中文翻译
好问题,我当时没把1+1联系起来,错过了对$AXTI的单跳关联影响。我的观点是,短期/中期基本无影响,但由于有6个月的空窗期,对AXT略微偏多。Emcore相比之下非常小,但美国政府正试图掌控上游控制的任何微小份额。这证实了美国政府现在将磷化铟(InP)供应链视为国家安全优先事项,并验证了我之前提出的InP瓶颈论点。TLDR:行政令接管InP供应链资产是为了长期摆脱对中国的依赖,但短期/中期$ATI的瓶颈甚至更严重。
· 供应链分析
好问题,我当时没把1+1联系起来,错过了对$AXTI的单跳关联影响。我的观点是,短期/中期基本无影响,但由于有6个月的空窗期,对AXT略微偏多。Emcore相比之下非常小,但美国政府正试图掌控上游控制的任何微小份额。这证实了美国政府现在将磷化铟(InP)供应链视为国家安全优先事项,并验证了我之前提出的InP瓶颈论点。TLDR:行政令接管InP供应链资产是为了长期摆脱对中国的依赖,但短期/中期$ATI的瓶颈甚至更严重。
Good question, I didn't put 1+1 together at the time and missed the one-hop relational impact with $AXTI. My take is basically, no impact short/medium term, but leans slightly positive for AXT since there's a 6 month limbo. Emcore is very tiny in comparison, but US gov is trying to gain control of any little % of the upstream control. This was just affirmation that US government now views InP supply chains as a national security priority and is validating the InP bottlenek thesis I put out earlier. TLDR: EOs seizing InP supply chain assets was a move to regain independence from China long term, but short-medium term bottleneck is even more severe with $ATI