· 个股论点
$LPTH 确实令人惊叹。他们垄断了一种关键原材料的替代方案，而中国刚刚对该材料实施了出口管制。 中国生产全球约 60-70% 的锗(Germanium)，并实施了出口管制。而 Lightpath 恰好拥有唯一的替代方案（类似于 $AXTI 的磷化铟(InP)技术）。 他们拥有名为黑钻石(Black Diamond)的专有材料（硫系玻璃(Chalcogenide glass)），并独家获得了美国海军研究实验室(U.S. Naval Research Laboratory)的授权。 黑钻石的性能堪比锗，但完全不含锗。 雷神(Raytheon)、洛克希德·马丁(Lockheed)和 L3Harris 可能会将其导弹/无人机项目从中国的供应链转向 LightPath 的黑钻石。在 6 亿美元市值下，这是极早期的 Alpha 机会。
$LPTH is genuinely incredible. They own the monopoly on the alternative to a critical raw material that China just choked off. China produces ~60-70% of the world’s Germanium + just export controlled. And Lightpath happens to have the only workaround (similar to InP with $AXTI). They own the proprietary material called Black Diamond (Chalcogenide glass) with the exclusive license with the U.S. Naval Research Laboratory. Black Diamond = performs like Germanium but uses zero Germanium. Raytheon, Lockheed, and L3Harris will likely switch from Chinese supply chains to LightPath’s Black Diamond for their missile/drone programs. This is incredibly early alpha at a $600m MC.