· 供应链分析

继续看好 AAOI 的光链路,但不喜欢 ATM

涉及标的:

中文翻译

这并没有改变我对 $AAOI 的看多逻辑: 他们从激光 -> 设计 -> 组装覆盖了每个月 378 美元的美国供应链,这在 80 亿美元市值下明显被低估。 但这确实改变了我对股价上行的部分看法,因为 ATM 是一种非常负面的到达方式(前面的 2.5 亿美元本来是可以接受的)。 在第一次 ATM 之后又再加 2.5 亿美元,会留下非常偏空的印象,就像 $POET 当时那样。 现在真正担心的是,他们新一轮做完后会不会再来一次。 所以 $AAOI 本来就该从一开始把需要的金额说清楚。

英文原文

It doesn’t change my bullish thesis around $378/month US supply chain from laser -> design -> assembly being very mispriced at $8B with $AAOI. But it does change some views on share appreciation, as ATMs are very net negative way to get there ($250m was fine after projections). Doubling that by another $250m after the first ATM gives left a very bearish impression like what $POET did. And now, main concern is doing it again after their new round finishes. Which is why $AAOI should have just announced the amount they needed form the start.

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