· 供应链分析

韩系存储巨头盈利或超美科技巨头,AI内存短缺或成常态,建议关注亚裔半导体股。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

这些数据令人震惊: 预计三星和SK海力士将在2027年成为全球最盈利的公司。 它们的预测值超过了$APPL和$GOOGL,这两家公司的营业利润均约为4万亿美元级别。 作为参考,三星的估值约为8200亿美元,SK海力士的估值约为4100亿美元。 这意味着到2027年,一家估值约4100亿美元的SK海力士,其盈利能力将超过$GOOGL(3.7万亿美元)。 根据摩根士丹利此前的估算,SK海力士和三星预计将带来: 合计约3877亿美元的营业利润。 美国两家最盈利的公司$APPL和$GOOGL在2025年的合计营业利润为2630亿美元。(谷歌1290-1320亿美元,苹果1331亿美元) 2027年预测: 三星电子:约2267亿美元 SK海力士:约1610亿美元 2027年预测: 苹果:约1560-1650亿美元 谷歌:约1680-1780亿美元 较小的韩国股票在盈利能力上超过数万亿美元美国超大规模云服务商的统计数据令人震惊。 一个真正有趣的观点是,一家4100亿美元的公司其盈利能力超过了4万亿美元以上的超大规模云服务商。 但市场正在定价的更大问题是,内存短缺是暂时的,还是它们会成为AI基础设施建设中像GPU一样必要的“石油”。 如果你对这个问题的回答是“很可能”,那么获得韩国、日本或台湾股票的敞口可能是一个不错的选择。

英文原文

These numbers are staggering: Samsung and SK Hynix are projected to become the most profitable companies in the world by 2027. Their projections exceed $APPL and $GOOGL, both ~$4T companies in operating profit. For reference, Samsung is valued at ~$820B and SK Hynix is valued at ~$410B. That would make a ~$410B company in SK Hynix more profitable than $GOOGL ($3.7T) in 2027. By Morgan Stanley estimates earlier, SK Hynix and Samsung are est. to bring in: ~$387.7 Billion USD combined operating income. America’s two most profitable companies $APPL and $GOOGL combined brought in $263 Billion USD for 2025. (Google $129-132B, Apple $133.1B) 2027 est. Samsung Electronics: ~$226.7 Billion Sk Hynix: ~$161.0 Billion 2027 est: Apple: ~$156B-$165B Google: ~$168B-178B The statistics of smaller Korean equities exceeding multi trillion dollar US hyperscalers in profitability is staggering. It’s a genuinely interesting point, that a $410B company exceeds $4T+ hyperscalers in profitability. But the bigger question markets are pricing in is if the memory shortage is ephemeral, or if they become a necessary “Oil” like GPUs for the AI buildout. If your answer to that is “likely, might be good to get exposure to Korean, Japanese, or Taiwanese equities.

在 X 上查看原推 ↗