· 方法论
X 上许多热门用户是试图出售订阅的骗子，其中就包括这位。 原因如下： 技术分析(TA) 对某些公司几乎毫无意义。$BMNR 是一家持有 $ETH 的公司。忽略 $ETH 而试图对 $BMNR 进行图表分析只会让人发笑。 从根本上说，$BMNR 追踪 $ETH，其价格约为净资产值(NAV) 的 1.3 倍。若 $BMNR 要上涨 100%，$ETH 需要上涨 82%。 Polymarket 预测 $ETH 在年底前（而非一个月内）达到 8000 美元的概率仅为 16%。 除非出现低浮盘盘前买入，或者在 $ETH 反弹后 NAV 脱钩，否则很难实现。 至于他们关于 $NBIS 的说法，其股价从 40 美元涨至 110 美元以上，是因为获得了 $MSFT 意外宣布的 170 亿美元合同，而不是因为有人在图表上画线声称技术分析(TA) 预测到了突破。 在分析突破时，这正是你不应该做的。 他们在每只股票上发布糟糕的预测，然后吹嘘事后诸葛亮说猜对了一两只，以此推销课程。
Many popular users on X are scammers who try and sell subscriptions and this is one of them. Here’s why: TA barely means anything for some companies. $BMNR is an $ETH holding company. Ignoring $ETH and trying to chart $BMNR makes anyone laugh. Fundamentally $BMNR tracks $ETH and it’s roughly 1.3x NAV. For $BMNR to go up 100%, ETH would need to go up 82%. Polymarket predicts a 16% chance $ETH hits $8K by end of year, not 1 month. Either there would need to be a low float buy premarket or NAV depegging after an $ETH rally. As for their $NBIS claim, it went from $40 to $110+ from an unexpected 17 billion dollar $MSFT contract, not because anyone drew lines on a chart saying the TA predicted a breakout. When you analyze breakouts, this is exactly what NOT to do. They post crappy predictions on every stock then brag hindsight that they got one or two right to sell courses.