· 个股论点

CRCL暴跌主因是禁售期解禁与流通盘动态,而非仅因降息。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

所以,这在一定程度上是正确的。然而我认为 $CRCL 下跌约 50% 的主要原因在于禁售期(lockups)和流通盘(float)动态,而不仅仅是利率降息。我们在 $BULL 首次公开募股(IPO)时就见过这种情况,其以 2% 的流通盘交易,市值一度超过 500 亿美元,但在禁售期结束后暴跌回 60 亿美元。据我记忆,$CRCL 仅以有限的流通盘(约 17%)进行交易,且最近又有 3400 多万股解禁。

英文原文

So, this is partially true. However I’d argue the main reason for $CRCL ~50% drop was lockups and float dynamics, not just rate cuts. We saw this with $BULL ipo where it traded on 2% float upward of $50B and crashed back to $6B post lockup. $CRCL was only trading with a limited float (~17%) if I remember correctly, and another 34M+ got unlocked recently.

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