· 个股论点
我在$139做多$RDDT。 Reddit在上月下跌44.9%后呈现出绝佳的机会。 Q4财报大爆，但短期期权链+流动性可能正在影响价格。 结果摘要： Q4营收：7.26亿美元（同比增长70%） 净利润：2.52亿美元 现金：约25亿美元，0债务。 2026年Q1指引：5.95亿-6.05亿美元（同比增长52%-54%） 数据授权仅占3600万美元（因此其余均为运营收入）。 这是$HOOD级别的盈利能力和惊人的资产负债表。在营收同比增长70%的同时，净利润接近营收的1/3，这太不可思议了。 远期市盈率模型可能在27-30左右（参考$WMT目前46+且仅随通胀增长） Reddit不会消失。你无法通过用Opus 4.6和Cursor进行氛围编码(vibecoding)来颠覆Reddit，因为其核心在于网络效应。 Reddit是一台等待溢价回归的印钞机。
I'm long $RDDT at $139. Reddit presents an incredible opportunity after the -44.9% drop last month. Blowout Q4 earnings, but likely short-term option chain + liquidity influencing price. Results TLDR: Q4 Revenue: $726M (70% Y/Y growth) Net Income: $252M Cash: ~$2.5 Billion, 0 Debt. Q1 2026 Guidance: $595M – $605M (52% – 54% YoY) Data licensing was only $36 Million of it (so this was all operational). This is $HOOD levels profitability and incredible blaance sheet. To have net income reach close to ~1/3 of revenue, while growing 70% Y/Y, is incredible. Modeled forward P/E may be around ~27-30 ( $WMT for reference 46+ now growing in line with inflation) Reddit is not going anywhere. You can't disrupt Reddit by vibecoding it with Opus 4.6 and Cursor, because the main point of it is network effect. Reddit is a money printer waiting for premiums to catch up.