· 个股论点
$INTC 基本上就是半导体界的 $RKLB（对应 SpaceX），也是我最大的持仓之一。 众所周知，随着 Nvidia 到 Apple 等巨头的支持，它终将赶上 TSM，成为美国政府事实上的半导体臂膀。 这只是时间问题。 在 $2340 亿美元市值（$TSM 为 1.5 万亿美元）下，仅凭等待就能获得约 7 倍回报。 无论是 2 年还是 10 年，我坚信 Intel 是市场中罕见的机会：你可以投资白宫，以及用无限印钞机补贴现金消耗型晶圆厂开发。 半导体市场并非赢家通吃，总可寻址市场 (TAM) 将持续增长，$TSM 是很好的长线标的，但当 Intel 产能可用时，从 Google 到 Nvidia 的美国超大规模云服务商将承受使用 Intel 的压力。 美国不会让 Intel 失败，这是基于美国政策的高确信度长线投资。
$INTC is basically the $RKLB to SpaceX and is one of my biggest positions. Everyone knows it will catch up to TSM as the de-facto semi arm of the US government with Nvidia to Apple backing it. It’s more of a matter of time. At a $234B MC ( $TSM is $1.5T), ~7X return just for waiting. Whether it’s in 2 years or 10 years, I strongly believe Intel is one of the rare opportunities in the market where you can invest in the White House and infinite money printer subsidizing the cash burning foundry development. It’s not winner takes all, the TAM of semis will keep going up, $TSM is a great long, but US hyperscalers from Google to Nvidia would be pressured to use Intel when available. United States won’t let Intel fail, this is a high conviction long on US policy.