Landmark 这样更小、纯粹的同类公司,市值都到了 42 亿美元,而 $IQE 还在低估值里交易。 既然它拥有巨大的反应器潜在产能,而且市值只有约 2.5 亿美元,那它真正需要做的只有: 去掉拖累。重组清债。把产能重心转向 AI。 而 CTO 终于出来重申了我关于光子的 thesis: “对于 InP 来说,这意味着 6 英寸晶圆。四年多前,IQE 就是第一个展示 6 英寸 InP 技术的公司,因为他们很早就意识到了这点。 IQE 已经展示了高速度光器件在 6 英寸晶圆上所需的纯度、均匀性和重复性。 IQE 已经准备好帮助推动下一波 AI 硬件和数据中心创新。” 虽然这看起来像一篇很普通的营销稿,但这正是他们要重新被定价成一家十亿美元级公司的 thesis。 更多行业高管应该去听市场的声音。 风险当然还在,尤其是重组层面。 但现在该看管理层能不能成功执行,并把重点放在 AI / 光子上,而不是历史业务。 不过,这种明确表态,正是我个人愿意承担风险的原因,因为这说明他们正在朝正确方向走。

英文原文

$IQE is up ~70% since I’ve posted. This is one of the largest InP Epifabs in the world. However, there’s tons of legacy drag affecting $IQE. And as a result, smaller pure play peers like Landmark sit at $4.2 Billion MC while $IQE trades at depressed valuations. With massive reactor latent capacity, and a ~$250M MC, the only thing they needed to do: Cut Drag. Restructure to clear debt. Focus capacity toward AI. And the CTO finally went out to reiterate my thesis focusing on photoics: “For InP, that means 6-inch wafers. IQE was the first to demonstrate 6-inch InP technology more than four years ago, having recognised this need early. IQE has shown the purity, uniformity and repeatability needed for high-speed optical devices on 6-inch wafers IQE is primed to help enable the next wave of AI hardware and data centre innovation.” Although this looks like a bland marketing post, this is the thesis they need to focus on to be re-rated as a billion dollar company. More industry executives should listen to markets. The risks are obviously present with restructuring. But now it’s up to management to successfully execute and put focus on AI/photonics, not legacy segments. However, this is the risk I’m personally willing to take, as clear statements like these means they’re heading down the right direction.

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