中文翻译
所以我提到的四个宏观要点是此次抛售的更大原因。上周五有大量期权头寸到期，我猜测在 $NVDA 财报后，这纯粹是由算法驱动的（而且至今仍说不通）。然而，导致更长期抛售的主要原因包括：由币安(Binance)引发的连锁加密货币保证金清算、降息概率变化、AI信贷压力以及日元套利交易(Yen carry trade)。我猜测市场将在本周一反转，并在市场迫使美联储(Fed)降息后重新定价并抢跑12月降息（且在期权到期后）。不过，我不确定日元套利交易的抛售会在多大程度上抵消这一影响。
· 方法论
宏观因素致抛售，预计周一反转并抢跑12月降息。
涉及标的： $NVDA
英文原文
So the four macro points I talked about was the larger reason for the selloff. There was a huge amount of option interest expiring last Friday, and my guess post $NVDA earnings was that it was purely algorithmic driven (and still doesn't make much sense). The larger overhang about the cascading crypto margin liqudations caused from Binance, Rate cut odds changing, AI credit stress, and yen carry trade are the main reasons behind the longer sell-off though. My guess is market reversal this Monday and repricing in + frontrunning December ratecut after markets bulled Fed into cutting (and after option expirations. However, I don't know how much possible Yen carry trade selloff offsets this.