· 个股论点

对比NBIS的爆发式增长与CIFR的稳健长期价值。

涉及标的:

中文翻译

从我在AI增长板块的观察来看,是的,$NBIS 极其罕见,因为它前身是 Yandex。作为背景,这基本上相当于俄罗斯的百度/中国或谷歌/美国,他们将 Avride 等子公司剥离至 Nebius。至于 $CRWV 等其他公司,它们对 Monolith AI 等收购案更多是为了补充现有核心业务,而非像 $NBIS 那样实现三位数的独立同比增长。而收购 Weights and Bias 花费了17亿美元(据我了解其增长并不快)。至于其他数据中心/矿企,不幸的是比特币增长也不快,但长期来看防御性很强。因此,例如 $CIFR 通过其资产负债表的增长速度会慢得多。但从长期来看,作为股东持有它非常稳健,符合其下行风险较低的数据中心(colocation)模式和较慢的收入爬坡模型。如果你想一年内从0做到2000亿,$NBIS 是做法;如果你想用5年做到,$CIFR 是选择。

英文原文

From what I've seen in the AI growth sector, Yes, $NBIS is incredibly, incredibly rare since it was Yandex before. For context, that's basically Baidu/China | Google/US equivalent but for Russia and they spun off subsidiaries like Avride into Nebius. For stuff like $CRWV and other companies, their acquisitions like Monolith AI were more to compliment their existing core business rather than growing independently at triple digits Y/Y. Then $1.7B for Weights and Bias (that is not growing too fast from what I'm floated numbers) As for the other DC/miner companies, unfortunately Bitcoin isn't growing too fast either, but it's very defensible long term. So growth rate of $CIFR via their balance sheets for example will be a lot slower. But longer term it's really solid to have as a shareholder and goes in line with their low downside risk colo model, slower slower revenue ramp model. If you want to go from 0 to 200B in a year, $NBIS is how you do it. If you want to do that in 5 years time, $CIFR is where it's at.

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