· 个股论点

对比IREN与MARA/RIOT产能,质疑灵活性溢价是否合理

涉及标的:

中文翻译

情况很微妙,但你确实可以将产能和管道与 $IREN、$RIOT、$MARA 进行比较,因为产能本身是不变的。主要区别在于灵活性(Optionality,即公司在需求变化时重新配置产能的能力)。如果你认为 $IREN 的定位更好,那当然可以。关于 $MARA,你提到了基于集装箱的 ASIC 矿场作为例子。然而,它们仍然可以改造为高性能计算(HPC),只是成本稍高。正如你所说,$IREN 拥有设计建造的数据中心,配备架空地板、光纤互连、HVAC/液冷系统,因此非常适合 HPC。转型有不同的层级,但在转型过程中产能保持不变。我想表达的观点是,这是一个涉及利润率等多方面的复杂问题。你不能简单地说 X 产能 = X 收入/市值,否则你可以轻易指出 $MARA 和 $RIOT 拥有与 $IREN 相似的产能。至于这种灵活性是否值 100 亿美元的差价,我不确定。

英文原文

It's nuanced, but you can definitely compare capacity and pipeline with $IREN, $RIOT, $MARA, since capacity doesn't change. The main difference is optionality (how well a company can repurpose capacity as demand shifts). If you were to argue $IREN is better positioned, sure. With $MARA, you mentioned container-based ASIC farms as an example. However, they can still be retrofitted to HPC, it's just slightly more costly. $IREN as you mentioned, designed built data centers with raised floors, fiber interconnects, HVAC/liquid cooling. so it does well for HPC. There's different levels to pivots, but capacity remains the same through pivots. The point I was making was that it's multifaceted with margins, and everything else. You can't just say X Capacity = X revenue/Marketcap , otherwise you can easily just point to $MARA and $RIOT with similar capacities with $IREN. But whether or not optionality is worth a 10B difference, I don't know.

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